Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-1 $7.60 $1.60 27%
LAD-2   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $28.40 $22.40 373%
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-7 $167.40 $158.40 1760%
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6/8)-(3/7/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00  6-7-3 $153.80 $144.80 1609%
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-6 $60.50 $51.50 572%
LAD-3   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $5.60 $1.60 40%
    DD (3/7/6)-(3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $22.10 $16.10 268%
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/7/6)-(3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-6-3 $54.95 $45.95 511%
LAD-4   DD (3/2)-(3/7/2/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00  3-7 $27.60 $19.60 245%
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(3/2)-(3/7/2/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-3-7 $41.35 $29.35 245%
LAD-6   WIN (8/6/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $14.40 $6.40 80%
LAD-7   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.40 $1.40 23%
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-4 $11.70 $2.70 30%
    DD (8/6/1/9)-(2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-2 $35.80 $23.80 198%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   05/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:221 :451       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KING OF THE COURT 3 3 31½ 32   1½ 16½ (lorefice mat)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.50 53% 0.90 2.30 W
1  GLENN'S JUMPER 1 2 11 11   2½ 26½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 18% 4.60 0.70 P
6  LET IT B 5 1 21 21   32 312¾ (thompson kevin)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00 8.60  
2  WONDER RUN 2 5 55 58   56 413 (turner patti)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.00 7% 12.70 4.30  
4  HUG THE MUNNY 4 4 43 44   44 516¾ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 15.10  
SCR  TRIPPER JOHN               (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 119 6.00    
 
LAD-2   05/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:571         :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  AHIMAAZ 3 7 31 31½   1nk 12 (alberto anton)VARGAS P 122 20.00 5% 19.00 13.20 W
7  MARKETBOOK 4 3 42 43½   41½ 22 (beavin judy)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 20.00 8% 11.70 30.50 P
3  STREET ART 1 2 1½ 11½   2nk 33 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 67% 0.50 0.10 S
5  PREMIUM 2 1 2½ 21½   31 43½ (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 12.00 10.60  
10  JUDGMENTAL 7 4 56 57½   56½ 57¼ (cascio andrew)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.50 10.10  
9  BUTWAITTHERE'SMORE 6 5 66½ 67¾   66¾ 69½ (savoie sherman)BURNINGHAM J 122 15.00 39.50  
8  THIRSTY WIND 5 6 79½ 710¾   79¾ 719¼ (del erick)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 ★ 18.40  
SCR  BERNIE SPECIAL               (delahoussaye gle)ROSIER R 119 5.00    
SCR  BRIMESTONE KID               (west henry)GREEN AUBRIE 119 8.00    
SCR  FIREINTHESTORM               (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 117 4.00    
SCR  HONUS               (winslow janine)TORRES HUGO 117 12.00    
 
LAD-3   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  REDDINGANDLEE 2 4 49 46   41¼ 13¼ (ward ronnie)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.00 50% 1.00 1.80 W
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of INAWORD by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  SWIFT CUSTOM 3 3 33 21   11 23¼ (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.00 0.70  
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of PRONTO PRONTO by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
5  SPARKIN 4 1 21½ 33   31 311½ (villaf)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 6.60  
  (by EL DEAL out of WANNA CUDDLE by LEESTOWN)
6  JERSEY BE GOOD 5 2 11½ 11   21 417½ (tillis e)GREEN AUBRIE 124 3.50 ★ 13.20  
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of POINT LIBERTY by CACTUS RIDGE)
2  C P'S WILD FIRE 1 5 59 57   55¼ 529 (guzman adan)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 12.00 23% 3.40 10.60  
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of C C'S WILD FIRE by CHOOSING CHOICE)
SCR  POPPY T               (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 8.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of KYLIE'S CUTIE by PRIVATE VOW)
 
LAD-4   05/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CARLOS PUNCH 7 3 31½ 31   2nk 1¼ (broussard jer)LOZADA CARLOS 124 2.50 24% 3.10 2.60 W
9  OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW 9 4 52½ 52¼   4¾ 2¼ (duhon joseph)BARRERA J 119 3.50 11% 8.00 2.10 P
2  GTUONE BUCK 2 6 42½ 41¼   51¼ 33¼ (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00 17% 4.80 4.10 S
3  CUSTOM CRESCENT 3 2 21 2nk   3.2 44½ (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 4.00 27% 2.80 4.80  
4  LONE STAR MAX 4 8 810¼ 74¾   83¾ 55¾ (balderas alfon)GREEN AUBRIE 119 10.00 10.70  
8  CHIEFWEAVE 8 5 62¾ 62¾   63¼ 66¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 4.50 ★ 12.20  
1  LIT A SHUCK 1 1 11 1nk   1nk 76¾ (hatcher nat)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 8.00 19.90  
6  TOOCAN DANCE 6 7 74¼ 89¾   73¾ 88¼ (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 12.00 38.00  
5  A CROWN FOR BEAU 5 9 911¼ 914¾   913¾ 921¾ (smith charles )BURNINGHAM J 124 15.00 69.10  
 
LAD-5   05/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:132 1:402   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LAYLA'S SONG 2 4 31½ 1½ 14 18 116¼ (antwine mich)BARRERA J 119 2.00 0.30  
1  MISS ARKANSAS 1 3 54 56 47½ 28 216¼ (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 2.50 4.10  
5  MARK WITH AN E 4 1 11½ 2½ 24 310 320¾ (del erick)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00 12% 7.60 13.50 S
6  GOTTEMINABIND 5 2 21½ 32 34½ 416 434¾ (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 3.50 33% 2.00 5.90  
4  PENNIE'S MAGIC 3 5 43 44 511½ 520 546½ (melancon donald)TORRES HUGO 116 8.00 22% 3.60 14.30  
SCR  CAPELLA RED               (west patric)BALTHAZAR JARED 119 12.00    
 
LAD-6   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:122     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CERTIFIED GEM 8 3 1nk 1nk   12 13½ (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 38% 1.60 6.20 W
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of TRUE BREEZE by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  QUEEN OF THE MOON 7 10 96½ 63¾   32½ 23½ (antwine mich)BARRERA J 119 15.00 7.80  
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of IMPERIAL QUEEN by IMPERIALISM)
6  BITSY PERFECTMATCH 6 4 2nk 2nk   22 33¾ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00 19% 4.20 2.50 S
  (by CONGRATS out of BITSY'S C C by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS)
5  YOCKEY BETTERFLY 5 5 62¾ 53½   44½ 45¾ (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 10.00 5.80  
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of MISS MARIPOSA by ZARBYEV)
4  BEULAH K 4 2 86¼ 105   54½ 56½ (snodderly rhonda)STOKES J 119 6.00 ★ 8.60  
  (by TENPINS out of AHORITA by WOODMAN)
9  KISSTER 9 9 4¾ 74¼   76 68½ (ward ronnie)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 4.50 9% 9.90 4.40  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of KISS A YANKEE by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
1  NOT ALONE 1 1 106½ 94½   65½ 79½ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 124 8.00 11% 8.30 14.80  
  (by LONE STAR SPECIAL out of PRETTY NOT by SEFAPIANO)
2  CLEARANCE SALE 2 8 75¾ 84¼   88 813¼ (dunn hen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 15.00 45.00  
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of SALESPITCH by ARCH)
3  EVERYLITTLESINGH 3 6 3.2 3½   98¼ 913¾ (singh s)SINGH R 119 12.00 6.60  
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of PEAKABOO BRIDE by LANGFUHR)
10  LONG SHOT LOUISE 10 7 5¾ 41½   1010¼ 1018½ (dodson cliff)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 20.00 45.90  
  (by SASSICAIA out of IN COMMAND by SIPHON)
 
LAD-7   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MO BELLA 2 1 11 11   1nk 11 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 34% 1.90 2.70 W
4  DREAM TOWN 4 2 31½ 21   2nk 21 (rangel raul)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 6.00 ★ 2.30 P
1  VIOLA STAR 1 6 53½ 54½   41½ 32½ (husak j)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.00 1.40  
7  CUSTOM MAIDEN 7 3 42 32½   3½ 42¾ (washington ri)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00 42.10  
5  PAT HAND GIRL 5 7 75 75   62¾ 54½ (hargrave kenneth )SINGH R 122 2.50 24% 3.20 8.20  
6  KENYA STRIKE 6 4 65 65   52½ 68 (romero g)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 10.00 13% 6.60 23.00  
3  TWN MS MIDSHIP 3 5 21 43½   74¾ 715¾ (nixon w)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 13.90  
 
LAD-8   05/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:224 :461       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HE'S A BOMB 3 1 11 1½   1½ 13 (govea cesar)SINGH R 122 15.00 2.70  
9  D TWO 5 5 42½ 41   2½ 23 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 6.00 41% 1.50 1.30 P
8  MCLEAN 4 3 32 31   31 33¼ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 12.00 5.60  
4  SPECIAL BREED 2 4 21 2½   41½ 45½ (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00 26% 2.80 4.60  
1  PEPPER JACK 1 2 52½ 52   52½ 55¾ (govea cesar)BARRERA J 114 8.00 12% 7.40 4.40  
SCR  SATURDAY'S GOLD               (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 119 4.00    
SCR  SLITHER               (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
SCR  SPECTROLITE               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50    
SCR  TOUGH CHARLIE               (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 119 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.