Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Sunday - April 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/3)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (6/3)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LS-2   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(3/5/2)-(4/3/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LS-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/1)-(3/5/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(4/3/7)-(8/3/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-4   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(8/3/2/5)-(3/11/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-5   WIN (8/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/2/5)-(8/3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/2/5)-(8/3/2/5)-(8/3/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-6   WIN (3/11/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/11/6/2)-(3/11/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/11/6/2)-(3/11/6/2)-(3/11/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-7   WIN (9/5/7/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/7/1/6)-(9/5/7/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/7/1/6)-(9/5/7/1/6)-(9/5/7/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (9/5/7/1/6)-(7/9)-(4/12) 20 $0.50 $10.00 
LS-8   WIN (7/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/9)-(7/9/4/1/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/9)-(7/9/4/1/8)-(7/9/4/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/9)-(4/12) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
LS-9   WIN (4/12) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/12)-(4/12/2/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/12)-(4/12/2/11)-(4/12/2/11) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIZZY LEGS Mar31 Jan28 Jan06 Nov19 Nov08 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 6.00    
SCR  AMERICAN CODE Apr19 Feb20 Dec22 Jul22 Jul10 (ruggeri nicole)MORA GERARDO 120 20.00    
3  FLASH OF MISCHIEF Mar18 Jan28 Dec10 Nov05 Sep25 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.00 19% 4.40    
4  TIZ LIFE Feb20 Nov19 Oct27 Aug19 Jun19 (craddock k)ERAMIA E 120 12.00 ★    
5  KOKOKOMO Apr08 Mar17 Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 (pish danny)MELANCON JANSEN 124 2.50    
6  GOLD PILOT Mar25 Feb18 Jan20 May27 May07 (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 124 1.60 58% 0.70    
 
LS-2   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAIN TAP WATER Apr15 Nov21 Oct25 Sep23 Aug20 (capp)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.50 26% 2.90    
2  NIGHTWIND Apr15 Mar31 Mar04 Feb18 Jan16 (young scott)WETHEY JR 118 1.80    
3  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Apr21 Apr08 Mar17 Feb25 Jan21 (kotar)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 117 15.00    
SCR  HEDARESTHEDEVIL Feb11 Jan13 Dec15 Nov18 Nov04 (dodwell carol)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00 10% 8.60    
5  FORT HOOD Apr07 Feb20 Jan21 Jan07 Dec07 (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 118 2.50    
6  SLIM JIMMY Apr15 Apr07 Mar12 Feb11 Jan16 (cravens ii)DIAZ RENE 118 8.00 14% 5.90    
7  ATTILA THE DUN Apr16 Feb10 Dec30 Oct23   (c)DE CRUZ 118 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
LS-3   04/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI DOVE (FR) Feb11 Jan16 Dec22 Jul20 May29 (willis mind)WETHEY JR 124 4.50 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of AMAZE ME by AQLAAM)
2  LIBBIES BABY Apr16 Mar26       (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00 19% 4.30    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of LIBBIES MISSION by GLOBAL MISSION)
3  MADAMOUSSEPOUSSE Mar25         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of IN FULL COMPLIANCE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  BASKET CASE Apr07 Feb18 Jan14     (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.00 ★    
  (by MASTERY out of SHEBA'S HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  MASTER SOM Mar25 Nov19 Oct27 Sep01   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 3.00 20% 4.00    
  (by MASTERY out of VERONIQUE by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  QUEEN OF THUNDER Mar26 Feb11       (c)DE CRUZ 118 30.00    
  (by DRUMS OF THUNDER out of ABBIE MARIA by UNCLE ABBIE)
7  TRICKY CARLA Apr07 Mar26 Mar12 Feb25 Jan27 (castellanos)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 30.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of MY LITTLE TRICK by LITTLEEXPECTATIONS)
8  GLORY O Mar25 May28 Apr30 Mar24   (willis )GONCALVES R 124 6.00    
  (by EXCAPER out of ELLA'S GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
9  JUDY'S CUSTARD         (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 118 10.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of GAZE by DANZIG)
 
LS-4   04/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($35.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RED N WILD Apr13 Mar03 Feb20 Jan16 Dec03 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 15.00    
2  GOOD SCOUT Mar18 Feb24 Jan16 Jan06 Nov12 (cravens ron)WETHEY JR 121 2.50 ★    
3  IMPRESSED Mar24 Mar03 Feb25 Feb10 Jan14 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  EMPIRE OF GOLD Mar18 Feb20 Jan07 Nov22 Sep25 (eoff terry)CABRERA DAVID 121 1.60 32% 2.10    
5  AVAILABLE STAR Mar25 Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 Dec16 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00    
6  SILVER WINGS Feb24 Feb10 Jan21 Dec16 Nov21 (jacks karen )ALVAREZ L 121 5.00    
7  PICKENS Feb22 Feb04 Dec10 Nov24 Nov05 (bryant george )MORA GERARDO 121 10.00 17% 5.00    
 
LS-5   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT MESA Apr14 Mar21       (ashford)GONCALVES R 122 6.00    
2  PURRFECT MOON Apr07 Mar11 Feb19 Jan13 Dec14 (silva miguel)MORA GERARDO 122 10.00 10% 8.90    
3  VA VOOM Apr07 Oct22 Oct07     (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 122 4.50 12% 7.30    
4  MISCHIEF ANGEL Apr13 Mar03 Jan27 Nov11   (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 122 4.00    
5  BOBBIE O Apr07 Mar17 Jul09     (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 6.00 9% 10.20    
6  DIAMOND GRAND Apr16 Mar25 Mar18 Feb18 Nov11 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.50    
7  EMMYLOU SQUALL Apr07 Mar11 Mar03     (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 122 20.00    
8  BOSSADUSU Apr08 Sep23 Jul17 Jun25   (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
LS-6   04/30/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAY ZONE Mar18 Sep14 Jul24 Jun11 Feb17 (davidson s)ERAMIA E 120 12.00    
2  RUMPUS Apr08 Mar26 Nov25 Oct22 Oct12 (g)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 5% 17.50    
3  SENSEOFEXCELLENCE Apr08 Mar18 Feb19 Jan20 Mar12 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
4  SWEET ADELINE Mar18 Jul02 Jun16 May22 May01 (baldillez a)WETHEY JR 120 3.00    
5  RING ME DARLING Apr01 Dec09 Nov27 Nov03 Oct07 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 12.00    
6  TELLING THYME Mar18 Aug26 Jul10 Jun11 May15 (gustafson au)ALVAREZ L 120 15.00 5% 17.40    
SCR  ZINASDESTINYVIRAGO Nov07 Nov02 Sep28 Sep13 Aug28 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.00 14% 6.10    
8  SWEET SLEW Apr23 Mar03 Jan14 Dec19 Dec03 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 20.00    
9  CADEAU DE PAIX Apr08 Apr01 Feb25 Feb11 Jan20 (asmussen steve)MORA GERARDO 120 6.00    
10  BLUEBERRY EYES Mar05 Dec06 Nov07 Sep30 Sep10 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 120 15.00    
11  MAINLINE Apr02 Mar18 Feb03 Nov07 Oct12 (davi)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.50 18% 4.70    
 
LS-7   04/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS A GEE THING Apr22 Feb24 Feb04 Jun19 May22 (broberg karl)CABRERA DAVID 124 15.00 12% 7.20    
2  ITS MY MONEY TOO Apr14 Apr02 Jan16 Nov05 Sep03 (baldillez a)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 3.00    
3  MAZI Apr22 Apr02 Mar10 Feb04 Jan13 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
4  WILD PROSPECT Apr21 Feb04 Jan14 Dec15 Dec02 (davidson sarah )SANCHEZ M 124 20.00    
5  JIBE Apr22 Apr02 Feb04 Jan13 Dec03 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 4.00 16% 5.40    
6  GANGSTER RAP Apr21 Mar26 Mar05 Feb20 Feb05 (hurley re)MORA GERARDO 124 10.00 6% 15.10    
7  INDY LOVER Feb26 Jan21 Nov18 Nov05 Oct19 (eoff terr)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 8.00 13% 6.90    
8  CHEROKEE SUMMER Sep15 Aug27 Jun10 May21 Apr29 (eoff )MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 6.00    
9  TEXAS TIDELANDS Apr21 Apr02 Feb24 Feb03 Jan13 (gove)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.00 27% 2.80    
 
LS-8   04/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALIPARI Feb26 Jan01 Dec11 Nov13 Oct13 (winslow j)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00 ★    
2  CALARI BLUECAT Apr02 Mar04 Feb10     (k)DE CRUZ 124 10.00    
3  SOUL SACRIFICE Jan21 Nov11 Oct20 Sep21   (davis shawn )ALVAREZ L 118 5.00    
4  GOLD DECLARATION Apr22 Feb03 Nov19 Oct15 Feb18 (eoff terry)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 15.00 ★    
5  JERSEY JIM Mar04 Jan27 Nov22 Nov07   (hebert matt)MORA GERARDO 118 6.00    
6  BIG STORY Apr16 Mar18 Feb18 Jan20 Mar20 (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50    
7  STAR SAILOR Mar06 Feb25 Feb15 Jan15 Dec30 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 124 2.00 66% 0.50    
8  BRAZIL NUT Mar17 Mar04 Jan20 Dec10 Sep14 (montano wil)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 15.00 ★    
9  AMERICAN SMOOTH Mar25 Feb26 Jan27 Jun22 May27 (villa)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 15.00 8% 11.50    
10  TREASURE COAST Apr11 Mar21 Mar06 Feb04 Jan27 (ashford)GONCALVES R 118 8.00    
 
LS-9   04/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA VALEDORA Mar24 Feb25 Feb10 Jan08   (coats t)DIEGO V 124 8.00    
  (by ADVANCEEXPECTATION out of DUBAIDORA by E DUBAI)
2  BLOOD ORANGE Mar10 Feb10 Jan08     (h)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 ★    
  (by PAYNTER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
3  BLINGONMERCURY Apr14 Mar04 Feb18 Jan27 Jan07 (kotara ro)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 15.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of MERCURY MOON by MALIBU MOON)
4  MISSINGYOUCRAZY Apr16 Apr01 Feb18 Jan27   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 3.00 68% 0.50    
  (by BRADESTER out of WON PESO by VICTORY GALLOP)
5  GOLD MEMORIES Apr21 Mar24 Jan06 Oct05 Sep14 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 4.50    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FLIGHT QUEEN by EARLY FLYER)
SCR  THEHUNKSCLASSYLADY Feb26 Jan06       (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 118 30.00    
  (by THE HUNK out of WILD MS. PULVEY by HALF OURS)
7  PHARME'S PHINALE Apr15 Mar19 Feb11 Sep19 Sep09 (jacks kar)RODRIGUEZ ANARDIS 124 15.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of PHARME'S PHOLLEY by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
8  S S TURBINIA Apr07 Feb26       (saavedra mary)BENAVIDES D 118 30.00    
  (by FINAL ROW (GB) out of SADDLED BUT FREE by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
SCR  EXPECT LAVENDER Feb25 Feb10 Jan08     (kotar)CAMACHO-BENITEZ SIMON 119 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of LAVENDER RIDGE by NAVARRO)
SCR  BRADEE CASH Mar24 Feb25 Feb10 Oct13 Sep17 (pish danny)MORA GERARDO 124 2.50 ★    
  (by BRADESTER out of CASH'S GAL by SILENT PICTURE)
11  RUBY SOHO Apr16 Feb26 Jan15 Dec16   (calhoun wil)WETHEY JR 118 15.00 ★    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of KATIE'S TEN by ROCK HARD TEN)
12  MEMORABLE FLIGHT Apr15 Jan15 Nov12 Oct22 Oct01 (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 124 20.00 6% 15.80    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of HAPPIEST MEMORIES by HAP)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.