Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - May 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.40 $4.40 73%
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-1 $14.20 $2.20 18%
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-1-4 $15.35 $12.35 412%
WRD-3   EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-2 $33.60 $15.60 87%
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-2-1 $26.75 $17.75 197%
    SFT (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 18 $0.10 $1.80  3-2-1-4 $12.61 $10.81 601%
    DD (1/3/4)-(3/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-3 $41.80 $23.80 132%
WRD-4   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-2 $27.80 $15.80 132%
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-2-5 $10.85 $7.85 262%
    DD (3/2/1)-(5/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-4 $20.80 $2.80 16%
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(3/2/1)-(5/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50  3-3/6-4 $39.20 $25.70 190%
WRD-5   PK4 (1/3/4)-(3/2/1)-(5/4/2)-(6/4/1) 81 $0.50 $40.50  3-3/6-4-6 $71.15 $30.65 76%
WRD-8   WIN (7/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $15.40 $7.40 93%
    EXA (7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/2/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00  8-7 $59.40 $27.40 86%
    TRI (7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/2/8)-(7/1/5/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-7-5 $41.85 $17.85 74%
Simulator Race results
 
WRD-1   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:224 :461 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WHIP 4 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 11¼ (hale james )WETHEY JR 121 2.00 ★ 1.30  
6  YOU SEXY BOY 6 2 31 31½   3½ 21¼ (moreno carlos)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 6.00 5.50  
3  RONALD DALE 3 4 44 42   2½ 31½ (davidson brent)KIMES C 118 3.00 20% 4.10 2.00 S
5  TOAH 5 3 2½ 2nk   41 44¼ (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 6.00 11% 8.30 6.10  
2  SEDARIS 2 5 59 56   53 56 (roberts j)TRIANA JR 118 2.50 46% 1.20 5.80  
1  CHARING CROSS 1 6 615 69   65 68¾ (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 118 20.00 53.10  
SCR  SPECTACTICAL               (gunter michael)LANDEROS C 118 20.00    
 
WRD-2   05/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:133     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RUBY THE DESTROYER 3 4 32 41½ 1nk 12 12 (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 3.00 23% 3.30 4.20 W
1  TOM'S GIRL 1 1 43 31½ 31½ 22 22 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 118 1.00 38% 1.60 0.40 P
4  HONEY CREEK 4 3 1nk 2½ 2nk 32 311 (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 118 5.00 13% 6.50 8.10 S
5  BILLIE BABY 5 5 56 54½ 53 44 411½ (ferrell jory)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 4.00 4.60  
2  LISA G 2 2 2nk 1½ 42½ 57 518¼ (mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 124 8.00 14.50  
 
WRD-3   05/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:22 :453       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SCARLET POSITION 3 6 54 53   31 1¾ (davidson )TRIANA JR 124 2.00 47% 1.10 1.90 W
2  LIGHTNING HART 2 1 11 1½   11 2¾ (dixon tim)KIMES C 121 5.00 14% 6.30 5.50 P
1  OKIE FRONT 1 3 42½ 31½   21 31½ (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 4.00 13% 6.80 3.60 S
4  CASINO QUEEN 4 2 21 2½   41½ 45¼ (biehler michael )BIRZER E 121 2.50 ★ 3.20  
7  WICKED STREET 6 4 32 42   52½ 55½ (hartman alex)JORDAN R 118 6.00 3.70  
5  SHESABIDFORMIDABLE 5 5 66 66   66½ 610 (johnston lane)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 12.00 14.60  
SCR  SHE'S A PLAYER               (coffey chester)SANCHEZ OBED 118 20.00    
 
WRD-4   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:231 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LACEY BOSS 4 2 31½ 11   13 13¾ (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 1.40 25% 3.00 2.80 W
2  SEA LEVEL 2 4 2nk 21   23 23¾ (biehler m)TRIANA JR 124 5.00 15% 5.70 2.50 P
5  CADI DEVILLE 5 3 53¼ 52¾   34½ 34¼ (luneack ther)JORDAN R 124 1.80 25% 2.90 2.30 S
1  ROME'S BURNING 1 5 41¾ 42½   45½ 48½ (ashford ray)BIRZER E 124 3.00 1.80  
3  ACERTIVE MISS 3 1 1nk 32½   55½ 59½ (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 15.00 30.20  
 
WRD-5   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SALADO 6 1 12 14   14 11¾ (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 1.40 45% 1.20 0.70 W
4  SWING WEST 4 4 33½ 24   24 21¾ (nelson a)BUTTERFLY L 121 5.00 23% 3.40 5.00 P
3  BROTHER AARON 3 6 59 46½   36 36¼ (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 2.00 1.90  
5  GRAB THE MUNNY 5 2 22 34½   46 47 (caldwell )TRIANA JR 121 12.00 27.00  
1  ELECTORAL 1 5 611 612   510 59¾ (ferrell jory)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 4.00 10% 8.80 11.60  
2  MAGIC CARPET 2 3 47½ 510½   610½ 613 (martin ste)ERAMIA E 124 15.00 37.10  
 
WRD-6   05/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:224 :464       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS M J 1 6 31½ 42   41 11¼ (davidson br)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 5.00 8.30  
4  PEPPERMINT SISTER 4 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 21¼ (biehler michael )BIRZER E 118 3.50 12% 7.50 2.30 P
3  SAILSINTHESUNSET 3 4 41¾ 3½   2½ 32 (roberts j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 4.00 8.30  
2  NOSTALGIA 2 5 1nk 2nk   31 44 (johnston lan)JORDAN R 121 1.80 27% 2.80 1.30  
5  SHA BLUSH 5 3 53¾ 56   59 525¾ (alexander theod)GOFF L 118 20.00 66.20  
6  C C THE BARTENDER 6 2 6100 6100   6100 6100 (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 3.00 37% 1.70 2.80  
 
WRD-7   05/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:144     1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ALTERNATE ABBY 8 4 31½ 3½ 1½ 1nk 11¼ (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 5.00 3.30  
2  YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN 2 3 1nk 1nk 31½ 2nk 21¼ (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 118 6.00 7.90  
6  GREEN LIGHT GIRL 6 8 56 55 42½ 3.2 34½ (ashford ra)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 4.00 9% 9.70 4.50 S
3  NAUGHTY NOELLE 3 2 88¾ 78½ 74½ 51¼ 44¾ (revels gear)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 8.00 ★ 13.10  
1  ENVEY N ICE 1 5 43 43½ 53½ 62¼ 55¾ (offolter s)LANDEROS C 124 8.00 16.50  
5  MS. MORENA 5 1 66½ 65½ 64½ 72¼ 68½ (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 18% 4.50 1.30  
7  NITRO NINA 7 6 2nk 2nk 2½ 4¾ 78¾ (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 3.50 46% 1.20 6.60  
4  JANE'S COURSE 4 7 78½ 810 812½ 817¼ 842¼ (revels geary)GOFF L 118 20.00 98.80  
 
WRD-8   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:223 :461 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CANONIZE (IRE) 8 2 74¾ 74¼   51¾ 11¼ (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50 5% 19.00 6.70 W
7  SWEET BAKER 7 5 41¼ 31   1nk 21¼ (craddock k)ERAMIA E 124 6.00 35% 1.90 1.40 P
5  LOVE MY RIDE 5 6 62¾ 52¼   41¼ 32½ (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 124 3.00 14% 5.90 2.30 S
6  STEPPIN SHEP 6 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 43¾ (williams alan)COLLIER T 124 20.00 63.80  
3  AVENGING WARRIOR 3 7 1nk 41¼   62¼ 54 (williams alan)BIRZER E 124 8.00 12.60  
4  DIXIELAND QUALITY 4 3 3.2 1nk   3.2 65¼ (caster boyd)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 6.00 12.10  
1  RAINBOW GOLD 1 8 51¾ 62¾   73¼ 77½ (ashford r)WETHEY JR 124 5.00 22% 3.60 18.90  
9  CRAFTY HEAT 9 1 86¼ 85¼   85¼ 88¾ (ashford ra)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00 ######  
2  LAVA BOMB 2 9 98¼ 910¼   913¼ 916¼ (offolter s)KIMES C 124 6.00 ★ 5.10  
 
WRD-9   05/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:222 :46       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KNIGHT DISRUPTOR 2 1 11 1½   1½ 1¼ (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 3.50 4.30  
3  WIN FOR FUN 3 4 31½ 31½   2½ 2¼ (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 4.00 3.70  
5  EURONTHEMONEY 5 6 54 53   31 31½ (davidson )TRIANA JR 124 5.00 8.30  
10  RIVER RULER 10 7 65 63½   72¾ 42 (padilla jua)WETHEY JR 124 10.00 19% 4.20 2.70  
6  AFLEET SNIPER 6 9 89 75½   52½ 52½ (pruitt jody )JORDAN R 124 3.00 23% 3.30 3.00  
8  TAG ME 8 2 43 42   62½ 63¼ (ferrell jory)BIRZER E 124 6.00 10.00  
9  REMEMBER ME TONY 9 8 910½ 98   95¾ 76 (morales a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 30.00 5% 19.00 64.30  
7  BURTNJOE 7 3 21 2½   41½ 86¼ (hale vic)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00 17% 4.70 18.00  
4  GONNA GETCHA 4 5 77 86½   83¾ 96¼ (stephens jer)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00 39.70  
1  OVER EZ 1 10 1012 109½   107¾ 1012 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 30.00 5% 19.00 73.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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