The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LAD-1   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
    Exacta (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-2 2 0 $38.50 $0.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-2-1 3 0 $71.10 $0.00 -3.00
LAD-2   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $19.60 $19.60 15.60
    Exacta (2/4)-(2/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 4-5 2 0 $23.50 $0.00 -4.00
    Trifecta (2/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 4-5-3 3 0 $21.25 $0.00 -2.00
    Daily Double (4/5/6)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-4 2 1 $34.00 $34.00 28.00
LAD-3   Win (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -3.80
    Exacta (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-6 2 1 $6.90 $6.90 -5.10
    Trifecta (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-6-5 3 0 $6.60 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/4)-(1/2/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 4-1 2 1 $23.70 $23.70 15.70
    Pick Three (4/5/6)-(2/4)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 6-4-1 3 1 $26.10 $26.10 14.10
LAD-4   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
    Exacta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-5 2 1 $14.00 $14.00 8.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-5-2 3 1 $5.25 $5.25 2.25
    Daily Double (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-1 2 1 $7.80 $7.80 -4.20
    Pick Three (2/4)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-1-1 3 1 $15.70 $15.70 3.70
LAD-5   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 5-4 2 1 $6.50 $6.50 -2.50
    Trifecta (1/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 5-4-3 3 1 $16.60 $16.60 7.60
    Daily Double (1/2/5)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-5 2 1 $6.20 $6.20 -2.80
    Pick Three (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/5)-(1/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1-1-5 3 1 $9.85 $9.85 -8.15
LAD-6   Win (1/6/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -4.40
    Exacta (1/6/7/11)-(1/6/7/9/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 1-6 2 1 $6.60 $6.60 -9.40
    Trifecta (1/6/7/11)-(1/6/7/9/11)-(1/6/7/9/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 1-6-2 3 0 $17.25 $0.00 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5)-(1/6/7/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-1 2 1 $5.30 $5.30 -6.70
    Pick Three (1/2/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/6/7/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1-5-1 3 1 $7.25 $7.25 -10.75
LAD-7   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -1.60
    Exacta (5/7)-(3/5/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 5-7 2 1 $2.00 $2.00 -2.00
    Trifecta (5/7)-(3/5/7)-(3/5/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 5-7-6 3 0 $6.45 $0.00 -2.00
    Daily Double (1/6/7/11)-(5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 1-5 2 1 $3.30 $3.30 -4.70
    Pick Three (1/4/5)-(1/6/7/11)-(5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 5-1-5 3 1 $3.60 $3.60 -8.40

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   05/15/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
:231 :463 1:123     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED RAIDER XPRESS 6 5 4 4   11 1(nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 119 2.00 9% 10.10 2.60 W
UNAFFILIATED 2 6 5 5   42(schmidt denise)MELANCON G 124 8.00 18.90  
OLD TOBY 1 1 1nk 1nk   21 34 (witt ii)DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 2.50  
LAKE HAMILTON 3 2 32 3.2   34(gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.00 2.60  
OCEAN KISS 5 4 2nk 2nk   5550½ (felks r)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 3.00 63% 0.60 2.40  
RAY'S BIG BOY 4 3 610½ 612¼   6100 6100 (wright rayford)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 31.90  
 
LAD-2   05/15/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:243 :484 1:13 1:391   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENATOR CON 4 1 21 2½ 2nk 1nk 1¼ (balderas alfonso)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.50 60% 0.70 8.80 W
NATE'S ATTACK 5 3 4 32 3 32 2¼ (briley lon)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 1.00  
GIMME SOME MO 3 2 11 1½ 1nk 2nk 3½ (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 1.10 S
JOEBOY 2 4 3 43 4 49 419 (beavin judy)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 8% 11.10 29.00  
GOBLER 1 5 5 56 5 5519 (turner patti)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 8.00 7.50  
 
LAD-3   05/15/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
:251 :494 1:15 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REALITOS 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 1¼ (savoie sherman)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00 39% 1.50 1.10 W
FUHR MEO 6 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 1nk 2¼ (melancon)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 11% 8.20 3.80 P
TRINITY HOPE 5 5 4 31 33 33 3(duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 2.00  
STAR'S DREAM 2 2 3 42 44 447 (hargrave kenneth)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 11% 7.80 8.80  
I DONT KNOW EITHER 7 4 6 65 55 5512¼ (gomez jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 18.60 18.00  
ZEEROCK 4 6 5 53 6 6617¼ (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 122 12.00 44.00  
GIFTED TALENT 3 7 7 78 78 79 723 (beavin judy)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00 29.80  
 
LAD-4   05/15/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
:23 :463       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARPORT 1 1 11 11   12 1(munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 3.50 21% 3.80 1.30 W
EGOR OTAY 4 2 21 21   22 2(nelson r)BURNINGHAM J 124 4.00 22% 3.60 6.70 P
DRAG MALIBU 2 4 4 32   33(villafranco mart)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.00 37% 1.70 0.90 S
NOW NOW SAINT 3 5 54 43   4414¾ (cascio j)LOZADA CARLOS 121 8.00 14.80  
FIGHTING SOLDIER 5 3 3 5   58 524 (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 121 12.00 12.60  
 
LAD-5   05/15/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
:23 :463       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G'WILDCAT 5 2 2nk 2nk   12 1(felks r)MELANCON G 122 2.50 34% 1.90 0.90 W
ALTERANA 4 5 55 55   43 2(charles keith)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 10.00 8% 12.20 4.30 P
ADIOS CARLOS 3 4 44 44   6311½ (johnson b)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 6.00 12.30 S
BISPING 1 3 32 32   33 412 (courville ri)ALBERT S 112 4.50 27% 2.70 12.90  
SLITHER 6 6 6 6   56 512¼ (ward ronni)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 21.10  
FIERY PLAYBOY 7 1 1nk 1nk   22 613½ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 2.50  
FLASHY PREMO 2 7 713½ 713½   712½ 717¾ (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 122 15.00 34.40  
 
LAD-6   05/15/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
:234 :472 1:13 1:384   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALIBRACHOA KID 1 1 11 11 11 11 1(wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 27% 2.70 0.80 W
I DON'T VENMO 4 2 32 32 32 21 2(asmussen steve)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 24% 3.20 3.10 P
STIFF DRINK 2 9 88 8 67 4313¾ (foster jos)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 15.00 13.90  
11  PAPIRINGO 9 4 21 21 21 32 414 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 30.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
BIG BOO 7 3 4 43 44 5520¾ (singh s)SINGH R 122 8.00 10.80  
GO BROTHER GO 3 7 7 6 7 67 624¾ (mouton pa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5.40  
THEO D'OR 5 5 5 53 57 7734½ (dunn ray)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00 21% 3.70 17.50  
CATCHIN DRAMA 6 8 99 98 8 810½ 834¾ (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 122 20.00 51.40  
10  CROSSING IRIS 8 6 6 7 9 912½ 944¾ (duhon o)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 20.00 80.60  
 
LAD-7   05/15/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
1:232         1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINT 4 2 4¾ 1½   15 111 (gibson j)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 55% 0.80 0.20 W
COASTAL CHAOS 6 1 1nk 3   25 211 (felks r)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 24% 3.20 4.50 P
EXCLAIM 5 4 5 54   4317½ (savoie sherma)MELANCON JANSEN 124 12.00 52.60  
SUPER GEEK 3 6 6 65   5420½ (villafranco ma)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 2.50 10.40  
PLENTY OF CENTS 1 5 3.2 4   611½ 526½ (thompson kevin)BURNINGHAM J 124 6.00 17.80  
ALLIGATOR CRAWL 2 3 2nk 2½   37 626¾ (gomez a)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 26.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.