Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - April 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TUP-2   Win (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $3.80  
TUP-3   Win (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $3.60  
TUP-4   Win (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $7.40  
TUP-5   Win (4/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $9.60  
TUP-6   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $3.40  
TUP-7   Win (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $18.80 $18.80 10.80
TUP-8   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $19.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   04/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:231 :451 :581     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAUL VINCENTS POEM 4 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 1hd (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 24% 3.20 0.70 W
WEARENOTBADPEOPLE 2 4 2nk 2nk   1nk 2hd (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 23% 3.40 1.10 P
VICTORY AT LAST 3 2 3 3   33 3 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 7.30  
DEVILS WORKSHOP 1 3 4 4   4 44 (koler steve)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 9% 9.80 7.70  
SCR  BARBARIAN               (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 3.00    
SCR  CHAMPS SUCCESS               (moreno carl)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
SCR  DOUBLE PERFECTION               (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
TUP-2   04/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:214 :44 :56     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGDOM HEART 6 1 11 1   15 1 (cerin vladimi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.40 0.90  
JUSTIN AZTECA 3 4 6 7   5 2 (story chad)CORBETT W 121 3.00 40% 1.50 2.70 P
IT'S TURBO 7 5 31 3   25 3 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00 14% 6.30 4.70 S
RAAJIN RIBBON 4 2 21 42   3 4 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 6.00 24.00  
MS FLASHY HARBOR 5 3 5 55   6 5 (metz jef)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 111 12.00 23.90  
HI YAH 1 7 42 2   4 610¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 24% 3.10 4.00  
HADLEES HONOR 2 6 79 68   711¾ 715 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 121 12.00 48.00  
 
TUP-3   04/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:222 :443 :56     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRADY BOY 7 1 12 12   12 1¾ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.20 0.80  
BEDROCK (GB) 5 2 22 22   22 2¾ (christian billy)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 26% 2.90 5.90 P
TRICKY LEE 6 7 6 7   4 3 (mart)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 10% 9.30 20.70 S
SWING WEST 2 4 5 5   5 4 (nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 122 10.00 10% 9.40 3.80  
HEY NOW 3 5 32 32   3 5 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 122 4.00 7.20  
BANGO FOR BUCKS 1 6 7 6   7 68 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 122 12.00 33.90  
LINCHPIN STORM 4 3 4 45   66 711½ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 25% 3.10 4.50  
 
TUP-4   04/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:221 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECONCILING FORCE 1 1 11 11   13 1 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.50 2.70  
BIG IRISH 4 4 42 21   23 2 (cham)DA FAUSTO 121 3.50 45% 1.20 1.70 P
NORTHERN COCKTAIL 6 2 21 31   33 3 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 28% 2.50 1.80 S
THE O G 2 3 31 42   4 46 (metz jef)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 5.00 4.50  
TIZ CURLY JOE 3 5 510 510   511¼ 513¼ (williams dewey)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 10.00 5% 17.50 12.40  
LIL KOWBOY 5 6 611½ 611½   612¾ 614½ (dillenbeck bru)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 29.10  
SCR  EUSEBIO               (esquibel mark)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00    
SCR  LOTSA SKY               (perkins frances)ZUNINO L 121 6.00    
 
TUP-5   04/17/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:122 1:38   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAROSSA 7 4 31 5 43 2½ 1¼ (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00 3.80  
CASHANOVA 2 1 1½ 1 1½ 1½ 2¼ (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 9% 10.30 2.70 P
THE RIGHT STUFF (GB) 4 2 2½ 2 2½ 3 31 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 2.50 40% 1.50 0.80 S
UNMACHABLE 6 7 8 8 8 63 4 (mccartney jack)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 25.60  
BRIX 3 3 4 4 3 42 5 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 16% 5.30 10.00  
FALSELY ACCUSED 5 5 7 7 6 5 6 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 21.40  
INESPERADO (FR) 8 8 5 6 54 74 7 (eikl)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 23.10  
PLAYOFF BOUND 1 6 6 3 7 8 8 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 9% 9.80 21.00  
 
TUP-6   04/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
See original race card.
:22 :451 :562     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINY ONE 7 6 6 5¾   3.2 1hd (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 0.70  
RIGHT TO SUE 6 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 2hd (villamar candel)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 18.50  
ATTORNEY LOUIS 4 4 42 2nk   2nk 3¼ (toye joe)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 6.00 6.30  
BOURBON AND WATER 3 5 5 6   4¼ 4 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 35% 1.80 5.90  
MUSICAL GEM 2 8 7 7   6 57 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 18% 4.50 6.10  
CHICKEN N BISCUIT 8 7 810¾ 8   8 6 (esquibel mark)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 29.70  
KAI'S STATEMENT 5 2 2nk 4¼   7 7 (barraza sos)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 15.60  
FULL OF LIFE 1 3 3½ 3.2   5 8 (silva rodrigu)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 17% 4.80 7.00  
 
TUP-7   04/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
See original race card.
:222 :443 :563     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISTLING HOME 4 3 3½ 3   2nk 1¾ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 3.00 11% 8.30 8.40 W
MISS IMPORTANT 1 7 5 65   4 2¾ (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.80 25% 2.90 2.40 P
IN THE VAULT 5 4 42 1nk   1nk 3 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 3.90  
CHEROKEE PAPOOSE 6 6 78 5   5 4 (whitehouse )VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 12% 7.50 3.90  
LUCY TREASURE 7 1 1nk 2nk   3.2 5 (morgan dan)VERGARA P 122 10.00 5.40  
BORN TO REIGN 2 5 6 79   6 69 (martinez a)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 15.00 19.40  
TOBY'S CANDY 3 2 2nk 43   7 718¼ (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 4.00 20% 4.00 2.80  
 
TUP-8   04/17/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:44
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:142     1:323   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NASHVILLE SKYLINE 5 3 2nk 11   1 1 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 121 15.00 8.80  
ECHO CANYON 8 8 7 5   43 2 (schnell don)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 20.20  
ANOTHERFORBROOKS 3 2 31 43   2 3 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 24% 3.10 4.10 S
I'M NOBLE 6 5 6 7   6 4 (person a)VERGARA P 121 15.00 5% 18.90 15.10  
NAPOLEONIC CODE 1 1 1nk 21   3 53 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50 1.80  
SPECIAL MOMENT 7 6 8 8   9 6 (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 3.00 49% 1.00 2.60  
PROSPECT OF RAIN 2 4 4 33   5 7 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 22.60  
10  MY KACEJJ 9 7 55 6   7 8 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 12.00  
PUBLIC OPINION 4 9 9 9   8 9 (rarick w)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 8.00 8.10  
SCR  AIR JOCK               ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.