The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Will Rogers Downs
Monday - April 03, 2023

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WRD-1   04/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
:222 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICAFLOR 4 2 2nk 2nk   12 1(bravo francisco)LINDSAY CHAD 124 1.40 12% 7.20 0.80 W
MISS CARMEN CIBO 5 1 1nk 1nk   22 2(bravo franc)TRIANA JR 118 3.00 5.00  
NITRO NINA 3 5 3 4¼   34 35 (williams j )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 1.60 64% 0.60 2.40 S
MS. MORENA 1 3 4 3.2   46 4(espiritu lucio)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 8.00 4.40  
PAYNT THE MOON 2 4 5 5   511 512½ (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 12.00 20.90  
 
WRD-2   04/03/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
:223 :453       1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELL SHOCKER 1 5 1nk 1nk   13 13 (buehrer mar)TRIANA JR 124 2.00 45% 1.20 0.50 W
MESSAGE DISCIPLINE 2 1 2nk 2nk   23 23 (martin steve)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 22.00  
PORTSMOUTH 4 3 43 4   435 (dixon tim)KIMES C 124 4.00 6.40 S
INSIDE JOB 5 6 32 33   36 4(caster boyd)BIRZER E 124 2.50 25% 3.00 2.70  
ELDON'S SAMURAI 3 2 6 5   510½ 5(gladd andy)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50 8.20  
GOSPEL DANDY 6 4 5 6   617½ 623 (williams f)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00 85.80  
 
WRD-3   04/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 3:05
:231 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME OUTLAW 5 1 1nk 2nk   2nk 1½ (pruitt m)ROMAN KEVIN 122 15.00 8.70  
DASTADLY DAN 1 5 2nk 1nk   1nk 2½ (luneack theres)JORDAN R 122 1.60 46% 1.20 1.70 P
LATENT SHADOW 3 4 3½ 31   33 3(offolter s)MORA GERARDO 122 2.00 16% 5.40 1.00 S
OKIE CHROME 2 2 5 5   45 4(padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 4.00 9% 9.80 11.60  
PEPPERMINT CANDY 4 3 4¾ 4   55(luneack sue)KIMES C 122 3.00 4.40  
 
WRD-4   04/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
:224 :454 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIN BADGE 2 1 1½ 11   12 13 (chleborad lynn)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 5.00 12% 7.50 11.60 W
HERZEN 6 4 5 31   22 23 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 2.00 23% 3.30 4.80 P
MONET'S DEVIL 5 3 43 21   32 3(martin steve)KIMES C 118 2.50 40% 1.50 2.50 S
MAGIC CARPET 4 2 6 6   45 4(martin stev)TRIANA JR 118 10.00 10.50  
GUNNER PAUL 1 6 2½ 42   5510¾ (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 118 8.00 8.80  
GINSBURNED 3 5 32 5   6611½ (young e)JORDAN R 121 3.00 0.90  
 
WRD-5   04/03/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
:222 :452       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARLET POSITION 2 3 3 31   1½ 1(davidson brent)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00 43% 1.30 1.10 W
LIGHTNING HART 3 1 11 11   2½ 2(dixon tim)KIMES C 121 12.00 2.80  
HEATIN UP 4 2 21 21   3310 (chleborad lynn)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 8.00 10.70  
NOSTALGIA 1 4 43 45   4410½ (johnston lane )JORDAN R 118 1.80 19% 4.30 1.50  
SCR  MISS MELODY               (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 1.20 15% 5.60    
 
WRD-6   04/03/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
:243 :484 1:14     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOMOREMRNICEGUY 9 7 7 7 3 2½ 1¼ (sneed todd)LANDEROS C 118 8.00 10.00  
POKER PLAY 2 6 4 4¼ 1½ 1½ 2¼ (caster boyd)BIRZER E 121 2.50 0.50 P
CHOCOLATEICECREAM 6 5 6 6 2½ 31 3(fields patr)TRIANA JR 118 3.50 20% 4.00 6.30 S
MAYFAIR HEIGHTS 8 3 2nk 3.2 6 46 410¼ (espiritu lucio)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 30.00 ######  
LIMBO'S PROMISE 4 4 5 5¾ 42 58 513½ (david ron)KIMES C 118 6.00 16% 5.40 31.40  
MORHAWK 1 8 8 8 8 811½ 613¾ (williams f)LINDSAY CHAD 118 12.00 89.40  
JOHN ALLEN 7 2 3.2 1nk 7 69 714¼ (donaldson j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 12.00 80.70  
LEGIONARY 3 1 1nk 2nk 52 7816¼ (young e)MORA GERARDO 118 3.00 42% 1.40 2.90  
LASTCALLFORALCOHOL 5 9 97 910¼ 9 916½ 932½ (camillo angel)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 12.00 19.80  
 
WRD-7   04/03/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:231 :461       1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRANGLERED 6 1 1nk 2nk   11 1(bravo franc)TRIANA JR 121 3.50 61% 0.60 1.70 W
OUR CORNERSTONE 7 3 2nk 1nk   21 2(stephens je)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 20.00 49.20  
CATALE STORM 5 6 4 3½   32 3(mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 121 6.00 3.10 S
J B'S LEGACY 2 7 7 5   54 4(ashford ray)ROMAN KEVIN 121 5.00 2.30  
YOU SEXY BOY 1 2 31 6   66 57 (moreno carlos)JORDAN R 121 6.00 7.60  
TRUE GLORY 4 5 5 4¾   469 (williams alan)COLLIER T 121 8.00 13.90  
RONALD DALE 3 4 6 7   710 710 (davidson brent)MORA GERARDO 121 6.00 8.10  
SCR  HEADEDTOTHESTARS               (williams steve )PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.50    
SCR  HUNTER'S LEGACY               (david ron)KIMES C 121 8.00 8% 11.30    
 
WRD-8   04/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
:222 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GYPSY ROSE 5 4 6 53   31½ (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 8.00 10% 8.70 2.30 W
MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH 6 1 11 1   11 2½ (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 118 8.00 4.70  
BRING IT ON BABY 2 5 5 32   43¾ (williams alan)BIRZER E 124 2.00 2.10 S
HEADY MOVES 3 2 21 2   21 4(biehler micha)WETHEY JR 124 3.00 46% 1.20 2.60  
EXCETERA 4 3 4 42   557 (ferrell jory)KIMES C 124 10.00 12% 7.00 10.10  
LOVELY LOLITA 1 6 3 64   6612 (williams ste)ERAMIA E 124 15.00 15.90  
SCR  CHILLAXIFICATION               (young scott)TRIANA JR 124 2.50    
 
WRD-9   04/03/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
:233 :474 1:124     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEEDABETTERJOCK 1 3 1½ 11 11 2nk 1¼ (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 121 5.00 30% 2.40 1.50 W
ROCKPORT KAT 5 6 4 42 31 1nk 2¼ (luneack the)TRIANA JR 124 2.50 1.90 P
JACKS SPRING BREAK 6 5 65 7 6 33 3(dixon tim)KIMES C 118 6.00 8% 11.30 6.10 S
TOAH 3 1 3 3 4 54(corderman s)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 30.00 5% 19.00 62.90  
KWIK 8 7 7 6 53 65(williams ste)ERAMIA E 118 10.00 8.60  
WIN FOR FUN 2 2 2½ 21 21 46(offolter s)MORA GERARDO 118 8.00 6.40  
HE'S PRETTY LUCKY 7 8 8 8 7 7712¼ (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 20.00 18.20  
TARUCA 4 4 55 5 8 813¾ 828½ (bert sco)JORDAN R 118 8.00 17.80  
SCR  ABSAROKA               (young e)WETHEY JR 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  WILLY SPECIAL CATS               (david ron)LINDSAY CHAD 118 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.