Handicappers' Race Results

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Fonner Park
Friday - February 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FON-1   Win (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
FON-2   Win (1/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
FON-3   Win (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
FON-4   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
FON-5   Win (4/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $20.80  
FON-6   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $6.00  

Simulator Race results

 
FON-1   02/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:23 :353       :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOYOUKNOWMYNAME 1 3 1nk     14 1 (lambert joanna)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 2.00 12% 7.30 2.90 W
R SERENGETI 3 4 3.2     3 2 (martinez kelli)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 11% 8.50 6.85 P
LAMELO 5 1 4¼     4 3 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 2.20 S
GENES FEATHER 2 5 2nk     24 4 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 6.90  
GAON FLAG (KOR) 4 2 5     5 510 (chavez juan)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 47% 1.10 1.45  
 
FON-2   02/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:23 :361       :473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALE OF A STORM 5 1 1nk     2nk 1 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 12% 7.60 1.80 W
GETTINHOT'NHERE 3 2 2nk     1nk 2 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 17% 4.70 1.55 P
HANSENS MISCHIEF 1 5 32     3 3 (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 35% 1.90 6.05 S
OUTRUN THE POSSE 2 4 56     5 4 (donlin d)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 5.10  
NEW GOSPEL 4 3 43     4 5 (ecoffey gil)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 10% 9.10 4.80  
 
FON-3   02/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:223 :351       :464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY EVERY DAY 4 1 1     12 12 (gonzalez isai)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 18% 4.50 3.00 W
LOTS OF GOLD 5 2 2     22 22 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.40 40% 1.50 1.30 P
UNUNDERSTANDABLE 6 3 3     35 33 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 12% 7.10 2.10 S
DAKAMO ROSE 1 6 45     46 4 (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 10.50  
NEW YEARS LOVE 2 5 57     59 5 (lemburg mark)CARDOSO DAVID 125 10.00 6% 14.60 15.35  
REINA DEL SUR 3 4 613     616 612¼ (donlin l)FLETCHER D 125 6.00 12.40  
 
FON-4   02/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:234 :362       :482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST LUCK 4 2 11     14 12 (anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.00 11% 8.50 1.30 W
LITTLE BITOTHUNDER 3 5 55     24 22 (rivera gregorio)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 27% 2.70 8.95 P
CALEB ON THE GO 1 6 66     67 3 (wise jason)BETHKE A 125 4.00 37% 1.70 1.50 S
PETE AND REPETE 6 3 43     56 4 (condon schu)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 8.05  
CREEDS REVENGE 5 1 21     34 5 (condon s)FLETCHER D 125 5.00 15.95  
J TRAIN 2 4 33     45 6 (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 3.50 6.90  
 
FON-5   02/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:221 :35       :463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIARD HONOR 6 1 3.2     2½ 1 (compton r)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 9.40  
LOVE TO LEARN 1 5 6     5 2 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00 7% 13.30 4.50 P
CHIVE UP 3 3 1nk     1½ 34 (wise jason)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 22% 3.50 3.10 S
RED RED WINE (ARG) 5 2 2nk     3 45 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 17% 4.80 1.40  
PRINCESSOFCHITOWN 2 6 4     4 5 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 3.50  
QUEENS GIFT 4 4 5     6 6 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 4.00 29% 2.50 13.70  
 
FON-6   02/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:23 :354       :474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAME THE PRICE 6 1 12     12 1 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 2.00  
WANT TO BE COWBOY 7 2 22     22 2 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 4.90 P
TELLITTOTHEJUDGE 5 5 56     5 33 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 120 4.00 27% 2.70 2.90 S
CHARED 2 3 44     4 4 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 17.60  
MISS ADDISYN K 4 4 34     3 5 (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00 13.10  
REPORT TO DUTY 3 6 6     6 6 (musquiz j)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 6.50  
PICKLES N ME 1 7 7     7 7 (anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 42% 1.40 3.75  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.