Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Monday - April 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-7   WIN (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $18.80 $10.80 135%
    EXA (1/3/6/4)-(1/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-1 $34.90 $22.90 191%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   04/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:231 :451 :581     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PAUL VINCENTS POEM 4 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 1hd (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 24% 3.20 0.70 W
3  WEARENOTBADPEOPLE 2 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 2hd (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 23% 3.40 1.10 P
4  VICTORY AT LAST 3 2 31½ 32½   33 33¼ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 7.30  
2  DEVILS WORKSHOP 1 3 41¾ 42¾   43½ 44 (koler steve)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 9% 9.80 7.70  
SCR  BARBARIAN               (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 3.00    
SCR  CHAMPS SUCCESS               (moreno ca)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
SCR  DOUBLE PERFECTION               (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
TUP-2   04/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:214 :44 :56     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  KINGDOM HEART 6 1 11 11½   15 17½ (cerin vladi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.40 0.90  
3  JUSTIN AZTECA 3 4 68½ 78¼   56¾ 27½ (story chad)CORBETT W 121 3.00 40% 1.50 2.70 P
7  IT'S TURBO 7 5 31 31½   25 37½ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00 14% 6.30 4.70 S
4  RAAJIN RIBBON 4 2 21 42   36½ 49¼ (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 6.00 ★ 24.00  
5  MS FLASHY HARBOR 5 3 53½ 55   66¾ 59½ (metz j)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 111 12.00 23.90  
1  HI YAH 1 7 42 21½   46½ 610¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 24% 3.10 4.00  
2  HADLEES HONOR 2 6 79 68   711¾ 715 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 121 12.00 48.00  
 
TUP-3   04/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:222 :443 :56     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BRADY BOY 7 1 12 12   12 1¾ (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.20 0.80  
5  BEDROCK (GB) 5 2 22 22   22 2¾ (christian bill)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 26% 2.90 5.90 P
6  TRICKY LEE 6 7 63¾ 76¼   45½ 33¾ (ma)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 10% 9.30 20.70 S
2  SWING WEST 2 4 53½ 55¼   55½ 44¼ (nelson a)BUTTERFLY L 122 10.00 10% 9.40 3.80  
3  HEY NOW 3 5 32 32   32½ 54½ (kenney dan)VERGARA P 122 4.00 7.20  
1  BANGO FOR BUCKS 1 6 74¼ 65¾   77½ 68 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 122 12.00 33.90  
4  LINCHPIN STORM 4 3 42½ 45   66 711½ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 25% 3.10 4.50  
 
TUP-4   04/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:221 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECONCILING FORCE 1 1 11 11   13 12½ (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.50 ★ 2.70  
5  BIG IRISH 4 4 42 21   23 22½ (ch)DA FAUSTO 121 3.50 45% 1.20 1.70 P
8  NORTHERN COCKTAIL 6 2 21 31   33 33¾ (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 28% 2.50 1.80 S
2  THE O G 2 3 31 42   43¼ 46 (metz j)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 5.00 4.50  
3  TIZ CURLY JOE 3 5 510 510   511¼ 513¼ (williams dew)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 10.00 5% 17.50 12.40  
7  LIL KOWBOY 5 6 611½ 611½   612¾ 614½ (dillenbeck b)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 29.10  
SCR  EUSEBIO               (esquibel mar)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00    
SCR  LOTSA SKY               (perkins frances)ZUNINO L 121 6.00    
 
TUP-5   04/17/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:122 1:38   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BAROSSA 7 4 31 54½ 43 2½ 1¼ (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00 3.80  
2  CASHANOVA 2 1 1½ 11½ 1½ 1½ 2¼ (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 9% 10.30 2.70 P
4  THE RIGHT STUFF (GB) 4 2 2½ 21½ 2½ 31½ 31 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 2.50 40% 1.50 0.80 S
6  UNMACHABLE 6 7 85¼ 89¾ 87½ 63 42½ (mccartney jack)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 25.60  
3  BRIX 3 3 41½ 42½ 31½ 42 52½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 16% 5.30 10.00  
5  FALSELY ACCUSED 5 5 72¾ 76¼ 64½ 52½ 62¾ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 21.40  
8  INESPERADO (FR) 8 8 51½ 64¾ 54 74 74¼ (ei)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 23.10  
1  PLAYOFF BOUND 1 6 61¾ 32½ 75½ 86½ 89¼ (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 9% 9.80 21.00  
 
TUP-6   04/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:22 :451 :562     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DESTINY ONE 7 6 63¾ 5¾   3.2 1hd (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 ★ 0.70  
6  RIGHT TO SUE 6 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 2hd (villamar cand)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 18.50  
4  ATTORNEY LOUIS 4 4 42 2nk   2nk 3¼ (toye j)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 6.00 6.30  
3  BOURBON AND WATER 3 5 53½ 61¾   4¼ 42¼ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 35% 1.80 5.90  
2  MUSICAL GEM 2 8 77¾ 74¼   65¼ 57 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 18% 4.50 6.10  
8  CHICKEN N BISCUIT 8 7 810¾ 88¼   87¼ 67¾ (esquibel mar)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 29.70  
5  KAI'S STATEMENT 5 2 2nk 4¼   76¼ 78¼ (barraza s)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 15.60  
1  FULL OF LIFE 1 3 3½ 3.2   52¾ 88½ (silva rodri)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 17% 4.80 7.00  
 
TUP-7   04/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
See original race card.
:222 :443 :563     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WHISTLING HOME 4 3 3½ 31½   2nk 1¾ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00 11% 8.30 8.40 W
1  MISS IMPORTANT 1 7 54½ 65   42¼ 2¾ (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.80 25% 2.90 2.40 P
5  IN THE VAULT 5 4 42 1nk   1nk 32½ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 3.90  
6  CHEROKEE PAPOOSE 6 6 78 53½   52¼ 42¾ (whitehous)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 12% 7.50 3.90  
7  LUCY TREASURE 7 1 1nk 2nk   3.2 55¾ (morgan dan)VERGARA P 122 10.00 5.40  
2  BORN TO REIGN 2 5 66½ 79   67¾ 69 (martinez o )MARTI ALEXANDER 122 15.00 19.40  
3  TOBY'S CANDY 3 2 2nk 43   78¼ 718¼ (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 4.00 20% 4.00 2.80  
 
TUP-8   04/17/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:44
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:142     1:323   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NASHVILLE SKYLINE 5 3 2nk 11   12½ 11¾ (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 121 15.00 8.80  
8  ECHO CANYON 8 8 75¼ 54½   43 21¾ (schnell don)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 20.20  
3  ANOTHERFORBROOKS 3 2 31 43   22½ 32¼ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 24% 3.10 4.10 S
6  I'M NOBLE 6 5 65¼ 74¾   64¾ 42¾ (person kenneth )VERGARA P 121 15.00 5% 18.90 15.10  
1  NAPOLEONIC CODE 1 1 1nk 21   32½ 53 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50 1.80  
7  SPECIAL MOMENT 7 6 86¾ 86¼   96¼ 65¼ (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 3.00 49% 1.00 2.60  
2  PROSPECT OF RAIN 2 4 42½ 33   53¼ 75½ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 22.60  
10  MY KACEJJ 9 7 55 64¾   75¼ 86¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 ★ 12.00  
4  PUBLIC OPINION 4 9 98¾ 97¼   86¼ 96½ (rarick)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 8.00 ★ 8.10  
SCR  AIR JOCK               ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.