The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Louisiana Downs
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-5 2 1 $8.70 $8.70 2.70
    Trifecta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 4-5-6 3 0 $6.50 $0.00 -3.00
LAD-2   Win (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $20.40 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 7-6 2 0 $105.40 $0.00 -9.00
    Trifecta (3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 7-6-1 3 0 $607.65 $0.00 -9.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5)-(3/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 4-7 2 0 $32.60 $0.00 -9.00
LAD-3   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $6.80 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-4 2 0 $17.70 $0.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-4-5 3 0 $21.20 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (3/5/8)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 7-6 2 0 $58.90 $0.00 -9.00
    Pick Three (1/4/5)-(3/5/8)-(2/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 4-7-6 3 0 $76.30 $0.00 -13.50
LAD-4   Win (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 0.00
    Exacta (6/7)-(2/6/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 7-2 2 1 $13.90 $13.90 9.90
    Trifecta (6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 7-2-3 3 0 $33.70 $0.00 -2.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5)-(6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-7 2 0 $8.30 $0.00 -6.00
    Pick Three (3/5/8)-(2/4/5)-(6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 7-6-7 3 0 $40.00 $0.00 -9.00
LAD-5   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $9.40 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-1 2 0 $14.20 $0.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-1-2 3 0 $50.60 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (6/7)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-6 2 0 $12.70 $0.00 -6.00
    Pick Three (2/4/5)-(6/7)-(1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 6-7-6 3 0 $15.90 $0.00 -9.00
LAD-6   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $14.00 $0.00 -4.00
    Exacta (1/3)-(1/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 4-3 2 0 $36.20 $0.00 -4.00
    Trifecta (1/3)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 4-3-2 3 0 $54.95 $0.00 -2.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-4 2 0 $66.40 $0.00 -6.00
    Pick Three (6/7)-(1/4/5)-(1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 7-6-4 3 0 $298.15 $0.00 -6.00
LAD-7   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 9.00
    Exacta (1/2)-(1/2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2 2 1 $22.40 $22.40 16.40
    Trifecta (1/2)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 1-2-7 3 0 $67.90 $0.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/3)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 4-1 2 0 $75.50 $0.00 -4.00
    Pick Three (1/4/5)-(1/3)-(1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 6-ALL-1 3 0 $3.60 $0.00 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/4/5)-(1/3)-(1/2) 6-4-ALL 3 0 $22.35 $0.00 0.00
LAD-8   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -0.20
    Exacta (3/7)-(2/3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-2 2 1 $12.30 $12.30 6.30
    Trifecta (3/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 3-2-6 3 0 $24.30 $0.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/2)-(3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 1-3 2 1 $18.30 $18.30 14.30
    Pick Three (1/3)-(1/2)-(3/7) 8 $0.50 $4.00 4-1-3 3 0 $163.50 $0.00 -4.00

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:24 :473 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REBECCA G 3 1 11 1   11 11 (nelson r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 9% 10.50 1.90 W
SEE SASSY RUN 4 5 52 4   21 21 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 33% 2.00 2.10 P
NEW YEAR'S PARTY 5 2 21 3   43 3(mouton patrick)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 2.70  
A. K. A. GRAMS 1 4 3 2   34(landry all)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 25% 2.90 3.80  
COMMERCIAL FLASH 2 3 42 5   55(hodges e)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00 13.30  
SCR  PRAYERS SAVED               (larrosa a)HERNANDEZ V 122 8.00    
 
LAD-2   05/20/2023 5610ft TURF GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:233 :481 1:131 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIEF CHARLIE 7 2 2 2 2nk 11 1(magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 8.00 9.20  
ELUSIVE D'ORO 6 6 43 4 3 32(fogarty desmon)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 12.40  
HELIOCHROME 1 4 1 1 1nk 21 3(beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 15.00 25.80  
OBVIOUSLY TOO 4 1 33 32 42 44(hornsby tammy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 3.50  
DECLARE WAR 2 7 8 54 5 557 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 2.50  
MOUNTAIN BREEZE 5 8 7 8 6 6613 (cravens ronnie )LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.00 50% 1.00 4.00  
MAGAZINE STREET 8 3 5 64 8 77 714 (jeansonne )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 8% 11.40 7.10  
NO KA OI 3 5 6 7 7 810 823¾ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 20% 4.00 4.60  
 
LAD-3   05/20/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:232 :463 1:114     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIONS NOT SHEEP 5 1 31 2nk   13 111½ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 2.40  
ROOSTER RUN 3 5 43 4   37 211½ (munoz yovani)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00 7% 13.60 9.70 P
BIG SCULLY 4 2 2½ 1nk   23 312½ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.00 46% 1.20 0.80 S
SHADY GRADY 2 4 5 57   411 427 (romero ger)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 15.00 22.30  
NOOGE 1 3 1½ 3   512 537 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 26% 2.80 3.00  
SCR  JUJU NINETEEN               (savoie sherman)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00    
 
LAD-4   05/20/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
:234 :491 1:162 1:441   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE BO 6 4 3 3 11 12 1(duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.50 69% 0.40 1.00 W
PAYNT THE MOON 1 1 1½ 1nk 42 32(dixon ti)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 9.50 P
BISTINEAU BELLE 2 5 5 55 21 22 3(romero gerald)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 8.00 7.40  
GREER CROSSING 5 3 2½ 2nk 32 43 4(rhea sherry)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00 6% 16.20 3.00  
MALLORI'S MAGIC 4 6 6 66 53 5510¼ (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 3.50 7.00  
SENSING GOLD 3 2 4 4 6 6613¼ (vincent jarvi)BALTHAZAR JARED 124 10.00 6.60  
SCR  PUTTIN' PRESLEY               (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 119 12.00    
 
LAD-5   05/20/2023 3300ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
:221 :46       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA MORENA 6 6 64 63   21 1(villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.00 3.70  
AMALFI SKY 1 5 1½ 11   11 2(asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 22% 3.60 1.80 P
B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE 2 1 53 5   42 3(vincent jarvi)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00 16.30  
CONDESA'S HANDMAID 3 2 2½ 21   31 4(shamsie randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00 9.60  
SAY WHAT 5 3 4 42   55(ward ronni)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 2.00 29% 2.40 5.10  
EXPECT OURS 4 4 3½ 31   6611½ (brinkman)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50 28% 2.60 1.90  
 
LAD-6   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
:234 :482 1:134     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN ACES 4 2 1nk 11   11hd (wilson m)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50 6.00  
KITIARA 3 5 2nk 21   22hd (witt ii)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 2.00 62% 0.60 1.30 P
SHE'S HAMAZING 2 6 55 5   33(gonzalez jaime)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 6.00 6.30  
THAT YOU MARGARET 6 3 4 4   4410¾ (silkwood charles)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 17.80  
BEAUTIFULGUATEMALA 1 1 3½ 33   5514 (avant kelly)TORRES HUGO 109 8.00 5% 18.10 19.60  
STAR POSE 5 4 6 6   611½ 626¼ (villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 2.50 1.40  
 
LAD-7   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
:224 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAURI'S WISH 1 6 1nk 1nk   2nk 1¼ (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50 38% 1.60 5.50 W
VODKA GIMLET 2 7 6 6   31 2¼ (landry r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 30% 2.30 3.20 P
HOSTILE AFLEET 7 5 7 7   432 (larrosa ju)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 8.40  
OUR FREDDIE MAC 5 3 4¼ 4¼   1nk 4(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 1.60  
WISE ANCHOR 3 1 2nk 2nk   55(govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.00 3.50  
AZTAR 6 4 5¾ 5   66(nixon w)TORRES HUGO 117 8.00 24.70  
HAIL STATE 4 2 3.2 3.2   7710¼ (landry ra)LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 11.70  
 
LAD-8   05/20/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
:232 :483 1:133 1:26   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARE TO FAIL 3 5 7 7 64 33 1¾ (gomez davi)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 61% 0.60 0.90 W
BELLO CREEDO 2 1 1½ 11 11 12 2¾ (landry r)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 9.70 P
GOROSTIETA'S LOVE 6 4 32 32 3 22 3(mouton c)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00 7.20  
DARK MATTER 5 2 4 54 53 44 4(silva walter)LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00 15.00  
MAKE YOUR DESTINY 4 6 5 43 4 559 (pomier de)SUAREZ ANGEL 114 8.00 11.50  
WESTERN STAR 1 7 65 64 74 77 612¼ (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 119 3.00 3.70  
PINK HIGGINS 7 3 2½ 21 21 6713 (dunn ray)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00 10% 9.10 6.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.