Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - February 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (5/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    DD (5/4/2/1)-(4/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-2   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5/3)-(4/6/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(2/3/5/1)-(4/7/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEGOVIANA Feb10 Jan12 Dec27 Dec16 Dec02 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.80 14% 5.90    
2  GUAPA CHICA Sep14 Aug27 Jul19 Jun27 Jun14 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 15% 5.80    
3  NEBRASKA RED Feb10 Jul24 Jun19 May29 Apr03 (mcclain stanle)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 ★    
4  SENTIMENTAL CROSS Sep27 Sep11 Aug20 Jul23 Jul04 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  ROSE OF EKITA Jul19 Jun27       (lambert joanna)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 29% 2.40    
 
FON-2   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JULIE JEAN Jun18 May13 Apr24 Mar04   (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.00 18% 4.70    
2  MISS JUSTICE May29 Feb25       (sorensen mike)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00    
3  RUN BRINLEE RUN Feb10 Jun12 May27 May13 Apr15 (becker h)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.00 ★    
4  SING CHARMER SING Jun11 May29 May14 Mar27 Mar11 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 125 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  BEAUTIFUL JUDGE Jun18 May27 May13 Apr24 Apr15 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 8% 11.10    
6  P R GIRLFRIEND Jun10 May29 Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 (compton jess)BETHKE A 125 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
FON-3   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAIN DON Oct02 Sep11 Aug22 Jul18 Jun24 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.50 10% 9.30    
2  ROMAN PHAROAH Nov04 Oct14 Sep03 Aug11 Jul27 (russell nath)BETHKE A 125 2.50 24% 3.10    
3  REVEREND AJ Oct28 Sep28 Sep07 Jul11 Jun21 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 23% 3.40    
4  BROADWAY PETE Oct02 Aug28 Aug13 Jul29 Jul18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00 ★    
5  OURBESTFRIEND D L Aug21 Jul24 Jul04 Apr09 Mar26 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 20% 4.10    
 
FON-4   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS WILDCAT Sep30 Sep17 Sep08     (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 5.00 21% 3.70    
  (by WESTOVER WILDCAT out of BELLS OF CONCERTO by CONCERTO)
SCR  MISS ROSSY Dec04 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 Jun27 (chavez juan)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00 ★    
  (by PAYNTER out of NOON MOON by MALIBU MOON)
3  ITHOUGHTIKNEW Sep19         (childs russel)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 6% 15.10    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of PEOPLE POWER by AFTER MARKET)
4  FEELSSOGOODINLOVE Sep24 Sep18 Aug01 Jul17 Jun26 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 26% 2.90    
  (by LOVEOFTHEGAME out of RHYTHMOS by AENEAS)
5  DEVINE CANDY Jul11 Jun28 Apr20 Mar30 Mar22 (martin steve)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
  (by CANDY DANDY out of DOC'S HEARTBEAT by TACTICAL CAT)
6  RAINBOW DASH Sep24 Aug28 May20     (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.00    
  (by EL CABALLO out of ELAINE'S CREAMPUFF by SILVER POET)
7  LOVE PERFECTION Dec07 Nov08 Sep24 Aug30 Jul08 (black marissa)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by CUPID out of ANNIES LAW by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
FON-5   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLABIMIR Jun10 May30 May20 Apr03 Mar12 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 6.00 9% 10.40    
2  BETA CAPO SONG Feb11 Aug09 Aug02 Jun19 Jun04 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 50% 1.00    
3  MURDO Sep25 Aug08 May13 Feb28 Feb06 (dieter dalton)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
4  MOST AMUSING Oct01 Sep12 Aug01 Jul05 May14 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50 16% 5.30    
5  GREY ROGUE Oct04 Sep25 Sep06 Aug15 Jul24 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 5.00 ★    
6  LOVER BOY Apr24 Apr03 Mar26 Jan21 Jan05 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 3.00 ★    
 
FON-6   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN FOR MATTY Nov30 Nov14 Oct25 Oct04 Sep26 (ibanez albert)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00    
2  STAGE DOOR Nov06 Oct22 Oct02 Sep25 Aug29 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 ★    
3  SHWEET PERSUASION Oct29 Oct14 Oct02 Sep23 Aug19 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.00 13% 7.00    
4  BRAINSTORM Nov08 Sep29 Sep08 Jun28 May17 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 39% 1.60    
5  FEROCITY Dec08 Nov22 Oct31 Oct05 Sep13 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 25% 3.10    
6  YHA YHA Oct03 Apr06 Mar14 Feb02 Jan17 (childs g)RAMOS B 125 10.00 ★    
 
FON-7   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENHEDOIT Aug04 Jul14 Jun18 Jun11 May20 (dieter dalt)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.00 ★    
2  FOR REEL Aug08 Jul03 Jun17 May30 May14 (bliss dean)RAMOS B 125 4.00 ★    
3  JOEY'S VALENTINE Jun11 Apr09 Mar27 Feb20   (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.50 ★    
4  YAYASGOTMOREGAME Jun11 May20 May14 Apr24 Mar26 (thompson grady)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 4.50 32% 2.10    
5  PHLASH DRIVE Jun11 May20 Apr30 Mar12 Feb26 (anderson david )ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
6  L B GOLD Jun11 May20 Apr30 Apr10 Mar26 (krause bill)BETHKE A 125 12.00    
7  MR. BIG SHOT Jun18 Jun10 May30 May14 Mar27 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00    
 
FON-8   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MYSTERIOUS TALE         (lemburg mark)RAMOS B 125 4.00 12% 7.10    
2  CLEARLY MAD Oct02 Sep20 Sep06 Aug22 Jul30 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 ★    
3  STREET N SOUR Aug27 Aug02 Jul19 Jul03 Jun17 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00    
4  TOO LATE Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 May29 Apr03 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 5.00 31% 2.20    
5  BLUEGRASS BREEZE Dec14 Dec01 Nov11 Oct27 Oct15 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  LAUNCHED Aug29 Aug14 Jul31 Jul01 Jun12 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 125 3.50 ★    
7  NEW STRIPE Sep18 Aug27 Jul30 Jul18 Jul08 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 8.00    
 
FON-9   02/18/2023 2640ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIS GIANT Jan18 Jan04 Nov19 Oct22 Sep11 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
  (by DISCREETLY MINE out of KITTY'S GIANT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  SAMS TIME Aug13 Jul29 Jun05 May14 May01 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SOHO STAR by POSSE)
3  SHIPMAN'S SONG Nov02 Oct20 Oct06 Sep15 Aug19 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00 ★    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHE'S SO EVIL by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
4  TAPPED TO THE MAX Oct04 Jul09 Jun25 Mar11 Jan25 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 122 4.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of UNBRIDLED HARLAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  JUSTIN SPEIGHT Jan27 Jan14 Dec21 Dec01 Oct29 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BULLET SISTER by ZENSATIONAL)
6  COLD SNACK THIRTY Feb11 Sep04 Aug12 Jul25 Jul15 (hibdon n)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 15.00    
  (by BACKTALK out of PASSEPORTA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
7  FLY TO THE BANK Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Oct05 Sep08 (martin steve)RAMOS B 125 2.50 11% 8.10    
  (by EUROEARS out of TAKE IT AND FLY by KINGKIOWA)
8  RICKEY B Aug20 Jul13 Jun18 Jun04 Apr30 (donlin larry )CARDOSO DAVID 120 15.00 9% 9.70    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of MADOFFWITHTHEMONEY by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  ROME Dec27 Dec16 Sep14 Aug14 Jul30 (condon schuyler)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 10% 8.60    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of GRACER by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
FON-10   02/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALARM SYSTEM Nov02 Oct19 Jul19 Jun27   (lambert joann)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00    
2  BREAK FREE Jun17 May30       (rhodes lester)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 6% 15.50    
3  PRAIRIE SQUALL Feb11 Dec14 Nov23 Nov04 Oct01 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 3.00 ★    
4  THAT'S D 'CAT Nov25 Nov09 Oct14 Sep27 Aug06 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 14% 6.00    
5  SCOOTER'S BOY Feb11 Aug30 Aug01 Jul11 May13 (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 9% 10.20    
6  MY BOY GUS Jan13 Dec14 Nov10 Oct26 Sep11 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00    
7  FALCON HEAVY Dec27 Nov23 Oct26 Oct08 Aug20 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.80 50% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.