Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Monday - March 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/5/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/5/4/3)-(1/6/5/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(3/5)-(4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/4/1)-(3/5/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3/5)-(4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(4/3)-(1/5/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
WRD-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/5/1/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/5/1/2)-(4/3/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3)-(1/5/6/2/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(1/5/6/2/3)-(6/5/3/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
WRD-4   WIN (1/5/6/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/2/3)-(1/5/6/2/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/2/3)-(1/5/6/2/3)-(1/5/6/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/6/2/3)-(6/5/3/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6/2/3)-(6/5/3/7)-(1/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-5   WIN (6/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/7)-(6/5/3/7/8)-(6/5/3/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/3/7)-(1/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/7)-(1/4/5)-(2/3/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-6   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/6)-(1/4/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(2/3/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(2/3/6/1)-(1/6/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-7   WIN (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1/4) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1/4)-(2/3/6/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/6/1)-(1/6/4/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/1)-(1/6/4/3)-(6/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-8   WIN (1/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/3)-(1/6/4/3/2)-(1/6/4/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/4/3)-(6/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/3)-(6/1/5)-(5/9/2/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-9   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/3/7)-(6/1/5/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(5/9/2/7/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
WRD-10   WIN (5/9/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/2/7/6)-(5/9/2/7/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/9/2/7/6)-(5/9/2/7/6)-(5/9/2/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIMBO'S PROMISE Dec15 Dec01 Nov11 Oct28 Oct08 (david ron)KIMES C 121 3.00 34% 2.00    
2  GOT MOJO Dec15 Dec01 Nov11 Oct25 Oct04 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 121 8.00    
3  WAVERUNNER Feb26 Feb10 Dec16 Dec10 Dec01 (davis d)CABRERA DAVID 121 3.50 ★    
4  KWIK Dec08 Nov25 Oct28 Oct21 Sep23 (williams )TRIANA JR 121 8.00 7% 12.60    
5  TOAH Dec08 Nov25 Nov02 Oct06 Sep08 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 121 2.00 ★    
6  JACKS SPRING BREAK Feb11 Jan20 Dec10 Nov20 Nov13 (dixon tim)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
WRD-2   03/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREACH IT GIRL Feb09 Jan25 Sep26 Aug29   (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 4.00 ★    
2  GOSPEL FLOW Feb19 Jan20 Nov30 Nov12   (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 12.00    
3  HONEY CREEK Feb11 Jan07 Sep30 Sep14   (padilla jua)WETHEY JR 118 2.00 27% 2.70    
4  GOTOTHEWINDOW Dec15 Dec08 Nov03 Oct05 Sep09 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 118 10.00 ★    
5  CAT TALE BREEZE Dec15 Dec09 Nov18 Nov02 Sep21 (corderman)TRIANA JR 124 2.50 12% 7.10    
SCR  QUICK OKIE Dec08 Sep16 Sep01     (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
WRD-3   03/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAPLETON SONG Dec14 Nov07 Oct15     (lee mark)JORDAN R 122 8.00 ★    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ERICA'S MELODY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  BARN SHARK Dec16 Dec02       (oberlander)ERAMIA E 122 15.00 ★    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of ZIP N BAYOU by CITY ZIP)
3  TREASURE COAST Feb04 Jan27 Dec15 Nov26 Oct27 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 122 1.60 33% 2.10    
  (by WEST COAST out of JANE OF ALL TRADES by ROCK HARD TEN)
4  KODALINE Feb03 Jan14       (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 1.40 41% 1.50    
  (by FOREIGN POLICY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  GRANDSONSAM Feb03 Dec14       (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 122 3.00 ★    
  (by CODE WEST out of MISS HOCKADAY by GREENWOOD LAKE)
 
WRD-4   03/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISTORTED FLASH Nov22 Sep25 Jun24 May30 May02 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 124 1.80 24% 3.10    
2  LACEY BOSS Nov22 Nov03 Oct19 Oct07 Sep22 (corderman sco)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 5.00 15% 5.60    
3  THETRUTHISTHETRUTH Jan20 Nov18 Aug20 Jul11 Jun27 (cogburn o)TRIANA JR 121 12.00 7% 12.50    
4  LYNN'S FOLLY Oct14 Sep17       (chavira )BENN J 121 20.00    
5  DICEY Dec17 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 Sep03 (swan patrick)JORDAN R 124 1.60 17% 5.00    
6  MISS MELODY Feb17 Sep11 Jul30 Jul04 Jun19 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
 
WRD-5   03/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART OKIE Nov30 Nov11 Oct21 Sep16 Aug27 (padilla juan)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00    
2  LISA G Feb11 Jan16 Dec16 Nov30 Nov07 (mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 124 12.00    
3  TOM'S GIRL Nov30 Nov11 Oct21 Sep23 Aug26 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 118 5.00 7% 13.10    
4  GOSPEL FAITH Dec02 Nov07 Oct12 Sep30 Aug26 (williams f)KIMES C 124 15.00    
5  HEADY MOVES Dec17 Dec03 Oct22     (biehler m)TRIANA JR 124 2.00 21% 3.90    
6  CANDY'S A DANDY Dec17 Dec02 May23 May11 Apr27 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
7  MISSWISH Feb25 Jan13 Dec03 Nov12 Sep30 (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 118 8.00 5% 17.50    
8  GYPSY ROSE Oct22 Sep30 Sep16     (lee mark)JORDAN R 118 12.00 ★    
 
WRD-6   03/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA PARADISO JORDAN Dec15 Nov18       (swan patrick)JORDAN R 118 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by MISTER LUCKY CAT out of JUANITAS BABE by MI SELECTO)
2  MS. MORENA Dec15 Nov30 Nov07 Oct06 Sep21 (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 6.00    
  (by MO TOM out of STEELY by TWO PUNCH)
SCR  CAROLS KITTEN         (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 3.00 10% 8.90    
  (by MISTER LUCKY CAT out of RAINBOW PROMISES by CAME HOME)
4  TOSH Nov30         (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by FOREIGN POLICY out of OKIE SPIRIT by CAVVY)
5  GOSPEL EXPRESSION         (williams st)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL EXPRESS by AFLEET EXPRESS)
6  HANNAH FO FANNAH Dec15 Nov18 Oct22     (oberlander je)CABRERA DAVID 118 6.00 ★    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of CONQUEST DFLAWLESS by MINESHAFT)
SCR  ALTERNATE ABBY Nov25 Nov04 Sep30     (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 10.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of PAID by DEVIL HIS DUE)
 
WRD-7   03/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTED PRAYER Dec15 Dec03 Nov14 Oct19 Oct07 (david ron)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 3.50 9% 10.10    
2  ROCKPORT KAT Nov25 Nov02 Sep28 Sep08 Jul12 (luneack t)TRIANA JR 121 1.60 42% 1.40    
3  WIN FOR FUN Feb10 Jan08 Dec10 Nov21 Nov07 (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00 13% 6.90    
4  LASTCALLFORALCOHOL Aug20 Jul19 Jun20 Jun07 May18 (camillo ang)HERRERA GUSTAVO 121 5.00 ★    
5  MAYFAIR HEIGHTS Sep25 Sep01 Jun27 Jun13 Apr26 (espiritu lucio)LINDSAY CHAD 121 12.00    
6  MORHAWK Feb26 Feb17 Jan28 Nov14 Oct28 (williams stev)CABRERA DAVID 121 6.00 12% 7.50    
 
WRD-8   03/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLA G Feb05 Jan07 Dec14 Nov25 Nov18 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 118 1.60 32% 2.10    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of SINGLEBLING by EL LEOPARDO)
2  BOTTLES AN BIBLES Feb22         (dixon tim)KIMES C 118 12.00 ★    
  (by LIAISON out of FOOLHEARTEDMEMORY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
3  GOSPEL MOLLY Dec02 Nov07 Oct12 Sep30 Sep21 (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
  (by WICKED B. HAVIOR out of MOLLYISINTHECLOUDS by CLOUD HOPPING)
4  RUBY THE DESTROYER Feb05 Dec14 Nov25 Nov04   (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 3.50 16% 5.40    
  (by DRAMEDY out of GET DOWN KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
5  CATALE WINEMIXER Nov04         (swango rand)WETHEY JR 118 8.00    
  (by KICK ON out of TRUE YOLO by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  BIKER BABE Dec02 Nov07       (oberlander)ERAMIA E 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
  (by POLLARD'S VISION out of BIANCO by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
WRD-9   03/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORNERY AS HELL Jul19 Jul05 Mar21     (moreno ca)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
2  FROGGY Dec01 Nov08 Oct25 Oct18 Sep20 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00    
3  TRISTANS JOURNEY Dec03 Nov14 Oct26 Sep22 Jul11 (gunter mi)TRIANA JR 124 2.50 ★    
4  MR L B J Feb03 Jan14 Nov14 Oct26 Oct15 (pruitt m)MORA GERARDO 124 8.00    
5  EL CHIHUAS Aug19         (espiritu luc)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 12.00 18% 4.60    
6  WHIP Dec03 Nov25 Nov05 Jun27 Jun06 (hale james )WETHEY JR 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
7  SELLING SHORT Dec03 Nov25 Nov04 Sep14 Jul19 (williams st)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 12.00 ★    
 
WRD-10   03/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KIMBELL'S STRATEGY Dec07 Nov15 Oct13 Sep15 Aug27 (hale vic)MORA GERARDO 124 15.00    
2  CADI DEVILLE Apr19 Mar22       (luneack ther)JORDAN R 124 8.00 12% 7.70    
3  TIFFANY TWIST Jan20 Dec14 Dec01 Nov02 Oct06 (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 3.50    
SCR  BONANZA GRADE Feb03 Dec16 Nov17 Oct26 Jul22 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 118 12.00    
5  LINGERING PROMISE Jan22 Dec14 Nov21     (offolter j)ERAMIA E 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
6  SUPERBLEA Dec13 Nov21 Nov08 Oct24 Oct05 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 20.00 9% 10.50    
7  FROSTY BREW Oct29 Sep25 Aug26 Jul15 May08 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
8  SWEET TEA RED Dec17 Dec10 Dec03 Nov14 Oct26 (martin steve)KIMES C 124 15.00    
9  EUTYCHIA Dec09 Nov08 Oct21 Sep28 Aug19 (swan e)SANCHEZ OBED 124 3.00 12% 7.40    
10  PAYDIEM Feb26 Feb11 Jan13 Sep15 Sep07 (caldwell r)COLLIER T 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.