Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(2/3/1)-(1/6/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(1/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(1/6/2/3)-(4/7/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (1/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3)-(1/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/3)-(4/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/3)-(4/7/3/6)-(5/2/1/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-4   WIN (4/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/3/6)-(5/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/3/6)-(5/2/1/4)-(7/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (5/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/4)-(7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/4)-(7/5/6)-(8/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/9/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/9/6)-(7/5/9/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(8/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HAW-7   WIN (8/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/6)-(8/1/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/6)-(8/1/2/3/6)-(8/1/2/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   08/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORDER PATROL Jul21 Jun23       (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 120 8.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of COMMANDING JOY by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
2  MONEY AGENT Jul23 Jun25 Jun08     (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 120 6.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of QUEST TO PEAK by DISTANT VIEW)
3  REGIMENTAL Jul23 Jul06 May25 Apr08 Nov26 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SYNKROS by TAPIT)
4  ICE SHARD Jul26 Jun29 Jun14     (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00 6% 16.40    
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of TO THE MORNING by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  NEWS AT NINE         (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 120 5.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MODEL BY ARTIE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  DAPPER DUDE Aug10         (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 6.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of ASKBUT I WON'TTELL by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
7  EVEN THE WIND Jul23 Jun29 Jun08 May04 Mar31 (block chris)EMIGH A 120 1.60 39% 1.60    
  (by GORMLEY out of TWELVE BELOW by FORT PRADO)
 
HAW-2   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWISS GUARD Jul23 May03 Apr20 Mar19 Jan07 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 6.00 8% 11.00    
2  TIMEHASCOME Jul19 Jun21 Jun04 May25 May04 (hernandez a)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.60 59% 0.70    
3  PINBALLER Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 Jun22 Jun14 (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 11% 8.00    
4  LONESTAR CHROME Jul12 Dec13 Dec01 Nov08 Oct24 (castro isidr)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00    
5  SANTINO'S FANTASY Aug09 Jul19 Jul06 May31 May21 (perez manny)REYES FRANK 118 8.00    
SCR  RIVZONAROLL Jul26 Jul09 Jun25 Dec10 Nov19 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.00    
 
HAW-3   08/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO WORLDS Aug02 Jun21 May31 Apr12 Mar16 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
2  MOMENT Aug06 Jul23 Jun21 Jun11 May18 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.80 11% 8.00    
3  GLOBAL EMPIRE Jul30 Jul12 Jun29 Jun08 May14 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 119 5.00 8% 11.30    
4  BEEALEA Jul23 Jun25 Jun08 Jun01 May14 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00    
5  BLOOD MOON Jul05 Jun11 Jun04 May12 Apr03 (campbell joel)FELIX E 122 10.00    
6  DANVILLE Jul23 Jun29 Jun08 May18 Apr20 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
7  BOURBON DELIGHT Jul08 Jun21 Jun01 May21 Apr20 (castro isi)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 20.00    
 
HAW-4   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUPER FORTUNE Jul30 Jul19 Jul06 Jun21 Jun04 (campbell joel)COLON H 122 5.00    
2  HATCHET CREEK Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 May04 Apr16 (dizeo di)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00    
3  PERFECT WAGER Aug05 Jul15 Jun27 Jun06 May06 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 10.00 9% 9.50    
4  CHICKS FOR FREE Aug02 Jul08 Jun06 May23 May06 (manley steve)FELIX E 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  IDEA MAN Aug02 Jul05 Jun18 May28 May11 (reid r)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50    
6  CHOPPER Aug02 Jul16 Jun25 May28 Apr06 (cook brian)ORTEGA O 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  PUBLIC SAFETY Jul26 Apr09 Mar12 Dec30 Oct15 (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
8  TEA AFTER BALLET Aug09 Jul19 Jul06 Jun25 Jun08 (zawitz joe)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 12.00    
 
HAW-5   08/16/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUMBRANDT Jul09         (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 8.00 9% 9.70    
  (by PAYNTER out of LIL RUM TUM by KODIAK KOWBOY)
2  KENWICK         (harty eoin)EMIGH A 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of BELL COURT by STREET SENSE)
3  YODA GLITZ         (robertson )WEATHERLY BAILEY 109 6.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of RITZ AND GLITZ by DESERT PARTY)
4  MISS SAINT Jul23 Jul09       (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VALIANT MINISTER out of PASSAGE OF TIME by EL CORREDOR)
5  MOMS CHANNEL Jul23         (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 114 3.00 51% 0.90    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MOMS CHOICE by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  BLAMELESS GHOST         (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 5.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of NOBODY'S FAULT by BLAME)
7  RIETTA         (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 119 4.50    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of HAPPY HENRIETTA by SUPREMO)
8  MODERN SOUND         (block chris)COLON H 119 6.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of MODERN MASTERPIECE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
HAW-6   08/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AH LEAH Jul16 Jun20 Jun11 May20 May06 (schlenk k)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
2  TAP N TWINE Jul27 Jul06 Jun18 May28 May07 (ryan a)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 20.00    
3  HOPPESTRY Jun29 Jun01 May03 Apr19 Mar26 (jones jeff)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 20.00    
4  RANK AND FILE Aug10 Jul27 Jul16 Jun29 Jun18 (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00    
5  LITTLE BELLA Jun11         (witthauer john)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00 32% 2.10    
6  AUNT STELLA Jul30 Jul16 Jul06 Jun11 May28 (castro isidr)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  APOLLO U ANYWHERE Jul06 Jun18 Jun01 May18 Apr16 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
SCR  ARCH FLYER Jul27 Jul16 Jul06 Jun18 May28 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
9  MY LADY SLEW Jul30 Jul16 Jun29 Jun01 May18 (rodrigue)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.50 ★    
 
HAW-7   08/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAILING SOLO Jun15 Mar09 Nov26     (roussel j)FELIX E 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
2  PROTONIC POWER Jul26 Jun15 May21 Apr16 Mar10 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50 ★    
3  POWER THROUGH Jun04 Nov12 Oct15 Oct07 Aug31 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 ★    
4  BIZZEE CHANNEL Feb12 Jan15 Dec26 Nov18 Oct01 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 117 5.00    
5  SILVER QUARTERS Jul19 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Apr16 (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 10.00    
6  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE Jul27 Jul01 Jun14 May25 Apr30 (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  FAST FALL Jul27 Jul14 Jun30 Jun10 Feb15 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
8  CAPTIVATING MOON Jul26 Jun15 May21 Jan14 Dec26 (block chris)COLON H 122 4.50 44% 1.30    
9  COYOTE ROAD Jun22 May05 Apr11 Mar08 Aug25 (robertson hug)HERNANDEZ K 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.