Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(5/3/8)-(5/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-2   WIN (5/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/8)-(5/3/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/8)-(5/3/8/2)-(5/3/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/8)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/8)-(5/2/4)-(7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(7/6)-(5/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-4   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/2)-(7/6/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/6)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/6)-(5/4/1)-(3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LAD-5   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(3/1)-(1/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LAD-6   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(1/2)-(3/7) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
LAD-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/5/3)-(1/2/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/2)-(3/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
LAD-8   WIN (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/7)-(3/7/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7)-(3/7/2/4)-(3/7/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A. K. A. GRAMS Apr21 Mar23 Mar02 Feb04 Jan19 (landry a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 25% 2.90    
2  COMMERCIAL FLASH Mar23 Mar04 Jan16 Dec29 Dec04 (hodges james )LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
SCR  PRAYERS SAVED May06 Apr15 Mar23 Feb17 Jan18 (larrosa a)HERNANDEZ V 122 8.00    
4  REBECCA G May07 Apr21 Jan28 Jan14 Dec20 (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 9% 10.50    
5  SEE SASSY RUN Apr19 Mar16 Mar01 Feb04 Dec27 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 33% 2.00    
6  NEW YEAR'S PARTY Mar23 Mar04 Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50    
 
LAD-2   05/20/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELIOCHROME May07 Feb23 Dec27 Nov26 Oct29 (beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 15.00    
2  DECLARE WAR May07 Apr02 Feb20 Oct26 Oct08 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 ★    
3  NO KA OI Sep24 Aug02 Jun18 Feb17   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
4  OBVIOUSLY TOO May05 Apr23 Mar23 Mar02 Jan08 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00    
5  MOUNTAIN BREEZE (IRE) May07 Jan08 Nov03 Oct22 Oct05 (cravens ronni)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.00 50% 1.00    
6  ELUSIVE D'ORO May07 Jul31 Jul22 Jul08 Jun10 (fogarty desm)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00    
7  CHIEF CHARLIE Apr20 Feb18 Jan11 Nov23 Sep16 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 122 8.00    
8  MAGAZINE STREET Apr14 Feb23 Jan12 Dec19 Nov26 (jeansonn)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 8% 11.40    
 
LAD-3   05/20/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUJU NINETEEN Mar16 Feb21 Jan22 Jan01 Dec16 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00    
2  NOOGE Mar04 Feb04 Jan20 Apr07 Mar09 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
3  SHADY GRADY Nov11 Sep11 Jul23 Jul03 Jun11 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
4  ROOSTER RUN Jan20 Dec11 Dec01 Sep24 Aug27 (munoz yovani)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00 7% 13.60    
5  BIG SCULLY Feb23 Feb11 Jan08 Dec17 Jul03 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.00 46% 1.20    
6  LIONS NOT SHEEP Apr14 Mar05 Feb23 Dec02 Nov07 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50    
 
LAD-4   05/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PUTTIN' PRESLEY Mar18 Dec23       (duhon o)GREEN AUBRIE 119 12.00    
2  PAYNT THE MOON Apr03 Feb10 Jan26 Oct22   (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 ★    
3  BISTINEAU BELLE May07 Apr07 Feb23 Jan28 Aug25 (romero gera)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 8.00    
4  SENSING GOLD May07 Apr19 Feb10 Jan11 Sep19 (vincent jar)BALTHAZAR JARED 124 10.00    
5  MALLORI'S MAGIC Apr19 Feb15 Dec30     (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 3.50    
6  GREER CROSSING Apr30 Apr01 Mar03 Feb24   (rhea sherry)LOZADA CARLOS 124 6.00 6% 16.20    
7  BE BO Mar16 Feb25 Jan28     (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 2.50 69% 0.40    
 
LAD-5   05/20/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMALFI SKY Oct01 Sep04 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
2  B'S LIL' BUMBLEBEE Jan28 Sep27 Sep11 Jul30 Jun13 (vincent jar)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00    
3  CONDESA'S HANDMAID May11 Apr27 Jul12 May29 Apr23 (shamsie rand)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 8.00    
4  EXPECT OURS Sep23 Sep05 Jul19 Jun07   (brinkm)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
5  SAY WHAT Feb24 Jan26 Dec27 Nov02 Aug27 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 2.00 29% 2.40    
6  LA MORENA Apr29 Mar24 Mar05 Feb26 Jan29 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.00    
 
LAD-6   05/20/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFULGUATEMALA Apr07 Mar18 Mar09 Feb02 Jan12 (avant kelly)TORRES HUGO 109 8.00 5% 18.10    
2  SHE'S HAMAZING Apr21 Mar18 Feb12 Feb05 Jan22 (gonzalez jai)MEDELLIN ERICK 115 6.00    
3  KITIARA May05 Apr21 Mar17     (witt i)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 2.00 62% 0.60    
4  CAJUN ACES May08 Apr12 Mar11 Jan19 Jan07 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.50    
5  STAR POSE May05 Apr21 Mar11 Feb20 Jan27 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 117 2.50 ★    
6  THAT YOU MARGARET Oct15 Jun25 Apr28 Apr09 Mar19 (silkwood charl)GREEN AUBRIE 122 12.00    
 
LAD-7   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAURI'S WISH Apr20 Mar25 Mar16 Dec08 Nov04 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50 38% 1.60    
2  VODKA GIMLET May05 Mar25 Nov03 Oct08 Aug06 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
3  WISE ANCHOR Mar25 Mar16 Mar05 Feb21 Feb10 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.00 ★    
4  HAIL STATE Mar25 Jan27 Dec10 Nov19 Nov05 (landry allen )LOZADA CARLOS 122 10.00    
5  OUR FREDDIE MAC Mar22 Feb16 Jan08 Feb28 Jan16 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00 ★    
6  AZTAR Apr21 Feb04 Jan20 Dec29 Dec02 (nixon w)TORRES HUGO 117 8.00    
7  HOSTILE AFLEET May08 Apr15 Mar19 Feb25 Feb04 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
 
LAD-8   05/20/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN STAR May07 Apr29 Apr21 Mar26 Feb24 (larrosa a)GREEN AUBRIE 119 3.00    
2  BELLO CREEDO Apr26 Mar11 Feb17 Feb03 Jan06 (landry allen)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 ★    
3  DARE TO FAIL May08 Apr02 Mar04 Feb16 Jan20 (gomez da)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
4  MAKE YOUR DESTINY May06 Apr22 Mar10 Feb22 Jan26 (pomier chasey )SUAREZ ANGEL 114 8.00 ★    
5  DARK MATTER Apr29 Apr14 Feb28 Feb09 Jan28 (silva walter)LOZADA CARLOS 119 10.00    
6  GOROSTIETA'S LOVE Apr29 Apr13 Mar09 Jan28 Dec02 (mouton)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00    
7  PINK HIGGINS Jan25 Dec30 Dec07 Nov25 Nov11 (dunn r)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 6.00 10% 9.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.