Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fonner Park
Saturday - February 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FON-1   WIN (5/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $9.60 $1.60 20%
FON-2   WIN (4/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $13.40 $5.40 68%
    DD (5/4/2/1)-(4/6/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  4-6 $102.60 $70.60 221%

Simulator Race results

 
FON-1   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:23 :344       :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENTIMENTAL CROSS 4 1 12     1 12 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 19% 4.20 3.80 W
SEGOVIANA 1 4 22     2 22 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.80 14% 5.90 1.30 P
NEBRASKA RED 3 3 32     3 3 (mcclain stanle)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 5.60 S
GUAPA CHICA 2 5 5     5 4 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 15% 5.80 3.10  
ROSE OF EKITA 5 2 4     4 5 (lambert joanna)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 29% 2.40 4.30  
 
FON-2   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
See original race card.
:232 :361       :48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P R GIRLFRIEND 5 1 12     12 1 (compton jess)BETHKE A 125 3.00 18% 4.50 5.70 W
SING CHARMER SING 3 5 4     22 2 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 2.50 35% 1.90 1.00 P
BEAUTIFUL JUDGE 4 3 22     3 3 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 8% 11.10 4.10 S
MISS JUSTICE 1 2 33     4 4 (sorensen mike)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 8.00  
RUN BRINLEE RUN 2 4 5     5 58 (becker h)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 2.50  
SCR  JULIE JEAN               (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.00 18% 4.70    
 
FON-3   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:223 :35       :464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVEREND AJ 3 4 11     13 1 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 23% 3.40 2.00 W
BROADWAY PETE 4 1 31     33 2 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 2.15 P
OURBESTFRIEND D L 5 3 21     23 3 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 20% 4.10 2.70 S
CAPTAIN DON 1 2 46     47 4 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.50 10% 9.30 7.10  
ROMAN PHAROAH 2 5 59     515 5 (russell nath)BETHKE A 125 2.50 24% 3.10 4.35  
 
FON-4   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:232 :351       :474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOW DASH 5 4 4     2 1 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00 6.20  
  (by EL CABALLO out of ELAINE'S CREAMPUFF by SILVER POET)
FEELSSOGOODINLOVE 3 3 2nk     1 2 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 26% 2.90 1.70 P
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of RHYTHMOS by AENEAS)
DEVINE CANDY 4 1 1nk     32 36 (martin steve)RAMOS B 125 6.00 3.10  
  (by CANDY DANDY out of DOC'S HEARTBEAT by TACTICAL CAT)
LOVE PERFECTION 6 2 3     4 4 (black marissa)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 21% 3.70 2.40  
  (by CUPID out of ANNIES LAW by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
ITHOUGHTIKNEW 2 5 56     5 5 (childs russel)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 6% 15.10 10.10  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of PEOPLE POWER by AFTER MARKET)
MISS WILDCAT 1 6 611     6100 6100 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 5.00 21% 3.70 10.00  
  (by WESTOVER WILDCAT out of BELLS OF CONCERTO by CONCERTO)
SCR  MISS ROSSY               (chavez juan)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of NOON MOON by MALIBU MOON)
 
FON-5   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:223 :352       :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETA CAPO SONG 2 3 1½     1 11 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 50% 1.00 2.30 W
BLABIMIR 1 5 4     32 21 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 9% 10.40 7.35 P
LOVER BOY 6 1 3½     2 3 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 2.65 S
GREY ROGUE 5 2 2½     4 44 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 5.00 4.50  
MOST AMUSING 4 4 53     5 55 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50 16% 5.30 2.80  
MURDO 3 6 69     610½ 6 (dieter dalton)RAMOS B 125 6.00 10.30  
 
FON-6   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:25 :481 1:02     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAINSTORM 4 3 3 2nk   2nk 1 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 39% 1.60 0.90 W
FEROCITY 5 5 12 1nk   1nk 2 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 25% 3.10 2.80 P
SHWEET PERSUASION 3 4 22 32   31 32 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.00 13% 7.00 5.40 S
STAGE DOOR 2 2 5 410   47 4 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 10.55  
YHA YHA 6 6 4 511   510 516¾ (childs g)RAMOS B 125 10.00 9.85  
RUN FOR MATTY 1 1 612½ 618   615 629¼ (ibanez albert)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 9.15  
 
FON-7   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:23 :353       :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YAYASGOTMOREGAME 4 6 5     21 1 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 4.50 32% 2.10 3.50 W
KENHEDOIT 1 4 1nk     11 2 (dieter dalt)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 5.60 P
PHLASH DRIVE 5 2 2nk     31 3 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 44% 1.30 1.40 S
JOEY'S VALENTINE 3 3 3.2     4 4 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 3.85  
FOR REEL 2 5 4     5 58 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 125 4.00 11.50  
MR. BIG SHOT 7 1 6     6 611½ (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00 8.25  
L B GOLD 6 7 710¾     712¼ 712 (krause bill)BETHKE A 125 12.00 19.85  
 
FON-8   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:223 :473         :473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEARLY MAD 1 3 3½     1½ 1hd (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 3.80  
LAUNCHED 5 1 1nk     2½ 2hd (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.50 4.70 P
BLUEGRASS BREEZE 4 6 55     5 32 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 27% 2.70 3.40 S
STREET N SOUR 2 2 4     4 42 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 6.00  
NEW STRIPE 6 4 6     6 5 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00 4.90  
TOO LATE 3 5 2nk     32 63 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 31% 2.20 2.20  
SCR  MYSTERIOUS TALE               (lemburg mark)RAMOS B 125 4.00 12% 7.10    
 
FON-9   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:222 :352       :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIS GIANT 1 4 1     14 14 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.00 37% 1.70 2.60 W
  (by DISCREETLY MINE out of KITTY'S GIANT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
FLY TO THE BANK 7 1 54     4 24 (martin steve)RAMOS B 125 2.50 11% 8.10 2.90 P
  (by EUROEARS out of TAKE IT AND FLY by KINGKIOWA)
JUSTIN SPEIGHT 5 3 2     24 36 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00 14.60  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BULLET SISTER by ZENSATIONAL)
COLD SNACK THIRTY 6 7 6     5 4 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 15.00 10.40  
  (by BACKTALK out of PASSEPORTA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
TAPPED TO THE MAX 4 8 7     710 510 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 122 4.00 7.00  
  (by TAPITURE out of UNBRIDLED HARLAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SHIPMAN'S SONG 3 5 4     67 611¼ (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00 10.30  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHE'S SO EVIL by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
RICKEY B 8 2 87     811 711¾ (donlin larry )CARDOSO DAVID 120 15.00 9% 9.70 5.00  
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of MADOFFWITHTHEMONEY by TRIBAL RULE)
SAMS TIME 2 6 3     3 813½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 5.10  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SOHO STAR by POSSE)
SCR  ROME               (condon schuyler)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 10% 8.60    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of GRACER by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
FON-10   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BOY GUS 6 3 13 15   15 1 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 6.30  
SCOOTER'S BOY 5 4 5 511½   48 2 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 9% 10.20 4.60 P
THAT'S D 'CAT 4 1 4 4   5 3 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 14% 6.00 1.40 S
PRAIRIE SQUALL 3 2 23 25   25 4 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 3.00 5.55  
FALCON HEAVY 7 7 35 3   37 59 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.80 50% 1.00 3.30  
ALARM SYSTEM 1 5 712½ 617½   618½ 613¼ (lambert joann)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00 19.55  
BREAK FREE 2 6 611½ 720½   722½ 723¼ (rhodes lester)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 6% 15.50 15.25  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.