Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - May 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(1/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(1/3/4)-(3/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-2   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(3/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(3/2/1)-(5/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-3   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(5/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(5/4/2)-(6/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-4   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(6/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(6/4/1)-(6/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-5   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(6/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(6/2/4)-(7/5/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-6   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(7/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(7/5/6)-(7/1/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-7   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 18 $1.00 $9.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(7/1/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6)-(7/1/5/8)-(6/10/7/1/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-8   WIN (7/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/2/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/8)-(7/1/5/2/8)-(7/1/5/2/8) 48 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/5/8)-(6/10/7/1/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
WRD-9   WIN (6/10/7/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/7/1/9)-(6/10/7/1/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/10/7/1/9)-(6/10/7/1/9)-(6/10/7/1/9) 60 $1.00 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARING CROSS Apr24 Mar20 Dec15 Dec02 Nov22 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 118 20.00    
2  SEDARIS Dec08 Nov22 Oct21 Oct06 Jul12 (roberts j)TRIANA JR 118 2.50 46% 1.20    
3  RONALD DALE Apr24 Apr03 Mar20 Dec08 Nov25 (davidson brent)KIMES C 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
4  WHIP Mar06 Dec03 Nov25 Nov05 Jun27 (hale james )WETHEY JR 121 2.00 ★    
5  TOAH Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Dec08 Nov25 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 6.00 11% 8.30    
6  YOU SEXY BOY Apr03 Mar13 Dec17 Oct28 Oct05 (moreno carlos)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 6.00    
SCR  SPECTACTICAL Apr24 Mar28 Dec08 Nov14 Oct06 (gunter michael)LANDEROS C 118 20.00    
 
WRD-2   05/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOM'S GIRL Apr11 Mar20 Mar06 Nov30 Nov11 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 118 1.00 38% 1.60    
2  LISA G Apr11 Mar20 Mar06 Feb11 Jan16 (mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 124 8.00    
3  RUBY THE DESTROYER Apr11 Mar27 Mar06 Feb05 Dec14 (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  HONEY CREEK Apr11 Mar06 Feb11 Jan07 Sep30 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 118 5.00 13% 6.50    
5  BILLIE BABY Apr26 Apr05 Mar13     (ferrell jory)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 4.00    
 
WRD-3   05/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OKIE FRONT Mar27 Mar14 Dec17 Nov22 Oct21 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 4.00 13% 6.80    
2  LIGHTNING HART Apr03 Mar14 Feb17 Feb01 Dec17 (dixon tim)KIMES C 121 5.00 14% 6.30    
3  SCARLET POSITION Apr03 Mar21 Mar12 Jan21 Dec17 (davidson bre)MORA GERARDO 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
4  CASINO QUEEN Apr11 Mar21 Nov30 Nov12 Oct21 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 121 2.50 ★    
5  SHESABIDFORMIDABLE Apr11 Mar05 Feb12 Sep18 Sep09 (johnston lane)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 12.00    
SCR  SHE'S A PLAYER Apr04 Mar20 Jun13 May11 Apr19 (coffey chester)SANCHEZ OBED 118 20.00    
7  WICKED STREET Mar28 Mar03 Jan06 Dec17 Jul24 (hartman alex)JORDAN R 118 6.00    
 
WRD-4   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROME'S BURNING Feb25 Sep11 Aug21 Jul30 Jul09 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 124 3.00    
2  SEA LEVEL Dec07 Nov15 Oct01 Jun29 Jun11 (biehler m)TRIANA JR 124 5.00 15% 5.70    
3  ACERTIVE MISS Apr11 Mar21 Mar13 Dec14 Nov30 (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 15.00    
4  LACEY BOSS Mar27 Mar06 Nov22 Nov03 Oct19 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 124 1.40 25% 3.00    
5  CADI DEVILLE Mar20 Mar06 Apr19 Mar22   (luneack ther)JORDAN R 124 1.80 25% 2.90    
 
WRD-5   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELECTORAL Dec16 Nov18 Nov02 Oct01 Sep10 (ferrell jory)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 4.00 10% 8.80    
2  MAGIC CARPET Apr25 Apr12 Apr03 Mar20 Mar13 (martin ste)ERAMIA E 124 15.00    
3  BROTHER AARON Apr05 Mar20 Mar07 Feb11 Jan22 (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 124 2.00    
4  SWING WEST Apr17 Apr04 Mar08 Nov17 Nov02 (nelson a)BUTTERFLY L 121 5.00 23% 3.40    
5  GRAB THE MUNNY Apr12 Apr02 Mar12 Feb19 Jan08 (caldwell )TRIANA JR 121 12.00    
6  SALADO Apr01 Mar12 Feb10 Jan22 Jan14 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 1.40 45% 1.20    
 
WRD-6   05/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS M J Apr07 Mar18 Mar10 Feb12 Jan13 (davidson br)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 5.00    
2  NOSTALGIA Apr03 Mar21 Mar14 Feb26 Feb03 (johnston lan)JORDAN R 121 1.80 27% 2.80    
3  SAILSINTHESUNSET Apr10 Mar13 Feb12 Sep04 Aug20 (roberts j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 4.00    
4  PEPPERMINT SISTER Apr12 Mar28 Mar07 Dec08 Nov03 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 118 3.50 12% 7.50    
5  SHA BLUSH         (alexander theod)GOFF L 118 20.00    
6  C C THE BARTENDER Apr04 Mar21 Mar13 Feb18 Jan22 (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
WRD-7   05/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENVEY N ICE Apr10         (offolter s)LANDEROS C 124 8.00    
2  YOUNEEDTOCALMDOWN Apr12 Mar11 Feb10 Jan22 Dec15 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 118 6.00    
3  NAUGHTY NOELLE Apr24 Apr11 Mar11 Feb26 Dec15 (revels gear)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 8.00 ★    
4  JANE'S COURSE Mar13 Dec08       (revels geary)GOFF L 118 20.00    
5  MS. MORENA Apr26 Apr03 Mar27 Mar06 Dec15 (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  GREEN LIGHT GIRL Apr24 Apr10 Nov12 Oct19 Oct07 (ashford ra)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 4.00 9% 9.70    
7  NITRO NINA Apr24 Apr03       (williams )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
8  ALTERNATE ABBY Apr11 Mar27 Nov25 Nov04 Sep30 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 5.00    
 
WRD-8   05/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAINBOW GOLD Dec03 Nov05 Oct26 Oct01 Sep24 (ashford r)WETHEY JR 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
2  LAVA BOMB Nov04 Sep30 Sep09 Jul22 May24 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 6.00 ★    
3  AVENGING WARRIOR Dec03 Nov04 Oct05 Apr19 Apr05 (williams alan)BIRZER E 124 8.00    
4  DIXIELAND QUALITY Dec17 Nov22 Nov03 Oct07 Sep09 (caster boyd)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 6.00    
5  LOVE MY RIDE Dec14 Dec03 Nov25 Nov11 May24 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 124 3.00 14% 5.90    
6  STEPPIN SHEP Apr11 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug27 (williams alan)COLLIER T 124 20.00    
7  SWEET BAKER Apr04 Mar07 Nov15 Oct28 Sep29 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 124 6.00 35% 1.90    
8  CANONIZE (IRE) Dec14 Dec03 Oct28 Oct15 Sep29 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50 5% 19.00    
9  CRAFTY HEAT Dec29 Dec01 Sep03 Aug07 Jul23 (ashford ra)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00    
 
WRD-9   05/01/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OVER EZ Mar28 Feb11 Jan06 Nov22 Aug28 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  KNIGHT DISRUPTOR Apr12 Mar19 Feb19 Jan22 Aug29 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 3.50    
3  WIN FOR FUN Apr03 Mar20 Mar06 Feb10 Jan08 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 4.00    
4  GONNA GETCHA Apr12 Mar14 Jun27 Jun06 May18 (stephens jer)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00    
5  EURONTHEMONEY Dec08 Nov12 Oct13 Sep15 Aug20 (davidson )TRIANA JR 124 5.00    
6  AFLEET SNIPER Apr12 Mar28 Mar04 Jan27 Jan06 (pruitt jody )JORDAN R 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
7  BURTNJOE Apr12 Nov08 Sep28 Sep07 Jul11 (hale vic)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00 17% 4.70    
8  TAG ME Dec17 Oct26 Oct05 Sep28 Sep14 (ferrell jory)BIRZER E 124 6.00    
9  REMEMBER ME TONY Apr12 Mar28 Dec09 Nov22 Nov08 (morales a)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  RIVER RULER Apr12 Mar28 Mar14 Feb11 Jan08 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 124 10.00 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.