Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Monday - April 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-1   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-2   Win (3/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-3   Win (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-4   Win (5/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (4/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-6   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (1/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-1   04/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOUBLE PERFECTION Mar18 Mar05 Feb11 Jan19   (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  DEVILS WORKSHOP Feb08 Jan19 Jan02 Nov29 Sep18 (koler steve)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 9% 9.80    
3  WEARENOTBADPEOPLE Apr03 Mar20 Feb27 Feb19 Jan31 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
4  VICTORY AT LAST Dec01 Nov04 Oct15 Oct07 Sep23 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
SCR  CHAMPS SUCCESS Mar07 Jan11 May16 Apr26 Apr11 (moreno carl)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
6  PAUL VINCENTS POEM Mar07 Jan15 Dec20 Nov14 Jan07 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  BARBARIAN Feb15 Feb02 Jan11 Dec09 Nov20 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 3.00    
 
TUP-2   04/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HI YAH Feb13 Dec21 Dec08     (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 24% 3.10    
2  HADLEES HONOR Mar25 Feb14 Jan13 Dec09 Nov27 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 121 12.00    
3  JUSTIN AZTECA Mar14 Feb27 Jan28 Nov07 Apr13 (story chad)CORBETT W 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  RAAJIN RIBBON Sep11 Aug21 Aug14     (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 6.00 ★    
5  MS FLASHY HARBOR Mar26 Feb26 Feb06 Jan10 Sep17 (metz jef)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 111 12.00    
6  KINGDOM HEART Mar19 Mar05 Jun10     (cerin vladimi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 1.40    
7  IT'S TURBO Mar14 Sep18 Aug07 Jul10 Jun24 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00 14% 6.30    
 
TUP-3   04/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANGO FOR BUCKS Jan30 Dec21 Apr21 Mar30 Feb18 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 122 12.00    
2  SWING WEST Apr04 Mar08 Nov17 Nov02 Oct01 (nelson amy)BUTTERFLY L 122 10.00 10% 9.40    
3  HEY NOW Mar18 Aug06 Jul09 Jun27 Apr25 (kenney dan)VERGARA P 122 4.00    
4  LINCHPIN STORM Dec21 Dec13 Oct29 Sep18 Aug13 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 25% 3.10    
5  BEDROCK (GB) Mar27 Mar11 Feb18 Nov28 Nov07 (christian billy)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
6  TRICKY LEE Jan25 Oct03 Sep18 Aug23 Jul17 (mart)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
7  BRADY BOY Sep03 Aug21 Jul24     (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.20    
 
TUP-4   04/17/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 5:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECONCILING FORCE Mar18         (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.50 ★    
2  THE O G Apr04 Feb18       (metz jef)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 5.00    
3  TIZ CURLY JOE         (williams dewey)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 10.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  EUSEBIO Jan08 Dec09       (esquibel mark)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 8.00    
5  BIG IRISH         (cham)DA FAUSTO 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  LOTSA SKY Apr03 Jan28 Jan14 Nov07   (perkins frances)ZUNINO L 121 6.00    
7  LIL KOWBOY Mar12 Feb20 Feb10     (dillenbeck bru)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00    
8  NORTHERN COCKTAIL Apr05 Mar07 Feb16 Feb02   (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
TUP-5   04/17/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAYOFF BOUND Mar28 Mar12 Feb26 Aug03 Jul15 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 9% 9.80    
2  CASHANOVA Apr05 Mar29 Feb08 Jan09 Dec14 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 9% 10.30    
3  BRIX Mar07 Feb11 Jan25 Dec20 Nov27 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  THE RIGHT STUFF (GB) Mar07 Dec01 Oct10     (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
5  FALSELY ACCUSED Mar28 Jan23 Dec27 Dec01 Nov08 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00    
6  UNMACHABLE Mar25 Mar07 Feb07 Jan23 Jan10 (mccartney jack)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00    
7  BAROSSA Mar25 Mar11 Feb20 Feb11 Jan23 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 4.00    
8  INESPERADO (FR) Mar27 Mar06 Feb20 Jan30 Dec16 (eikl)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00    
 
TUP-6   04/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL OF LIFE Mar06 Jan17 Jan05 Aug06 Jul24 (silva rodrigu)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 17% 4.80    
2  MUSICAL GEM Mar26 Feb18 Feb05 Jan17 Jan05 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 18% 4.50    
3  BOURBON AND WATER Mar19 Feb18 Jan28 Jan10 Dec20 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
4  ATTORNEY LOUIS Apr08 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 Feb11 (toye joe)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 6.00    
5  KAI'S STATEMENT Apr08 Feb28 Jan28 Jan07 Dec16 (barraza sos)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
6  RIGHT TO SUE Mar25 Mar06 Feb26 Feb06 Aug29 (villamar candel)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00    
7  DESTINY ONE Mar25 Mar05 Feb06     (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 ★    
8  CHICKEN N BISCUIT Apr04 Oct02 Sep13 Sep05 Aug09 (esquibel mark)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00    
 
TUP-7   04/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS IMPORTANT Mar08 Feb22 Jan31 Dec27 Dec15 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.80 25% 2.90    
2  BORN TO REIGN Mar04 Jan25 Jan09 Dec17 Nov07 (martinez a)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
3  TOBY'S CANDY Mar19 Feb18 Jan23     (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 118 4.00 20% 4.00    
4  WHISTLING HOME Mar18 Aug08 Jul11 Apr28 Mar28 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
5  IN THE VAULT Mar14 Feb07 Jan11 Aug19 Aug06 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
6  CHEROKEE PAPOOSE Mar19 Mar01 Nov30 Sep03 Aug08 (whitehouse )VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 12% 7.50    
7  LUCY TREASURE Oct01 Sep17 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 (morgan dan)VERGARA P 122 10.00    
 
TUP-8   04/17/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAPOLEONIC CODE Mar29 Mar18 Nov05 Sep30 Sep10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50    
2  PROSPECT OF RAIN Mar03 Feb18 Feb05 Jan28 Jan07 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00    
3  ANOTHERFORBROOKS Apr04 Mar14 Feb14 Jan14 Dec27 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
4  PUBLIC OPINION Mar11 Feb18 Jan26 Nov25 Sep17 (rarick w)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 8.00 ★    
5  NASHVILLE SKYLINE Mar27 Feb20 Feb07 Jul10 Jun24 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 121 15.00    
6  I'M NOBLE Mar07 Feb16 Feb07 Jan05 Aug14 (person a)VERGARA P 121 15.00 5% 18.90    
7  SPECIAL MOMENT Apr04 Mar11 Feb18 Feb07 Jan18 (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 3.00 49% 1.00    
8  ECHO CANYON Mar27 Mar11 Feb27 Feb13 Jan26 (schnell don)ZUNINO L 121 8.00    
10  MY KACEJJ Mar18 Feb26 Feb07     (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  AIR JOCK Mar06 Feb14 Jan05     ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.