Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Lone Star Park
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-1   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $6.00 $2.00 50%
LS-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.20 $2.20 37%
LS-4   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.20 $3.20 53%
LS-6   WIN (3/11/7/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $13.00 $3.00 30%

Simulator Race results

 
LS-1   04/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:134 1:264   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD PILOT 5 5 58 58 4 23 1nk (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 1.60 58% 0.70 2.00 W
KOKOKOMO 4 3 45 46 5 34 2nk (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 124 2.50 3.00  
BIZZY LEGS 1 2 11 11 11 13 3 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00 7.10  
TIZ LIFE 3 4 32 31 3 4 48 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 120 12.00 6.20  
FLASH OF MISCHIEF 2 1 21 21 21 5100 5100 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.00 19% 4.40 1.60  
SCR  AMERICAN CODE               (ruggeri nicole)MORA GERARDO 120 20.00    
 
LS-2   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:23 :46 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORT HOOD 4 1 2nk 1nk   12 12 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 118 2.50 2.20  
NIGHTWIND 2 4 31 3½   22 22 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 1.80 2.60  
PLAIN TAP WATER 1 6 4 4¾   32 3 (capp)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.50 26% 2.90 4.30 S
ATTILA THE DUN 6 5 5 5   5 4 (c)DE CRUZ 118 6.00 15% 5.80 4.00  
JUST HANGIN RIDGE 3 2 1nk 2nk   4 59 (kotar)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 15.00 9.30  
SLIM JIMMY 5 3 6 6   610¾ 624½ (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 118 8.00 14% 5.90 5.50  
SCR  HEDARESTHEDEVIL               (dodwell carol)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 10% 8.60    
 
LS-3   04/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:221 :462       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADAMOUSSEPOUSSE 3 3 2nk 1½   13 1 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 2.50 34% 1.90 3.10 W
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of IN FULL COMPLIANCE by SMART STRIKE)
GLORY O 6 1 31 3½   23 2 (willis )GONCALVES R 124 6.00 12.40  
  (by EXCAPER out of ELLA'S GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
LIBBIES BABY 2 4 43 4   49 310½ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00 19% 4.30 12.10 S
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of LIBBIES MISSION by GLOBAL MISSION)
MASTER SOM 4 6 1nk 2½   36 415½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 3.00 20% 4.00 1.90  
  (by MASTERY out of VERONIQUE by MIZZEN MAST)
BALI DOVE (FR) 1 5 66 5   511 516¾ (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 4.50 8.90  
  (by UNKNOWN out of AMAZE ME by AQLAAM)
TRICKY CARLA 5 2 7 711   713½ 620¼ (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00 10.50  
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of MY LITTLE TRICK by LITTLEEXPECTATIONS)
JUDY'S CUSTARD 7 7 55 69   611½ 720¼ (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 118 10.00 2.20  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of GAZE by DANZIG)
SCR  BASKET CASE               (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.00    
  (by MASTERY out of SHEBA'S HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  QUEEN OF THUNDER               (c)DE CRUZ 118 30.00    
  (by DRUMS OF THUNDER out of ABBIE MARIA by UNCLE ABBIE)
 
LS-4   04/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($35.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPRESSED 2 2 3½ 2nk   1½ 1 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.50 20% 4.00 3.60 W
AVAILABLE STAR 4 6 68 6   66 2 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00 9.20  
EMPIRE OF GOLD 3 3 2½ 3.2   2½ 33 (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 121 1.60 32% 2.10 1.20 S
GOOD SCOUT 1 4 1½ 1nk   3 4 (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 121 2.50 5.10  
PICKENS 6 1 4 4   4 5 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 121 10.00 17% 5.00 8.50  
SILVER WINGS 5 5 54 5   55 6 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 121 5.00 4.10  
SCR  RED N WILD               (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 15.00    
 
LS-5   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:004     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND GRAND 6 1 1½ 11   1 15 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.50 3.00  
BOSSADUSU 8 8 3 4   2 25 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 3.00 32% 2.10 3.30 P
VA VOOM 3 5 4 31   3 3 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 4.50 12% 7.30 2.60 S
BOBBIE O 5 7 7 6   5 413½ (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00 9% 10.20 10.80  
EMMYLOU SQUALL 7 2 2½ 21   4 514¼ (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 122 20.00 11.60  
MISCHIEF ANGEL 4 3 5 5   6 617½ (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 4.00 6.00  
PURRFECT MOON 2 6 8 7   711½ 723¼ (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00 10% 8.90 13.60  
PERFECT MESA 1 4 6 8   813½ 830 (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 6.00 9.70  
 
LS-6   04/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSEOFEXCELLENCE 2 1 1nk 1½   14 1½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00 18% 4.70 5.50 W
CADEAU DE PAIX 7 5 5 5   24 2½ (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 120 6.00 8.50  
RING ME DARLING 4 6 6 6   5 3 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 12.00 3.50  
RUMPUS 1 2 3.2 4   4 4 (g)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 5% 17.50 11.10  
10  BLUEBERRY EYES 8 9 9 9   76 5 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 15.00 10.10  
SWEET SLEW 6 7 7 87   9 6 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 20.00 15.40  
TELLING THYME 5 3 8 7   88 7 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 120 15.00 5% 17.40 8.80  
11  MAINLINE 9 4 4 2½   34 87 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50 18% 4.70 3.10  
SWEET ADELINE 3 8 2nk 3½   6 910¼ (baldillez a)WETHEY JR 120 3.00 5.10  
SCR  GRAY ZONE               (davidson s)ERAMIA E 120 12.00    
SCR  ZINASDESTINYVIRAGO               (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
 
LS-7   04/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:59
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:13     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAZI 3 5 2nk 1nk   11 1 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 15.00 14.90  
TEXAS TIDELANDS 9 3 3.2 2nk   3 2 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.00 27% 2.80 2.10 P
ITS MY MONEY TOO 2 7 5 4   21 3 (baldillez a)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 3.00 4.30  
ITS A GEE THING 1 8 6 5   4 4 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 15.00 12% 7.20 5.40  
INDY LOVER 7 4 73 6   611½ 511¾ (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 8.00 13% 6.90 16.50  
GANGSTER RAP 6 2 4¼ 7   812½ 616¼ (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 124 10.00 6% 15.10 8.00  
JIBE 5 1 1nk 3.2   511½ 716½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 4.00 16% 5.40 4.20  
WILD PROSPECT 4 9 94 8   712 817 (davidson sarah )SANCHEZ M 124 20.00 12.60  
CHEROKEE SUMMER 8 6 84 9   913½ 918¾ (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 6.00 15.50  
 
LS-8   04/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:121     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL SACRIFICE 3 5 3.2 1nk   14 1 (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 118 5.00 4.90  
STAR SAILOR 7 1 7 6   5 2 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 124 2.00 66% 0.50 1.80 P
10  TREASURE COAST 10 4 2nk 31   24 3 (ashford)GONCALVES R 118 8.00 7.70  
BIG STORY 6 8 6 4   34 48 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50 6.00  
CALIPARI 1 10 913¼ 911¾   8 5 (winslow j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00 22.80  
AMERICAN SMOOTH 9 2 5 7   68 610¼ (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 15.00 8% 11.50 15.70  
JERSEY JIM 5 3 1nk 2nk   4 714 (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 118 6.00 9.30  
CALARI BLUECAT 2 6 4 5   7 814¼ (k)DE CRUZ 124 10.00 7.10  
BRAZIL NUT 8 7 8 8   914½ 918 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00 14.20  
GOLD DECLARATION 4 9 1015¼ 1012¾   1021½ 1031¼ (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00 15.50  
 
LS-9   04/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:154 1:30   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSINGYOUCRAZY 4 2 1½ 11 12 16 17 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 3.00 68% 0.50 1.10 W
  (by BRADESTER out of WON PESO by VICTORY GALLOP)
GOLD MEMORIES 5 9 7 64 4 26 27 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.50 4.20  
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLIGHT QUEEN by EARLY FLYER)
LA VALEDORA 1 5 4 4 33 47 39 (coats t)DIEGO V 124 8.00 12.50  
  (by ADVANCEEXPECTATION out of DUBAIDORA by E DUBAI)
BLOOD ORANGE 2 7 65 7 76 510 410¾ (h)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 7.60  
  (by PAYNTER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
12  MEMORABLE FLIGHT 9 4 2½ 21 22 3 511 (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 124 20.00 6% 15.80 20.50  
  (by EARLY FLYER out of HAPPIEST MEMORIES by HAP)
BLINGONMERCURY 3 6 54 5 55 610½ 615¼ (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 15.00 6.70  
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MERCURY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
PHARME'S PHINALE 6 1 3 3 6 715½ 731¼ (jacks kar)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 15.00 13.60  
  (by BRADESTER out of PHARME'S PHOLLEY by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
S S TURBINIA 7 3 87 9 923 827½ 855 (saavedra mary)BENAVIDES D 118 30.00 20.00  
  (by FINAL ROW (GB) out of SADDLED BUT FREE by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
11  RUBY SOHO 8 8 99 8 813 937½ 9103 (calhoun wil)WETHEY JR 118 15.00 10.00  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of KATIE'S TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  BRADEE CASH               (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 124 2.50    
  (by BRADESTER out of CASH'S GAL by SILENT PICTURE)
SCR  EXPECT LAVENDER               (kotar)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
SCR  THEHUNKSCLASSYLADY               (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 118 30.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of WILD MS. PULVEY by HALF OURS)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.