Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - April 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $4.80 $0.80 20%
WRD-2   EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2-4 $13.00 $5.00 63%
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00  2-4-1 $5.30 $3.30 165%
    DD (1/4)-(2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4-2 $13.20 $5.20 65%
WRD-5   EXA (6/3/10/2/7)-(6/3/10/2/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  10-7 $74.80 $34.80 87%
    TRI (6/3/10/2/7)-(6/3/10/2/7)-(6/3/10/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-7-2 $161.25 $131.25 438%
    SFT (6/3/10/2/7)-(6/3/10/2/7)-(6/3/10/2/7)-(6/3/10/2/7) 120 $0.10 $12.00  10-7-2-3 $157.85 $145.85 1215%
WRD-9   EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/2/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-7 $102.40 $78.40 327%
Simulator Race results
 
WRD-1   04/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:131     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RED RIVER WITCH 4 2 11½ 11½ 1½ 11½ 17¼ (gladd andy)BIRZER E 118 1.60 13% 6.50 1.40 W
5  HONEY CREEK 5 4 31½ 21½ 2½ 21½ 27¼ (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 118 5.00 9.70  
2  ANGEL WHISPER 2 1 21½ 33 34½ 37½ 314¾ (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00 22.90  
1  MISSWISH 1 3 44½ 45 49½ 411½ 419¾ (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 118 1.00 55% 0.80 0.50  
3  MOONSHINE LILY 3 5 56½ 57 510 512 521 (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 124 12.00 ★ 23.90  
 
WRD-2   04/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3 ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:141     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TREASURE COAST 2 2 2nk 2nk 11 12 15½ (ashford ray)BIRZER E 122 1.40 53% 0.90 0.90 W
4  MY CALANTE 4 5 52¼ 52½ 32 32½ 25½ (roberts j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 2.00 17% 4.90 5.20 P
1  SAZON 1 3 1nk 1nk 21 22 37½ (young e)MORA GERARDO 122 1.80 ★ 1.60 S
3  CLINTON QUARINTINO 3 4 31½ 31½ 42½ 45½ 48¾ (pruitt m)ROMAN KEVIN 122 20.00 25.20  
5  STAPLETON SONG 5 1 41¾ 42 53½ 510½ 525¼ (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 10.00 7.20  
 
WRD-3   04/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:23 :461       1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CASINO QUEEN 4 1 12 12   16 19 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 124 1.00 36% 1.80 0.30 W
1  TAYLOR'S VISION 1 5 46 43   26 29 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00 18% 4.50 2.70 P
3  ACERTIVE MISS 3 3 22 22   37½ 39¾ (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 10.00 18.40  
2  J LOVE 2 4 59 56   59 414 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 121 5.00 19.60  
5  SUNDAY'S VISION 5 2 32 32   49 515 (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 3.50 25% 3.00 8.60  
 
WRD-4   04/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:252 :502 1:154     1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NORDIC QUEEN 2 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 1½ 11½ (bravo franci)JORDAN R 124 1.80 51% 0.90 1.10 W
  (by READ THE FOOTNOTES out of AWESOME EMMA by GHOSTZAPPER)
2  SPELL FREEDOM 1 3 1nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 21½ (caster boyd)BIRZER E 124 2.00 24% 3.20 0.90 P
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MY LUCKY SPELL by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
4  SAENGER STAR 3 4 31½ 34 33 33½ 36¾ (johnston d)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00 ★ 4.10 S
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  MY SECRETARIAT 4 2 45½ 412 423 433½ 447¼ (gomez j)LANDEROS C 124 30.00 21.70  
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of MARINA U PROMISES by THORN CAT)
SCR  HAUNTED DREAM (IRE)               (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 4.00    
  (by OASIS DREAM out of RED HALO by GALILEO)
SCR  READY AT TWO               (biehler michae)LINDSAY CHAD 124 3.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of BAR HOPPER by BARTOK (IRE))
 
WRD-5   04/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:224 :464       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BLAKE FROM TISH 10 6 51¾ 51¾   3.2 11 (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 4.00 6% 17.10 1.90 W
7  MISTER TYRO 7 2 3.2 3.2   2nk 21 (oberlander)ERAMIA E 118 6.00 5% 19.00 14.90 P
2  TUFF MANDATE 2 9 41¾ 41¼   51¼ 32½ (sneed todd)LANDEROS C 124 8.00 5% 19.00 4.10 S
3  ST PATRICKS SWORD 3 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 44 (moreno ca)TRIANA JR 124 3.50 28% 2.60 7.90  
5  GIT AROUND BROWN 5 3 2nk 2nk   4¼ 55½ (moreno carlos)KIMES C 118 12.00 50.00  
1  STAY STRONG 1 7 95 95¼   73¼ 66¾ (bravo franci)JORDAN R 118 6.00 4.00  
4  EASTER JIM 4 10 84 73¾   62¾ 78½ (oberlander je)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 20.00 33.60  
8  SERVICEMAN 8 8 106 105¾   106 88¾ (bravo francisc)LINDSAY CHAD 118 12.00 26.70  
11  CRYPTO MINER 11 5 73½ 84¼   83¾ 910½ (ashford ra)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 20.00 15.60  
9  MAHOMEITE 9 4 62 61¾   94 1015 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00 29.00  
6  EL CONTRATISTA 6 11 1110 119¾   1116 1125¾ (ashford ray)ROMAN KEVIN 118 6.00 40% 1.50 6.70  
 
WRD-6   04/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:124     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHILLAXIFICATION 1 1 12 12 13 16 15 (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 1.00 30% 2.40 0.60 W
5  TOM'S GIRL 5 4 44 45½ 44½ 26 25 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 118 3.00 18% 4.50 3.00 P
2  ARTISTIC VISION 2 5 57 58 56 56¾ 38¾ (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 118 5.00 6.10  
4  RUBY THE DESTROYER 4 2 22 32 23 46¼ 413 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 4.00 18% 4.60 5.00  
3  LISA G 3 3 32½ 22 33½ 36 513¼ (mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 124 8.00 18.90  
 
WRD-7   04/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:222 :452       1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ADRIA 4 2 22 22   21 11¼ (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 121 1.60 ★ 0.80  
5  STAR OF THE NORTH 5 1 12 12   11 21¼ (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 121 3.00 18% 4.70 3.30 P
1  INTO CLASSIC 1 4 33 33½   31½ 32¼ (offolter j)ERAMIA E 121 5.00 9.70  
3  SUGAR SHACK QUEEN 3 3 44½ 45   43½ 46½ (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 121 2.00 44% 1.30 2.20  
2  SHESABIDFORMIDABLE 2 5 55 55½   54 57¾ (johnston lane)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 8.00 16.10  
 
WRD-8   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:214 :45 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WEST TEXAS RAIN 5 2 11 1½   1½ 12¾ (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.00 5% 19.00 1.60 W
3  TERAWATT 3 3 43½ 31½   31 22¾ (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00 9% 9.90 3.20 P
9  FIRE EXTINGUISHER 9 4 54 53½   42½ 35 (bravo franci)JORDAN R 124 6.00 32% 2.20 3.50 S
8  SERENDIP RULER 8 1 21 2½   2½ 45¾ (hale jame)TRIANA JR 124 5.00 13% 7.00 4.00  
4  ROMANCER 4 9 912 76   63½ 56 (johnston la)STILLION BROOKE 124 5.00 22% 3.60 9.10  
10  VISION OF ELIAS 10 5 32½ 42½   53 68½ (stephens )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 10.00 22.70  
2  STEPPIN SHEP 2 6 88 86½   85 712 (williams alan)COLLIER T 124 8.00 69.80  
1  FROGGY 1 10 1015 109   96½ 812¾ (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00 37.50  
6  EL CHIHUAS 6 7 66 65   74½ 914¼ (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 124 30.00 ######  
7  TRADE DEADLINE 7 8 77½ 98   1012½ 1021½ (rodriguez marti)KIMES C 124 30.00 86.50  
 
WRD-9   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
1:131         1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATALE WINEMIXER 1 9 74 41   1½ 13 (swango rand)WETHEY JR 118 1.60 38% 1.60 0.70 W
  (by KICK ON out of TRUE YOLO by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  SURFER GIRL 7 4 31 1nk   2½ 23 (david ron)KIMES C 118 12.00 17% 5.00 36.30 P
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of IN THE BAND by PROSPECTOR'S MUSIC)
3  SPLITSECONDECISION 3 7 41½ 61¾   31½ 33 (davis d)ROMAN KEVIN 118 20.00 49.50  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
10  SULPHUR SUE 10 2 52½ 51½   42½ 43 (bravo francisc)LINDSAY CHAD 118 10.00 ★ 11.10  
  (by LATENT HEAT out of FLORA'S QUICK by FLATTER)
4  ALTERNATE ABBY 4 6 94½ 73¼   53 56¾ (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 118 20.00 97.70  
  (by ALTERNATION out of PAID by DEVIL HIS DUE)
9  NAUGHTY NOELLE 9 10 1010½ 105¼   74 69¼ (revels gear)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 20.00 99.50  
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of NAUGHTY EXPRESSION by WESTERN EXPRESSION)
8  HANNAH FO FANNAH 8 1 2½ 3½   63½ 710 (oberlande)TRIANA JR 118 12.00 14.50  
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of CONQUEST DFLAWLESS by MINESHAFT)
2  GOSPEL EXPRESSION 2 8 84½ 84¼   85½ 810½ (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00 ★ 9.50  
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL EXPRESS by AFLEET EXPRESS)
6  OKIE HEAT 6 3 63 94¾   96½ 914½ (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00 6.70  
  (by LATENT HEAT out of I'M WORKIN ON IT by QUIEN)
5  GOLDIE'S LEGACY 5 5 1½ 2nk   106½ 1023¼ (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 118 5.00 18% 4.70 3.70  
  (by MAIMONIDES out of TOC'S GOLD by TOCCET)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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