Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - April 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/4)-(2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(2/4)-(4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(4/5/1)-(3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(3/2)-(6/3/10/2/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
WRD-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/2)-(6/3/10/2/7) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(6/3/10/2/7)-(1/5/4) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
WRD-5   WIN (6/3/10/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/10/2/7)-(6/3/10/2/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/3/10/2/7)-(6/3/10/2/7)-(6/3/10/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/3/10/2/7)-(1/5/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (6/3/10/2/7)-(1/5/4)-(3/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
WRD-6   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(3/5)-(9/4/8/3/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
WRD-7   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(9/4/8/3/5) 10 $2.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(9/4/8/3/5)-(1/5/7) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
WRD-8   WIN (9/4/8/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/8/3/5)-(9/4/8/3/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (9/4/8/3/5)-(9/4/8/3/5)-(9/4/8/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/8/3/5)-(1/5/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
WRD-9   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/2/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/2/10)-(1/5/7/2/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   04/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISSWISH Mar20 Mar06 Feb25 Jan13 Dec03 (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 118 1.00 55% 0.80    
2  ANGEL WHISPER Mar07 Jan21 Dec16 Nov25 Oct26 (pruitt m)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00    
3  MOONSHINE LILY Mar19 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 Nov22 (dunlap m)ROMAN KEVIN 124 12.00 ★    
4  RED RIVER WITCH Mar20 Mar07 Dec03 Nov12 Oct19 (gladd andy)BIRZER E 118 1.60 13% 6.50    
5  HONEY CREEK Mar06 Feb11 Jan07 Sep30 Sep14 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 118 5.00    
 
WRD-2   04/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAZON Mar27 Mar13 Dec14 Nov22   (young e)MORA GERARDO 122 1.80 ★    
2  TREASURE COAST Mar21 Mar06 Feb04 Jan27 Dec15 (ashford ray)BIRZER E 122 1.40 53% 0.90    
3  CLINTON QUARINTINO Mar21 Dec16 Nov14 Oct26   (pruitt m)ROMAN KEVIN 122 20.00    
4  MY CALANTE Mar18 Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 Dec15 (roberts j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 2.00 17% 4.90    
5  STAPLETON SONG Mar21 Mar06 Dec14 Nov07 Oct15 (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 10.00    
 
WRD-3   04/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($15.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAYLOR'S VISION Mar21 Mar14 Dec17 Dec03 Nov03 (padilla juan)MORA GERARDO 121 3.00 18% 4.50    
2  J LOVE Jul12 Jul05 Jun20 Jun07 May24 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 121 5.00    
3  ACERTIVE MISS Mar21 Mar13 Dec14 Nov30 Oct19 (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 121 10.00    
4  CASINO QUEEN Mar21 Nov30 Nov12 Oct21 Sep29 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 124 1.00 36% 1.80    
5  SUNDAY'S VISION Jun13 May11 Apr27 Apr13 Mar29 (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
WRD-4   04/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HAUNTED DREAM (IRE)         (young sco)TRIANA JR 118 4.00    
  (by OASIS DREAM out of RED HALO by GALILEO)
2  SPELL FREEDOM Mar21 Feb19       (caster boyd)BIRZER E 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of MY LUCKY SPELL by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
3  NORDIC QUEEN Mar21 Aug04 Jun19 May21 May02 (bravo franci)JORDAN R 124 1.80 51% 0.90    
  (by READ THE FOOTNOTES out of AWESOME EMMA by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  SAENGER STAR Mar25 Mar14 Feb26 Feb17 Dec30 (johnston d)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00 ★    
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  MY SECRETARIAT Nov04 Apr25       (gomez j)LANDEROS C 124 30.00    
  (by SAVE BIG MONEY out of MARINA U PROMISES by THORN CAT)
SCR  READY AT TWO Mar28 Dec10 Nov18 Oct26   (biehler michae)LINDSAY CHAD 124 3.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of BAR HOPPER by BARTOK (IRE))
 
WRD-5   04/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAY STRONG Mar28 Nov19 Oct26 Sep21 Aug27 (bravo franci)JORDAN R 118 6.00    
2  TUFF MANDATE         (sneed todd)LANDEROS C 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ST PATRICKS SWORD Mar14 Dec08 Dec01 Nov05 Oct12 (moreno ca)TRIANA JR 124 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  EASTER JIM Mar28 Mar14 Mar07 Dec16 Nov19 (oberlander je)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 20.00    
5  GIT AROUND BROWN Mar13         (moreno carlos)KIMES C 118 12.00    
6  EL CONTRATISTA         (ashford ray)ROMAN KEVIN 118 6.00 40% 1.50    
7  MISTER TYRO Mar21 Mar07 Dec16 Dec02   (oberlander)ERAMIA E 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  SERVICEMAN Mar14 Oct08       (bravo francisc)LINDSAY CHAD 118 12.00    
9  MAHOMEITE Jul18 Jul05 Jun20 Jun06 May24 (martin steve)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00    
10  BLAKE FROM TISH Mar28 Mar14 Feb26 Feb04   (buehrer m)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 118 4.00 6% 17.10    
11  CRYPTO MINER Mar28 Mar14       (ashford ra)HEBERT LINDSEY 113 20.00    
 
WRD-6   04/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHILLAXIFICATION Mar24 Feb17 Dec17 Nov21 Nov03 (young sco)TRIANA JR 124 1.00 30% 2.40    
2  ARTISTIC VISION Jan16 Dec17 Nov30 Oct21 Sep16 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 118 5.00    
3  LISA G Mar20 Mar06 Feb11 Jan16 Dec16 (mitchell ralph)LANDEROS C 124 8.00    
4  RUBY THE DESTROYER Mar27 Mar06 Feb05 Dec14 Nov25 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 4.00 18% 4.60    
5  TOM'S GIRL Mar20 Mar06 Nov30 Nov11 Oct21 (biehler michael )BIRZER E 118 3.00 18% 4.50    
 
WRD-7   04/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INTO CLASSIC Feb11 Nov15 Oct02 Sep13 Aug30 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 121 5.00    
2  SHESABIDFORMIDABLE Mar05 Feb12 Sep18 Sep09 Aug19 (johnston lane)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 8.00    
3  SUGAR SHACK QUEEN Feb24 Feb01       (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 121 2.00 44% 1.30    
4  ADRIA Mar27 Mar14 Feb12 Jul22 Jun11 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 121 1.60 ★    
5  STAR OF THE NORTH Sep10 Aug21 Jul17 Jun25 May02 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 121 3.00 18% 4.70    
 
WRD-8   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROGGY Mar28 Mar06 Dec01 Nov08 Oct25 (williams steve)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00    
2  STEPPIN SHEP Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug27 Jul18 (williams alan)COLLIER T 124 8.00    
3  TERAWATT Mar27 Mar07 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 (padilla juan)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 4.00 9% 9.90    
4  ROMANCER Mar27 Mar21 Mar11 Feb05 Jan22 (johnston la)STILLION BROOKE 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
5  WEST TEXAS RAIN Nov21 Oct14 Sep28 Jul22 Jun25 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
6  EL CHIHUAS Mar06 Aug19       (espiritu lucio)SANCHEZ OBED 124 30.00    
7  TRADE DEADLINE Mar27 Dec14 Nov05 Oct15 Sep15 (rodriguez marti)KIMES C 124 30.00    
8  SERENDIP RULER Mar27 Mar13 Dec14 Nov11 Jul19 (hale jame)TRIANA JR 124 5.00 13% 7.00    
9  FIRE EXTINGUISHER Mar27 May25 Apr13 Mar22   (bravo franci)JORDAN R 124 6.00 32% 2.20    
10  VISION OF ELIAS Mar13 Dec09 Oct14 Sep05 Jul31 (stephens )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 124 10.00    
 
WRD-9   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATALE WINEMIXER Mar20 Mar06 Nov04     (swango rand)WETHEY JR 118 1.60 38% 1.60    
  (by KICK ON out of TRUE YOLO by YES IT'S TRUE)
2  GOSPEL EXPRESSION Mar20 Mar06       (williams steve)MORA GERARDO 124 4.00 ★    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of GOSPEL EXPRESS by AFLEET EXPRESS)
3  SPLITSECONDECISION Mar21 Mar07 Feb17 Feb05 Jan15 (davis d)ROMAN KEVIN 118 20.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
4  ALTERNATE ABBY Mar27 Nov25 Nov04 Sep30   (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 118 20.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of PAID by DEVIL HIS DUE)
5  GOLDIE'S LEGACY         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 118 5.00 18% 4.70    
  (by MAIMONIDES out of TOC'S GOLD by TOCCET)
6  OKIE HEAT Dec02         (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 6.00    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of I'M WORKIN ON IT by QUIEN)
7  SURFER GIRL         (david ron)KIMES C 118 12.00 17% 5.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of IN THE BAND by PROSPECTOR'S MUSIC)
8  HANNAH FO FANNAH Mar20 Mar06 Dec15 Nov18 Oct22 (oberlande)TRIANA JR 118 12.00    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of CONQUEST DFLAWLESS by MINESHAFT)
9  NAUGHTY NOELLE Mar11 Feb26 Dec15 Dec08   (revels gear)HERRERA GUSTAVO 118 20.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of NAUGHTY EXPRESSION by WESTERN EXPRESSION)
10  SULPHUR SUE Dec15         (bravo francisc)LINDSAY CHAD 118 10.00 ★    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of FLORA'S QUICK by FLATTER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.