The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Fonner Park
Saturday - February 18, 2023

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FON-1   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
:23 :344       :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENTIMENTAL CROSS 4 1 12     112 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 19% 4.20 3.80 W
SEGOVIANA 1 4 22     222 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.80 14% 5.90 1.30 P
NEBRASKA RED 3 3 32     33(mcclain stanley)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 5.60 S
GUAPA CHICA 2 5 5     54(black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 15% 5.80 3.10  
ROSE OF EKITA 5 2 4     45(lambert joanna)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 29% 2.40 4.30  
 
FON-2   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
:232 :361       :48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P R GIRLFRIEND 5 1 12     12 1(compton jesse)BETHKE A 125 3.00 18% 4.50 5.70 W
SING CHARMER SING 3 5 4     22 2(compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 2.50 35% 1.90 1.00 P
BEAUTIFUL JUDGE 4 3 22     33(black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 8% 11.10 4.10 S
MISS JUSTICE 1 2 33     44(sorensen mike)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 8.00  
RUN BRINLEE RUN 2 4 5     558 (becker h)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 2.50  
SCR  JULIE JEAN               (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.00 18% 4.70    
 
FON-3   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
:223 :35       :464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVEREND AJ 3 4 11     13 1(black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 23% 3.40 2.00 W
BROADWAY PETE 4 1 31     33 2(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 2.15 P
OURBESTFRIEND D L 5 3 21     23 3(anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 20% 4.10 2.70 S
CAPTAIN DON 1 2 46     47 4(dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.50 10% 9.30 7.10  
ROMAN PHAROAH 2 5 59     515 5(russell nathan)BETHKE A 125 2.50 24% 3.10 4.35  
 
FON-4   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
:232 :351       :474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOW DASH 5 4 4     21(dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 6.20  
FEELSSOGOODINLOVE 3 3 2nk     12(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 26% 2.90 1.70 P
DEVINE CANDY 4 1 1nk     32 36 (martin steve)RAMOS B 125 6.00 3.10  
LOVE PERFECTION 6 2 3     44(black marissa)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 21% 3.70 2.40  
ITHOUGHTIKNEW 2 5 56     55(childs russell )FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 6% 15.10 10.10  
MISS WILDCAT 1 6 611     6100 6100 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 5.00 21% 3.70 10.00  
SCR  MISS ROSSY               (chavez juan)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00    
 
FON-5   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
:223 :352       :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETA CAPO SONG 2 3 1½     111 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 50% 1.00 2.30 W
BLABIMIR 1 5 4     32 21 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 9% 10.40 7.35 P
LOVER BOY 6 1 3½     23(donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 2.65 S
GREY ROGUE 5 2 2½     444 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 125 5.00 4.50  
MOST AMUSING 4 4 53     555 (anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50 16% 5.30 2.80  
MURDO 3 6 69     610½ 6(dieter dalton)RAMOS B 125 6.00 10.30  
 
FON-6   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:25 :481 1:02     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAINSTORM 4 3 3 2nk   2nk 1(black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 39% 1.60 0.90 W
FEROCITY 5 5 12 1nk   1nk 2(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 25% 3.10 2.80 P
SHWEET PERSUASION 3 4 22 32   31 32 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.00 13% 7.00 5.40 S
STAGE DOOR 2 2 5 410   47 4(thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 10.55  
YHA YHA 6 6 4 511   510 516¾ (childs g)RAMOS B 125 10.00 9.85  
RUN FOR MATTY 1 1 612½ 618   615 629¼ (ibanez alberto)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 9.15  
 
FON-7   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
:23 :353       :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YAYASGOTMOREGAME 4 6 5     21 1(thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 4.50 32% 2.10 3.50 W
KENHEDOIT 1 4 1nk     11 2(dieter dalton)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 5.60 P
PHLASH DRIVE 5 2 2nk     31 3(anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 44% 1.30 1.40 S
JOEY'S VALENTINE 3 3 3.2     44(rivera gregorio)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 3.85  
FOR REEL 2 5 4     558 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 125 4.00 11.50  
MR. BIG SHOT 7 1 6     6611½ (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00 8.25  
L B GOLD 6 7 710¾     712¼ 712 (krause bill)BETHKE A 125 12.00 19.85  
 
FON-8   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
:223 :473         :473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEARLY MAD 1 3 3½     1½ 1hd (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 3.80  
LAUNCHED 5 1 1nk     2½ 2hd (bethke a)BETHKE A 125 3.50 4.70 P
BLUEGRASS BREEZE 4 6 55     532 (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 27% 2.70 3.40 S
STREET N SOUR 2 2 4     442 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 6.00  
NEW STRIPE 6 4 6     65(dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00 4.90  
TOO LATE 3 5 2nk     32 63 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 31% 2.20 2.20  
SCR  MYSTERIOUS TALE               (lemburg mark)RAMOS B 125 4.00 12% 7.10    
 
FON-9   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
:222 :352       :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIS GIANT 1 4 1     14 14 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.00 37% 1.70 2.60 W
FLY TO THE BANK 7 1 54     424 (martin steve)RAMOS B 125 2.50 11% 8.10 2.90 P
JUSTIN SPEIGHT 5 3 2     24 36 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00 14.60  
COLD SNACK THIRTY 6 7 6     54(hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 15.00 10.40  
TAPPED TO THE MAX 4 8 7     710 510 (bethke a)BETHKE A 122 4.00 7.00  
SHIPMAN'S SONG 3 5 4     67 611¼ (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00 10.30  
RICKEY B 8 2 87     811 711¾ (donlin d)CARDOSO DAVID 120 15.00 9% 9.70 5.00  
SAMS TIME 2 6 3     3813½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 5.10  
SCR  ROME               (condon schuyler)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 10% 8.60    
 
FON-10   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
:243 :474 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BOY GUS 6 3 13 15   15 1(gonzalez is)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 6.30  
SCOOTER'S BOY 5 4 5 511½   48 2(anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 9% 10.20 4.60 P
THAT'S D 'CAT 4 1 4 4   53(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 14% 6.00 1.40 S
PRAIRIE SQUALL 3 2 23 25   25 4(hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 3.00 5.55  
FALCON HEAVY 7 7 35 3   37 59 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.80 50% 1.00 3.30  
ALARM SYSTEM 1 5 712½ 617½   618½ 613¼ (lambert joanna)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00 19.55  
BREAK FREE 2 6 611½ 720½   722½ 723¼ (rhodes lester)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 6% 15.50 15.25  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.