The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - March 21, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
WRD-1   03/21/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
:234 :484 1:151     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GOLDBRIDGE 2 4 43½ 31 2½ 11 1¾ (gladd andy)JORDAN R 124 0.80 17% 4.90 0.90 W
1  TREASURE COAST 1 3 1nk 1½ 1½ 21 2¾ (ashford ray)BIRZER E 118 1.00 59% 0.70 0.90 P
3  STAPLETON SONG 3 2 32 52½ 32 35 37¾ (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 12.00 ★ 7.20 S
5  CLINTON QUARINTINO 5 5 53¾ 41½ 44 415 422 (pruitt m)ROMAN KEVIN 118 15.00 ★ 20.20  
4  BARN SHARK 4 1 2nk 2½ 54 518 533½ (oberlander j)ERAMIA E 118 20.00 ★ 34.50  
 
WRD-2   03/21/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
:224 :463       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EURO TRACKING 6 1 11 1½   14 15¼ (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 2.00 17% 4.90 1.20 W
1  FORT NECESSITY 1 6 32 2½   24 25¼ (corderman scott)KIMES C 124 3.00 ★ 5.30 P
2  SWORD OF GOLD 2 5 67 55   36 36 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 124 2.50 45% 1.20 2.40 S
4  ROWDY GALE 4 4 56 66   411 412¼ (oberlander j)ERAMIA E 124 15.00 ★ 78.20  
7  TOMMY TSUNAMI 7 3 43 44   512 514½ (black maris)TRIANA JR 124 5.00 13% 6.70 10.90  
3  MISTER TYRO 3 2 21 32   612½ 617¼ (oberlander jesse)LINDSAY CHAD 118 12.00 27.80  
5  HORNS DOWN 5 7 717 731   737½ 749¼ (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00 4.20  
 
WRD-3   03/21/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
1:111         1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THETRUTHISTHETRUTH 3 3 1nk 1nk   11 11¾ (cogburn orr)TRIANA JR 121 2.00 22% 3.60 1.50 W
5  NOSTALGIA 5 1 3.2 2nk   21 21¾ (johnston lane )JORDAN R 124 3.00 ★ 2.60 P
1  SCARLET POSITION 1 4 2nk 3½   33 33 (davidson brent)MORA GERARDO 121 1.80 ★ 2.30 S
4  C C THE BARTENDER 4 5 42¼ 41½   46 47¼ (gladd andy)KIMES C 121 3.50 52% 0.90 4.00  
2  LIL DITTY'S KITTY 2 2 56¼ 511½   511 514½ (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 121 12.00 ★ 17.50  
 
WRD-4   03/21/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
:24 :484 1:151     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RAINBOWS ARE FREE 3 5 52 52 1nk 11 1¾ (caster boyd)KIMES C 124 4.00 ★ 2.80  
5  NORDIC QUEEN 5 1 2½ 2nk 2nk 21 2¾ (bravo francisc)JORDAN R 124 2.00 46% 1.20 2.20 P
6  SPELL FREEDOM 6 2 3½ 1nk 3.2 32 34¾ (caster boyd)BIRZER E 124 1.80 28% 2.60 0.90 S
2  TOSH 2 6 77½ 711 74¼ 49 410½ (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00 ★ 17.00  
4  MISS ARKANSAS 4 7 66 66 41¾ 512 514½ (dixon tim)WETHEY JR 118 12.00 20.40  
7  SPLITSECONDECISION 7 3 41 31 62¼ 615 617¼ (davis steve)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 12.00 ★ 37.00  
1  MISS CARMEN CIBO 1 4 1½ 41½ 52¼ 720 732 (bravo franc)TRIANA JR 118 15.00 42.10  
 
WRD-5   03/21/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
:222 :461       1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASINO QUEEN 1 4 12 12   1nk 1¼ (biehler e)BIRZER E 121 2.50 26% 2.90 2.10 W
8  EXCETERA 8 2 32 22   2nk 2¼ (ferrell jory)WETHEY JR 121 3.00 ★ 0.90 P
5  TAYLOR'S VISION 5 7 67¼ 56   34 36½ (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00 44% 1.30 8.00 S
3  ACERTIVE MISS 3 3 54¼ 67   45 47¾ (corderman sco)HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 14.40  
7  STRONG WOMAN 7 1 22 33   56 510¾ (davidson brent)KIMES C 121 5.00 16.90  
6  WIREWIREWIRE 6 8 810¾ 710   69 614½ (david ron)ERAMIA E 121 20.00 5% 19.00 32.00  
4  DAKAMO ROSE 4 5 42¼ 44½   710 720 (black maris)TRIANA JR 121 15.00 31.90  
2  CUPIDS LOVE 2 6 78¾ 811   813 821 (biehler michael )LINDSAY CHAD 121 6.00 9.80  
 
WRD-6   03/21/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
:223 :464 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DANCING DEVIL 3 2 2nk 11½   13 13 (hale vict)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 2.00 10% 8.70 1.50 W
4  BLUEGRASS BREEZE 4 1 1nk 21½   23 23 (black maris)TRIANA JR 124 3.50 17% 4.90 8.50 P
2  AQUIMINE 2 3 32 32½   34 35 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 124 1.60 47% 1.10 1.60 S
1  RACE DAY REBAL 1 4 43 44   46 48½ (williams j )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 3.00 ★ 1.90  
SCR  LYNN'S FOLLY               (chavira lu)BENN J 119 20.00 ★    
 
WRD-7   03/21/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
:222 :46       1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PAPA BILL 6 2 2½ 2nk   12 1¼ (oberlander j)ERAMIA E 118 3.00 47% 1.10 3.80 W
3  MAJESTIC LIAISON 3 7 65 42½   22 2¼ (corderman scott)SANCHEZ OBED 118 6.00 6% 15.20 12.40 P
1  BABY LIAISON 1 5 54 62¾   32 32 (gladd andy)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 4.00 13% 6.50 2.50 S
7  HAMMER DOWN 7 3 1½ 1nk   42½ 45 (brooks jimmy )HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 20.00 40.30  
2  TRUE DOMINUS 2 6 712 79¾   78¾ 59¼ (mitchell ralph)KIMES C 124 2.50 12% 7.60 1.00  
4  C C'S LEGACY 4 4 32½ 32   56½ 611¼ (young e)WETHEY JR 118 5.00 10.30  
5  AWESOME OUTLAW 5 1 42½ 52¾   68½ 712¾ (pruitt m)ROMAN KEVIN 118 5.00 ★ 17.70  
 
WRD-8   03/21/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
:24 :48 1:133     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTARY 1 2 73¾ 52½ 41¼ 2½ 11¾ (mason ingrid)WALES T 124 3.00 ★ 1.50  
7  THOUGHT 7 1 2nk 2½ 1nk 1½ 21¾ (black maris)TRIANA JR 124 4.00 42% 1.40 3.20 P
2  HAPPY ROMANCE 2 7 41¼ 1½ 3.2 31 33½ (buehrer mark )WETHEY JR 121 10.00 6.20  
6  GOSPEL MUSKETEER 6 10 96¾ 97¾ 94 73¾ 46 (williams steve )PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00 55.70  
8  INCA EMPIRE 8 5 62¾ 73¼ 51¼ 53½ 56½ (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00 27% 2.70 22.20  
9  POKER PLAY 9 3 31 41 2nk 42½ 68¼ (caster boyd)KIMES C 124 15.00 11.30  
10  SMOKING GUN 10 6 52¾ 63 61½ 63½ 79¾ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 12.00 5% 19.00 23.50  
4  NOMOREMRNICEGUY 4 8 84¾ 86¼ 82 85¾ 811½ (sneed todd)LANDEROS C 124 20.00 43.40  
5  GUNNER PAUL 5 9 107¼ 108¾ 108 107¼ 918 (caldwell r)COLLIER T 121 3.50 ★ 8.20  
3  BIG SKIPPER 3 4 1nk 3½ 72 96¾ 1022 (luneack theres)JORDAN R 124 5.00 6.10  
 
WRD-9   03/21/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
:223 :461       1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ROMANCER 3 6 68½ 66¼   32 11¼ (johnston lane)STILLION BROOKE 124 6.00 38% 1.60 5.60 W
6  FREER 6 2 1nk 2nk   1nk 21¼ (stephens jerry)JORDAN R 124 2.00 10% 9.50 3.30 P
8  ROBERT'S GHOST 8 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 31¼ (gladd andy)ROMAN KEVIN 124 3.00 2.70  
7  ELUSIVE FREUD 7 3 42½ 32   42½ 41¾ (corderman scott)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00 28.90  
4  MAJOR GRIFFIN 4 4 54½ 54¼   54½ 55 (camillo angel)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 20.00 ★ 18.00  
1  RUNQUIETLY 1 8 710 78¼   67½ 66¾ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 124 3.50 13% 6.50 2.40  
2  PISSARRO'S MANDATE 2 5 31½ 42¼   79½ 711 (gladd andy)KIMES C 124 5.00 9% 10.10 4.80  
5  WHO'S BIG DADDY 5 7 814 813¼   839½ 844 (stephens jerry)LINDSAY CHAD 124 20.00 41.80  
 
WRD-10   03/21/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:35
:223 :453 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MIRANDEN 4 1 11 12   14 11½ (young e)WETHEY JR 124 1.40 72% 0.40 0.50 W
3  HOPGUN 2 6 42½ 33   24 21½ (lee mark)ROMAN KEVIN 124 15.00 63.00  
7  JUST OKIE 6 4 63 44   37 37¾ (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 118 6.00 ★ 16.70 S
9  GOSPEL TRUTH 8 2 31½ 54   58½ 410¾ (williams f)KIMES C 124 20.00 43.50  
1  MINGUS 1 7 52½ 64¼   69 513¼ (biehler mic)TRIANA JR 118 12.00 27.30  
8  CRAZY LOVER 7 3 73¼ 76¼   711 613¼ (moreno carlos)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 12.00 ★ 6.50  
4  BIG CITY BOY 3 9 21 22   47½ 713¾ (hartman alex)JORDAN R 124 4.00 ★ 2.80  
6  FURIOUS AVENGER 5 8 87¼ 810¼   815 817 (biehler e)BIRZER E 118 6.00 ★ 31.40  
10  PRAIRIE DOLLAR 9 5 98¾ 910¼   915 917¼ (rodriguez marti)BAILEY CHEL-C 119 20.00 45.80  
SCR  CIMARRON SAND               (bravo francisco)LINDSAY CHAD 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.