Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Wednesday - August 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (3/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/7)-(1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/7)-(1/7/2)-(5/2/7/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-2   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(5/2/7/9/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(5/2/7/9/8)-(6/5/3) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
HAW-3   WIN (5/2/7/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/7/9/8)-(5/2/7/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/7/9/8)-(5/2/7/9/8)-(5/2/7/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/7/9/8)-(6/5/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7/9/8)-(6/5/3)-(5/7/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(5/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(5/7/1/6)-(3/6/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (5/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/6)-(3/6/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/6)-(3/6/2/7)-(3/9/4/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-6   WIN (3/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7)-(3/6/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/7)-(3/9/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-7   WIN (3/9/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/4/7)-(3/9/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/4/7)-(3/9/4/7)-(3/9/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   08/02/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GLADYS ALICE         (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 120 5.00    
2  BONITA D'ORO Oct13 Aug26       (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  BE MY BESTIE Jun21 May25 May04 Apr02 Mar12 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 0.60 66% 0.50    
4  MADELYN ATTACK Jul18 Jun20 May16 Apr18 Sep17 (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
5  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Jul23 Jul06 Jun21 Jun04 May25 (ramirez carlo)HERNANDEZ K 124 6.00    
6  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Jul26 Jul06 Oct29 Oct15 Sep15 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 115 10.00 5% 18.40    
7  GOLD OAK Jul19         (reavis l)FELIX E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  RAIN ATTACK Jun27 Jun13 May23 Dec02 Sep23 (childers v)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 15.00    
 
HAW-2   08/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICKS FOR FREE Jul08 Jun06 May23 May06 Apr09 (manley steve)FELIX E 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
2  TIZRIK Jul18 Jul01 Jun06 May20 Apr18 (wainwright john)EMIGH A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KRAMDEN Jul16 Jul08 Jun29 Jun21 Jun14 (castro isidro)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
4  CHOPPER Jul16 Jun25 May28 Apr06 Mar16 (cook brian)ORTEGA O 122 4.50    
5  IDEA MAN Jul05 Jun18 May28 May11 Apr19 (reid r)COLON H 122 3.50    
6  TOUCHOFCHILIPEPPER Jul26 Jun22 May31 May15 Apr27 (haran john)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 20.00    
7  MUD ISLAND Jul16 Jun25 Jun08 May21 May06 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 10% 9.40    
 
HAW-3   08/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIA BOLT RUNNER Mar11 Feb22 Feb09 Jan14 Jan06 (gonzalez li)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
2  IZZY'S MONSTER Jul09 Jun22 May25 Oct15 Sep15 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 22% 3.60    
3  INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU Jul13 Jul06 Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00    
4  GYURZA Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 May14 Apr27 (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
5  SUMMER BELLE May31 Apr20 Dec04 Nov11 Oct15 (mitchell anth)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 30% 2.40    
6  CRYSTAL SNOW Jul12 Jun14 Jun08 May14 Apr20 (cristel j)FELIX E 122 4.00    
7  LOTTA ROSES Jul13 Jun29 Jun04 May14 Apr30 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 14% 6.00    
8  GOTTA B KITTEN ME Jul13 Jun11 May25 May07 Apr27 (gonzalez lil)GILES EMMANUEL 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SANGFROID Jul23 Jun29 Jun15 May31 May21 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00 6% 16.90    
 
HAW-4   08/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEDAL OF FACT Jul16 Jul05 Jun15 May09 Apr23 (rodriguez jo)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00    
SCR  ELIOT NESS Jul15 Jun19 May28 Dec28 Oct15 (clay pat)RODRIGUEZ A 117 12.00    
3  FIRST MASAMUNE Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 Apr23 Mar30 (ramirez carlos)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  WEST WARPATH Jul12 Jun07 May18 Apr30 Mar16 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50    
5  SHACKLEFORD STRONG Jul12 Jun21 Jun04 May11 Apr23 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 1.80 15% 5.50    
6  TWO WORLDS Jun21 May31 Apr12 Mar16 Feb03 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.50 54% 0.90    
7  ROGER MCQUEEN Jul05 Jun04 Apr01 Mar15 Feb15 (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 6.00    
 
HAW-5   08/02/2023 4950ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAZE BEAUTY Jul09 Jun07 May21 Apr06 Mar16 (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 15.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  ORNERY ANGEL Jul01 Jun13 May30 May02 Nov25 (randazzo fra)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
SCR  MISS KITTY PIE Jun06 May16 Nov27 Oct30 Oct09 (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 15.00    
4  VISIONISTA Jul06 Jun07 Apr27 Mar25 Mar09 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 120 10.00    
5  WANDA STRONG Jun21 May31 May18 Dec09 Nov25 (miller r)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  FREE LOVE Jul20 Jul09 Jun21 May25 May04 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  KINGSBURY DREAM Jun21 Jun01 Nov25 Nov13 Oct08 (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.00 25% 3.00    
8  I OWE UNCLE MO Jun21 May14       (block chris)EMIGH A 118 4.50    
9  I'M BOX OFFICE Jun22 Aug18 Jul13     (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50    
SCR  DIALED INNA Jul12 Jun01 May07 Apr13 Mar24 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
SCR  SALLY'S SUPRISE Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 May11 Apr27 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 118 10.00    
 
HAW-6   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERBY DATE Jun15 Jul08 May27 Apr30 Mar18 (contreras ciprian)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
2  KHOZAN'S VALENTINE Jul04 Jun13 May11 Apr06 Mar12 (mosier haro)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 12.00 11% 8.00    
3  W W HOTSHOT Jul13 Jun14 May28 Mar30 Mar12 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 1.80 38% 1.60    
4  HELA Jul13 May28 Apr30 Apr06 Dec30 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50    
5  MALPAIS Jul19 Jun15 May25 Apr30 Mar12 (villa fr)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00    
6  LIFE IS HARD Jul09 Apr22 Mar17 Feb05 Jun05 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
7  UNCLE HEADLEY Jul09 May11 Apr08 Mar09 Feb10 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CAN MAN DO Jun11 Apr30 Apr06 Mar09 Jan12 (kirby frank)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00    
 
HAW-7   08/02/2023 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAGON DREW Jul05 Jun14 May28 Apr02 Feb03 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00    
SCR  TIMEHASCOME Jul19 Jun21 Jun04 May25 May04 (hernandez a)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00    
3  EXPROMPT (FR) Jul20 Jun14 Jul10 May15 Jan23 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00 33% 2.10    
4  GRAND HIDEAWAY Jul19 May28 Mar30 Dec17 Nov26 (reid r)COLON H 124 6.00 17% 4.70    
5  PINBALLER Jul19 Jul06 Jun22 Jun14 May25 (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00    
6  BLAZEN ROAD Jun20 May27 Apr06 Nov04 Oct14 (manley steve)FELIX E 122 12.00    
7  CHANNEL WON Jul15 Jun25 May28 Mar30 Mar05 (tracy ta)RODRIGUEZ A 117 5.00 10% 8.80    
8  OVERTHOUGHT Jul20 Jun22 May25 May06 Apr15 (rodriguez )WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 12.00    
9  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER Jul05 Jun18 Jun04 May04 Apr16 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  ENJOY THE MUSIC Jun26 Jun05 May15 Feb23 Feb09 (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.