The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 3.60
    Exacta (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-3 2 0 $37.40 -24.00
    Trifecta (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 4-3-5 3 0 $80.20 -24.00
PEN-2   Win (2/4/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $28.20 $28.20 20.20
    Exacta (2/4/8/10)-(2/4/6/8/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 2-6 2 1 $173.60 $173.60 141.60
    Trifecta (2/4/8/10)-(2/4/6/8/10)-(2/4/6/8/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 2-6-8 3 1 $438.40 $438.40 390.40
    Daily Double (4/6/7/8)-(2/4/8/10) 16 $2.00 $32.00 4-2 2 1 $121.40 $121.40 89.40
PEN-3   Win (1/2/6/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -7.00
    Exacta (1/2/6/9/10)-(1/2/6/9/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 9-6 2 1 $25.20 $25.20 -14.80
    Trifecta (1/2/6/9/10)-(1/2/6/9/10)-(1/2/6/9/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 9-6-1 3 1 $40.90 $40.90 -19.10
    Daily Double (2/4/8/10)-(1/2/6/9/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 2-9 2 1 $51.20 $51.20 11.20
    Pick Three (4/6/7/8)-(2/4/8/10)-(1/2/6/9/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 4-2-9 3 1 $115.35 $115.35 75.35
PEN-4   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -1.40
    Exacta (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5-4 2 0 $16.60 -4.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6/9/10)-(5/7) 10 $2.00 $20.00 9-5 2 1 $5.20 $5.20 -14.80
    Pick Three (2/4/8/10)-(1/2/6/9/10)-(5/7) 40 $0.50 $20.00 2-9-5 3 1 $26.45 $26.45 6.45
PEN-5   Win (2/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
    Exacta (2/4/5/9)-(2/4/5/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 9-3 2 0 $41.80 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5/9)-(2/4/5/9)-(2/4/5/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 9-3-4 3 0 $109.10 -24.00
    Daily Double (5/7)-(2/4/5/9) 8 $2.00 $16.00 5-9 2 1 $16.40 $16.40 0.40
    Pick Three (1/2/6/9/10)-(5/7)-(2/4/5/9) 40 $0.50 $20.00 9-3/5-9 3 1 $5.60 $5.60 -14.40
PEN-6   Win (1/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 -1.40
    Exacta (1/3/5/8)-(1/3/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 8-6 2 0 $39.20 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5/8)-(1/3/5/8)-(1/3/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 8-6-5 3 0 $47.30 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/9)-(1/3/5/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 9-8 2 1 $20.80 $20.80 -11.20
    Pick Three (5/7)-(2/4/5/9)-(1/3/5/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 5-9-8 3 1 $11.55 $11.55 -4.45
PEN-7   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $16.00 $16.00 10.00
    Exacta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-6 2 0 $40.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-6-1 3 0 $80.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/3/5/8)-(2/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 8-2 2 1 $61.20 $61.20 37.20
    Pick Three (2/4/5/9)-(1/3/5/8)-(2/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 9-8-2 3 1 $69.00 $69.00 45.00
PEN-8   Win (2/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -2.40
    Exacta (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-6 2 0 $19.20 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 2-6-7 3 0 $29.80 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/3/4)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-2 2 1 $27.00 $27.00 3.00
    Pick Three (1/3/5/8)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 8-2-2 3 1 $57.70 $57.70 33.70

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/10/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:223 :462 1:10 1:342   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRITUAL KING 2 1 1 12 12 13 1¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 14% 6.20 4.80 W
FIERCE AND STRONG 1 2 3 34 22 23 2¼ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 2.50  
GALILEE 3 5 7 710 68 47 34 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 12.00  
JACK SLYE 4 3 4 45 45 37 4(graci kimberl)INIRIO J 120 8.00 6% 15.30 6.60  
10  MORE THAN A DANCE 7 7 6 67 56 557 (linde)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5.80  
BEE MAJOR 5 4 2 22 33 68 612¼ (de horaci)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.50 47% 1.10 3.90  
LUCID 6 6 54 56 711 714 721½ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 118 3.50 11% 8.10 4.10  
SCR  CABAR SUL               (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
SCR  READY REWARD               (dowling william)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
SCR  SKIMBLE SHANKS               (beattie san)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   08/10/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
:224 :454 1:09 1:341   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ SUGAR BANK 2 1 8 56 4 31(synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 13.10 W
COLBALOAF 5 4 12 1½ 13 13 2(salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 3.50 P
UNCONQUERED SPIRIT 7 5 22 2½ 23 23 3(bennett juanita)CORA D 120 2.50 43% 1.30 2.30 S
MR. EINSTEIN 6 9 9 910 8 69 47 (linde)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 8.00 11.80  
10  DYNAMITE KARMA 9 6 3 3 35 46 5(fields kevi)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 31% 2.20 2.90  
FRENCH TOAST 4 8 76 77 68 58 69 (bouchard)GONZALEZ JR 120 15.00 13.70  
BAVARIA 1 2 4 6 7 713 716¾ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 12.00 41.10  
SHOFAR 8 7 66 89 913½ 916 818¾ (merryman michael)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 6.00  
COOL COMEDIAN 3 3 55 4 57 814½ 920½ (synnefias panagi)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
SCR  BUFFALO SHUFFLE               (dunham bernard )ROJAS MARTINA 111 12.00    
SCR  CHRIS AND DAVE               (graci kimberl)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00    
SCR  JAYJAYDEE               (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00    
 
PEN-3   08/10/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
:221 :444       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS RUNAWAY 8 2 21 2nk   21 1(crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 8% 11.90 0.50 W
PAGEANT PRINCESS 5 8 9 812   52(crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00 31% 2.20 16.10 P
MADE TO HUSTLE 1 3 11 1nk   11 3(rogers w)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 27% 2.70 4.80 S
WEST ABBOTT 7 6 3 32   33 4(stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00 22.50  
ASUE 4 4 43 44   45(stites flint )INIRIO J 120 12.00 27.10  
BECKON 2 7 8 710   66(synnefias panagi)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 35.40  
11  RAINAS ROLLIN 10 1 7 68   77 76 (rogers w)CORA D 120 10.00 41.10  
ELL GRAY 6 9 53 57   88 8(servi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 7.80  
FROSTED WILD RIDE 3 10 10 913½   910 910 (synnefias panagi)LUZZI J 120 15.00 51.50  
10  GOOD SOURCE 9 5 6 1023½   1050 1073¼ (mosco rober)RODRIGUEZ R 118 6.00 7% 12.90 15.90  
SCR  BRUSHING               (dunham bernard )ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00    
 
PEN-4   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:22 :47       1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND WISER 2 4 3 3   12 1(maymo j)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 55% 0.80 0.30 W
ANNAMATED MOON 1 3 4 4   42(lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00 21.20  
HIS NAME IS SUE 4 1 2½ 2nk   22 3(mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 115 3.00 20% 4.00 2.30 S
NICE WEATHER 3 2 1½ 1nk   32 4(ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 5.70  
SCR  JUMPMASTER               (synnefias panagi)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00    
SCR  KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE               (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 2.00    
SCR  ZILLION               (synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:221 :454 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN OCCASION 8 3 56 5   2nk 14 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 24% 3.20 2.00 W
TRIPLE TITOS 3 7 7 6   41 24 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 11.40  
MUTTLEY 4 4 31 3   3½ 3(crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 19% 4.30 2.60 S
SUNSHINE HARRY 1 8 1nk 1½   1nk 4(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 20.30  
SPINNING MUSICIAN 5 2 43 4   55(beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 18% 4.50 2.60  
BOOK MARKER 6 5 814½ 815   86(mosco robert)MOYA F 120 15.00 37.70  
ROCKIN THE PALACE 7 1 6 78   7712¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 5.40  
HE IS BAD 2 6 2nk 2½   6813¼ (beattie sande)INIRIO J 124 10.00 11% 8.40 46.00  
SCR  ON THE RIM               (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 15.00    
 
PEN-6   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
:223 :461 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE VALLEY 8 2 11 12   13 11 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 50% 1.00 2.30 W
MASKED HEROINE 6 3 7 6   35 21 (martinez josep)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 6.60  
LADYNESS 5 7 87 7   67 35 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 18% 4.50 2.10 S
IOANNA 7 1 21 22   23 4(sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00 27.50  
BUSTIN WIDE OPEN 4 4 43 4   45(lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 5.80  
NOWYOUSCAN'TLEAVE 2 5 6 5   7613½ (aristone t)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00 15.40  
CHA CHA CHIQUITA 3 6 33 3   56 713¾ (arnold pame)VARGAS L 122 8.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
WARISHA 1 8 54 812½   832½ 855¾ (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 7% 14.40 6.00  
 
PEN-7   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
:223 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S LILLY 2 5 42 42   42 1¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 8.00 19% 4.30 7.00 W
GIA'S FUEGO 5 1 2½ 2½   2½ 2¼ (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 115 4.50 3.00  
TIMELY TRADITION 1 4 3½ 3   31 3½ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 1.80  
THIS ROUND'S MINE 4 2 1½ 1½   1½ 4(linde)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 1.60 46% 1.20 1.50  
FRANKLY MY DEAR 3 3 54 56   54 510¼ (martinez alex)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 122 10.00 8% 11.50 10.10  
SCR  ISABELLA SMILE               (martinez alex)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 122 3.50    
 
PEN-8   08/10/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:22
:221 :462 1:123 1:401   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINISHING TOUCH 2 4 4 4 4 3½ 1(salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.60 46% 1.20 1.80 W
DESI'S REWARD 6 1 16 16 15 1½ 2(bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 8.00 3.30  
LA NEBLINA 7 6 5 36 25 2½ 3(catalano m )RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 2.40  
CHALCOLITHIC 3 5 6 6 6 54(lopez robe)EVANS CECILY 118 3.50 12% 7.70 6.30  
HOP TO A DECISION 4 7 714¼ 711½ 78 65(houghton thomas)CORA D 118 8.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
LIL H 8 3 3 58 57 4614¼ (cifarelli fra)INIRIO J 120 20.00 79.50  
ESTA CHUCK 1 8 816¼ 813½ 810 815 719 (jacavone jo)VARGAS L 113 15.00 44.50  
TUDOX ROADSTER 5 2 26 26 36 713½ 825 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 17% 4.90 8.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.