Handicappers' Racing Form

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Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-2   Win (2/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-3   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-4   Win (1/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
LAD-5   Win (7/6/8/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-6   Win (3/6/8/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
LAD-7   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
LAD-8   Win (3/7/6/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
LAD-1   05/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILKY'S DANCE May07 Feb23 Feb10 Jan27 Jan14 (lara jorge)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50    
RAP ARTIST May06 Mar23 Jul23     (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
ROCK STAR ALEX May07 Mar16 Feb11 Jan06 Dec16 (dandridge co)ALBERT S 117 3.50    
CARLOS PUNCH May14 Apr08 Feb15 Nov02 Aug28 (broussard jervo)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00 25% 3.00    
PAYNTED LOVER May07 Feb11 Jan18 Dec22 Dec08 (beavin j)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00    
HEREWECOMETOGETYOU May21 Mar02 Feb03 Jan06 Nov26 (schmidt denise)MELANCON G 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   05/29/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSIN VICKIE Feb02 Jan20 Dec19 Nov18 Oct28 (de alex)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
T J'S FIRST Mar18 Jan27 Sep19 Aug29 Aug06 (mouton patrick)GREEN AUBRIE 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
ZEEROCK May15 Mar19 Mar05 Feb23 Feb05 (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 122 10.00    
GEAUX VOTE May12 Jan21 Dec20 Dec08 Jul06 (brinkman brett)BARRERA J 117 4.50    
SUE'S LITTLE ZING May08 Apr22 Feb24 Feb15 Feb02 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 117 3.50 9% 10.40    
MOR KISSES May11 Apr22 Jan13 Dec02 Oct08 (delany s)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 20% 3.90    
SHE'S TAKIN OVER May08 Mar26 Mar11 Feb02 Jan06 (johnson b)MELANCON G 122 8.00    
TRACK QUEEN May08 Dec29 Sep06 Aug25 Jun17 (duhon o)STOKES J 120 6.00    
 
LAD-3   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J'S LITTLE MAN May05 Apr23 Mar30 Feb03 Jan08 (martin e)TORRES HUGO 119 4.00    
SOUTH AL SPARKY May21 May07 Feb09 Jan27 Jan13 (beavin judy)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 3.00    
CLERIC Feb23 Jan27 Jan14 Dec29 Dec08 (beavin judy)MELANCON G 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
HAIL SOUTHERN Aug27 Aug11 Jul08 Jun08 Apr16 (del erick)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50    
MINT May15 Feb17 Dec30 Nov23 Nov02 (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 75% 0.30    
CRAFTY HEAT May16 May01 Dec29 Dec01 Sep03 (hatcher na)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-4   05/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROUD VICTORIA May04 Mar03 Feb18 Jan22 Jan06 (hornsby tammy)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
KIND WAYS Apr29 Apr07 Feb15 Jan26 Jan07 (mojica a)BARRERA J 117 2.50 21% 3.90    
HURRICANE TIZWAY Feb17 Jan26 Jan13 Dec30 Nov02 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 12.00 13% 6.90    
QUEEN'S MISSION Mar23 Mar08 Jan22 Jan06 Nov20 (west g)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
KEWPIE DOLL Apr28 Apr15 Mar18 Feb24 Sep02 (jackson ri)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
L G GIRL May07 Feb17 Dec16 Nov22 Oct21 (broussard jervo)LOZADA CARLOS 119 2.00    
POINT OF VICTORY May06 Mar23 Mar02 Feb20 Jan19 (bruno j)TORRES HUGO 114 6.00    
 
LAD-5   05/29/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRONIT May07 Mar18 Feb26 Jan16 Dec04 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.50    
MISS PRIORITY Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 Dec22 Nov10 (klanfer al)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
HUSHED COURT ROOM May21 Apr01 Mar18 Feb20 Feb12 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 122 2.50    
TWN MS MIDSHIP May14 Feb24 Jan26 Sep13 Aug08 (nixon w)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
THE MISSING PIECE May06 Mar23 Feb26 Jan05 Nov25 (hargrave kenn)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
OURPERFECTPRINCESS May07 Mar26 Mar04 Jan27 Jan06 (hargrave kenne)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
HARRIET'S DREAM Feb20 Jan14 Dec27 Sep24 Aug17 (landry ray)STOKES J 122 3.50 65% 0.50    
LA SMOOCHIE May21 Feb09 Dec07 Aug26 Jul16 (larrosa a)BARRERA J 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCAMPERING GRAYCE Jan29 Sep24 Aug20 Jul12 Jun18 (cates al)GREEN AUBRIE 122 5.00    
 
LAD-6   05/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CYPRIANO May07 Apr14 Feb15 Jan14 Oct27 (broussard jervo)LOZADA CARLOS 122 6.00    
MIND ON MY MONEY May13 Apr26 Jan14 Dec15 Nov22 (mojica a)BARRERA J 117 3.50    
WISE GUY Feb15 Jan25 Jan07 Dec15 Nov16 (turner p)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 21% 3.90    
PERFECT PERIGEE May07 Jan01 Dec19 Dec03 Sep26 (foster joseph )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 4.00    
SIR OVERANALYZE Mar24 Feb18 Dec27 Dec09 Nov02 (dandridge co)ALBERT S 117 8.00 10% 9.20    
J B GRAY May07 Mar26 Mar02 Feb05 Dec23 (balderas alfonso)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00 19% 4.10    
GRIEF May07 Apr14 Feb15 Dec15 Nov19 (broussard jervon)GREEN AUBRIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
ZION May06 Mar18 Mar01 Jan13 Dec15 (hatcher na)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 19% 4.20    
ZONG TOUGH Mar15 Jan01 Sep26 Sep17 Aug07 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 12.00    
 
LAD-7   05/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF May12 Apr23 Apr01 Mar23 Feb25 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 2.50    
MY LADY LUNA May13 Mar05 Dec23 Dec03 Sep18 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.00 37% 1.70    
VOODOO MISTRESS May14 Jan25 Dec30 Nov26 Oct29 (ramirez rosa )RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 8.00 7% 14.30    
GOLD STRATEGY Apr14 Mar18 Feb19 Jan28 Dec09 (hornsby tammy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 10.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  THE RAGE OF ART May12 Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 Feb04 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00    
MUSIC MISTRESS Apr30 Apr15 Mar18     (mckellar p)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 15.00    
HAMAZING DEBATE May04 Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Jan27 (gonzalez n)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 3.50    
 
LAD-8   05/29/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENATOR CON May15 Sep27 Sep03 Aug01 Jul19 (balderas alfonso)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 5.00    
NATE'S ATTACK May15 Apr12 Dec20 Jul02 May12 (briley lon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
MORE ICE Sep27 Aug20 Aug08 Jun28 Jun05 (foster joseph )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
AFLEET ASCENT May04 Mar04 Jan13 Dec02 Sep20 (schwandt emile)MELANCON G 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
OAK HILL SOLUTION Mar18 Feb20 Jan26 Jan08 Dec17 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 12.00    
VINYL Sep27 Sep12 Jul17 May31 May16 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 10.00 17% 5.10    
DOC IRWIN Apr08 Mar10 Feb17 Jan20 Jan06 (broberg karl)VARGAS P 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
ITS A CITY DAY Dec14 Nov23 Sep12 Aug14 Jul19 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 12.00    
HARD LOVE May11 Apr19 Mar09 Jan07 Sep24 (asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 10% 9.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.