Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Wednesday - August 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   SFT (3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2)-(3/6/7/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80  3-7-6-2 $20.72 $15.92 332%
HAW-3   WIN (5/2/7/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $11.40 $1.40 14%
    DD (1/7/2)-(5/2/7/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00  7-2 $23.20 $8.20 55%
HAW-5   WIN (5/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $24.00 $16.00 200%
    EXA (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $31.40 $19.40 162%
    DD (6/5/3)-(5/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-7 $31.10 $19.10 159%
    PK3 (5/2/7/9/8)-(6/5/3)-(5/7/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  2-2/5-7 $98.80 $68.80 229%
    PK4 (1/7/2)-(5/2/7/9/8)-(6/5/3)-(5/7/1/6) 180 $0.50 $90.00  7-2-2/5-7 $198.50 $108.50 121%
HAW-6   DD (5/7/1/6)-(3/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-3 $38.30 $22.30 139%
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(5/7/1/6)-(3/6/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2/5-7-3 $58.00 $34.00 142%
HAW-7   WIN (3/9/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $14.40 $6.40 80%
    EXA (3/9/4/7)-(3/9/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-3 $24.00 $12.00 100%
    DD (3/6/2/7)-(3/9/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-7 $22.00 $6.00 38%
    PK3 (5/7/1/6)-(3/6/2/7)-(3/9/4/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00  7-3-7 $71.05 $39.05 122%
    PK4 (6/5/3)-(5/7/1/6)-(3/6/2/7)-(3/9/4/7) 192 $0.50 $96.00  2/5-7-3-7 $216.85 $120.85 126%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   08/02/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:22 :442       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BE MY BESTIE 2 4 2nk 21   12 11 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 0.60 66% 0.50 0.30 W
7  GOLD OAK 6 1 1nk 11   22 21 (reavis l)FELIX E 120 12.00 5% 19.00 5.80 P
6  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN 5 5 63 64½   34 31½ (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 10.00 5% 18.40 14.60 S
2  BONITA D'ORO 1 6 75½ 77½   68 44 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00 20.40  
4  MADELYN ATTACK 3 3 31 31½   44½ 54½ (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00 28.40  
5  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY 4 2 41½ 42   55½ 66¼ (ramirez carlo)HERNANDEZ K 124 6.00 9.00  
8  RAIN ATTACK 7 7 52 52   78 79½ (childers v)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 15.00 65.60  
SCR  GLADYS ALICE               (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 120 5.00    
 
HAW-2   08/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:214 :45 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MUD ISLAND 6 2 2nk 11   14 1½ (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 10% 9.40 2.10 W
5  IDEA MAN 4 3 46 35   24 2½ (reid r)COLON H 122 3.50 5.50  
1  CHICKS FOR FREE 1 4 510½ 59½   45 31¾ (manley steve)FELIX E 122 2.00 56% 0.80 1.10 S
4  CHOPPER 3 1 1nk 21   35 49½ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50 8.30  
6  TOUCHOFCHILIPEPPER 5 5 35 45   57½ 59¾ (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 20.00 27.20  
2  TIZRIK 2 6 612½ 614   612½ 614½ (wainwright john)EMIGH A 122 10.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
SCR  KRAMDEN               (castro isidro)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
 
HAW-3   08/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:104 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  IZZY'S MONSTER 2 4 612½ 712¾ 67½ 24 11¼ (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 22% 3.60 4.70 W
6  CRYSTAL SNOW 6 5 13½ 15 15 14 21¼ (cristel j)FELIX E 122 4.00 6.80  
3  INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU 3 7 815 814¼ 911¼ 76¼ 31½ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 4.10  
1  BIA BOLT RUNNER 1 2 712½ 611¾ 79½ 44¼ 43¼ (gonzalez li)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 9.10  
5  SUMMER BELLE 5 1 39½ 39½ 46 34 54 (mitchell anth)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 30% 2.40 3.50  
7  LOTTA ROSES 7 8 511½ 59¾ 36 86½ 66¼ (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 14% 6.00 4.40  
8  GOTTA B KITTEN ME 8 6 23½ 25 25 55¼ 77 (gonzalez lil)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00 35.80  
9  SANGFROID 9 9 915¼ 914¼ 811 98 87¼ (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00 6% 16.90 17.80  
4  GYURZA 4 3 410½ 49½ 57 66¼ 97¼ (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00 17.00  
 
HAW-4   08/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:23 :451 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHACKLEFORD STRONG 4 2 1½ 1nk   11 12½ (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 1.80 15% 5.50 0.90 W
6  TWO WORLDS 5 5 42 32½   41½ 22½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.50 54% 0.90 2.70 P
4  WEST WARPATH 3 1 31 42¾   31 32¾ (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 7.70  
7  ROGER MCQUEEN 6 4 2½ 2nk   21 43 (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 6.00 14.50  
1  MEDAL OF FACT 1 3 52½ 56¼   54½ 54¾ (rodriguez jo)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00 19.60  
3  FIRST MASAMUNE 2 6 67½ 615¼   624½ 631¾ (ramirez carlos)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
SCR  ELIOT NESS               (clay pat)RODRIGUEZ A 117 12.00    
 
HAW-5   08/02/2023 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:112     1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KINGSBURY DREAM 5 6 65½ 63½   1½ 1hd (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.00 25% 3.00 11.00 W
5  WANDA STRONG 3 5 43½ 43   2½ 2hd (miller r)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 36% 1.80 1.40 P
9  I'M BOX OFFICE 7 7 78½ 76   52 32 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 1.80  
1  BLAZE BEAUTY 1 1 1½ 1½   41½ 48¼ (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 15.00 11% 8.00 31.10  
8  I OWE UNCLE MO 6 3 55 53½   74¼ 510 (block chris)EMIGH A 118 4.50 6.60  
6  FREE LOVE 4 4 31½ 31½   31½ 611 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
4  VISIONISTA 2 2 2½ 2½   64 711¾ (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 120 10.00 37.10  
SCR  DIALED INNA               (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
SCR  MISS KITTY PIE               (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 15.00    
SCR  ORNERY ANGEL               (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
SCR  SALLY'S SUPRISE               (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 10.00    
 
HAW-6   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:214 :442 :561     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  W W HOTSHOT 3 2 11 1nk   1nk 13¾ (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 1.80 38% 1.60 2.70 W
1  DERBY DATE 1 6 64 55¾   33½ 23¾ (contreras ciprian)EMIGH A 122 8.00 12.30  
7  UNCLE HEADLEY 7 4 21 2nk   2nk 33¾ (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00 12.40 S
6  LIFE IS HARD 6 3 42½ 79¼   75¾ 45½ (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 26% 2.90 0.80  
5  MALPAIS 5 5 53 45½   43¾ 55¾ (villa fr)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00 49.60  
4  HELA 4 8 75½ 68¾   65¾ 66½ (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50 24.60  
2  KHOZAN'S VALENTINE 2 7 85¾ 810¼   88¾ 79 (mosier haro)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 12.00 11% 8.00 31.20  
8  CAN MAN DO 8 1 31 31½   55¼ 812½ (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00 9.20  
 
HAW-7   08/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:213 :441 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHANNEL WON 6 4 21 21½   2nk 1nk (tracy ta)RODRIGUEZ A 117 5.00 10% 8.80 6.20 W
3  EXPROMPT (FR) 2 3 42½ 43½   42¼ 2nk (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00 33% 2.10 2.70 P
1  DRAGON DREW 1 6 54 55½   53¾ 31¼ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 6.10  
5  PINBALLER 4 1 11 11½   1nk 41½ (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00 19.80  
4  GRAND HIDEAWAY 3 2 31 32½   32 51½ (reid r)COLON H 124 6.00 17% 4.70 1.20  
6  BLAZEN ROAD 5 7 88 89   66¼ 65½ (manley steve)FELIX E 122 12.00 21.40  
8  OVERTHOUGHT 7 5 64½ 66½   77¾ 78¾ (rodriguez )WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 12.00 39.80  
9  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER 8 8 75 76½   89¾ 813 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 19% 4.20 43.90  
SCR  ENJOY THE MUSIC               (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 122 4.50    
SCR  TIMEHASCOME               (hernandez a)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.