Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(9/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/5)-(9/7/6/5)-(2/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (9/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/6/5)-(9/7/6/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/7/6/5)-(9/7/6/10/5)-(9/7/6/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/7/6/5)-(2/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/7/6/5)-(2/9)-(3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/9)-(2/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/9)-(3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/9)-(3/4)-(6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/4)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(6/3/1)-(2/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(2/1/3)-(2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   09/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMPLETE Sep01 Aug16 Jul14 Jun21 May31 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80 25% 3.00    
2  YOURINDENIAL Aug23 May20 May03 Apr26 Mar20 (nicholson j)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 30.00    
3  FROSTED WILD RIDE Aug10 Jul21 May08 Apr26 Apr10 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
4  BLIND SIGHT Sep01 Aug17 Aug05 Jul15 Jul05 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00    
5  DRIVEN BY SPEED Sep01 Aug16 Jun21 Jun16 May31 (bullock jordan )RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00 8% 11.80    
6  SERENE WARRIOR Aug30 Aug18 Jun28 Jun14 May17 (albright amy)CORA D 120 8.00    
7  FILLMORE EAST Sep01 Aug16 Aug09 Jul21 Nov22 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  GIRL'S ON FIRE Sep01 Aug09 Jun22 May31 May11 (rubley ke)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  CAR LADY Aug24 Aug09 Jun29 May24 Apr14 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00    
SCR  LADY BREXIT Aug16 Jul14 Jun21 May31 Feb06 (pattershall )HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00    
 
PEN-2   09/14/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY DAY DIVA Sep05 Jun28 May19 Oct24 Sep23 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00    
2  KIRBY Sep02 Aug19 Jul21 Jul05 Jun10 (neilson wa)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 20.00    
3  ZIPPY JO Jul13 Oct19 Oct07 Sep23 Sep01 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
4  HOP TO A DECISION Aug31 Aug10 Jul28 Jul12 Jun20 (harigeorgiou )ROJAS MARTINA 113 20.00    
5  BECKON Sep01 Aug16 Aug10 Jul27 Jun22 (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  TRIXIE'S TIME Sep23 Sep17 Sep08 Jul27   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 14% 6.30    
7  CINQUE AMORE Jul27 Jun28 May26 Sep24 Sep14 (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 29% 2.50    
8  MACRELLETTA Aug25 Aug16 May29 May15 Dec07 (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 118 50.00    
9  POLISHED GAL Aug06 Jul21 Jun16 Dec16 Sep23 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
10  MY MASTERPIECE Aug30 Aug03 Jul13 Jun19 May31 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  SMOOTH AS GLASS Sep06 Jul28 Jun20 May23 May05 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 120 12.00    
SCR  LEVIOSA Aug29 Aug09 Jul03 Jun20 Jun06 (gonzalez-milia)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00    
 
PEN-3   09/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAULA'S SURPRISE         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LOOK DEEP by PETIONVILLE)
2  GOLDEN EXPRESS Aug23         (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 119 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ANOTHER LIKE YOU by JUMP START)
3  ZIFFY BUG         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 119 10.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SUREMEANTTO by CANDY RIDE)
4  LADY AHAVA         (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 12.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of MAHALIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
5  ELUSIVE EMPRESS         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 119 10.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of EVER ELUSIVE by FORESTRY)
6  CONTEMPTUOUS MISS Aug31 Aug23       (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 109 12.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of CONTEMPTUOUS by GOLD TOKEN)
7  WILD CREATION Aug23 Jul28 Jul18 May23   (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 119 15.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of WILD ORATION by ORATORY)
SCR  MARY'S REWARD Aug23         (crane clovis)CORA D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of LOVELY SENORITA by NOT FOR LOVE)
9  UNIVERSAL DESIGN Aug23         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 5.00 21% 3.80    
  (by FLASHBACK out of OVIDIENNE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
PEN-4   09/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ACT Sep03 Aug18 Aug02 Jul14 Jun28 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50    
2  P JS SILVER DUKE Apr20 Mar22 Feb17 Dec28 Nov25 (wolfe j)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00    
3  GRAND WISER Aug10 Jul12 Jun29 Jun01 May12 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 66% 0.50    
4  HERE'S WALDO Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 Jun14 Apr20 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  CRITICAL THINKING Aug16 Jul27 Jul05 Jun01 May04 (shea lydee)CORA D 122 6.00    
6  COOL COMEDIAN Aug31 Aug10 Jul12 Jun20 Jun01 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 ★    
SCR  LIAM'S BLUE MOON Feb14 Jan18 Jan02 Dec12 Nov20 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.00    
 
PEN-5   09/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFRICAN ANGEL Aug30 Aug09 Jul14 Jun20 May15 (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 30.00 11% 8.30    
2  POP THE CLUTCH Jun01 May24 May09 Apr25 Feb28 (geist w)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00    
3  THE HAUNTED ROOM Aug12 Jul05 Apr30 Mar19 Feb24 (pradenas ser)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
4  SUPER DUPER FLY Sep04 Jul22 Jun03 May13 Apr12 (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 120 4.00    
5  DESI'S REWARD Aug30 Aug10 Jul28 Jul07 Jun20 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 118 10.00    
6  WILL OR WON'T Aug23 Jul28 Jul03 Jun13 May31 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
7  KEYSTONE WARRIOR Aug30 Aug03 Dec28 Dec02 Sep20 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00    
 
PEN-6   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSING A SOCK Aug24 Aug03 Jul06 Sep14 Aug24 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
2  WISE CHOICE Aug25 Jul19 Jun16 May25 May11 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
3  DOCTOR TEE         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 6% 14.50    
4  FOREVER FIFI Apr21 Mar30 Mar08 Feb10 Dec02 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50    
5  WAHINE MEANIE May19 May06 Apr04     (fields kevi)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 5.00    
6  DUST BUNNY Apr21 Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 Feb01 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 4.50    
 
PEN-7   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED T Aug18 Jul26 Jul14 Jun28 May25 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00    
2  PAYNT BY NUMBER Aug31 Aug17 Jul26 Mar15 Feb09 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
3  NOTHINS FREE Aug25 Jun02 Mar28 Feb14 Jan24 (pino mich)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
4  ONE TOUGH ROSE Aug25 Aug04 Jul05 May31 May12 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50    
SCR  JUSTIN TIME Aug18 Jul14 Jun28 May25 May04 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
6  FIELD LETTERS Aug17 Aug04 Jul23 Jul05 Jun16 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.