Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - September 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(2/3/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(2/3/1)-(2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(2/1)-(3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(3/6)-(6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(6/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(6/2/5)-(4/7/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-5   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(4/7/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(4/7/2)-(2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-6   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2)-(4/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(2/5)-(8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PID-7   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
PID-8   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENWICK Aug16         (harty eo)GALLARDO A 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by BERNARDINI out of BELL COURT by STREET SENSE)
2  ROBBERY Aug11         (doran carl)MORALES PABLO 120 3.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  MY JENNY         (cheeks katy)SPIETH S 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ANNIE'S MELODY by FORESTRY)
4  CUPID MISSED Aug21         (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 4.50    
  (by CUPID out of TRI AGAIN by CREATIVE CAUSE)
5  TWISTED EMPRESS         (antus lawrence)MARTINEZ W 120 6.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of TWISTED PURPOSE by HARD SPUN)
6  RED WREN Aug23         (rice kevin)AYALA J 120 1.80 46% 1.20    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of JACQUELINE GAIL by TIGER RIDGE)
 
PID-2   09/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPAN OF CONTROL Aug10 Jul25 Jul18 Jul05 Jan04 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  LUNA WARRIOR Jul29 Jul09 Jun15 Mar30 Feb19 (sisterson jac)MORALES PABLO 122 1.40 60% 0.70    
3  UNCLE JOCK Aug15 Jul24 Jul10 May30 May15 (potts g)ALLEN D 118 3.00 14% 5.90    
4  OSBIN Aug16 Jul25 Jul12 Oct12 Aug09 (maddox a)JIMENEZ S 122 10.00    
5  SHY DA RUNNER Aug07 Jul24 Jun16 May26 May05 (girten t)GALLARDO A 118 4.00    
6  SPIRITED DEBATE Aug21 Aug08 Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 122 6.00    
 
PID-3   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTACATBUTACARD Aug10 Jul24 Jul05 Jun20 Jun06 (hoffman mark)WALKER M 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON Aug10 Jul24 Jun05 Oct20 Sep29 (russell randa)DELGADO DAVID 122 4.00 66% 0.50    
3  MERLIN'S SONG Jul14 May16 Mar18 Feb24 Jan27 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
4  MILITARY DRILL Aug23 Aug10 Jul24 Jun21 Jun05 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 119 2.50 ★    
5  GUACO Aug16 Jul26 Jul10 Jun20 Jan07 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 124 1.60    
6  TAPSOLUTION Aug08 Jul12 Jun26 Jun05 May15 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 8.00    
 
PID-4   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EPIC KNIGHT         (harty eo)GALLARDO A 120 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TIZ BLU by TIZNOW)
2  TALE OF THE DRAGON Aug23 Aug09 Jul18     (ruberto loui)AYALA J 120 5.00    
  (by FLASHBACK out of WESTSHORE ROAD by PHILANTHROPIST)
3  HECTOR Aug09 Jul18       (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 2.00 57% 0.70    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AMY FARAH FOWLER by ASTROLOGY)
4  WHY NOT ME Jul03         (hamm timothy)STANLEY O 120 4.50    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of HIGHEST QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
5  BANNEKER         (sisterson jac)MORALES PABLO 120 4.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of BOSSERETTE by STREET BOSS)
6  PLANET Aug19         (harty eoin)ALLEN D 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of STELLAR MOON by TAPIT)
 
PID-5   09/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY DAY DIVA Jun28 May19 Oct24 Sep23 Sep16 (salvaggio mich)ALLEN D 124 12.00    
2  TAPIT RIGHT Jul15 Jun23 Jun01 Apr28 Mar19 (deville carl )ROJAS MARTINA 119 2.50 13% 6.90    
3  SO MOXIE Jun26 Jun06 May17 Mar22 Feb25 (skawinski car)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 3.50    
4  DANCE OR STROLL Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 Jun07 Oct04 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 5.00    
5  EVER SO D'WILD Aug23 Aug07 Jul21 Jun23 May27 (schaber debb)ALENCAR WALBER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  EVERY LITTLE BIT Aug21 Aug02 Jul05 Sep21 Aug22 (lucarelli shana)MARTINEZ W 124 1.80 64% 0.60    
7  THE TWO NANCY'S Aug09 Aug02 Jul19 Jun19 Jul20 (buhrow d)STANLEY O 124 10.00    
 
PID-6   09/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURNS Aug14 Jul24 Jul10 Jun21 May30 (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00    
2  CHAMPION BY DESIGN Aug16 Aug08 Jul24 Jul11 Jun20 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 6.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  COMMODORE BARRY Aug23 Aug17 Aug02 Jul05 Jun21 (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
4  WHERE YOU WAS Aug17 Aug03 Jul05 Jun20 May23 (rogers w)SPIETH S 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  LAWN DART Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 Jun06 May17 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 119 5.00    
6  FIELDER Aug14 Jul05 Jun14 May15 Apr16 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 124 4.00    
7  SUMMERFEST Aug17 Jul31 Jul05 Jun13 May24 (girten t)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 25% 2.90    
 
PID-7   09/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEN'S SONG Aug17 Jul31 Jul05 Jun14 Jun06 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 8.00    
2  SUN DADDY Aug28 Aug02 Jun12 Mar15 Feb23 (martin w)GALLARDO A 122 3.50 41% 1.50    
3  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 Jun15 Jun07 (maddox a)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
4  ON THE COUCH Aug17 Jul31 Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.50    
5  PEMAQUID PETE Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 Jun05 Jan27 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  DECLARED Jun21 May30 May16 Oct04 Sep19 (bourke joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 1.60    
 
PID-8   09/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SCOOP THERE IT IS Aug22 Aug09 Jul19 Jun14 May24 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 10.00    
2  MERINO WOOL Aug21 Aug01 Jul25 Jul05 Jun19 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  MIDNIGHT PIRATE Jul17 Jun14 May17 Feb15 Jan07 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 10.00    
4  DOMINANT STRANGER Aug16 Aug07 Jul17 Jul10 Jun13 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 124 4.50    
5  BLU SKY SUNRISE Aug09 Jun07 May17 Jan12 Dec01 (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 122 20.00    
SCR  NOT ORBINARY Aug22 Oct18 Oct06 Aug17 Aug03 (guciardo joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 6.00    
SCR  WINDY CITY GIRL Aug22 Aug01 Jul05 Jun20 Jun07 (bowersock mar)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 12.00    
8  SERENADE A KITTEN Aug21 Apr21 Apr09 Mar09 Feb15 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  LA PANDA Aug28 Aug10 Aug01 Jun13 May31 (cooper t)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00    
10  CHALCOLITHIC Aug22 Aug10 Jul21 Jun09 Jun01 (spanabel kell)DELGADO DAVID 118 10.00    
SCR  LEAD PERFORMER Aug28 Aug10 Aug02 Jul04 Jun06 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.