Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.20 $1.20 20%
LAD-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $19.60 $15.60 390%
    DD (5/6/4)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-4 $34.00 $28.00 467%
LAD-3   DD (4/2)-(1/2/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00  4-1 $23.70 $15.70 196%
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(4/2)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-4-1 $26.10 $14.10 118%
LAD-4   EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-5 $14.00 $8.00 133%
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-5-2 $5.25 $2.25 75%
    PK3 (4/2)-(1/2/6/7)-(2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-1-1 $15.70 $3.70 31%
LAD-5   TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  5-4-3 $16.60 $7.60 84%
    SFT (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3)-(5/1/4/3) 18 $0.10 $1.80  5-4-3-1 $22.30 $20.50 1139%
Simulator Race results
 
LAD-1   05/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:123     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RED RAIDER XPRESS 6 5 43½ 41¼   11 13½ (nelson r)GREEN AUBRIE 119 2.00 9% 10.10 2.60 W
2  UNAFFILIATED 2 6 58½ 55¼   41½ 23½ (schmidt denise)MELANCON G 124 8.00 18.90  
1  OLD TOBY 1 1 1nk 1nk   21 34 (witt ernie )DEL-CID VICENTE 119 3.50 2.50  
3  LAKE HAMILTON 3 2 32 3.2   31½ 45¼ (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 4.00 2.60  
5  OCEAN KISS 5 4 2nk 2nk   58½ 550½ (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 116 3.00 63% 0.60 2.40  
4  RAY'S BIG BOY 4 3 610½ 612¼   6100 6100 (wright rayford)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 31.90  
 
LAD-2   05/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:13 1:391   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SENATOR CON 4 1 21 2½ 2nk 1nk 1¼ (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.50 60% 0.70 8.80 W
5  NATE'S ATTACK 5 3 42½ 32 33½ 32 2¼ (briley l)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.50 1.00  
3  GIMME SOME MO 3 2 11 1½ 1nk 2nk 3½ (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 ★ 1.10 S
2  JOEBOY 2 4 32½ 43 48½ 49 419 (beavin judy)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 8% 11.10 29.00  
1  GOBLER 1 5 56½ 56 58¾ 59¼ 519 (turner patt)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 8.00 7.50  
SCR  VINYL               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00    
 
LAD-3   05/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.25K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:15 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REALITOS 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 1¼ (savoie sherma)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00 39% 1.50 1.10 W
6  FUHR MEO 6 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 1nk 2¼ (melanc)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.00 11% 8.20 3.80 P
5  TRINITY HOPE 5 5 41½ 31 33 33 36¾ (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 2.00  
2  STAR'S DREAM 2 2 31½ 42 44 43½ 47 (hargrave kenne)GREEN AUBRIE 122 3.50 11% 7.80 8.80  
7  I DONT KNOW EITHER 7 4 64½ 65 55 55½ 512¼ (gomez jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 8.00 5% 18.60 18.00  
4  ZEEROCK 4 6 52½ 53 65½ 67½ 617¼ (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 122 12.00 44.00  
3  GIFTED TALENT 3 7 76½ 78 78 79 723 (beavin judy)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 10.00 29.80  
 
LAD-4   05/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:23 :463       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARPORT 1 1 11 11   12 16¾ (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 116 3.50 21% 3.80 1.30 W
5  EGOR OTAY 4 2 21 21   22 26¾ (nelson r)BURNINGHAM J 124 4.00 22% 3.60 6.70 P
2  DRAG MALIBU 2 4 42½ 32   33½ 37½ (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 2.00 37% 1.70 0.90 S
4  NOW NOW SAINT 3 5 54 43   45½ 414¾ (cascio andrew)LOZADA CARLOS 121 8.00 14.80  
6  FIGHTING SOLDIER 5 3 32½ 53½   58 524 (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 121 12.00 12.60  
SCR  ROCKALL               (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00    
 
LAD-5   05/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:23 :463       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  G'WILDCAT 5 2 2nk 2nk   12 14¼ (felks r)MELANCON G 122 2.50 34% 1.90 0.90 W
4  ALTERANA 4 5 55 55   43 24¼ (charles kei)DEL-CID VICENTE 122 10.00 8% 12.20 4.30 P
3  ADIOS CARLOS 3 4 44 44   66½ 311½ (johnson henry )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 6.00 ★ 12.30 S
1  BISPING 1 3 32 32   33 412 (courville )ALBERT S 112 4.50 27% 2.70 12.90  
6  SLITHER 6 6 65½ 65½   56 512¼ (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 21.10  
7  FIERY PLAYBOY 7 1 1nk 1nk   22 613½ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 2.50  
2  FLASHY PREMO 2 7 713½ 713½   712½ 717¾ (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 122 15.00 34.40  
 
LAD-6   05/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:13 1:384   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALIBRACHOA KID 1 1 11 11 11 11 16¼ (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 5.00 27% 2.70 0.80 W
6  I DON'T VENMO 4 2 32 32 32 21 26¼ (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 3.50 24% 3.20 3.10 P
2  STIFF DRINK 2 9 88 87½ 67 44½ 313¾ (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 15.00 13.90  
11  PAPIRINGO 9 4 21 21 21 32 414 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 122 30.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
9  BIG BOO 7 3 42½ 43 44 54½ 520¾ (singh s)SINGH R 122 8.00 ★ 10.80  
4  GO BROTHER GO 3 7 77½ 65½ 77¼ 67 624¾ (mouton )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5.40  
7  THEO D'OR 5 5 53½ 53 57 79½ 734½ (dunn ra)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00 21% 3.70 17.50  
8  CATCHIN DRAMA 6 8 99 98 89¼ 810½ 834¾ (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 122 20.00 51.40  
10  CROSSING IRIS 8 6 65½ 76½ 99¾ 912½ 944¾ (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 20.00 80.60  
SCR  CAJUN EDDIE               (jacks e)GREEN AUBRIE 117 4.50    
SCR  GOBOT               (flint steve)MELANCON JANSEN 117 15.00    
SCR  KING OF CONTRABAND               (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 122 6.00    
 
LAD-7   05/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
See original race card.
1:232         1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MINT 4 2 4¾ 1½   15 111 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 2.00 55% 0.80 0.20 W
7  COASTAL CHAOS 6 1 1nk 31½   25 211 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.50 24% 3.20 4.50 P
6  EXCLAIM 5 4 54¼ 54   47½ 317½ (savoie sher)MELANCON JANSEN 124 12.00 52.60  
4  SUPER GEEK 3 6 66¼ 65   57½ 420½ (villafranco )MEDELLIN ERICK 124 2.50 10.40  
2  PLENTY OF CENTS 1 5 3.2 43½   611½ 526½ (thompson kevin)BURNINGHAM J 124 6.00 17.80  
3  ALLIGATOR CRAWL 2 3 2nk 2½   37 626¾ (gomez a)TORRES HUGO 119 12.00 ★ 26.70  
SCR  EMMA'S WALTZ               (gibson jonas)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.