Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4 $6.90 $0.90 15%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   05/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:23 :464 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAP ARTIST 2 2 1 1½   11 1 (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.00 47% 1.10 1.40 W
CARLOS PUNCH 4 1 2 2½   21 2 (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00 25% 3.00 4.00 P
SILKY'S DANCE 1 4 33 31   31 3 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 4.60  
HEREWECOMETOGETYOU 6 6 6 5   4 45 (schmidt denise)MELANCON G 122 12.00 5% 19.00 2.80  
PAYNTED LOVER 5 3 4 41   6 5 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00 15.80  
ROCK STAR ALEX 3 5 5 6   53 6 (dandridge )ALBERT S 117 3.50 8.30  
 
LAD-2   05/29/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:122 1:244   1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S TAKIN OVER 7 5 64 6   53 1 (johnson b)MELANCON G 122 8.00 20.70  
TRACK QUEEN 8 4 4 21   2½ 2 (duhon o)STOKES J 120 6.00 3.70  
SUE'S LITTLE ZING 5 2 11 11   1½ 3 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 117 3.50 9% 10.40 6.40 S
GEAUX VOTE 4 1 3 42   4 45 (brinkman bre)BARRERA J 117 4.50 6.90  
MOR KISSES 6 3 21 31   3½ 55 (delany)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 20% 3.90 2.90  
COUSIN VICKIE 1 6 7 7   6 6 (de al)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00 5% 19.00 48.00  
ZEEROCK 3 8 5 53   7 710 (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 122 10.00 36.20  
T J'S FIRST 2 7 8 8   8 811¼ (mouton patrick)GREEN AUBRIE 122 2.50 46% 1.20 1.50  
 
LAD-3   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:234 :47 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINT 5 5 32 1nk   11 14 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 75% 0.30 0.10 W
HAIL SOUTHERN 4 2 11 31   31 24 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50 16.90  
CRAFTY HEAT 6 1 21 2nk   21 3 (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00 32.30 S
J'S LITTLE MAN 1 6 64 53   43 4 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 119 4.00 8.80  
SOUTH AL SPARKY 2 4 5 42   5 512¼ (beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 3.00 13.90  
CLERIC 3 3 42 6   6 627½ (beavin judy)MELANCON G 124 12.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
 
LAD-4   05/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD VICTORIA 1 4 42 43   31 11 (hornsby tammy)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 35% 1.90 1.20 W
KEWPIE DOLL 5 3 3½ 3   1nk 21 (jackson )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 4.60  
HURRICANE TIZWAY 3 1 1½ 1½   2nk 3 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 13% 6.90 8.90 S
POINT OF VICTORY 7 7 76 54   4 4 (bruno j)TORRES HUGO 114 6.00 13.20  
QUEEN'S MISSION 4 2 2½ 2½   53 5 (west patricia )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
L G GIRL 6 6 65 66   6 69 (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 119 2.00 5.90  
KIND WAYS 2 5 54 7   7 719¼ (mojica edith)BARRERA J 117 2.50 21% 3.90 5.90  
 
LAD-5   05/29/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:214 :434       :561   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRONIT 1 5 4 41   2nk 1 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.50 3.80  
HARRIET'S DREAM 7 2 1½ 1½   1nk 2 (landry ray)STOKES J 122 3.50 65% 0.50 1.30 P
SCAMPERING GRAYCE 9 4 5 52   42 34 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 122 5.00 11.20  
HUSHED COURT ROOM 3 6 65 6   6 4 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 122 2.50 4.50  
OURPERFECTPRINCESS 6 3 2½ 2½   3½ 57 (hargrave ken)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
TWN MS MIDSHIP 4 7 76 75   7 6 (nixon thomas)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00 33.40  
MISS PRIORITY 2 8 8 8   8 711½ (klanfer )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00 11.10  
LA SMOOCHIE 8 1 3½ 31   53 813¼ (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 117 15.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
THE MISSING PIECE 5 9 9 96   9 913½ (hargrave ke)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 38.60  
 
LAD-6   05/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:114     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZION 8 4 11 11   11 1 (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 19% 4.20 1.60 W
WISE GUY 3 8 7 31   21 2 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 21% 3.90 2.30 P
MIND ON MY MONEY 2 7 5 5   33 3 (mojica edith)BARRERA J 117 3.50 7.00  
ZONG TOUGH 9 5 8 7   54 48 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00 21.80  
PERFECT PERIGEE 4 3 31 21   43 5 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00 10.20  
CYPRIANO 1 2 42 8   76 610½ (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00 9.70  
J B GRAY 6 1 21 4   6 710½ (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00 19% 4.10 21.80  
SIR OVERANALYZE 5 6 6 6   8 824¾ (dandridge )ALBERT S 117 8.00 10% 9.20 8.60  
GRIEF 7 9 9 912¾   9 927½ (broussard jerv)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 36.60  
 
LAD-7   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAMAZING DEBATE 5 4 5 5   31 11 (gonzalez jaime)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50 1.80  
GOLD STRATEGY 3 5 4 42   4 21 (hornsby tamm)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 30% 2.40 5.30 P
MY LADY LUNA 1 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 3 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.00 37% 1.70 1.50 S
MUSIC MISTRESS 4 3 31 3½   1nk 4 (mckellar joe)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 15.00 3.20  
VOODOO MISTRESS 2 1 1nk 1nk   52 59 (ramirez ros)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 8.00 7% 14.30 12.90  
SCR  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF               (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 2.50    
SCR  THE RAGE OF ART               (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00    
 
LAD-8   05/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:11
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:103 1:224   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE ICE 3 4 3 31 3 2nk 1 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 30% 2.40 2.40 W
NATE'S ATTACK 2 7 6 6 42 4¼ 2 (briley l)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00 15.40  
AFLEET ASCENT 4 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 3 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
OAK HILL SOLUTION 5 2 2nk 2nk 2nk 3.2 4 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 12.00 15.00  
SENATOR CON 1 3 43 42 6 5 5 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 5.00 13.20  
ITS A CITY DAY 8 5 7 7 9 74 610¼ (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 12.00 35.50  
HARD LOVE 9 9 9 9 7 6 712¾ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 10% 9.50 2.50  
DOC IRWIN 7 6 5 5 8 85 813¾ (broberg karl)VARGAS P 122 3.50 20% 4.00 4.10  
VINYL 6 8 8 8 53 95 914¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00 17% 5.10 10.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.