The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Hawthorne
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HAW-1   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 2.00
    Exacta (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-3 2 1 $20.40 $20.40 14.40
    Trifecta (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 4-3-1 3 0 $60.20 -3.00
HAW-2   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 5.20
    Exacta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-2 2 1 $11.70 $11.70 5.70
    Trifecta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-2-1 3 1 $9.05 $9.05 6.05
    Daily Double (3/4/7)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 4-3 2 1 $23.10 $23.10 14.10
HAW-3   Win (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -4.20
    Exacta (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-4 2 0 $9.90 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-4-1 3 0 $14.60 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-2 2 1 $13.10 $13.10 1.10
    Pick Three (3/4/7)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 4-3-2 3 1 $75.15 $75.15 57.15
HAW-4   Win (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $8.40 -8.00
    Exacta (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-3 2 0 $42.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7)-(3/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 5-3-7 3 0 $139.30 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/6)-(3/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 2-5 2 0 $9.10 -16.00
    Pick Three (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/6)-(3/4/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 3-2-5 3 0 $27.45 -24.00
HAW-5   Win (1/2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $13.60 -8.00
    Exacta (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-8 2 0 $60.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-8-2 3 0 $153.65 -12.00
    Daily Double (3/4/6/7)-(1/2/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 5-7 2 0 $48.50 -16.00
    Pick Three (1/2/3/6)-(3/4/6/7)-(1/2/4/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 2-5-7 3 0 $25.55 -32.00
HAW-6   Win (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
    Exacta (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 7-6 2 1 $17.20 $17.20 8.20
    Trifecta (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/9)-(5/6/7/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 7-6-9 3 1 $22.25 $22.25 13.25
    Daily Double (1/2/4/5)-(5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-7 2 0 $19.50 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/4/6/7)-(1/2/4/5)-(5/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 5-7-7 3 0 $38.10 -24.00
HAW-7   Win (1/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
    Exacta (1/6/8)-(1/2/3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-6 2 1 $70.00 $70.00 58.00
    Trifecta (1/6/8)-(1/2/3/6/8)-(1/2/3/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1-6-2 3 1 $123.30 $123.30 105.30
    Daily Double (5/6/7)-(1/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 7-1 2 1 $15.40 $15.40 6.40
    Pick Three (1/2/4/5)-(5/6/7)-(1/6/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 7-7-1 3 0 $43.35 -18.00

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   08/16/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
:243 :492 1:144 1:272   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE SHARD 4 3 2 2 1½ 11¾ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00 6% 16.40 3.00 W
REGIMENTAL 3 2 1 1 3½ 32¾ (rodriguez )RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.50 32% 2.10 5.30 P
BORDER PATROL 1 1 4 4 42 23(block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 8.00 2.50  
EVEN THE WIND 5 4 3 3 2½ 54(block chris)EMIGH A 120 1.60 39% 1.60 1.80  
MONEY AGENT 2 5 55 5 5 45(perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 120 6.00 9.10  
SCR  DAPPER DUDE               (rodriguez edua)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 6.00    
SCR  NEWS AT NINE               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 120 5.00    
 
HAW-2   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
:222 :453 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINBALLER 3 1 22 2nk   2nk 1hd (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 11% 8.00 4.60 W
TIMEHASCOME 2 4 33 3   3½ 2hd (hernandez arm)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.60 59% 0.70 1.00 P
SWISS GUARD 1 2 12 1nk   1nk 3(vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 6.00 8% 11.00 1.60 S
SANTINO'S FANTASY 5 5 4 4   44(perez manny)REYES FRANK 118 8.00 15.50  
LONESTAR CHROME 4 3 5 512½   514½ 516 (castro isidr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 15.00 38.80  
SCR  RIVZONAROLL               (rivelli la)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.00    
 
HAW-3   08/16/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
:233 :47 1:103 1:371   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOMENT 2 1 11 12 12 11(lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.80 11% 8.00 0.90 W
BEEALEA 4 4 44 3 3 36 2(rodriguez edua)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00 8.70  
TWO WORLDS 1 2 21 22 22 23(vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 3.00 44% 1.30 3.20 S
GLOBAL EMPIRE 3 7 712¾ 7 611½ 54(spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 119 5.00 8% 11.30 7.00  
DANVILLE 6 6 6 65 58 4513½ (winebaugh cheryl)COLON H 122 3.50 15% 5.50 7.10  
BLOOD MOON 5 5 5 44 47 613½ 620½ (campbell joel)FELIX E 122 10.00 29.10  
BOURBON DELIGHT 7 3 34 54 712½ 715½ 721¾ (castro isidr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 20.00 48.90  
 
HAW-4   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
:221 :461 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDEA MAN 5 4 5 5   2nk 1(reid r)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50 3.20  
PERFECT WAGER 3 8 7 79   52(witthauer k)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 9% 9.50 17.80 P
PUBLIC SAFETY 7 6 45 46   31 35 (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 16% 5.30 8.00 S
CHICKS FOR FREE 4 7 8 810   647 (manley steve)FELIX E 122 2.50 47% 1.10 1.90  
HATCHET CREEK 2 2 3 3   1nk 5(dizeo dino)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00 5.40  
TEA AFTER BALLET 8 5 6 6   76(zawitz joel)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 12.00 61.50  
SOUPER FORTUNE 1 3 24 2   42 78 (campbell joel)COLON H 122 5.00 4.90  
CHOPPER 6 1 14 1   8821 (cook brian)ORTEGA O 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
 
HAW-5   08/16/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 5:18
:222 :463 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIETTA 7 1 1nk 1nk   15 1(boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 119 4.50 5.80  
MODERN SOUND 8 7 55 4   42(block chris)COLON H 119 6.00 15.50  
KENWICK 2 4 3 33   35 36 (harty eoin)EMIGH A 119 3.50 17% 5.00 6.70 S
BLAMELESS GHOST 6 6 7 713¾   548 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 5.00 7.70  
MOMS CHANNEL 5 2 2nk 2nk   25 512 (rivelli la)RODRIGUEZ A 114 3.00 51% 0.90 2.70  
RUMBRANDT 1 8 810½ 814¼   714¾ 615 (boyce michele)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 8.00 9% 9.70 1.90  
YODA GLITZ 3 5 6 611¾   612¾ 715 (robertson hu)WEATHERLY BAILEY 109 6.00 15.50  
MISS SAINT 4 3 4 511½   815¼ 818½ (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 114 15.00 5% 19.00 36.30  
 
HAW-6   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
:221 :454 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APOLLO U ANYWHERE 6 2 12 1   16 1(quinonez max)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.80 42% 1.40 2.50 W
AUNT STELLA 5 4 5 5   37 2(castro isidro)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40 P
MY LADY SLEW 7 7 22 2   439 (rodriguez )RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.50 1.20 S
LITTLE BELLA 4 3 43 32   26 4(witthauer k)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00 32% 2.10 4.30  
RANK AND FILE 3 6 712 7   7510½ (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 15.90  
TAP N TWINE 1 1 33 4   5610¾ (ryan a)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00 16.30  
HOPPESTRY 2 5 69 67   6713¾ (jones s)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 20.00 71.70  
SCR  AH LEAH               (schlenk k)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
SCR  ARCH FLYER               (zawitz joel)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
 
HAW-7   08/16/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
:232 :474 1:13 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAILING SOLO 1 1 11 11 1 11(roussel j)FELIX E 122 2.50 23% 3.30 2.80 W
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 6 4 5 5 44 44 2(hernandez javier)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 5% 19.00 23.90 P
PROTONIC POWER 2 6 6 6 76 53(hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50 3.50 S
BIZZEE CHANNEL 4 3 31 4 2 24(rivelli la)RODRIGUEZ A 117 5.00 2.30  
SILVER QUARTERS 5 7 7 73 87 65(manley steve)ORM CORY 122 10.00 24.20  
CAPTIVATING MOON 8 9 87 8 66 76(block chris)COLON H 122 4.50 44% 1.30 7.00  
POWER THROUGH 3 2 21 31 32 3712¾ (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 7.70  
FAST FALL 7 5 42 21 55 813½ 826½ (hernandez j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 20.00 59.90  
COYOTE ROAD 9 8 9 912½ 917 921½ 940½ (robertson hugh)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00 41.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.