Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - March 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (1/3/2/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/4/6)-(1/3/2/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/4/6)-(1/3/2/4/6)-(1/3/2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/2/4/6)-(1/6/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
FON-2   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2/4/5)-(1/6/2/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2)-(5/1)-(5/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/4/7)-(5/1/4/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FON-4   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1/2)-(5/7/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-5   WIN (2/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/4/6)-(2/3/1/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1/4)-(3/1/5/7/4)-(5/3/2/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
FON-6   WIN (3/1/5/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/7/4)-(3/1/5/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/7/4)-(3/1/5/7/4)-(3/1/5/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FON-7   WIN (5/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/7)-(5/3/2/6/7)-(5/3/2/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-8   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5/2/6)-(3/4/5/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(2/7/4/1/3)-(4/2/1/6/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
FON-9   WIN (2/7/4/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/1/3)-(2/7/4/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/1/3)-(2/7/4/1/3)-(2/7/4/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/4/1/3)-(4/2/1/6/9) 25 $2.00 $50.00 
FON-10   WIN (4/2/1/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/6/9)-(4/2/1/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/6/9)-(4/2/1/6/9)-(4/2/1/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   03/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OGA BEAR Feb23 Jan27 Jan13 Dec27 Dec16 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 29% 2.40    
2  PICTURE ME CLASSY Jun27         (lamber)FLETCHER D 125 6.00 15% 5.50    
3  MOONSHINE MAX Feb19 Feb12 Jan13 Dec30 Dec08 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 19% 4.40    
4  LAST APPEAL         (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 4.50 8% 10.80    
5  RUNNING JESSE Feb19 Feb12 Sep11 Aug27 Jul04 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00    
6  POVERTY FLATS Sep15 Aug27 Aug18 Jul04 Jun18 (stankey janna)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 7% 12.40    
 
FON-2   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE TOE Feb19 Feb11 Oct13 Jul11 Jun18 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
2  COLD SNACK THIRTY Feb18 Feb11 Sep04 Aug12 Jul25 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 14% 6.20    
3  CREATIVE LETTERS Feb11 Jan04 Nov18 Oct22 Aug15 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00    
4  JONATHAN WHO Feb16 Jan18 Jan04 Nov12 Jun23 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 ★    
5  NORTH SIDE Feb25 Feb11 Jan29 Jan06 Dec16 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 ★    
6  MOST AMUSING Feb18 Oct01 Sep12 Aug01 Jul05 (anderson c)RAMOS B 125 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
FON-3   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RABBIT TWENTY TWO Feb25 Jun12 May28 Apr29 Apr08 (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 5.00 12% 7.10    
  (by AWESOME OF COURSE out of EXAGGERATE by CAT THIEF)
2  FIRST RATE ROMANCE Feb26 Feb17 Jan28 Dec09   (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 10.00    
  (by TARPY'S SURPRISE out of ROMANTIC MUSIC by OUTFLANKER)
3  AUNT CARI Feb24 Jan29 Jan08 Dec09   (lemburg m)MEDINA ANGEL 121 8.00    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of NEVER ENDS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  HAPPY QUEST Feb26 Feb12 Dec30 Dec02   (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50 ★    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CONQUEST DYNASTY by COURT VISION)
5  RIO LADY Jan06 Dec14 Nov11 Sep27 Sep06 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 1.40 60% 0.70    
  (by GORMLEY out of FASCINO by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  KENZIE LOU Sep30 Sep18 Sep03 Aug18 Aug11 (martin)FLETCHER D 125 6.00 7% 14.10    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of GRACEFULLY DONE by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
7  SMART ACT Sep26 Sep12 Sep05 Aug15   (hawley joe)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 ★    
  (by OCEAN KNIGHT out of JUST AN ACT by NOACTOR)
8  NAUGHTY NOELLE Feb26 Dec15 Dec08     (revels geary)CARDOSO DAVID 121 8.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of NAUGHTY EXPRESSION by WESTERN EXPRESSION)
 
FON-4   03/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG CALI GIRL Feb24 Feb10 Jul03 Jun17 May29 (ecoffey g)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 12% 7.10    
2  SANDPLUM CREEK Feb25 Feb11 Dec16 Nov18 Oct28 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 ★    
SCR  GRAND EXPECTATIONS Feb10 Dec29 Dec08 Oct04 Sep11 (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
4  SISTER SHIRLEY Feb24 Feb10 Apr03 Mar20 Mar11 (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 3.00    
5  ANGIE'S REVRAC Sep26 Sep13 Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 (muckey john)RAMOS B 125 6.00 18% 4.50    
6  PRAIRIE FIREBALL Feb24 Feb10 Jul22 Jun12 May28 (lembur)FLETCHER D 125 8.00    
7  CHAOS MAGIC Feb17 Jan19 Dec27 Dec14 Dec02 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 14% 6.10    
 
FON-5   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE TO LEARN Feb17 Feb11 Jan13 Dec14 Nov05 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 14% 6.00    
2  ALWAYS A TIZ Feb25 Feb11 Nov15 Oct04 Sep25 (ibanez alberto)RAMOS B 125 3.50 34% 1.90    
3  DIXIE PENNY Feb23 Dec30 Dec17 Nov26 Nov12 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 20% 3.90    
4  UNUNDERSTANDABLE Feb17 Dec30 Dec02 Oct30 Oct04 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 9% 9.80    
5  PRINCESSOFCHITOWN Feb17 Sep19 Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00    
6  JULIARD HONOR Feb17 Dec14 Nov30 Nov12 Oct21 (compton r)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 ★    
 
FON-6   03/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD NOTE Feb19 Feb11 Jan11 Nov16 Oct14 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 17% 4.80    
2  OLD TRAFFORD Feb25 Feb11 Dec16 Dec09 Nov25 (wise jason)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50    
3  PARLAY PETE Feb25 Feb11 Jan05 Dec21 Nov05 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80 22% 3.50    
4  HOLIDAY JOKE Mar04 Jun10 May21 May07 Apr23 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00 8% 10.80    
5  MR. WALSH Feb24 Feb10 Jan27 Nov30 Nov14 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 125 8.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  FINDING SILVER Mar04 Feb11 Dec16 Dec03 Oct28 (ecoffey gilber)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
7  SILVER MAKER Feb19 Sep11 Aug23 Aug01 Jul17 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 11% 8.30    
 
FON-7   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HULEN Mar04 Feb11 Jan05 Dec17 Nov30 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00    
2  GOOSE DRANK WINE Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 Aug08 Aug01 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 14% 6.00    
3  LOVETHATCAUSE Feb25 Jan26 Jan05 Dec21 Nov30 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  YHA YHA Feb18 Oct03 Apr06 Mar14 Feb02 (childs g)RAMOS B 125 15.00    
5  TOP OF THE GAME Feb26 Sep25 Sep08 Jul04 Jun11 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 5.00 32% 2.10    
6  LARCH Feb25 Feb11 Dec16 Nov22 Nov03 (mitzner ronald)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 ★    
7  RETALIATED Feb11 Nov30 Nov23 Oct20 Sep29 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
FON-8   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Orphan Kist Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST LUCK Feb17 Aug30 Jul25 Jul03 Jun12 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of BRIDAL TRAIN by SILVER TRAIN)
2  QUEENSCABALLO Feb26 Feb12 Jul17 Jun18 May13 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 ★    
  (by EL CABALLO out of INCLUDING MARY by INCLUDE)
3  JUDGE ON THE RUN Feb26 Feb12 Jun11 May21 Mar19 (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 122 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by JUDGE BILL out of RETRO RUNNER by CHEROKEE RUN)
4  P R ODDS SETTER Feb26 Feb12 May21 Mar19 Feb20 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by GOLD SCHLEIGER out of A WISH FOR MY LADY by PIKEPASS)
5  TELLITTOTHEJUDGE Mar03 Feb17 Jun18 May29 May13 (bliss dean)MCNEIL BRYAN 120 6.00 10% 8.60    
  (by JUDGE BILL out of LIMEFUHR by LIMEHOUSE)
6  MAYZEE Feb26 Feb12 Jun19 May07 Apr22 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 120 8.00 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of RARE CRYSTAL by BRIGHT LAUNCH)
7  ZIBBY TOO Feb26 Feb12 Jun11 May21 May07 (anderson c)RAMOS B 122 12.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of REEL DEDICATED by REEL ON REEL)
 
FON-9   03/11/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIANT GAMBLE Feb25 Feb11 Sep07 Aug11 Jul14 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 7% 13.40    
2  SUBSCRIPTION Feb19 Jun12 May28 May14 Apr30 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 27% 2.70    
3  CHERUBIM Feb25 Oct04 Oct01 Aug29 Aug23 (radford raymo)FACKLER CHRIS 125 20.00 6% 16.10    
4  FLY FIRST CLASS Feb25 Feb11 Sep04 Jul25 Jul15 (arceo )FLETCHER D 125 6.00 16% 5.10    
5  THREE TIME CHARMER Feb25 Feb11 Nov04 Oct02 Sep04 (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00    
6  DAVE Sep19 Aug09 Jun19 May20 Apr23 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
7  CARPE VICTORIAM Jun18 Jun05 Feb23 Jan22 Jan05 (donlin larry)BETHKE A 125 4.50 19% 4.20    
8  GEE WHIZ WHO Oct01 Aug23 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00    
9  LION HEART LEGEND Feb25 Jan18 Dec28 Nov30 Nov10 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.80    
 
FON-10   03/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RETRO RITA Feb24 Nov25 Oct28 Aug12   (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00 13% 6.60    
2  VIRTUALLY Feb25 Sep16 Aug10 Jun24   (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 13% 6.40    
3  WUMPMUG Feb25 Feb11 Sep19 Aug12 Jul10 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00    
4  FABULOSITY Feb25 Dec19 Nov18 Nov06 Oct01 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
5  RAINBOW DASH Feb18 Sep24 Aug28 May20   (dieter)FLETCHER D 125 10.00    
6  DOLLY DIMPLE Feb25 Feb11 Jun09 May06 Mar27 (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 11% 8.40    
7  MOONSHINE LILY Feb26 Feb12 Nov22 Aug14 Jun18 (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00    
8  FLIRTATIOUS SMILE Sep19 Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jul10 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
9  WOW WOW ITS MAGIC Feb12 Dec09 Nov07 Oct12 Sep21 (dunlap m)RAMOS B 125 6.00 9% 9.90    
10  SURELY A LEGEND Feb10 Sep07 Aug27 Jul31 Jul07 (donlin d)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.