Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - February 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(1/3/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-2   WIN (1/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/5/4)-(1/3/5/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FON-3   WIN (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/2)-(5/4/6/2/3)-(5/4/6/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-4   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4/2/5)-(1/3/4/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(4/3/5/1)-(1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-5   WIN (4/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1/6)-(4/3/5/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/5/1)-(1/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
FON-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/3/7/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/3/7/6)-(1/5/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   02/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOYOUKNOWMYNAME Nov21 Nov05 Jun27     (lambert joanna)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 2.00 12% 7.30    
  (by DOMINUS out of TREZ by JUMP START)
2  GENES FEATHER Dec20 Oct27 Oct07 Aug25 Aug13 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 ★    
  (by D'WILDCAT out of MILADY DAWN by KADHAAF)
3  R SERENGETI Sep24 Aug22 Jun17 Jun03 May13 (martinez kell)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 11% 8.50    
  (by FLAT OUT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  GAON FLAG (KOR) Dec16 Sep22 Aug11 May10 Apr19 (chavez ju)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by FEDERALIST out of RUBY QUEEN by CLASSIC EMPIRE)
5  LAMELO Jul31 Jul10 Jun12     (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 ★    
  (by FLAT OUT out of PERFECT GLORY by BUDDHA)
 
FON-2   02/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANSENS MISCHIEF Mar19 Mar06       (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 35% 1.90    
2  OUTRUN THE POSSE Nov20 Oct30 Oct01 Sep07 Aug04 (donlin larry )CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 ★    
3  GETTINHOT'NHERE Jan21 Dec07 Nov19 Nov10 Oct21 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 17% 4.70    
4  NEW GOSPEL Sep25 Sep11 Sep04 Aug28 Aug02 (ecoffey g)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 10% 9.10    
5  TALE OF A STORM Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 Aug27 Jun28 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 12% 7.60    
 
FON-3   02/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAKAMO ROSE Sep14 Aug19 Jul12 Jun21 May21 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00    
2  NEW YEARS LOVE Sep19 Sep02 Aug14 Jul25 Jul10 (lemburg mark)CARDOSO DAVID 125 10.00 6% 14.60    
3  REINA DEL SUR Sep04 Aug24 Jul09 Jun12 May29 (donlin)FLETCHER D 125 6.00 ★    
4  LUCKY EVERY DAY Feb12 Dec30 Oct27 Sep02 Aug15 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 18% 4.50    
5  LOTS OF GOLD Jan14 Oct29 Oct13 Sep09 Jul23 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.40 40% 1.50    
6  UNUNDERSTANDABLE Dec30 Dec02 Oct30 Oct04 Aug09 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 12% 7.10    
 
FON-4   02/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALEB ON THE GO Jun17 May14 Apr24 Apr03   (wise jason)BETHKE A 125 4.00 37% 1.70    
2  J TRAIN Jun11 May28 Apr29 Apr09 Mar26 (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 3.50 ★    
3  LITTLE BITOTHUNDER Jun11 Apr22 Mar27 Mar13 Mar06 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  JUST LUCK Aug30 Jul25 Jul03 Jun12 May27 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 120 2.00 11% 8.50    
5  CREEDS REVENGE Jun11 May28 Apr29 Apr09 Mar26 (condon)FLETCHER D 125 5.00 ★    
6  PETE AND REPETE Jun11 May28 Apr29 Apr09 Mar26 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00    
 
FON-5   02/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE TO LEARN Feb11 Jan13 Dec14 Nov05 Oct13 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00 7% 13.30    
2  PRINCESSOFCHITOWN Sep19 Sep09 Aug19 Jul30 Jul03 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00    
3  CHIVE UP Dec14 Dec02 Oct07 Jul16 Jun16 (wise jaso)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 22% 3.50    
4  QUEENS GIFT Jun11 May27 Apr30 Apr02 Mar18 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 4.00 29% 2.50    
5  RED RED WINE (ARG) Jul02 May27 Apr22 Apr01 Mar19 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 17% 4.80    
6  JULIARD HONOR Dec14 Nov30 Nov12 Oct21 Oct05 (compton r)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 ★    
 
FON-6   02/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PICKLES N ME Jun18 Jun11 May28 Apr29 Apr09 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 42% 1.40    
2  CHARED Jun18 Jun11 May28 May20 Apr23 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
3  REPORT TO DUTY Jun19 May20 Apr29 Apr09 Mar05 (musquiz j)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 ★    
4  MISS ADDISYN K Jun11 May28 Apr29 Apr23 Apr02 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00    
5  TELLITTOTHEJUDGE Jun18 May29 May13 Apr24 Apr02 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  NAME THE PRICE Apr30 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26   (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 ★    
7  WANT TO BE COWBOY Apr30 Apr24 Mar26 Mar12 Feb26 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.