Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Lone Star Park
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-2   WIN (9/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  9 $7.60 $3.60 90%
LS-3   WIN (5/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $12.60 $4.60 58%
LS-4   PK3 (9/6)-(5/4/2/1)-(4/2/3/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00  9-1-3 $532.50 $516.50 3228%
    PK3 (9/6)-(5/4/2/1)-(4/2/3/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00  9-1-2 $532.50 $516.50 3228%
LS-5   PK3 (5/4/2/1)-(4/2/3/8)-(9/11/7/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00  1-2-3/11 $102.25 $70.25 220%
LS-6   WIN (3/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $4.80 $0.80 20%

Simulator Race results

 
LS-1   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:22 :454       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATRAS 2 3 3 3   1nk 1 (hewitt mic)ERAMIA E 124 2.00 1.90  
BIG TICKET 6 6 4 4   4¾ 2 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 3.50 9% 9.70 5.50 P
PHILO BEDDOE 5 5 1nk 1nk   2nk 32 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 5.00 20% 4.00 2.90 S
SAINT PIO 4 2 5 5   5 4 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.00 5.10  
RUSH THE COLORS 3 1 2nk 2nk   3.2 5 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00 13% 6.60 5.30  
BOLD N WILD 1 4 67 69   6 6 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 8.00 26% 2.90 5.80  
SCR  PRIME CODE               (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 12.00    
 
LS-2   05/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
See original race card.
:212 :441       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAT 8 3 1nk 12   11 1 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.00 44% 1.30 2.80 W
STRAIGHT LUCK 4 1 2nk 22   21 2 (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 119 6.00 4.80  
PITALE 7 2 3 34   34 3 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 119 8.00 9.60 S
TEO 1 4 5 6   45 45 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 1.80 1.90 DH
SAINT CHARLES 2 8 65 57   5 45 (ritter sh)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00 9.50 DH
SEARING 5 7 88 711¼   710 6 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 32% 2.10 6.30  
MIDNIGHT HUNTER 3 5 4 47   66 7 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 15.00 9.90  
JERSEY JIM 6 6 77 815¼   818 820 (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 119 15.00 25.20  
SCR  HULLINAHURRY               (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 119 4.50    
SCR  SUPREME CAPO               (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 15.00    
 
LS-3   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 F PT- 8:31
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BONNIEVIEW 1 3 1nk 2nk   14 1 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 10.00 14% 6.40 5.30 W
PERILOUS LIFE 6 1 3½ 1nk   24 2 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 3.10  
WIKI LIO 4 2 2nk 4¼   3 3 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.00 24% 3.20 1.70 S
SHE'S JERSEY TUFF 3 5 5 5   410 410 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 15.00 10.60  
THE RAGE OF ART 5 6 67 6   612½ 511¾ (g)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 14.90  
JENNY'S PENNY 2 4 42 3.2   510 612 (clary jay)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 3.50 17% 5.00 2.20  
SCR  IT TAKES HEART               (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
 
LS-4   05/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:102     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT MAKES SENSE 2 6 31 3.2   1nk 1 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.00 23% 3.40 1.90 W
BOOTSIE'S GALAXY 5 4 53 5   3½ 2 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00 6.10  
PIKNITUPLAYNITDOWN 7 1 7 6   2nk 3 (hjort donna)ALVAREZ L 122 15.00 6% 16.00 6.70 S
IM THE MACHINE 6 7 66 7   65 45 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 4.50 7.00  
DAME PLATA 4 2 4 4   54 5 (bravo franci)FUENTES A 122 10.00 8.40  
ALGEBRA 3 3 1nk 2nk   42 6 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 2.50 32% 2.10 2.30  
MACHO RONNIE 1 5 2nk 1nk   78 713¾ (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 124 20.00 12.00  
SCR  IMPRESSED               (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
 
LS-5   05/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:27
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:12 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRES SOLES 2 3 45 5 2 1nk 1¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.00 2.70  
COSMIC SOUL 5 2 3 3 4 31 2¾ (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 4.50 3.10  
MOR LANA SPIRIT 8 7 57 4 3 2nk 32 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 2.50 44% 1.30 4.00 S
FAST TRAFFIC 7 9 810½ 6 5 4 4 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00 17.70  
KLIMTOMANIAC 4 8 910½ 98 9 8 5 (govea cesar)DIEGO V 122 12.00 29.90  
DOUGH BOY 6 4 7 8 7 6 6 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00 6% 16.30 7.30  
BAREFOOT SAMURAI 3 5 68 7 8 7 7 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 122 8.00 11.50  
BRATTON 1 1 12 11 1 5 8 (gustafson )ERAMIA E 122 6.00 5.30  
10  AARON'S SPIRIT 9 6 22 21 6 9 913 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00 12.50  
SCR  GUSTAVO               (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PHANTOM RIDE               (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
LS-6   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIL MISS SUNSHINE 3 1 13 14   17 1 (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 124 1.80 54% 0.80 1.40 W
11  LEPRECHAUN CHARM 11 7 7 69   5 2 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 119 4.00 24% 3.30 3.70 P
RUN FOR MRS RIGGS 1 10 34 3   37 3 (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00 33.70 DH
MISCHIEF ANGEL 4 8 10 911¾   914 3 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 8.00 4.90 DH
LADAWN 8 4 4 46   48 5 (smith a)JUDE JOHN 124 12.00 23.40  
PIECE OF ME 7 2 23 24   27 67 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00 10.00  
10  EMMYLOU SQUALL 10 5 8 711   812½ 715¼ (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00 27.70  
MAREBELL 9 6 66 811¼   711 817½ (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 5.00 9.00  
ROSITA LA CARINOSA 6 3 5 59   610 919¼ (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 20.00 33.60  
WISTFULLY 5 11 1110¾ 1115¼   1122 1025¾ (d)DE CRUZ 124 15.00 23.20  
NELLIE DEE 2 9 9 1012¼   1017 1127¼ (ortiz javier)PIVARAL GERBER 124 30.00 14.00  
 
LS-7   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
See original race card.
:23 :464 :593     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE THAN SHAKIN 8 2 11 13   14 1 (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 4.50 7.40  
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MORE THAT LILY by MORE THAN READY)
OLIVIA'S RACE DAY 4 7 72 6   3 2 (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.00 30% 2.40 2.20 P
  (by RACE DAY out of EVERYTHING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
10  GOLDEN SLEW 9 1 4 23   24 3 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 3.00 10% 9.30 3.50 S
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of SEEKING SIMPLICITY by SEEKING THE GOLD)
RIVER'S END 5 4 6 7   58 4 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 3.50 32% 2.10 6.20  
  (by CONGAREE out of PACK YOUR P J'S by GOLD LEGEND)
POQUITO LADY 3 3 31 4   6 5 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 119 15.00 20.50  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of CARSON CITY BABE by CARSON CITY)
ALONG CAME THUNDER 1 6 21 33   47 611 (baldillez)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00 16.50  
  (by MOON THUNDER out of ALONG CAME KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
CROSS CLAIM 7 8 83 85   711½ 712½ (hebert matt)DIEGO V 119 8.00 4.80  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DOUBLE FANCY by TRIBAL RULE)
RON'S LAVENDER 2 10 1010½ 1013   813 815¾ (kotara rona)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 30.00 24.80  
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
11  BLOOD ORANGE 10 9 9 98   913 916 (h)DE CRUZ 124 10.00 6% 15.70 21.80  
  (by PAYNTER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
DIVAESQUE 6 5 5 5   1015 1025¼ (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 15.00 11.40  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of LIFE BY R R by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
SCR  SOLECITA               (coats t)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00    
  (by LIAISON out of DUBAIDORA by E DUBAI)
 
LS-8   05/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT-10:51
See original race card.
:214 :444       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHOJO 1 6 1½ 1½   1 1nk (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00 19.50  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of RATHVILLY by GRAND SLAM)
10  CINNAMON FACE 9 1 5 45   44 2nk (davis sha)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 3.00 4.00 P
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SALTY MO by UNCLE MO)
SUGAR MAMAS CAKERY 6 2 31 2½   2 3.15 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00 2.90  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CARLA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
OUR PASTOR 2 5 2½ 31   32 4 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 15% 5.50 5.20  
  (by HALF OURS out of PASTOR PAIGE by FAYREGAMMO)
SKY ROCKER 5 7 7 7   6 5 (willis mindy)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00 12.00  
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of SPECIAL ROCKSTAR by SPECIAL RATE)
LOANA 3 9 8 69   76 6 (hone bart)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00 7.00  
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SARAHLINE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
HAPPY IN HEELS 8 3 6 55   55 7 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 55% 0.80 2.60  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
BOLD EXAGGERATION 7 8 912¾ 914¼   914 813 (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00 21.20  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of ASSEMBLE by BODEMEISTER)
PEYTON KENNEDY 4 4 4 8   810 914½ (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 30.00 22.80  
  (by BIG BROWN out of FAVORI by KANTHAROS)
SCR  BREEZY BAY               (r)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of BREEZY KNOWL by VAN NISTELROOY)
SCR  JUMPIN JUDY               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.50    
  (by STREET BOSS out of STAGE DIRECTION by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  PIVOSKY               (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 2.50 5% 18.30    
  (by CONNECT out of PRINCESSE RAFAELA by SKY MESA)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.