Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fonner Park
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-3   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $14.00 $8.00 133%
FON-4   WIN (3/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $21.20 $13.20 165%
    EXA (3/5/7/1)-(3/5/7/1/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  1-7 $54.00 $22.00 69%
FON-7   WIN (5/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $8.80 $0.80 10%
FON-8   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $10.40 $4.40 73%
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-5 $100.60 $76.60 319%
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/2/6)-(3/4/5/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00  4-5-2 $114.30 $78.30 218%
    SFT (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/2/6)-(3/4/5/2/6)-(3/4/5/2/6) 72 $0.10 $7.20  4-5-2-3 $7.97 $0.77 11%

Simulator Race results

 
FON-1   03/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:231 :354       :471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OGA BEAR 1 1 11     13 1 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 29% 2.40 0.90 W
RUNNING JESSE 5 4 3     3 2 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 4.15  
POVERTY FLATS 6 6 69     610 3 (stankey janna)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 7% 12.40 16.45 S
MOONSHINE MAX 3 3 54     56 4 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 19% 4.40 3.20  
LAST APPEAL 4 2 21     23 58 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 4.50 8% 10.80 6.80  
PICTURE ME CLASSY 2 5 4     4 6 (lamber)FLETCHER D 125 6.00 15% 5.50 10.15  
 
FON-2   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:02     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE LETTERS 3 5 5 4   1½ 1 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 5.70  
COLD SNACK THIRTY 2 2 3 32   41 2 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 14% 6.20 5.95 P
JONATHAN WHO 4 4 21 2nk   3½ 3 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 1.95 S
NORTH SIDE 5 1 11 1nk   2½ 4 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 4.95  
LITTLE TOE 1 3 6 6   6 5 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 32% 2.10 2.30  
MOST AMUSING 6 6 4 5   5 6 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 6.00 28% 2.60 7.00  
 
FON-3   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:034     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RABBIT TWENTY TWO 1 1 11 2nk   1nk 1hd (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 5.00 12% 7.10 6.00 W
  (by AWESOME OF COURSE out of EXAGGERATE by CAT THIEF)
RIO LADY 5 2 21 1nk   2nk 2hd (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.40 60% 0.70 0.90 P
  (by GORMLEY out of FASCINO by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
FIRST RATE ROMANCE 2 4 4 33   34 3 (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00 5.10  
  (by TARPY'S SURPRISE out of ROMANTIC MUSIC by OUTFLANKER)
AUNT CARI 3 6 5 44   4 4 (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 121 8.00 8.60  
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of NEVER ENDS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SMART ACT 6 3 33 55   5 513¼ (hawley joe)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 11.60  
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of JUST AN ACT by NOACTOR)
HAPPY QUEST 4 5 7 610   611¼ 613¼ (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 5.10  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CONQUEST DYNASTY by COURT VISION)
NAUGHTY NOELLE 7 7 6 713   714¼ 714½ (revels geary)CARDOSO DAVID 121 8.00 15.00  
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of NAUGHTY EXPRESSION by WESTERN EXPRESSION)
SCR  KENZIE LOU               (martin)FLETCHER D 125 6.00 7% 14.10    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of GRACEFULLY DONE by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
 
FON-4   03/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:233 :354       :473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG CALI GIRL 1 3 1nk     1½ 12 (ecoffey g)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 12% 7.10 9.60 W
CHAOS MAGIC 6 2 2nk     2½ 22 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 14% 6.10 1.00 P
PRAIRIE FIREBALL 5 1 5     5 3 (lembur)FLETCHER D 125 8.00 10.80  
SISTER SHIRLEY 3 5 3.2     3 4 (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 3.00 3.60  
ANGIE'S REVRAC 4 4 4     4 510 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 6.00 18% 4.50 3.60  
SANDPLUM CREEK 2 6 6     6 611¼ (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 7.00  
SCR  GRAND EXPECTATIONS               (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
FON-5   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:021     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIARD HONOR 6 1 1 1   12 15 (compton r)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 1.90  
UNUNDERSTANDABLE 4 6 5 32   22 25 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 9% 9.80 4.40 P
LOVE TO LEARN 1 4 67 42   34 3 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 14% 6.00 4.30 S
PRINCESSOFCHITOWN 5 5 3 5   57 4 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00 7.05  
DIXIE PENNY 3 2 4 6   47 5 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 20% 3.90 2.85  
ALWAYS A TIZ 2 3 2 2   6 613½ (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 3.50 34% 1.90 7.15  
 
FON-6   03/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
1:201         1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLD TRAFFORD 2 2 3 3   2½ 11 (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 3.50  
PARLAY PETE 3 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 22% 3.50 1.10 P
GOLD NOTE 1 3 6 5   4 3 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 17% 4.80 5.00 S
MR. WALSH 5 4 2½ 2nk   32 4 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 125 8.00 17% 4.90 7.90  
SILVER MAKER 6 6 5 6   5 58 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 11% 8.30 5.30  
HOLIDAY JOKE 4 5 4 4   6 623 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00 8% 10.80 10.30  
SCR  FINDING SILVER               (ecoffey gilber)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
 
FON-7   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:011     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HULEN 1 3 11 1½   1½ 1 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 2.00 DH
LOVETHATCAUSE 3 2 3 32   2½ 1 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 23% 3.40 3.40 W
LARCH 6 5 5 53   42 3 (mitzner ronald)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 7.85 S
TOP OF THE GAME 5 6 6 43   3 4 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 32% 2.10 9.75  
GOOSE DRANK WINE 2 4 45 64   6 5 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 14% 6.00 4.05  
RETALIATED 7 1 21 2½   5 611¼ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50 5% 19.00 4.40  
YHA YHA 4 7 7 79   714½ 717 (childs g)RAMOS B 125 15.00 11.85  
 
FON-8   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Orphan Kist Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:013     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P R ODDS SETTER 4 2 25 33   1nk 1¼ (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.00 29% 2.40 4.20 W
  (by GOLD SCHLEIGER out of A WISH FOR MY LADY by PIKEPASS)
TELLITTOTHEJUDGE 5 6 48 45   4 2¼ (bliss dean)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 6.00 10% 8.60 7.35 P
  (by JUDGE BILL out of LIMEFUHR by LIMEHOUSE)
QUEENSCABALLO 2 4 36 23   3½ 3 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 3.00 S
  (by EL CABALLO out of INCLUDING MARY by INCLUDE)
JUDGE ON THE RUN 3 3 711 68   5 4 (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.00 37% 1.70 1.80  
  (by JUDGE BILL out of RETRO RUNNER by CHEROKEE RUN)
ZIBBY TOO 7 7 5 56   67 5 (anderson c)RAMOS B 122 12.00 7.45  
  (by UNKNOWN out of REEL DEDICATED by REEL ON REEL)
MAYZEE 6 1 15 13   2nk 6 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 120 8.00 8.75  
  (by MUNNINGS out of RARE CRYSTAL by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
JUST LUCK 1 5 610 79   7 7 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00 10.60  
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of BRIDAL TRAIN by SILVER TRAIN)
 
FON-9   03/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:222 :35       :461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LION HEART LEGEND 9 1 12     15 15 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 2.00  
THREE TIME CHARMER 5 3 22     25 25 (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 11.55  
SUBSCRIPTION 2 5 32     35 3 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 27% 2.70 3.50 S
GIANT GAMBLE 1 7 5     4 4 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 7% 13.40 5.05  
FLY FIRST CLASS 4 2 43     57 5 (arceo salvador)RAMOS B 125 6.00 16% 5.10 9.80  
DAVE 6 8 8     7 610 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 4.40  
GEE WHIZ WHO 8 4 64     8 710¾ (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00 17.25  
CHERUBIM 3 6 75     6 811 (radford raymo)FACKLER CHRIS 125 20.00 6% 16.10 20.65  
CARPE VICTORIAM 7 9 9     9 912 (donlin larry)BETHKE A 125 4.50 19% 4.20 18.30  
 
FON-10   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:51
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:02     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIRTUALLY 2 5 910½ 69   75 1 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 13% 6.40 3.80 W
FABULOSITY 4 2 12 12   11 2 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50 28% 2.60 1.70 P
RAINBOW DASH 5 10 1011½ 811   8 3 (dieter dalton)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00 14.95  
WUMPMUG 3 3 3 22   21 4 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00 21.70  
FLIRTATIOUS SMILE 8 8 44 43   31 5 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 11.75  
RETRO RITA 1 4 67 710   6 6 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00 13% 6.60 5.85  
DOLLY DIMPLE 6 6 22 3   43 7 (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 11% 8.40 9.70  
WOW WOW ITS MAGIC 9 7 55 57   54 811¼ (dunlap m)RAMOS B 125 6.00 9% 9.90 15.70  
MOONSHINE LILY 7 1 78 912   910½ 915½ (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 7.85  
10  SURELY A LEGEND 10 9 8 1012½   1025½ 1045½ (donlin d)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 20.00 19.15  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.