Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Evangeline Downs
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EVD-1   EXA (10/3/5/8/9)-(10/3/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-3 $26.50 $6.50 33%
    TRI (10/3/5/8/9)-(10/3/5/8/9)-(10/3/5/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-3-10 $40.70 $10.70 36%
EVD-2   EXA (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-2 $18.90 $6.90 58%
    TRI (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-2-1 $37.70 $25.70 214%
EVD-3   WIN (8/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $19.00 $11.00 138%
    EXA (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-8 $21.00 $9.00 75%
    TRI (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-8-1 $19.70 $7.70 64%
    DD (3/1/2/4)-(8/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-3 $24.90 $8.90 56%
    PK3 (10/3/5/8/9)-(3/1/2/4)-(8/1/7/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00  8-4-3 $143.10 $103.10 258%
EVD-4   WIN (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $9.60 $1.60 20%
    DD (8/1/7/3)-(3/1/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-6 $48.00 $32.00 200%
    PK3 (3/1/2/4)-(8/1/7/3)-(3/1/6/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00  4-3-6 $87.40 $55.40 173%
EVD-6   WIN (3/7/2/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $15.80 $5.80 58%
EVD-7   DD (3/7/2/1/9)-(10/6/5/1/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00  2-10 $26.40 $1.40 6%

Simulator Race results

 
EVD-1   07/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONEMORETIMEAROUND   (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 15.00 5% 19.00 4.00 W
MERCI   (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 2.50 20% 4.00 2.50 P
10  MONARCH MAN   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.00 43% 1.30 3.10 S
ZULTAN   (modica oscar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00 3.60  
TIZ THE BIG ONE   (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 10.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
BONUS APPRECIATION   (bourgeois keith)MELANCON G 123 4.00 10% 8.80 6.30  
VALIANT DEFENDER   (zenon charles)VARGAS P 123 20.00 56.80  
TENOR   (gonzalez ad)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 20.00 69.60  
YOUR TIME'S COMING   (landry ra)POMPELL L 120 15.00 59.30  
SCR  VETERAN'S HOLIDAY   (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 123 6.00    
 
EVD-2   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADY STAR   (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 123 5.00 8% 11.70 1.30 W
LOST GOLD   (gelner j)FUSILIER C 123 6.00 11% 8.50 11.60 P
ONE MORE SLEEP   (magnon jason)POMPELL L 115 2.50 15% 5.70 4.30 S
ALWAYS LOGAN   (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 118 10.00 45.60  
SHOETRICK   (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 118 2.00 43% 1.30 1.90  
MY UNCLE BILLY   (gelner sco)ALBERT S 113 4.50 9.20  
BASTI BLUE   (patt ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 19.10  
 
EVD-3   07/15/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET SASSICAIA   (thomas lee)ALBERT S 115 12.00 5% 19.00 8.50 W
KISS UPON A STAR   (husak j)VARGAS P 123 1.60 56% 0.80 0.70 P
RUN AWAY SAMARI   (woodley j)THORNTON G 115 2.50 20% 4.00 2.10 S
ELLA'S BABY   (chevis vincent )POMPELL L 120 20.00 73.70  
BOSTON PAULETTE   (segura kearney)STOKES J 115 6.00 32.80  
NATURALBORNSENDER   (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 115 3.50 9.80  
VEGAS ON MY MIND   (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 15.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
SCR  SEEMYVALENTINE   (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 15.00    
 
EVD-4   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOSY BANKER   (fuselier jonah)FUSILIER C 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.80 W
OAK HILL LG   (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.00 51% 1.00 1.30 P
GUITAR TRIBUTE   (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.50 5.30  
JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT   (pennino fran)BARRERA J 113 15.00 5% 19.00 29.80  
CALIBRACHOA KID   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 113 3.50 22% 3.50 2.30  
KAJUN KARMA   (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 113 10.00 19.70  
FLASHING ANGELBABY   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 5.00 29.00  
 
EVD-5   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARDLY ABLE   (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00 2.30  
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of TAKING TIPS by INTERACTIF)
ANGELIC KNIGHT   (marechal merlin)ROSIER R 118 3.50 63% 0.60 2.60 P
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of QUEEZEE DEEZEE by ZEDE)
APRIORITY AVENGER   (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 118 2.50 8% 11.30 3.90 S
  (by APRIORITY out of IRISH AVENGER by IRISH OPEN)
I'M A NIGHT TRAIN   (noel dane)ALBERT S 113 15.00 5% 19.00 38.00  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of LADY EMILY SAGE by INTIMIDATOR)
POPPA MAGIC   (robinsjr aaron)MCMAHON J 118 15.00 30.40  
  (by STAR GUITAR out of REDREAMIT by TAPIT)
VALLEY MISCHIEF   (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 123 20.00 5% 19.00 49.40  
  (by VEGAS MISCHIEF out of GREEN VALLEY GIRL by GREEN RASKAL)
PARKER NOW   (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50 3.90  
  (by HALF OURS out of GIANTLY CONFUSED by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
HEZA SEXY ZONG   (dison m)POMPELL L 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
  (by ZONG out of SHEZA SEXY A. P. by A. P. DELTA)
10  RED IDOL   (thomas lee)MAGNON H 118 5.00 21.10  
  (by CATALINA RED out of SHE'S PRADO'S IDOL by SCREEN IDOL)
INGLIS   (patt jr)STOKES A 123 10.00 55.60  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of TUJUACAGOFAST by BWANA CHARLIE)
 
EVD-6   07/15/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR REAL ALICE   (pitzer floy)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 12.00 5% 19.00 6.90 W
SUMMERJUSTBET HER   (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 3.00 3.30  
TAPIT RIGHT   (pomier chasey )THORNTON G 118 8.00 5% 19.00 20.40 S
TAY TAY'S BABY   (cravens ronni)VARGAS P 118 6.00 9.80  
AMARDINE   (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 4.00 9% 10.20 18.40  
HARRIET'S DREAM   (landry ray)STOKES J 115 2.00 65% 0.60 1.00 DH
CHARLIE'S PEAK   (thomas lee)BARRERA J 110 20.00 5% 19.00 13.80 DH
WENDY WILECAT   (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 115 10.00 9.10  
CONDESA'S HANDMAID   (daigle walter)STOKES A 115 15.00 73.20  
 
EVD-7   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MIKE J   (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 2.50 19% 4.30 1.50 W
JAX MAN   (david b)BARRERA J 112 15.00 8% 11.90 13.40 P
DRIFTER   (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 10.00 15.40  
MISCHIEF'S MACHINE   (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00 22.50  
BINDING AGREEMENT   (ducoing stu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00 14.70  
LIFE IS A BANQUET   (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 12.00 6.90  
ALEXIS S   (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 4.00 16% 5.20 4.80  
CREOLE CHARLIE   (delahoussaye glenn)STOKES J 117 20.00 64.00  
UNCLE FRANK   (sturrock tom)MAGNON H 120 3.50 17% 5.00 4.10  
CANADIAN PRIDE   (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 18% 4.70 14.80  
 
EVD-8   07/15/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER CHAIRMAN   (gustafson a)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.50 35% 1.90 1.40 W
BUCK DOLL TAYLOR   (ducoing stu)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 6.00 9.40  
TAPISTAR   (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 10% 8.80 4.30 S
EMPIRE KID   (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 115 15.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
RANGER REX   (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 118 15.00 16.20  
F J'S FLACO   (maturin chad)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00 59.10  
CHARLIE'S CREED   (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 2.70  
10  HARPES HILL   (patt rolan)ALBERT S 110 20.00 72.90  
ZAVALA   (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 12.00 5% 19.00 12.70  
SCR  VODKA MARTINI   (landry ray)STOKES J 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
 
EVD-9   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY MADALYN CLAIRE   (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 118 15.00 4.10  
SUMMER IS HOT   (ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 123 10.00 5% 19.00 13.70 P
SERAPE   (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 123 3.00 59% 0.70 0.70 S
HOT PATOOTIE   (ney john)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 20.00 12.50  
MAGGIE'S RETURN   (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 5.00 7% 14.20 8.80  
SUNSHINE STAR   (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 123 12.00 8.90  
THE GREY BEAUTY   (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 2.00 9% 9.80 11.10  
ENOUGH HEART   (bernard john)STOKES A 123 20.00 80.90  
SCR  BARRANCA   (zenon shelton)POMPELL L 123 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.