Handicappers' Race Results

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Lone Star Park
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LS-1   Win (2/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
LS-2   Win (2/1/10/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $21.40  
LS-3   Win (2/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $22.20 $22.20 14.20
LS-4   Win (6/8/5/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $9.60 $9.60  
LS-5   Win (8/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $18.20 $18.20 10.20
LS-6   Win (8/3/1/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $27.40  
LS-7   Win (5/11/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20

Simulator Race results

 
LS-1   05/11/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 ALL PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:224 :461       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL MARK 2 1 11     15 110 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 119 2.00 38% 1.60 0.40 W
EMILY'S BULLET 3 3 21     25 210 (pomier chas)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 116 4.00 12.90  
DA RINGO 6 4 5     48 312¾ (bro)DE CRUZ 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.40 S
ROCKET SOCKS 4 5 6     69 417½ (davids)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
COOL RIDE 5 2 4     58 521¾ (gelner jayde )WETHEY JR 119 3.50 18% 4.60 4.50  
POUND OUT A DEAL 1 6 3     3 624 (deville car)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 4.50 7.30  
SCR  LEGENDARY DRAGON               (pomier chasey )ALVAREZ L 119 5.00    
 
LS-2   05/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
See original race card.
:234 :491 1:124 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL ASHLEY B. 2 4 5 53 55 4 1 (pish danny)ERAMIA E 124 15.00 9.70  
DISCREET SMILE 1 1 11 21 23 3 2 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00 19% 4.20 6.00 P
DADDYMADEMEDOIT 5 3 3 4 44 21 3 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00 7% 14.20 2.20 S
HOT TUB HOTTIE 6 2 21 11 13 11 43 (brober)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00 9.10  
XYLOPHONE 4 5 6 6 612 5 5 (mcbride d)BAILEY CHEL-C 124 4.50 1.70  
DEL MAR DRAMA 3 6 4 3 3 6 6 (diodoro robert)FUENTES A 124 8.00 3.40  
SCR  BRANDONS BABE               (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  GASTOWN               (gov)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  LEGENDARYS FIRST               (montano w)GONCALVES R 124 15.00    
SCR  QUINN ELLA               (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 5.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  SET THE PACE               (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 124 4.00    
 
LS-3   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:31
See original race card.
:252 :491 1:14 1:27   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENTUCKY PEERLESS 7 1 1 11 11 110 110¾ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 10.00 11% 8.00 10.10 W
BIG ROJO 4 2 44 4 4 311 210¾ (torrez jerenes)ALVAREZ L 123 4.50 11% 8.00 2.60 P
HE'S PRETTY LUCKY 5 6 66 6 6 411 310¾ (padilla car)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 123 20.00 10.20  
GOLD ACCOUNT 6 3 5 57 54 511½ 411½ (eoff te)MANRRIQUE JOSE 123 8.00 9.50  
PEPPERMAN 3 5 3 34 3 611¾ 512¼ (diodoro robert)FUENTES A 123 1.60 18% 4.60 1.70  
FREDONIAN 2 4 2 21 21 210 616¾ (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 123 3.00 38% 1.60 3.60  
MAX PANDOWDY 1 7 78 711½ 7 721¾ 719 (hirdes john)BARANDELA SOFIA 118 6.00 9.20  
SCR  EPIC RUN               (montano wil)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 123 15.00    
 
LS-4   05/11/2023 5940ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:122 1:363   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENGLANDER 5 1 22 27 1nk 2nk 1¾ (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 120 3.50 33% 2.10 3.80 W
DON'TASK DON'TTELL 7 4 4 4 31 1nk 2¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 1.80 23% 3.30 3.00 P
BROCK ON BY 8 2 12 17 2nk 3.2 3 (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 120 10.00 8.00  
KOKOKOMO 2 5 7 711½ 6 5 4 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 120 5.00 3.70  
JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE) 1 8 8 611 5 4 54 (willis mi)GONCALVES R 120 15.00 25.80  
THUNDERSHOOK 4 7 57 510 7 6 66 (villafranco f)WETHEY JR 120 15.00 10% 9.20 5.80  
10  HARD LOVE 9 9 911¼ 913¼ 8 7 78 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 20.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
ALVAARO 3 6 67 813 9 910¾ 811 (diodoro robert)FUENTES A 120 6.00 12.40  
NEWPORT BEACH 6 3 35 3 42 8 912½ (offolter joe)ERAMIA E 120 15.00 5% 17.70 18.90  
SCR  FREEDOM FACTOR               (govea cesar)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 120 8.00    
SCR  RANDELLO               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50    
 
LS-5   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:27
See original race card.
:222 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWN ABBY 4 3 3 4   32 1 (calhoun willi)WETHEY JR 122 10.00 10% 8.90 8.10 W
CADEAU DE PAIX 6 1 21 11   12 2 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.50 8.40  
MARIAH'S CANDY 7 2 42 31   22 3 (gelner j)MORA GERARDO 124 2.50 38% 1.60 2.80 S
MISS DISTINCTIVE 2 7 53 6   45 47 (brober)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 17.00  
SUPER WONDER GIRL 3 6 63 5   56 512½ (diodoro robert)FUENTES A 122 1.80 21% 3.80 0.70  
SWEET BAY 1 5 7 7   69 618 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00 8% 12.00 15.10  
MIDSUMMER SOIREE 5 4 11 21   712½ 728¼ (diodoro robert)ALVAREZ L 117 12.00 21.50  
SCR  TOOTIE               (dupuy allen)DIAZ RENE 122 15.00    
 
LS-6   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:224 :464 :60     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMARTY RIDGE 4 4 5 6   43 1¾ (say)DE CRUZ 124 8.00 12.70  
TIZ BODHI BOY 6 3 6 76   5 2¾ (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 119 1.80 47% 1.10 1.80 P
10  MALORIE'S BIG BOY 8 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 3 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 5.70  
MR. VALENTINO 2 7 3.2 3.2   2½ 4 (keen dall)GONCALVES R 119 3.00 7.00  
BEYOND INFINITY (FR) 3 6 2nk 2nk   3½ 5 (gustafson austi)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00 19% 4.20 2.60  
VALDINA DREAMS 7 5 7 5   7 614½ (payne w)MORA GERARDO 124 12.00 13.10  
DADA BOOM RIDGE 5 2 8 814   813¾ 715 (kotara )CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 20.00 32.50  
SUMMER HELP 1 8 4 4   6 815½ (padilla a)DIEGO V 119 20.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
11  KEEPMOVINGFORWARD 9 9 957¾ 959   953¾ 952 (whitton mark)JUDE JOHN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
SCR  BLINGO               (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 10.00    
SCR  RIP RULES               (echeverria )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 15.00    
 
LS-7   05/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 F PT-10:23
See original race card.
:22 :443       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AISHA R N 1 6 1nk 1½   1 1nk (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 15% 5.80 3.10 W
FLY CONDOR 6 2 31 3   43 2nk (villafr)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 8.00 7.30  
HOW BOUT ME 5 4 53 45   5 3¼ (gelner jayde )WETHEY JR 122 15.00 13.90  
TITLED LADY 4 1 4 5   33 4½ (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 122 1.80 38% 1.60 2.90  
NIGHT ORB 2 8 7 66   6 5 (scholl kevin)ERAMIA E 122 20.00 6% 15.10 13.40  
10  YVONNE'S MISS 8 7 8 8   7 63 (young e)FUENTES A 122 20.00 2.60  
COUNTRY LADY 3 3 2nk 2½   2 7 (thomas lee)MORA GERARDO 122 3.50 7.10  
SWEET SLEW 7 5 6 7   8 815 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 20.00 13.60  
SCR  AZUNIA               (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 15.00    
SCR  PERILOUS LIFE               (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 2.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  SHACKED STATESIDE               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.