Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.20 $1.20 20%
LAD-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $19.60 $15.60 390%
    DD (5/6/4)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-4 $34.00 $28.00 467%
LAD-3   DD (4/2)-(1/2/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00  4-1 $23.70 $15.70 196%
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(4/2)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-4-1 $26.10 $14.10 118%
LAD-4   EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-5 $14.00 $8.00 133%
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-5-2 $5.25 $2.25 75%
    PK3 (4/2)-(1/2/6/7)-(2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-1-1 $15.70 $3.70 31%
LAD-5   TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  5-4-3 $16.60 $7.60 84%
    SFT (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 18 $0.10 $1.80  5-4-3-1 $22.30 $20.50 1139%

Simulator Race results

 
LAD-1   05/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED RAIDER XPRESS   (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 119 2.00 9% 10.10 2.60 W
UNAFFILIATED   (schmidt denise)MELANCON G 124 8.00 18.90  
OLD TOBY   (witt ernie )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 2.50  
LAKE HAMILTON   (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.00 2.60  
OCEAN KISS   (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 3.00 63% 0.60 2.40  
RAY'S BIG BOY   (wright rayford)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 31.90  
 
LAD-2   05/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENATOR CON   (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.50 60% 0.70 8.80 W
NATE'S ATTACK   (briley l)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 1.00  
GIMME SOME MO   (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 1.10 S
JOEBOY   (beavin judy)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 8% 11.10 29.00  
GOBLER   (turner patt)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 8.00 7.50  
SCR  VINYL   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00    
 
LAD-3   05/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REALITOS   (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00 39% 1.50 1.10 W
FUHR MEO   (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 11% 8.20 3.80 P
TRINITY HOPE   (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 2.00  
STAR'S DREAM   (hargrave kenne)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 11% 7.80 8.80  
I DONT KNOW EITHER   (gomez jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 18.60 18.00  
ZEEROCK   (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 122 12.00 44.00  
GIFTED TALENT   (beavin judy)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00 29.80  
 
LAD-4   05/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARPORT   (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 3.50 21% 3.80 1.30 W
EGOR OTAY   (nelson r)BURNINGHAM J 124 4.00 22% 3.60 6.70 P
DRAG MALIBU   (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.00 37% 1.70 0.90 S
NOW NOW SAINT   (cascio andrew)LOZADA CARLOS 121 8.00 14.80  
FIGHTING SOLDIER   (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 121 12.00 12.60  
SCR  ROCKALL   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00    
 
LAD-5   05/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G'WILDCAT   (felks r)MELANCON G 122 2.50 34% 1.90 0.90 W
ALTERANA   (charles kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 10.00 8% 12.20 4.30 P
ADIOS CARLOS   (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 6.00 12.30 S
BISPING   (courville )ALBERT S 112 4.50 27% 2.70 12.90  
SLITHER   (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 21.10  
FIERY PLAYBOY   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 2.50  
FLASHY PREMO   (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 122 15.00 34.40  
 
LAD-6   05/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALIBRACHOA KID   (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 27% 2.70 0.80 W
I DON'T VENMO   (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 24% 3.20 3.10 P
STIFF DRINK   (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 15.00 13.90  
11  PAPIRINGO   (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 30.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
BIG BOO   (singh s)SINGH R 122 8.00 10.80  
GO BROTHER GO   (mouton )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5.40  
THEO D'OR   (dunn ra)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00 21% 3.70 17.50  
CATCHIN DRAMA   (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 122 20.00 51.40  
10  CROSSING IRIS   (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 20.00 80.60  
SCR  CAJUN EDDIE   (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 117 4.50    
SCR  GOBOT   (flint steve)MELANCON JANSEN 117 15.00    
SCR  KING OF CONTRABAND   (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 6.00    
 
LAD-7   05/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINT   (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 55% 0.80 0.20 W
COASTAL CHAOS   (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 24% 3.20 4.50 P
EXCLAIM   (savoie sher)MELANCON JANSEN 124 12.00 52.60  
SUPER GEEK   (villafranco )MEDELLIN ERICK 124 2.50 10.40  
PLENTY OF CENTS   (thompson kevin)BURNINGHAM J 124 6.00 17.80  
ALLIGATOR CRAWL   (gomez a)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 26.70  
SCR  EMMA'S WALTZ   (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.