The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Fonner Park
Saturday - March 11, 2023

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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FON-1   03/11/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
:231 :354       :471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OGA BEAR 1 1 11     13 1(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 29% 2.40 0.90 W
RUNNING JESSE 5 4 3     32(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 4.15  
POVERTY FLATS 6 6 69     610 3(stankey jannae)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 7% 12.40 16.45 S
MOONSHINE MAX 3 3 54     56 4(gonzalez is)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 19% 4.40 3.20  
LAST APPEAL 4 2 21     23 58 (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.50 8% 10.80 6.80  
PICTURE ME CLASSY 2 5 4     46(lambert )FLETCHER D 125 6.00 15% 5.50 10.15  
 
FON-2   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
:241 :474 1:02     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE LETTERS 3 5 5 4   1½ 1(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 5.70  
COLD SNACK THIRTY 2 2 3 32   41 2(hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 14% 6.20 5.95 P
JONATHAN WHO 4 4 21 2nk   3½ 3(arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 1.95 S
NORTH SIDE 5 1 11 1nk   2½ 4(condon schu)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 4.95  
LITTLE TOE 1 3 6 6   65(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 32% 2.10 2.30  
MOST AMUSING 6 6 4 5   56(anderson c)RAMOS B 125 6.00 28% 2.60 7.00  
 
FON-3   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
:251 :493 1:034     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RABBIT TWENTY TWO 1 1 11 2nk   1nk 1hd (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 5.00 12% 7.10 6.00 W
RIO LADY 5 2 21 1nk   2nk 2hd (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.40 60% 0.70 0.90 P
FIRST RATE ROMANCE 2 4 4 33   34 3(dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00 5.10  
AUNT CARI 3 6 5 44   44(lemburg mar)MEDINA ANGEL 121 8.00 8.60  
SMART ACT 6 3 33 55   5513¼ (hawley joe)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 11.60  
HAPPY QUEST 4 5 7 610   611¼ 613¼ (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 5.10  
NAUGHTY NOELLE 7 7 6 713   714¼ 714½ (revels geary)CARDOSO DAVID 121 8.00 15.00  
SCR  KENZIE LOU               (martinez)FLETCHER D 125 6.00 7% 14.10    
 
FON-4   03/11/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
:233 :354       :473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG CALI GIRL 1 3 1nk     1½ 12 (ecoffey gil)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 12% 7.10 9.60 W
CHAOS MAGIC 6 2 2nk     2½ 22 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 14% 6.10 1.00 P
PRAIRIE FIREBALL 5 1 5     53(lemburg )FLETCHER D 125 8.00 10.80  
SISTER SHIRLEY 3 5 3.2     34(thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 3.00 3.60  
ANGIE'S REVRAC 4 4 4     4510 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 6.00 18% 4.50 3.60  
SANDPLUM CREEK 2 6 6     6611¼ (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 7.00  
SCR  GRAND EXPECTATIONS               (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
FON-5   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
:242 :483 1:021     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIARD HONOR 6 1 1 1   12 15 (compton r)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 1.90  
UNUNDERSTANDABLE 4 6 5 32   22 25 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 9% 9.80 4.40 P
LOVE TO LEARN 1 4 67 42   34 3(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 14% 6.00 4.30 S
PRINCESSOFCHITOWN 5 5 3 5   57 4(martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00 7.05  
DIXIE PENNY 3 2 4 6   47 5(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 20% 3.90 2.85  
ALWAYS A TIZ 2 3 2 2   6613½ (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 3.50 34% 1.90 7.15  
 
FON-6   03/11/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
1:201         1:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLD TRAFFORD 2 2 3 3   2½ 11 (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 3.50  
PARLAY PETE 3 1 1½ 1nk   1½ 21 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 22% 3.50 1.10 P
GOLD NOTE 1 3 6 5   43(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 17% 4.80 5.00 S
MR. WALSH 5 4 2½ 2nk   32 4(rushton stacy)RAMOS B 125 8.00 17% 4.90 7.90  
SILVER MAKER 6 6 5 6   558 (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 11% 8.30 5.30  
HOLIDAY JOKE 4 5 4 4   6623 (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00 8% 10.80 10.30  
SCR  FINDING SILVER               (ecoffey gilbert )ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
 
FON-7   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
:24 :48 1:011     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HULEN 1 3 11 1½   1½ 1(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 2.00 DH
LOVETHATCAUSE 3 2 3 32   2½ 1(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 23% 3.40 3.40 W
LARCH 6 5 5 53   42 3(mitzner ronald)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 7.85 S
TOP OF THE GAME 5 6 6 43   34(black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 32% 2.10 9.75  
GOOSE DRANK WINE 2 4 45 64   65(rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 14% 6.00 4.05  
RETALIATED 7 1 21 2½   5611¼ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50 5% 19.00 4.40  
YHA YHA 4 7 7 79   714½ 717 (childs g)RAMOS B 125 15.00 11.85  
 
FON-8   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Orphan Kist Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
:242 :481 1:013     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P R ODDS SETTER 4 2 25 33   1nk 1¼ (wise jason)MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.00 29% 2.40 4.20 W
TELLITTOTHEJUDGE 5 6 48 45   42¼ (bliss dean)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 6.00 10% 8.60 7.35 P
QUEENSCABALLO 2 4 36 23   3½ 3(anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 3.00 S
JUDGE ON THE RUN 3 3 711 68   54(compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.00 37% 1.70 1.80  
ZIBBY TOO 7 7 5 56   67 5(anderson c)RAMOS B 122 12.00 7.45  
MAYZEE 6 1 15 13   2nk 6(bethke a)BETHKE A 120 8.00 8.75  
JUST LUCK 1 5 610 79   77(anderson davi)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00 10.60  
 
FON-9   03/11/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
:222 :35       :461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LION HEART LEGEND 9 1 12     15 15 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 2.00  
THREE TIME CHARMER 5 3 22     25 25 (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 11.55  
SUBSCRIPTION 2 5 32     35 3(anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 27% 2.70 3.50 S
GIANT GAMBLE 1 7 5     44(donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 7% 13.40 5.05  
FLY FIRST CLASS 4 2 43     57 5(arceo salvador)RAMOS B 125 6.00 16% 5.10 9.80  
DAVE 6 8 8     7610 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 4.40  
GEE WHIZ WHO 8 4 64     8710¾ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00 17.25  
CHERUBIM 3 6 75     6811 (radford raymond)FACKLER CHRIS 125 20.00 6% 16.10 20.65  
CARPE VICTORIAM 7 9 9     9912 (donlin d)BETHKE A 125 4.50 19% 4.20 18.30  
 
FON-10   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:51
:24 :48 1:02     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIRTUALLY 2 5 910½ 69   75 1(rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 13% 6.40 3.80 W
FABULOSITY 4 2 12 12   11 2(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50 28% 2.60 1.70 P
RAINBOW DASH 5 10 1011½ 811   83(dieter dalton)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00 14.95  
WUMPMUG 3 3 3 22   21 4(condon schu)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00 21.70  
FLIRTATIOUS SMILE 8 8 44 43   31 5(condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 11.75  
RETRO RITA 1 4 67 710   66(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00 13% 6.60 5.85  
DOLLY DIMPLE 6 6 22 3   43 7(bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 11% 8.40 9.70  
WOW WOW ITS MAGIC 9 7 55 57   54 811¼ (dunlap m)RAMOS B 125 6.00 9% 9.90 15.70  
MOONSHINE LILY 7 1 78 912   910½ 915½ (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 7.85  
10  SURELY A LEGEND 10 9 8 1012½   1025½ 1045½ (donlin d)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 20.00 19.15  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.