Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - March 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-10   WIN (5/9/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $10.80 $0.80 8%
Simulator Race results
 
WRD-1   03/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:133     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GOT MOJO 2 2 12 1½ 1nk 1½ 11 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 121 8.00 11.70  
6  JACKS SPRING BREAK 6 6 52¾ 4¾ 2nk 2½ 21 (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 4.00 20% 4.10 4.20 P
4  KWIK 4 3 22 2½ 4¾ 32½ 33½ (williams )TRIANA JR 121 8.00 7% 12.60 11.40 S
3  WAVERUNNER 3 5 63¼ 51¾ 52¾ 46½ 48¼ (davis d)CABRERA DAVID 121 3.50 ★ 2.00  
5  TOAH 5 1 42½ 3½ 3.2 58 511½ (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 121 2.00 ★ 3.30  
1  LIMBO'S PROMISE 1 4 32 61¾ 65¾ 611 617¾ (david ron)KIMES C 121 3.00 34% 2.00 2.20  
 
WRD-2   03/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:233 :48       1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HONEY CREEK 3 4 2½ 2nk   1½ 12 (padilla jua)WETHEY JR 118 2.00 27% 2.70 0.40 W
5  CAT TALE BREEZE 5 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 22 (corderman)TRIANA JR 124 2.50 12% 7.10 3.70 P
4  GOTOTHEWINDOW 4 2 33½ 33   37½ 36¾ (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 10.00 ★ 17.40 S
2  GOSPEL FLOW 2 3 46½ 45   49½ 411¼ (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00 7.70  
1  PREACH IT GIRL 1 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 4.00 ★ 6.20  
SCR  QUICK OKIE               (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
WRD-3   03/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:133     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KODALINE 4 5 54¾ 3.2 1nk 13 15 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 1.40 41% 1.50 0.70 W
  (by FOREIGN POLICY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  TREASURE COAST 3 3 31½ 1nk 2nk 23 25 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 122 1.60 33% 2.10 3.90 P
  (by WEST COAST out of JANE OF ALL TRADES by ROCK HARD TEN)
5  GRANDSONSAM 5 4 44½ 2nk 3.2 33½ 35½ (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 122 3.00 ★ 2.10 S
  (by CODE WEST out of MISS HOCKADAY by GREENWOOD LAKE)
1  STAPLETON SONG 1 2 1nk 5¾ 42¼ 411½ 421¼ (lee mark)JORDAN R 122 8.00 ★ 8.70  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ERICA'S MELODY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  BARN SHARK 2 1 2nk 4¾ 55¼ 521½ 542¼ (oberlander)ERAMIA E 122 15.00 ★ 42.00  
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of ZIP N BAYOU by CITY ZIP)
 
WRD-4   03/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
1:11         1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISTORTED FLASH 1 4 3½ 1nk   1nk 14¾ (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 1.80 24% 3.10 2.70 W
5  DICEY 5 2 51¾ 41¾   2nk 14¾ (swan patrick)JORDAN R 124 1.60 17% 5.00 1.40 W
2  LACEY BOSS 2 5 63¾ 63¼   34 34¾ (corderman sco)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 5.00 15% 5.60 17.20 S
3  THETRUTHISTHETRUTH 3 3 2½ 2nk   44¼ 46¾ (cogburn o)TRIANA JR 121 12.00 7% 12.50 4.40  
6  MISS MELODY 6 1 1½ 3.2   54¼ 57½ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 121 3.50 16% 5.20 2.60  
4  LYNN'S FOLLY 4 6 4¾ 52¼   68¼ 617¼ (chavira l)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 20.00 36.60  
 
WRD-5   03/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
1:052         1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HEADY MOVES 5 1 2½ 2nk   12 11 (biehler m)TRIANA JR 124 2.00 21% 3.90 1.20 W
6  CANDY'S A DANDY 6 2 31 3.2   22 21 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 2.50 44% 1.30 2.60 P
8  GYPSY ROSE 8 4 62½ 51¼   45 32 (lee mark)JORDAN R 118 12.00 ★ 11.40 S
7  MISSWISH 7 3 83¾ 82   55 42¼ (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 118 8.00 5% 17.50 23.30  
2  LISA G 2 5 1½ 1nk   33 53 (mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 124 12.00 22.30  
1  SMART OKIE 1 8 52 41¼   65½ 65 (padilla juan)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00 4.80  
3  TOM'S GIRL 3 6 72¾ 61½   77 76½ (biehler michael )BIRZER E 118 5.00 7% 13.10 6.80  
4  GOSPEL FAITH 4 7 42 71½   812 814 (williams f)KIMES C 124 15.00 23.70  
 
WRD-6   03/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
1:13         1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA PARADISO JORDAN 1 2 2nk 1nk   12 12½ (swan patrick)JORDAN R 118 2.00 32% 2.10 0.30 W
  (by MISTER LUCKY CAT out of JUANITAS BABE by MI SELECTO)
6  HANNAH FO FANNAH 5 1 31½ 31   22 22½ (oberlander je)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00 ★ 6.40 P
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of CONQUEST DFLAWLESS by MINESHAFT)
5  GOSPEL EXPRESSION 4 3 1nk 2nk   33 35¾ (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 21.10 S
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL EXPRESS by AFLEET EXPRESS)
2  MS. MORENA 2 4 47½ 45   47 45¾ (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 6.00 10.80  
  (by MO TOM out of STEELY by TWO PUNCH)
4  TOSH 3 5 510½ 57   510 57¾ (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50 32% 2.10 3.50  
  (by FOREIGN POLICY out of OKIE SPIRIT by CAVVY)
SCR  ALTERNATE ABBY               (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 10.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of PAID by DEVIL HIS DUE)
SCR  CAROLS KITTEN               (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 3.00 10% 8.90    
  (by MISTER LUCKY CAT out of RAINBOW PROMISES by CAME HOME)
 
WRD-7   03/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:124     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ROCKPORT KAT 2 2 23 21 1nk 2nk 1½ (luneack t)TRIANA JR 121 1.60 42% 1.40 0.80 W
3  WIN FOR FUN 3 4 33 33 2nk 1nk 2½ (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00 13% 6.90 2.50 P
6  MORHAWK 6 5 69¼ 611 65¼ 46½ 312¾ (williams stev)CABRERA DAVID 121 6.00 12% 7.50 10.70 S
4  LASTCALLFORALCOHOL 4 6 56¼ 56 43 36 412¾ (camillo ang)HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 5.00 ★ 13.80  
5  MAYFAIR HEIGHTS 5 1 46 46 53¼ 67¾ 516¾ (espiritu lucio)LINDSAY CHAD 121 12.00 28.50  
1  FROSTED PRAYER 1 3 13 11 31 56¾ 617¼ (david ron)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 3.50 9% 10.10 3.60  
 
WRD-8   03/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:124         1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOSPEL MOLLY 3 6 62¼ 41¼   11 12½ (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 3.00 15% 5.70 2.00 W
  (by WICKED B. HAVIOR out of MOLLYISINTHECLOUDS by CLOUD HOPPING)
5  CATALE WINEMIXER 5 5 1nk 11   21 22½ (swango rand)WETHEY JR 118 8.00 9.90  
  (by KICK ON out of TRUE YOLO by YES IT'S TRUE)
4  RUBY THE DESTROYER 4 1 2nk 31   32½ 34½ (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 3.50 16% 5.40 2.20 S
  (by DRAMEDY out of GET DOWN KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
1  STELLA G 1 3 3.2 21   43 45 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 118 1.60 32% 2.10 2.10  
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of SINGLEBLING by EL LEOPARDO)
6  BIKER BABE 6 2 51¼ 53¼   58 515 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 4.00 17% 4.80 6.50  
  (by POLLARD'S VISION out of BIANCO by YES IT'S TRUE)
2  BOTTLES AN BIBLES 2 4 4¾ 64¼   613 621½ (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 12.00 ★ 21.60  
  (by LIAISON out of FOOLHEARTEDMEMORY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
 
WRD-9   03/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:051         1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WHIP 6 2 2½ 2nk   12 12 (hale james )WETHEY JR 124 2.00 34% 1.90 0.70 W
3  TRISTANS JOURNEY 3 6 64½ 63¼   22 22 (gunter mi)TRIANA JR 124 2.50 ★ 2.30 P
7  SELLING SHORT 7 1 52½ 52¾   53½ 35¾ (williams st)HERRERA GUSTAVO 124 12.00 ★ 11.80 S
1  ORNERY AS HELL 1 5 42 31   33 45¾ (moreno ca)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 3.00 18% 4.50 4.50  
2  FROGGY 2 7 710½ 79¼   75¾ 58¼ (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00 19.60  
5  EL CHIHUAS 5 3 1½ 1nk   43½ 68½ (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 12.00 18% 4.60 83.20  
4  MR L B J 4 4 31 41¼   65½ 711¾ (pruitt m)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00 24.10  
 
WRD-10   03/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
See original race card.
1:112         1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LINGERING PROMISE 4 2 22 1nk   12 1½ (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 4.50 27% 2.70 4.40 W
3  TIFFANY TWIST 3 5 44½ 31   22 2½ (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 3.50 1.50  
2  CADI DEVILLE 2 8 910½ 94¼   44 31¼ (luneack ther)JORDAN R 124 8.00 12% 7.70 8.40 S
9  EUTYCHIA 8 3 55½ 62¼   34 41¼ (swan e)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 12% 7.40 4.70  
6  SUPERBLEA 5 7 79 73¾   76¾ 55¼ (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00 9% 10.50 32.40  
7  FROSTY BREW 6 1 12 2nk   56 65½ (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00 10% 9.40 2.70  
8  SWEET TEA RED 7 6 66 51¾   66¼ 75½ (martin steve)KIMES C 124 15.00 33.40  
1  KIMBELL'S STRATEGY 1 9 810 83¾   97¼ 86¼ (hale vic)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00 55.60  
10  PAYDIEM 9 4 33 41½   87¼ 97½ (caldwell r)COLLIER T 124 8.00 43.60  
SCR  BONANZA GRADE               (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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