Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5 $8.70 $2.70 45%
LAD-4   EXA (7/6)-(7/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00  7-2 $13.90 $9.90 248%
LAD-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $13.00 $9.00 225%
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $22.40 $16.40 273%
LAD-8   EXA (3/7)-(3/7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $12.30 $6.30 105%
    DD (1/2)-(3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00  1-3 $18.30 $14.30 358%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:24 :473 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  REBECCA G 3 1 11 11½   11 11 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 9% 10.50 1.90 W
5  SEE SASSY RUN 4 5 52 41¾   21 21 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 33% 2.00 2.10 P
6  NEW YEAR'S PARTY 5 2 21 31½   43 33¾ (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 2.70  
1  A. K. A. GRAMS 1 4 31½ 21½   32½ 45¼ (landry a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 25% 2.90 3.80  
2  COMMERCIAL FLASH 2 3 42 53¼   53½ 56¾ (hodges james )LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00 13.30  
SCR  PRAYERS SAVED               (larrosa a)HERNANDEZ V 122 8.00    
 
LAD-2   05/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:131 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHIEF CHARLIE 7 2 21½ 21½ 2nk 11 14¼ (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 8.00 9.20  
6  ELUSIVE D'ORO 6 6 43 42½ 31½ 31½ 24¼ (fogarty desm)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 12.40  
1  HELIOCHROME 1 4 11½ 11½ 1nk 21 34¾ (beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 15.00 25.80  
4  OBVIOUSLY TOO 4 1 33 32 42 42½ 46½ (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 3.50  
2  DECLARE WAR 2 7 86¾ 54 53½ 53½ 57 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 ★ 2.50  
5  MOUNTAIN BREEZE (IRE) 5 8 76¾ 84¼ 63¾ 65½ 613 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.00 50% 1.00 4.00  
8  MAGAZINE STREET 8 3 53¼ 64 85¾ 77 714 (jeansonn)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 8% 11.40 7.10  
3  NO KA OI 3 5 64¾ 74¼ 74¼ 810 823¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 20% 4.00 4.60  
 
LAD-3   05/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:114     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LIONS NOT SHEEP 5 1 31 2nk   13 111½ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 2.40  
4  ROOSTER RUN 3 5 43 43½   37 211½ (munoz yovani)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00 7% 13.60 9.70 P
5  BIG SCULLY 4 2 2½ 1nk   23 312½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.00 46% 1.20 0.80 S
3  SHADY GRADY 2 4 53½ 57   411 427 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 15.00 22.30  
2  NOOGE 1 3 1½ 31½   512 537 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 26% 2.80 3.00  
SCR  JUJU NINETEEN               (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00    
 
LAD-4   05/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:234 :491 1:162 1:441   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BE BO 6 4 31½ 31½ 11 12 14¾ (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.50 69% 0.40 1.00 W
2  PAYNT THE MOON 1 1 1½ 1nk 42 32½ 24¾ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 ★ 9.50 P
3  BISTINEAU BELLE 2 5 56½ 55 21 22 36¼ (romero gera)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 8.00 7.40  
6  GREER CROSSING 5 3 2½ 2nk 32 43 46¼ (rhea sherry)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00 6% 16.20 3.00  
5  MALLORI'S MAGIC 4 6 67½ 66 53 54½ 510¼ (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 3.50 7.00  
4  SENSING GOLD 3 2 43½ 42½ 63¼ 67½ 613¼ (vincent jar)BALTHAZAR JARED 124 10.00 6.60  
SCR  PUTTIN' PRESLEY               (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 119 12.00    
 
LAD-5   05/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:221 :46       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LA MORENA 6 6 64 63   21 11¾ (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.00 3.70  
1  AMALFI SKY 1 5 1½ 11   11 21¾ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 22% 3.60 1.80 P
2  B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE 2 1 53 52½   42 33½ (vincent jar)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00 16.30  
3  CONDESA'S HANDMAID 3 2 2½ 21   31 43½ (shamsie rand)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00 9.60  
5  SAY WHAT 5 3 42½ 42   52½ 54¾ (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 2.00 29% 2.40 5.10  
4  EXPECT OURS 4 4 3½ 31   64½ 611½ (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50 28% 2.60 1.90  
 
LAD-6   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:134     1:202   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAJUN ACES 4 2 1nk 11   11½ 1hd (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50 6.00  
3  KITIARA 3 5 2nk 21   21½ 2hd (witt i)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 2.00 62% 0.60 1.30 P
2  SHE'S HAMAZING 2 6 55 54½   33½ 34¼ (gonzalez jai)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 6.00 6.30  
6  THAT YOU MARGARET 6 3 44½ 43½   43½ 410¾ (silkwood charl)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00 17.80  
1  BEAUTIFULGUATEMALA 1 1 3½ 33   55½ 514 (avant kelly)TORRES HUGO 109 8.00 5% 18.10 19.60  
5  STAR POSE 5 4 65¼ 68½   611½ 626¼ (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 2.50 ★ 1.40  
 
LAD-7   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAURI'S WISH 1 6 1nk 1nk   2nk 1¼ (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50 38% 1.60 5.50 W
2  VODKA GIMLET 2 7 61¾ 61½   31 2¼ (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 30% 2.30 3.20 P
7  HOSTILE AFLEET 7 5 74¼ 73½   41½ 32 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 8.40  
5  OUR FREDDIE MAC 5 3 4¼ 4¼   1nk 44¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 ★ 1.60  
3  WISE ANCHOR 3 1 2nk 2nk   51¾ 54¾ (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.00 ★ 3.50  
6  AZTAR 6 4 5¾ 51¼   63¼ 66½ (nixon w)TORRES HUGO 117 8.00 24.70  
4  HAIL STATE 4 2 3.2 3.2   73¼ 710¼ (landry allen )LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00 11.70  
 
LAD-8   05/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:232 :483 1:133 1:26   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DARE TO FAIL 3 5 75¼ 74½ 64 33 1¾ (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 61% 0.60 0.90 W
2  BELLO CREEDO 2 1 1½ 11 11 12 2¾ (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 ★ 9.70 P
6  GOROSTIETA'S LOVE 6 4 32 32 31½ 22 34¾ (mouton)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00 7.20  
5  DARK MATTER 5 2 43½ 54 53 44 46½ (silva walter)LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00 15.00  
4  MAKE YOUR DESTINY 4 6 53½ 43 42½ 54½ 59 (pomier chasey )SUAREZ ANGEL 114 8.00 ★ 11.50  
1  WESTERN STAR 1 7 65 64 74 77 612¼ (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 119 3.00 3.70  
7  PINK HIGGINS 7 3 2½ 21 21 65½ 713 (dunn r)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00 10% 9.10 6.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.