Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-7   WIN (1/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $19.60 $11.60 145%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
1:193         1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR READY 1 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 1nk (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00 9.70 DQ↓2
3  MAIN DUDE 3 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 2nk (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00 ★ 2.00  
2  FLASH FREDDIE 2 4 32 31½   31½ 39¾ (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 2.00 60% 0.70 0.90 S
4  DIXIELAND STORMING 4 5 54 57   41¾ 411¼ (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 119 2.50 16% 5.30 6.30  
6  CLEARLY A JET 6 6 65 68   63¾ 511¾ (dixon tim)TORRES HUGO 114 3.50 14.00  
5  ZAPAWAY 5 3 42½ 44½   52¼ 620 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00 11.60  
 
LAD-2   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:232 1:064         1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LIT A SHUCK 3 1 11 11   11 12½ (hatcher nat)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 6.00 12.70  
2  RED RAIDER XPRESS 2 6 64¾ 43½   31 22½ (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 114 3.50 5.30  
7  RONALDS GATSBY 7 7 33 21   21 33 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 29% 2.40 6.00 S
1  STRUTTIN APRIORITY 1 3 53¼ 32   52½ 43½ (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 2.50 ★ 6.00  
4  CUNNING 4 5 75¼ 55½   42 57¾ (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.00 38% 1.60 0.70  
6  HE'S A CLASSIC 6 2 21 66   63 626 (lara jorge)HERNANDEZ V 121 12.00 20.90  
5  RAY'S BIG BOY 5 4 43 714   712 740 (wright rayfo)EDISON JOCELYN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
 
LAD-3   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:221 :462 :592     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THE MISSING PIECE 3 5 41¾ 46   42 11¼ (hargrave ke)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 10.00 8.90  
2  ROSE CROWN 2 1 54¼ 22½   2½ 21¼ (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 56% 0.80 2.00 P
6  PRAYERS SAVED 6 4 31½ 34½   1½ 33 (larrosa a)HERNANDEZ V 122 3.50 2.60  
5  POINT OF VICTORY 5 3 21½ 56½   54½ 43½ (bruno j)TORRES HUGO 117 3.00 3.20  
4  CHARLIE'S PEAK 4 2 11½ 12½   31 56½ (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 8% 11.90 3.90  
1  HOLY SONG 1 6 64¼ 610   610½ 625½ (taylor larry)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
SCR  JUS MY IMAGINATION               (broberg karl)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00    
 
LAD-4   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:221 :46       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAP ARTIST 1 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 13½ (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 116 1.80 21% 3.70 2.50 W
4  PRICED RIGHT 4 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 23½ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 15.00 29.10  
3  JESUIT 3 7 85¼ 87¾   66¼ 36½ (asmussen stev)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00 5.10  
7  MESABI 7 5 74¼ 76¼   76¼ 47 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.00 19% 4.30 2.60  
6  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE 6 6 53¼ 55¼   56 57 (savoie sherman)BURNINGHAM J 124 12.00 35.70  
2  WHISKEY GENT 2 2 31 31½   43 67¼ (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 20.00 8% 11.80 6.00  
8  MARKETBOOK 8 4 41¼ 41¾   31½ 77¾ (beavin judy)TORRES HUGO 119 3.00 27% 2.80 7.50  
5  NEVER OVER ME 5 8 63¾ 65¾   88¼ 815 (jacks karen )MAGNON H 124 6.00 5.10  
 
LAD-5   05/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:124 1:40   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SAENZ 2 3 11½ 11½ 11½ 12 14½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 14% 5.90 1.40 W
2  HANNAH'S HAVEN 1 4 33 34 21½ 22 24½ (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 1.20  
6  MAGNA COLORS 5 5 57 45½ 42½ 36 314 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00 7.00  
4  NAVAGATIONALBEACON 3 1 21½ 21½ 31½ 48½ 418 (wilson melton)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00 19.20  
5  COURTLY DOC 4 2 45½ 58 512½ 523½ 578¼ (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 119 2.00 45% 1.20 4.60  
SCR  MO BLING               (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 3.50    
 
LAD-6   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:222 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SCARLETTSBLACKJACK 7 2 11 1nk   12½ 11¼ (delany)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 23% 3.30 0.80 W
1  DOCTOR LEO 1 7 42½ 42   33 21¼ (broberg karl)GREEN AUBRIE 122 2.50 31% 2.20 3.20 P
4  LILRASCALMAN 4 6 52¾ 53   54½ 38 (meaux h)SINGH R 122 6.00 17.00  
2  LOUISIANA FLASH 2 5 21 2nk   22½ 48¾ (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 5.00 13% 6.80 10.90  
5  ZION 5 4 73¾ 78   66½ 59 (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50 5.20  
3  TRIPPER JOHN 3 1 31 31   44 612½ (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 8% 11.70 9.50  
6  SABER RUN 6 3 63¼ 63½   76½ 717¾ (pedigo randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00 28.00  
 
LAD-7   05/06/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:114     1:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A MILLION STARS 1 2 32½ 32½   2½ 11¼ (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 4.50 29% 2.40 8.80 W
2  OGRE'S LION KING 2 7 710½ 710   41½ 21¼ (singh s)SINGH R 122 10.00 4.30  
3  REVERENT 3 3 1nk 2½   1½ 31½ (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00 6% 15.10 9.40 S
5  THUNDER ROAD 4 4 55½ 55   51¾ 45 (dodson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50 1.00  
8  PINCH HITTER 7 1 2nk 1½   31½ 56¾ (romero gerald)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00 9% 10.50 6.10  
7  RISKTAKER 6 5 43 45   62¼ 66¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.50 15% 5.50 5.80  
6  ALLIGATOR CRAWL 5 6 67½ 67   77¼ 718 (gomez a)HERNANDEZ V 124 5.00 21.50  
SCR  FLOWER CAT               (ingram steve)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.00    
SCR  PAPIRINGO               (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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