Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Friday - May 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (1/6/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7)-(1/6/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/7)-(9/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LS-2   WIN (9/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/6)-(9/6/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/6)-(9/6/1/8)-(9/6/1/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/6)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-3   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(4/2/8)-(9/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-4   WIN (4/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/8)-(4/2/8)-(4/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-5   WIN (9/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/7)-(9/7/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (9/7)-(9/7/10)-(9/7/10) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
LS-6   WIN (3/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/11)-(3/11/7/8/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/11)-(3/11/7/8/5)-(3/11/7/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/11)-(6/5/10/11)-(9/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LS-7   WIN (6/5/10/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/10/11)-(6/5/10/11/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/10/11)-(6/5/10/11/9)-(6/5/10/11/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/10/11)-(9/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
LS-8   WIN (9/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/2)-(9/2/10) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (9/2)-(9/2/10)-(9/2/10) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   05/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD N WILD Mar11 Feb17 Jan22 Jun16 May21 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 8.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  PRIME CODE Mar11 Feb17 Jan13 Dec08 Nov30 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 12.00    
3  ATRAS Apr28 Apr14 Mar19 Mar11 Feb26 (hewitt mic)ERAMIA E 124 2.00    
4  RUSH THE COLORS Apr29 Jan22 Jan05 Nov11 Jul17 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
5  SAINT PIO Apr28 Mar16 Jan27 Nov30 Oct21 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.00    
6  PHILO BEDDOE Mar11 Apr10 Mar19 Mar05 Jan30 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 5.00 20% 4.00    
7  BIG TICKET Apr22 Mar12 Feb18 Feb04 Jan27 (brob)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 3.50 9% 9.70    
 
LS-2   05/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEO Mar12 Jun02 May03 Mar04 Jan15 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 1.80 ★    
2  SAINT CHARLES Sep10 Aug28 Jul30 Jul14 Jun18 (ritter sh)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00    
3  MIDNIGHT HUNTER Apr27 Mar19 Feb23 Jan20 Dec10 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
SCR  SUPREME CAPO May07 Apr14 Mar11 Mar03 Jan22 (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 15.00    
5  STRAIGHT LUCK Apr16 Feb19 Jan20 Jul17 Jun25 (pish danny)QUINONEZ S 119 6.00    
6  SEARING Feb17 Jan20 Dec01     (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
7  JERSEY JIM Apr30 Mar04 Jan27 Nov22 Nov07 (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 119 15.00    
8  PITALE Apr16 Jul10       (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 119 8.00 ★    
9  CLEAT Apr15 Apr01 Mar10 Feb15 Dec28 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  HULLINAHURRY Mar26 Feb18 Nov12 Oct15 Sep15 (diodoro robe)FUENTES A 119 4.50 ★    
 
LS-3   05/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 F PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONNIEVIEW Mar18 Jan27 Dec17 Oct28 Oct01 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 10.00 14% 6.40    
2  JENNY'S PENNY Apr23 Mar03       (clary jay)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
3  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Apr23 Apr01 Mar23 Feb25 Feb10 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 15.00    
4  WIKI LIO Mar26 Mar03       (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  IT TAKES HEART Apr23 Mar25 Jan28 Dec29 Dec04 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
6  THE RAGE OF ART Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 Feb04   (g)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
7  PERILOUS LIFE Apr08         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00    
 
LS-4   05/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHO RONNIE Apr07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan22 Dec18 (mcbride burl )BAILEY CHEL-C 124 20.00    
2  IT MAKES SENSE Mar24 Nov22 Sep25 Sep01 May30 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  IMPRESSED Apr30 Mar24 Mar03 Feb25 Feb10 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
4  ALGEBRA Mar25 Feb18 Jan20 Jun19 May27 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
5  DAME PLATA Apr25 Mar07 Feb20 Sep10 Aug27 (bravo franci)FUENTES A 122 10.00    
6  BOOTSIE'S GALAXY May06 Apr21 Apr13 Mar19 Mar03 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 5.00    
7  IM THE MACHINE Mar03 Feb05 Nov08 Oct05 Jan20 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 4.50    
8  PIKNITUPLAYNITDOWN Apr23 Mar24 Feb20 Jul03 Jun09 (hjort donna)ALVAREZ L 122 15.00 6% 16.00    
 
LS-5   05/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GUSTAVO Mar31 Mar11 Feb10 Jan27 Jan06 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BRATTON Apr08 Oct21 Jul24 Jun10   (gustafson )ERAMIA E 122 6.00    
3  TRES SOLES Apr16 Mar12 Feb18 Nov26 Nov04 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 3.00    
4  BAREFOOT SAMURAI Mar26 Mar04 Feb18 Jan21 Dec09 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 122 8.00    
5  KLIMTOMANIAC Apr16 Apr08 Mar12 Mar01 Jan13 (govea cesar)DIEGO V 122 12.00    
6  COSMIC SOUL Apr08 Mar26 Mar04 Feb03 Dec26 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 122 4.50    
7  DOUGH BOY Mar31 Mar04 Jan28 Jul23 Jun26 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 122 20.00 6% 16.30    
8  FAST TRAFFIC Apr16 Mar19 Feb07 Aug19   (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00    
9  MOR LANA SPIRIT Apr08 Feb18 Jan21 Nov21 Oct28 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
10  AARON'S SPIRIT Apr16 Mar12 Feb19 Dec16 Nov22 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00 ★    
SCR  PHANTOM RIDE Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 Jan01 Nov14 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
LS-6   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN FOR MRS RIGGS Apr29         (padilla c)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 20.00    
2  NELLIE DEE Jul24 Jun26 Jun16 May27   (ortiz javier)PIVARAL GERBER 124 30.00    
3  LIL MISS SUNSHINE Mar18 Feb02       (broberg ka)ERAMIA E 124 1.80 54% 0.80    
4  MISCHIEF ANGEL Apr30 Apr13 Mar03 Jan27 Nov11 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 8.00    
5  WISTFULLY Apr01 Mar03 Feb22 Feb01 Aug20 (d)DE CRUZ 124 15.00 ★    
6  ROSITA LA CARINOSA Apr22 Mar03 Jan27 Nov12 Oct22 (p)GARCIA-ALFARO AROLD 124 20.00    
7  PIECE OF ME Apr29 Apr13 Feb16 Feb02 Jan07 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00 ★    
8  LADAWN Apr29 Jan15 Dec07 Nov08 Oct20 (smith a)JUDE JOHN 124 12.00 ★    
9  MAREBELL Apr14 Mar20 Mar03 Jan15 Dec14 (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 5.00    
10  EMMYLOU SQUALL Apr30 Apr07 Mar11 Mar03   (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 119 10.00    
11  LEPRECHAUN CHARM Apr29 Apr14 Feb22     (cappellucci )FUENTES A 119 4.00 24% 3.30    
 
LS-7   05/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALONG CAME THUNDER         (baldillez)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 119 20.00    
  (by MOON THUNDER out of ALONG CAME KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  RON'S LAVENDER Apr27         (kotara rona)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
3  POQUITO LADY         (cappellucci )FUENTES A 119 15.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of CARSON CITY BABE by CARSON CITY)
SCR  SOLECITA Apr22         (coats t)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00    
  (by LIAISON out of DUBAIDORA by E DUBAI)
5  OLIVIA'S RACE DAY Apr14 Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 Jan27 (pish danny)CABRERA DAVID 119 4.00 30% 2.40    
  (by RACE DAY out of EVERYTHING BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
6  RIVER'S END Apr27         (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by CONGAREE out of PACK YOUR P J'S by GOLD LEGEND)
7  DIVAESQUE Apr16         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 15.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of LIFE BY R R by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
8  CROSS CLAIM         (hebert matt)DIEGO V 119 8.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DOUBLE FANCY by TRIBAL RULE)
9  MORE THAN SHAKIN Apr27 Apr14 Mar26 Mar04 Feb14 (payne dan)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 119 4.50 ★    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MORE THAT LILY by MORE THAN READY)
10  GOLDEN SLEW May19         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 119 3.00 10% 9.30    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of SEEKING SIMPLICITY by SEEKING THE GOLD)
11  BLOOD ORANGE Apr30 Mar10 Feb10 Jan08   (h)DE CRUZ 124 10.00 6% 15.70    
  (by PAYNTER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
 
LS-8   05/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 F PT-10:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHOJO Apr22 Mar18       (offolter s)MORA GERARDO 122 8.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of RATHVILLY by GRAND SLAM)
2  OUR PASTOR Apr22 Mar26 Mar03     (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 4.50 15% 5.50    
  (by HALF OURS out of PASTOR PAIGE by FAYREGAMMO)
3  LOANA Mar21 Feb10 Oct23 Sep24 Aug25 (hone bart)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SARAHLINE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SCR  BREEZY BAY Mar17 Mar04       (r)DE CRUZ 122 30.00    
  (by BETA CAPO out of BREEZY KNOWL by VAN NISTELROOY)
5  PEYTON KENNEDY Jul09 Jun26 Jun05     (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 122 30.00    
  (by BIG BROWN out of FAVORI by KANTHAROS)
6  SKY ROCKER Mar10         (willis mindy)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of SPECIAL ROCKSTAR by SPECIAL RATE)
7  SUGAR MAMAS CAKERY Apr08 Jul21 Jul01     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 4.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CARLA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
8  BOLD EXAGGERATION         (mallery v)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of ASSEMBLE by BODEMEISTER)
9  HAPPY IN HEELS Apr25 Mar25 Mar10 Feb05 Jan15 (young scott)WETHEY JR 122 3.50 55% 0.80    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of HELL ON HEELS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  CINNAMON FACE Apr08 Jan15 Dec14     (davis sha)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 3.00 ★    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SALTY MO by UNCLE MO)
SCR  PIVOSKY Apr29 Mar25 Mar16 Mar05 Feb24 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 2.50 5% 18.30    
  (by CONNECT out of PRINCESSE RAFAELA by SKY MESA)
SCR  JUMPIN JUDY Mar18 Mar02 Jan20     (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.50 ★    
  (by STREET BOSS out of STAGE DIRECTION by MALIBU MOON)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.