Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (10/3/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/3/5/8/9)-(10/3/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/3/5/8/9)-(10/3/5/8/9)-(10/3/5/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/3/5/8/9)-(3/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/3/5/8/9)-(3/1/2/4)-(8/1/7/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-2   WIN (3/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4)-(3/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/4)-(8/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2/4)-(8/1/7/3)-(3/1/6/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-3   WIN (8/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3)-(8/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/3)-(3/1/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/3)-(3/1/6/7)-(8/9/1/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-4   WIN (3/1/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7)-(3/1/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/7)-(8/9/1/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/7)-(8/9/1/3/5)-(3/7/2/1/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-5   WIN (8/9/1/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/3/5)-(8/9/1/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/3/5)-(8/9/1/3/5)-(8/9/1/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/1/3/5)-(3/7/2/1/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1/3/5)-(3/7/2/1/9)-(10/6/5/1/9) 125 $1.00 $125 
EVD-6   WIN (3/7/2/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/1/9)-(3/7/2/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/1/9)-(3/7/2/1/9)-(3/7/2/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/7/2/1/9)-(10/6/5/1/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/1/9)-(10/6/5/1/9)-(6/9/7/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-7   WIN (10/6/5/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/5/1/9)-(10/6/5/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/5/1/9)-(10/6/5/1/9)-(10/6/5/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/5/1/9)-(6/9/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/6/5/1/9)-(6/9/7/1)-(8/9/5/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-8   WIN (6/9/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/7/1)-(6/9/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/7/1)-(6/9/7/1)-(6/9/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/7/1)-(8/9/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EVD-9   WIN (8/9/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/5/3)-(8/9/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/5/3)-(8/9/5/3)-(8/9/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   07/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALIANT DEFENDER Jun17 May22 Apr26 Mar26 Mar05 (zenon charles)VARGAS P 123 20.00    
2  ZULTAN Jun12 May19 Oct15 Jul15 Mar25 (modica oscar)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 8.00    
3  MERCI Jun10 May20 May05 Sep24 Aug25 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 2.50 20% 4.00    
4  TENOR Jun08 Mar24 Feb23 Feb09 Dec08 (gonzalez ad)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 20.00    
5  BONUS APPRECIATION Jun17 May06 Apr14 Mar22 Feb26 (bourgeois keith)MELANCON G 123 4.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  VETERAN'S HOLIDAY Jun25 Jun11 May05 Oct19 Sep24 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 123 6.00    
7  YOUR TIME'S COMING Jun17 May20 Dec17 Oct06 Sep08 (landry ra)POMPELL L 120 15.00    
8  ONEMORETIMEAROUND         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  TIZ THE BIG ONE Jun22 May12 Feb20 Jan28 Nov22 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  MONARCH MAN Jun25 May03 Mar02 Feb04 Sep26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
EVD-2   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MORE SLEEP Jun30 Jun09 Apr27 Apr13 Jan26 (magnon jason)POMPELL L 115 2.50 15% 5.70    
2  LOST GOLD Jun24 May07 Apr23 Mar13 Feb19 (gelner j)FUSILIER C 123 6.00 11% 8.50    
3  SHOETRICK Jun08 May11 Apr21 Jan19 Dec19 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
4  SHADY STAR May05 Apr01 Feb18 Nov20   (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 123 5.00 8% 11.70    
5  BASTI BLUE May25 May11 Apr21 Apr07 Dec11 (patt ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
6  MY UNCLE BILLY May11 Apr21 Feb17     (gelner sco)ALBERT S 113 4.50    
7  ALWAYS LOGAN Jun10 Apr20 Dec29 Nov16   (briley lonni)TAYLOR BETHANY 118 10.00    
 
EVD-3   07/15/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN AWAY SAMARI May27 May03 Mar16 Feb03 Jan04 (woodley j)THORNTON G 115 2.50 20% 4.00    
2  ELLA'S BABY Jun17 May19 May06     (chevis vincent )POMPELL L 120 20.00    
3  SWEET SASSICAIA Jun11 Jun02 May11     (thomas lee)ALBERT S 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEEMYVALENTINE Jun30 Jun09 May20 May11 Jan28 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 15.00    
5  BOSTON PAULETTE Jun16         (segura kearney)STOKES J 115 6.00    
6  NATURALBORNSENDER Jul01 Jun16 May27 Apr12 Mar18 (breaux samuel)MCMAHON J 115 3.50    
7  VEGAS ON MY MIND Jun16         (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  KISS UPON A STAR Jul02 Jun19 Jun11 Mar30 Mar02 (husak j)VARGAS P 123 1.60 56% 0.80    
 
EVD-4   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALIBRACHOA KID Jun03 May15 Apr28 Mar25 Mar03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 113 3.50 22% 3.50    
2  FLASHING ANGELBABY Jul06 May27 Apr14 Feb25 Feb10 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 5.00    
3  OAK HILL LG Jun12 May27 Apr26 Apr07 Mar26 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 2.00 51% 1.00    
4  GUITAR TRIBUTE Jul01 Jun17 May25 May13 Mar24 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 118 2.50    
5  KAJUN KARMA Jun03 Apr28 Mar25 Feb22 Jan27 (castille carrol)MCMAHON J 113 10.00    
6  NOSY BANKER Jun23 Jun09 Apr21 Mar15 Feb21 (fuselier jonah)FUSILIER C 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT May27 Apr20 Mar19 Mar03 Feb09 (pennino fran)BARRERA J 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-5   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEZA SEXY ZONG Jun24 Jun08 May18 May04 Apr08 (dison m)POMPELL L 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ZONG out of SHEZA SEXY A. P. by A. P. DELTA)
2  PARKER NOW Dec26         (david b)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 4.50    
  (by HALF OURS out of GIANTLY CONFUSED by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  VALLEY MISCHIEF         (ramirez eduar)VARGAS P 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VEGAS MISCHIEF out of GREEN VALLEY GIRL by GREEN RASKAL)
4  INGLIS Jun30         (patt jr)STOKES A 123 10.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of TUJUACAGOFAST by BWANA CHARLIE)
5  I'M A NIGHT TRAIN         (noel dane)ALBERT S 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of LADY EMILY SAGE by INTIMIDATOR)
6  HARDLY ABLE Jun08         (terre d)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of TAKING TIPS by INTERACTIF)
7  POPPA MAGIC         (robinsjr aaron)MCMAHON J 118 15.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of REDREAMIT by TAPIT)
8  ANGELIC KNIGHT Jun24         (marechal merlin)ROSIER R 118 3.50 63% 0.60    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of QUEEZEE DEEZEE by ZEDE)
9  APRIORITY AVENGER Jun24 May26 May04 Mar08   (breaux samuel)THORNTON G 118 2.50 8% 11.30    
  (by APRIORITY out of IRISH AVENGER by IRISH OPEN)
10  RED IDOL Jun24         (thomas lee)MAGNON H 118 5.00    
  (by CATALINA RED out of SHE'S PRADO'S IDOL by SCREEN IDOL)
 
EVD-6   07/15/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIT RIGHT Jun23 Jun01 Apr28 Mar19 Mar03 (pomier chasey )THORNTON G 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  FOR REAL ALICE Jun01 Apr21 Feb20 Feb05 Jan19 (pitzer floy)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  HARRIET'S DREAM May29 Feb20 Jan14 Dec27 Sep24 (landry ray)STOKES J 115 2.00 65% 0.60    
4  TAY TAY'S BABY Jun25 May28 May07 Apr07 Mar10 (cravens ronni)VARGAS P 118 6.00    
5  WENDY WILECAT Jun29 May21 Apr20 Mar23 Feb26 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 115 10.00    
6  SUMMERJUSTBET HER Jun29 Mar12 Jan28 Dec30 Oct27 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 3.00    
7  AMARDINE Jun01 Mar18 Apr02 Feb19 Jan29 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 118 4.00 9% 10.20    
8  CONDESA'S HANDMAID Jun22 Jun01 May20 May11 Apr27 (daigle walter)STOKES A 115 15.00    
9  CHARLIE'S PEAK Jun01 May06 Jan16 Dec29 Dec10 (thomas lee)BARRERA J 110 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-7   07/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEXIS S May29 May12 Mar12 Feb02 Dec16 (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
2  BINDING AGREEMENT Jun03 May26 Apr20 Mar25 Mar16 (ducoing stu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 8.00    
3  DRIFTER Jun23 May26 Apr28 Mar23 Feb26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 10.00    
4  LIFE IS A BANQUET Jun16 Apr14 Feb28 Jan19 Dec31 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 12.00    
5  UNCLE FRANK May25 Apr14 Feb10 Jan11 Dec15 (sturrock tom)MAGNON H 120 3.50 17% 5.00    
6  CANADIAN PRIDE Apr25 Jan06 Nov04 Oct15 Apr29 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
7  MISCHIEF'S MACHINE Jun23 Apr26 Feb17 Jan28 Dec29 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 15.00    
8  CREOLE CHARLIE May08 Apr13 Mar16 Feb02 Jan07 (delahoussaye glenn)STOKES J 117 20.00    
9  JAX MAN Feb02 Dec10 Aug04 Jun04 Apr22 (david b)BARRERA J 112 15.00 8% 11.90    
10  MIKE J Jun03 Apr19 Mar05 Feb04 Jan07 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 2.50 19% 4.30    
 
EVD-8   07/15/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EMPIRE KID Feb04 Jan05       (roberts kenne)VARGAS P 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  F J'S FLACO May25 Apr08 Mar16 Aug03 Jul03 (maturin chad)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 20.00    
3  RANGER REX Jan28 Dec14 Nov05 Sep17   (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 118 15.00    
4  CHARLIE'S CREED Feb12 Dec29 Nov25 Jan28   (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
5  BUCK DOLL TAYLOR Jun17 May26 Feb16 Jan15 Dec31 (ducoing stu)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 6.00    
6  MISTER CHAIRMAN Jun17 May27 May05 Mar19 Oct30 (gustafson a)MELANCON JANSEN 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
7  ZAVALA Jun25 Jun02 May05 Apr23 Mar31 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VODKA MARTINI Jun02         (landry ray)STOKES J 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
9  TAPISTAR May14 Apr16 Mar15     (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 10% 8.80    
10  HARPES HILL May12 Apr14 Feb24 Feb05 Dec31 (patt rolan)ALBERT S 110 20.00    
 
EVD-9   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BARRANCA Jun24 Jun01 Aug17 Jul14 Jun18 (zenon shelton)POMPELL L 123 3.50    
2  SUNSHINE STAR Jun30 May27 Apr20 Mar23 Feb26 (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 123 12.00    
3  SUMMER IS HOT Jun30 May27 May08 Feb17 Jan20 (ramirez eduardo)STOKES J 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ENOUGH HEART Jun30 May27 Apr20 Jan05 Nov25 (bernard john)STOKES A 123 20.00    
5  MAGGIE'S RETURN Jun30 May27 May08 Feb09 Jan19 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 5.00 7% 14.20    
6  HOT PATOOTIE May19 Apr26 Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 (ney john)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 20.00    
7  HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Jun29 May27 May03 Apr15 Mar12 (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 118 15.00    
8  SERAPE May25 Apr22 Feb11 Dec03 Nov25 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 123 3.00 59% 0.70    
9  THE GREY BEAUTY Jun17 May26 May11 Apr20 Mar26 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 2.00 9% 9.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.