Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3 $20.40 $14.40 240%
HAW-2   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $11.20 $5.20 87%
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $11.70 $5.70 95%
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-2-1 $9.05 $6.05 202%
    DD (7/3/4)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-3 $23.10 $14.10 157%
HAW-3   DD (2/3/1)-(1/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-2 $13.10 $1.10 9%
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(2/3/1)-(1/6/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-3-2 $75.15 $57.15 318%
HAW-6   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-6 $17.20 $8.20 91%
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/9/6)-(7/5/9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00  7-6-9 $22.25 $13.25 147%
    SFT (7/5/6)-(7/5/9/6)-(7/5/9/6)-(7/5/9/6) 18 $0.20 $3.60  7-6-9-5 $39.02 $35.42 984%
HAW-7   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-6 $70.00 $58.00 483%
    TRI (8/1/6)-(8/1/2/3/6)-(8/1/2/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-6-2 $123.30 $105.30 585%
    DD (7/5/6)-(8/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-1 $15.40 $6.40 71%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   08/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:144 1:272   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ICE SHARD 4 3 21½ 21½ 1½ 12½ 1¾ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00 6% 16.40 3.00 W
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of TO THE MORNING by MORE THAN READY)
3  REGIMENTAL 3 2 11½ 11½ 3½ 33½ 2¾ (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.50 32% 2.10 5.30 P
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SYNKROS by TAPIT)
1  BORDER PATROL 1 1 43½ 42½ 42 22½ 31¾ (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 8.00 2.50  
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of COMMANDING JOY by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
7  EVEN THE WIND 5 4 33½ 32½ 2½ 54½ 42¾ (block chris)EMIGH A 120 1.60 39% 1.60 1.80  
  (by GORMLEY out of TWELVE BELOW by FORT PRADO)
2  MONEY AGENT 2 5 55 53½ 52¼ 43½ 52¾ (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 120 6.00 9.10  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of QUEST TO PEAK by DISTANT VIEW)
SCR  DAPPER DUDE               (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 6.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of ASKBUT I WON'TTELL by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
SCR  NEWS AT NINE               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 120 5.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MODEL BY ARTIE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 
HAW-2   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:222 :453 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PINBALLER 3 1 22 2nk   2nk 1hd (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 11% 8.00 4.60 W
2  TIMEHASCOME 2 4 33 31½   3½ 2hd (hernandez a)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.60 59% 0.70 1.00 P
1  SWISS GUARD 1 2 12 1nk   1nk 31¾ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 6.00 8% 11.00 1.60 S
5  SANTINO'S FANTASY 5 5 47½ 45½   42½ 44¼ (perez manny)REYES FRANK 118 8.00 15.50  
4  LONESTAR CHROME 4 3 57½ 512½   514½ 516 (castro isi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 122 15.00 38.80  
SCR  RIVZONAROLL               (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.00    
 
HAW-3   08/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:103 1:371   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MOMENT 2 1 11 12 12 14½ 18¼ (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.80 11% 8.00 0.90 W
4  BEEALEA 4 4 44 33½ 35½ 36 28¼ (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00 8.70  
1  TWO WORLDS 1 2 21 22 22 24½ 39¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.00 44% 1.30 3.20 S
3  GLOBAL EMPIRE 3 7 712¾ 78½ 611½ 59½ 49½ (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 119 5.00 8% 11.30 7.00  
6  DANVILLE 6 6 65¾ 65 58 49½ 513½ (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.50 15% 5.50 7.10  
5  BLOOD MOON 5 5 55½ 44 47 613½ 620½ (campbell joel)FELIX E 122 10.00 29.10  
7  BOURBON DELIGHT 7 3 34 54 712½ 715½ 721¾ (castro isi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 20.00 48.90  
 
HAW-4   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:221 :461 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IDEA MAN 5 4 57½ 57½   2nk 13¼ (reid r)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50 3.20  
3  PERFECT WAGER 3 8 78½ 79   52¼ 23¼ (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 10.00 9% 9.50 17.80 P
7  PUBLIC SAFETY 7 6 45 46   31 35 (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 16% 5.30 8.00 S
4  CHICKS FOR FREE 4 7 88¾ 810   64¼ 47 (manley steve)FELIX E 122 2.50 47% 1.10 1.90  
2  HATCHET CREEK 2 2 34½ 33½   1nk 57¾ (dizeo di)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00 5.40  
8  TEA AFTER BALLET 8 5 68½ 68½   74¾ 67¾ (zawitz joe)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 12.00 61.50  
1  SOUPER FORTUNE 1 3 24 23½   42 78 (campbell joel)COLON H 122 5.00 4.90  
6  CHOPPER 6 1 14 13½   87¾ 821 (cook brian)ORTEGA O 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
 
HAW-5   08/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  RIETTA 7 1 1nk 1nk   15 12½ (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 119 4.50 5.80  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of HAPPY HENRIETTA by SUPREMO)
8  MODERN SOUND 8 7 55 48½   45¼ 22½ (block chris)COLON H 119 6.00 15.50  
  (by AUDIBLE out of MODERN MASTERPIECE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  KENWICK 2 4 32½ 33   35 36 (harty eoin)EMIGH A 119 3.50 17% 5.00 6.70 S
  (by BERNARDINI out of BELL COURT by STREET SENSE)
6  BLAMELESS GHOST 6 6 78½ 713¾   59¼ 48 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 5.00 7.70  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of NOBODY'S FAULT by BLAME)
5  MOMS CHANNEL 5 2 2nk 2nk   25 512 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 114 3.00 51% 0.90 2.70  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MOMS CHOICE by KITTEN'S JOY)
1  RUMBRANDT 1 8 810½ 814¼   714¾ 615 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 8.00 9% 9.70 1.90  
  (by PAYNTER out of LIL RUM TUM by KODIAK KOWBOY)
3  YODA GLITZ 3 5 65½ 611¾   612¾ 715 (robertson )WEATHERLY BAILEY 109 6.00 15.50  
  (by YOSHIDA out of RITZ AND GLITZ by DESERT PARTY)
4  MISS SAINT 4 3 43½ 511½   815¼ 818½ (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 114 15.00 5% 19.00 36.30  
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of PASSAGE OF TIME by EL CORREDOR)
 
HAW-6   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  APOLLO U ANYWHERE 6 2 12 11½   16 15¾ (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.80 42% 1.40 2.50 W
6  AUNT STELLA 5 4 55½ 53½   37 25¾ (castro isidro)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.40 P
9  MY LADY SLEW 7 7 22 21½   47½ 39 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.50 ★ 1.20 S
5  LITTLE BELLA 4 3 43 32   26 49¾ (witthauer john)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00 32% 2.10 4.30  
4  RANK AND FILE 3 6 712 79½   79½ 510½ (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 15.90  
2  TAP N TWINE 1 1 33 42½   58½ 610¾ (ryan a)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00 16.30  
3  HOPPESTRY 2 5 69 67   69½ 713¾ (jones jeff)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 20.00 71.70  
SCR  AH LEAH               (schlenk k)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
SCR  ARCH FLYER               (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
 
HAW-7   08/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:13 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAILING SOLO 1 1 11 11 11½ 13½ 14¼ (roussel j)FELIX E 122 2.50 23% 3.30 2.80 W
6  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 6 4 53½ 52¾ 44 44 24¼ (hernandez javie)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 5% 19.00 23.90 P
2  PROTONIC POWER 2 6 64½ 62¾ 76 55½ 34¾ (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50 ★ 3.50 S
4  BIZZEE CHANNEL 4 3 31 41¼ 21½ 23½ 45½ (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 117 5.00 2.30  
5  SILVER QUARTERS 5 7 75½ 73 87 67½ 58¾ (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 10.00 24.20  
8  CAPTIVATING MOON 8 9 87 84½ 66 78½ 68¾ (block chris)COLON H 122 4.50 44% 1.30 7.00  
3  POWER THROUGH 3 2 21 31 32 33½ 712¾ (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 ★ 7.70  
7  FAST FALL 7 5 42 21 55 813½ 826½ (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 20.00 59.90  
9  COYOTE ROAD 9 8 99½ 912½ 917 921½ 940½ (robertson hug)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00 41.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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