Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(4/7/5)-(2/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-2   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(2/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(2/4/1)-(8/1/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(8/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(8/1/7/2)-(5/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-4   WIN (8/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2)-(8/1/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/2)-(5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/2)-(5/3/4)-(1/7/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-5   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(1/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(1/7/2/3)-(1/7/8/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-6   WIN (1/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3)-(1/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/3)-(1/7/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LAD-7   WIN (1/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/3)-(1/7/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/3)-(1/7/8/3)-(1/7/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAR READY Mar26 Feb09 Jan07 Dec17 Aug21 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
2  FLASH FREDDIE Feb28         (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 2.00 60% 0.70    
3  MAIN DUDE Apr21 Mar22 Mar02 Feb02 Jan12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 6.00 ★    
4  DIXIELAND STORMING Apr13 Feb18 Jan25 Jan05   (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 119 2.50 16% 5.30    
5  ZAPAWAY Feb28 Feb04       (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
6  CLEARLY A JET Apr04 Mar07 Feb18 Jan13 Dec15 (dixon tim)TORRES HUGO 114 3.50    
 
LAD-2   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRUTTIN APRIORITY Jun15 May19 Feb20 Jan21   (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 121 2.50 ★    
2  RED RAIDER XPRESS Feb28 Jan20       (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 114 3.50    
3  LIT A SHUCK Mar01 Feb03 Jan16 Dec23 Sep26 (hatcher nat)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 6.00    
4  CUNNING Mar18 Jan15 Dec11 Sep30 Sep07 (asmussen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
5  RAY'S BIG BOY Apr07         (wright rayfo)EDISON JOCELYN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  HE'S A CLASSIC Feb22 Jan07 Dec20 Nov02 Sep26 (lara jorge)HERNANDEZ V 121 12.00    
7  RONALDS GATSBY Mar26 Mar01 Feb09 Jan07 Dec08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 8.00 29% 2.40    
 
LAD-3   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOLY SONG May30         (taylor larry)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROSE CROWN Apr07 Mar23 Feb17 Jan26 Nov09 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
3  THE MISSING PIECE Mar23 Feb26 Jan05 Nov25 Sep20 (hargrave ke)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 10.00    
4  CHARLIE'S PEAK Jan16 Dec29 Dec10 Nov07 Aug08 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00 8% 11.90    
5  POINT OF VICTORY Mar23 Mar02 Feb20 Jan19 Dec29 (bruno j)TORRES HUGO 117 3.00    
6  PRAYERS SAVED Apr15 Mar23 Feb17 Jan18 Dec10 (larrosa a)HERNANDEZ V 122 3.50    
SCR  JUS MY IMAGINATION Feb04 Jan19 May07 Mar11 Feb26 (broberg karl)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00    
 
LAD-4   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAP ARTIST Mar23 Jul23       (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 116 1.80 21% 3.70    
2  WHISKEY GENT Apr13 Mar09 Nov04 Oct12 Aug11 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 20.00 8% 11.80    
3  JESUIT Mar11 Feb10 Jan01 Nov11 Sep28 (asmussen stev)LOZADA CARLOS 124 10.00    
4  PRICED RIGHT Jan27 Sep27 Sep13 Aug13 Mar03 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
5  NEVER OVER ME Apr22 Mar11 Sep08 Jul31 Jun26 (jacks karen )MAGNON H 124 6.00    
6  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE Feb18 Dec08 Nov10 Oct21 Sep25 (savoie sherman)BURNINGHAM J 124 12.00    
7  MESABI Feb16 Jan07 Dec02 Aug08 Jun21 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.00 19% 4.30    
8  MARKETBOOK Feb18 Jan05 Dec16 Dec01 Nov04 (beavin judy)TORRES HUGO 119 3.00 27% 2.80    
 
LAD-5   05/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MO BLING Mar26 Feb11 Dec08 Nov19 Oct26 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 3.50    
2  HANNAH'S HAVEN Apr07 Mar10 Feb11 Jan12 Dec16 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50    
3  SAENZ Mar25 Jan28 Dec19 Nov19 Oct13 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 8.00 14% 5.90    
4  NAVAGATIONALBEACON Apr21 Mar17 Feb26 Feb12 Jan22 (wilson melton)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  COURTLY DOC Mar15 Feb11 Jan25 Dec29 Dec09 (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
6  MAGNA COLORS Apr07 Feb24 Oct16 Feb02 Jan12 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 117 15.00    
 
LAD-6   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCTOR LEO Apr20 Feb17 Feb04 Dec30 Dec09 (broberg karl)GREEN AUBRIE 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  LOUISIANA FLASH Apr07 Feb10 Nov25 Oct26 Oct05 (hurle)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 5.00 13% 6.80    
3  TRIPPER JOHN Jan20 Dec27 Nov16 Oct07 Aug13 (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 8% 11.70    
4  LILRASCALMAN Mar18 Feb02 Dec17 Nov26 Sep24 (meaux h)SINGH R 122 6.00    
5  ZION Mar18 Mar01 Jan13 Dec15 Nov24 (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.50    
6  SABER RUN Jan13 Dec23 Dec02 Nov17 Oct08 (pedigo randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 15.00    
7  SCARLETTSBLACKJACK Apr20 Feb25 Jan26 Jan05 Dec17 (delany)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
LAD-7   05/06/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A MILLION STARS Feb22 Feb04 Dec19 Oct14 Aug13 (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 4.50 29% 2.40    
2  OGRE'S LION KING Mar10 Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov26 (singh s)SINGH R 122 10.00    
3  REVERENT Mar23 Mar05 Feb17 Jan22 Jan08 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00 6% 15.10    
SCR  FLOWER CAT Mar09 Jan28 Dec27 Nov25   (ingram steve)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.00    
5  THUNDER ROAD Mar24 Jan15 Sep19 Sep06 Aug15 (dodson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.50    
6  ALLIGATOR CRAWL Dec22 Nov05 Oct15 Sep10 Aug08 (gomez a)HERNANDEZ V 124 5.00    
7  RISKTAKER Mar09 Feb18 Jan27 Jan16 Jan01 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 121 3.50 15% 5.50    
8  PINCH HITTER Nov05 Sep24 Aug14 Jul11 May20 (romero gerald)LOZADA CARLOS 124 12.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  PAPIRINGO Feb28 Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 Oct28 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.