Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - September 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $10.60 $6.60 165%
    EXA (2/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2-4 $37.80 $29.80 373%
PID-7   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $4.80 $0.80 20%
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5-2 $7.80 $3.80 95%
PID-8   EXA (8/2)-(8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2-8 $7.40 $3.40 85%

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:233 :472 :594     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENWICK 1 4 4 4   3.2 1 (harty eo)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 22% 3.50 1.80 W
  (by BERNARDINI out of BELL COURT by STREET SENSE)
RED WREN 6 1 2½ 3½   2nk 2 (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 1.80 46% 1.20 1.00 P
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of JACQUELINE GAIL by TIGER RIDGE)
TWISTED EMPRESS 5 3 3½ 2nk   4 3 (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 120 6.00 13.60  
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TWISTED PURPOSE by HARD SPUN)
CUPID MISSED 4 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 4 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.50 5.40  
  (by CUPID out of TRI AGAIN by CREATIVE CAUSE)
ROBBERY 2 5 5 5   5 520¾ (doran carl)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50 12.10  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MY JENNY 3 6 6 65   610¼ 623½ (cheeks k)MARTINEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 19.80  
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ANNIE'S MELODY by FORESTRY)
 
PID-2   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:22 :461 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHY DA RUNNER 5 3 3 31   2nk 1¼ (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 11.50  
SPAN OF CONTROL 1 4 5 6   31 2¼ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 5.00 5% 19.00 12.90 P
LUNA WARRIOR 2 5 4 21   1nk 3 (sisterson jac)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 60% 0.70 0.10 S
UNCLE JOCK 3 6 65 5   4 45 (potts g)ALLEN D 118 3.00 14% 5.90 4.60  
OSBIN 4 2 1½ 11   5 512¼ (maddox a)JIMENEZ S 122 10.00 72.20  
SPIRITED DEBATE 6 1 2½ 4   6 616¼ (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 6.00 40.20  
 
PID-3   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON 2 1 11 11   11 1¼ (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.00 66% 0.50 4.30 W
MILITARY DRILL 4 3 32 31   21 2¼ (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 119 2.50 3.30 P
GUACO 5 6 53 5   43 33 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 124 1.60 1.00  
NOTACATBUTACARD 1 5 43 42   53 4 (hoffman mark)WALKER M 122 5.00 5% 19.00 24.40  
TAPSOLUTION 6 2 21 21   3 5 (gonzalez aldana)STANLEY O 122 8.00 17.90  
MERLIN'S SONG 3 4 64 64   6 6 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 3.90  
 
PID-4   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANNEKER 4 1 3 2   1 1 (sisterson jac)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00 2.90  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BOSSERETTE by STREET BOSS)
PLANET 5 5 4 43   34 2 (harty eoin)ALLEN D 120 3.00 19% 4.40 3.00 P
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of STELLAR MOON by TAPIT)
HECTOR 2 2 1½ 1   2 3 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 2.00 57% 0.70 0.70 S
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AMY FARAH FOWLER by ASTROLOGY)
TALE OF THE DRAGON 1 3 5 54   4 413 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 120 5.00 27.40  
  (by FLASHBACK out of WESTSHORE ROAD by PHILANTHROPIST)
WHY NOT ME 3 4 2½ 33   511 521¾ (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 120 4.50 9.10  
  (by COMMISSIONER out of HIGHEST QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  EPIC KNIGHT               (harty eo)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TIZ BLU by TIZNOW)
 
PID-5   09/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:221 :46       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY DAY DIVA 1 1 11 11   1 1½ (salvaggio mich)ALLEN D 124 12.00 15.10  
SO MOXIE 3 3 3 3   2 2½ (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 3.50 2.80  
DANCE OR STROLL 4 6 67 6   43 3 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 5.00 18.90  
TAPIT RIGHT 2 5 56 4   5 4 (deville carl)AYALA J 119 2.50 13% 6.90 5.30  
EVERY LITTLE BIT 6 2 21 21   3 54 (lucarelli shana)MARTINEZ W 124 1.80 64% 0.60 0.60  
EVER SO D'WILD 5 7 7 7   7 67 (schaber debb)ALENCAR WALBER 124 15.00 5% 19.00 35.50  
THE TWO NANCY'S 7 4 4 5   6 7 (buhrow d)STANLEY O 124 10.00 30.90  
 
PID-6   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:233 :471 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIELDER 4 1 11 1nk   1nk 1nk (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 124 4.00 3.60  
SUMMERFEST 5 5 21 2nk   2nk 2nk (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 25% 2.90 1.70 P
WHERE YOU WAS 3 4 42 5   5 3 (rogers ronal)AYALA J 122 3.00 40% 1.50 1.90 S
CHAMPION BY DESIGN 2 2 5 3   4 4 (brooks geral)ALENCAR WALBER 117 6.00 13% 7.00 3.00  
TURNS 1 3 31 4   32 5 (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00 22.90  
SCR  COMMODORE BARRY               (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
SCR  LAWN DART               (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 119 5.00    
 
PID-7   09/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:254 :504 1:15 1:384   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEMAQUID PETE 5 3 13 1 11 1 1 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 2.50 32% 2.10 1.40 W
SUN DADDY 2 5 5 5 53 2 2 (martin w)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 41% 1.50 1.00 P
ON THE COUCH 4 2 34 2 21 3 3 (brooks gerald)MORALES PABLO 117 4.50 3.40  
CHOCOLATE PHILLING 3 1 23 4 43 5 4 (maddox a)ALLEN D 122 10.00 20.10  
JEN'S SONG 1 4 4 3 3 4 511¼ (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 8.00 24.40  
SCR  DECLARED               (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 1.60    
 
PID-8   09/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:14 1:262   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MERINO WOOL 1 4 42 4 1 12 1 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 117 2.50 19% 4.20 0.40 W
SERENADE A KITTEN 4 3 31 32 3 22 2 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.00 43% 1.30 2.60 P
DOMINANT STRANGER 2 5 5 5 4 3 34 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 4.50 5.70  
10  CHALCOLITHIC 5 1 2nk 1nk 2 46 416½ (spanabel kell)DELGADO DAVID 118 10.00 12.80  
BLU SKY SUNRISE 3 2 1nk 2nk 56 514 542¾ (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 122 20.00 32.90  
SCR  SCOOP THERE IT IS               (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 10.00    
SCR  NOT ORBINARY               (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT PIRATE               (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 10.00    
SCR  LEAD PERFORMER               (stokes l)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
SCR  WINDY CITY GIRL               (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00    
SCR  LA PANDA               (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.