Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/6)-(7/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/6)-(7/4/8/6)-(7/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/8/6)-(8/10/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/6)-(8/10/4/2)-(6/1/9/10/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-2   WIN (8/10/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/4/2)-(8/10/4/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/10/4/2)-(8/10/4/6/2)-(8/10/4/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/10/4/2)-(6/1/9/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/10/4/2)-(6/1/9/10/2)-(5/7) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/1/9/10/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/10/2)-(6/1/9/10/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/10/2)-(6/1/9/10/2)-(6/1/9/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/9/10/2)-(5/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (6/1/9/10/2)-(5/7)-(9/4/5/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/7)-(9/4/5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(9/4/5/2)-(8/5/1/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
PEN-5   WIN (9/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/5/2)-(9/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/5/2)-(9/4/5/2)-(9/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/4/5/2)-(8/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/4/5/2)-(8/5/1/3)-(4/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (8/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/3)-(8/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/3)-(8/5/1/3)-(8/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/1/3)-(4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/3)-(4/2/3)-(2/5/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(2/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (2/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/4)-(2/5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/4)-(2/5/3/4)-(2/5/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CABAR SUL Jul19 Jul06 Jun21 May31 May03 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
SCR  READY REWARD Jul13 Jun20 May27 May05 Oct12 (dowling william)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
3  FIERCE AND STRONG Jul19 Jul07 May26 May11 Mar31 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
4  SPIRITUAL KING Jul20 Jul13 Mar04 Feb25 Jan19 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 14% 6.20    
5  GALILEE Jul20 Jul06 Aug24 Aug10 Apr22 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
6  JACK SLYE Jul13 Jun20 Jun02 May17 Mar15 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 120 8.00 6% 15.30    
7  BEE MAJOR Jul08 Jul27       (de hora)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 4.50 47% 1.10    
8  LUCID Feb05 Dec28 Dec03 Oct07   (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 118 3.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  SKIMBLE SHANKS Jul27 Jul20 Jul13 Jun20 Jun02 (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
10  MORE THAN A DANCE Jul19 Jul03 Jun06 May23 Apr26 (lin)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   08/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAVARIA Aug04 Jun22 Mar29 Mar17 Feb24 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 12.00    
2  KAZ SUGAR BANK Jul12 Jun01 May11 Apr06 Mar03 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUFFALO SHUFFLE Jul20 Jun27 May23 May10 Apr05 (dunham bernar)ROJAS MARTINA 111 12.00    
4  COOL COMEDIAN Jul12 Jun20 Jun01 Apr20 Mar15 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  FRENCH TOAST Jul17 Jul05 Jun13 May20 May03 (boucha)GONZALEZ JR 120 15.00    
6  COLBALOAF Aug03 Jun18 May18 Oct25 Oct10 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 ★    
7  MR. EINSTEIN Aug02 Jul10 Jun20 May13 Jan02 (linder lo)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
8  UNCONQUERED SPIRIT Nov14 Sep16 Aug19 Aug04 Jul13 (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
9  SHOFAR Jul21 Jun25 Jun09 Apr02 Feb20 (merryman michael)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
10  DYNAMITE KARMA Jul27 Jun15 May11 Apr19 Mar23 (fields ke)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  JAYJAYDEE Jul27 Jul06 May20 May05 Apr08 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.00    
SCR  CHRIS AND DAVE Jul12 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Apr21 (graci kimbe)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00    
 
PEN-3   08/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MADE TO HUSTLE Jul24 Jun28 Jun20 Aug11 Jul18 (rogers ronald )CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
2  BECKON Jul27 Jun22 Jun03 May11 Oct30 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRUSHING Jul27 Jun07 Apr15 Jan22 Nov20 (dunham bernar)ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00    
4  FROSTED WILD RIDE Jul21 May08 Apr26 Apr10 Mar21 (synnefias pana)LUZZI J 120 15.00    
5  ASUE Jul19 Jun28 Jun15 Dec01 Nov09 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
6  PAGEANT PRINCESS Oct12 Sep21 Aug26 Jul09 May31 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00 31% 2.20    
7  ELL GRAY Jul05 May31       (ser)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
8  WEST ABBOTT Jul19 Jun16 May12 Apr20 Feb23 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 12.00    
9  PRINCESS RUNAWAY Jul13 Jun30 Nov02 Sep07 Jul20 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 8% 11.90    
10  GOOD SOURCE Jul26 Jun28 May19 Sep26 Aug22 (mosco rob)RODRIGUEZ R 118 6.00 7% 12.90    
11  RAINAS ROLLIN Aug01 Jul24 Jun27 Jun06 May22 (rogers w)CORA D 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE Jul05 Jun06 May13 Apr26 Mar15 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 2.00    
SCR  ZILLION Jul03 May31 May10 Apr19 Mar15 (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
SCR  JUMPMASTER Jul27 Jul06 Jun15 May17 Apr27 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.00    
4  ANNAMATED MOON Jul12 Jun21 May18 Apr26 Mar29 (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
5  GRAND WISER Jul12 Jun29 Jun01 May12 Apr19 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 55% 0.80    
6  NICE WEATHER Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 May31 May12 (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
7  HIS NAME IS SUE Jul15 Jun30 May28 May12 Apr28 (mcmahon dem)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
PEN-5   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNSHINE HARRY Jul06 Jun15       (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
2  HE IS BAD Jul13 Jun22       (beattie san)INIRIO J 124 10.00 11% 8.40    
3  TRIPLE TITOS Aug03 Jul14 Jun30 May24 May04 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00    
4  MUTTLEY Jul09 Sep19 Aug02 Jul11 Jun15 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 19% 4.30    
5  SPINNING MUSICIAN Jul27 Jun21 May24 May06 Mar31 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 18% 4.50    
6  BOOK MARKER Jun21 Jun12       (mosco robert)MOYA F 120 15.00    
SCR  ON THE RIM May26 Apr28 Mar17 Feb23 Jan19 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 15.00    
8  ROCKIN THE PALACE Jul19 Jul10 May30 Apr17 Mar01 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
9  CAJUN OCCASION Jul14 Jun29 Jun15 May21 Apr07 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
PEN-6   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARISHA Jul20 Jul12 Jun20 May25   (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 7% 14.40    
2  NOWYOUSCAN'TLEAVE Jul20 Feb15 Jan20 Dec28 Nov15 (aristone phil)ROJAS MARTINA 113 8.00    
3  CHA CHA CHIQUITA Jul20 Jun30 Nov30 Nov01 Oct18 (arnold pa)VARGAS L 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BUSTIN WIDE OPEN Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 May24 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00    
5  LADYNESS Jul26 Jul06 Apr30 Apr12 Mar19 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
6  MASKED HEROINE Jul12 Jun29 Jun14 Feb09 Jan12 (martinez jos)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50    
7  IOANNA Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 Mar31 Mar10 (sinnefia pauli)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00    
8  ROSE VALLEY Jul20 Jun30 Jun20 May18 Apr26 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 50% 1.00    
 
PEN-7   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMELY TRADITION Jul01 May19 Mar24 Mar02 Jan13 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00    
2  JACK'S LILLY Jul21 Jul05 Jun22 Jun14 May05 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
3  FRANKLY MY DEAR Apr26 Mar15 Feb23 Jan19 Dec21 (martinez alex)PEREZ M 122 10.00 8% 11.50    
4  THIS ROUND'S MINE Jul12 May02 Apr10 Jan18 Dec12 (lin)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
SCR  ISABELLA SMILE Jul28 Jun18 May29 Mar28 Mar07 (martinez al)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 122 3.50    
6  GIA'S FUEGO Jul11 Jun05 May29 Apr12 Mar28 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 115 4.50    
 
PEN-8   08/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTA CHUCK Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May04 Mar15 (jacavone john)ROJAS MARTINA 113 15.00    
2  FINISHING TOUCH Jun30 Jun22 Jun02 May06 Apr27 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 1.60 46% 1.20    
3  CHALCOLITHIC Jul21 Jun09 Jun01 Apr02 Mar24 (lopez ro)EVANS CECILY 118 3.50 12% 7.70    
4  HOP TO A DECISION Jul28 Jul12 Jun20 Jun02 May19 (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TUDOX ROADSTER Jun28 May23 Oct18 Sep21 Sep08 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 17% 4.90    
6  DESI'S REWARD Jul28 Jul07 Jun20 Jun01 May06 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 118 8.00    
7  LA NEBLINA May23 Jan30 Dec12 Oct10 Aug02 (catalano )RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50    
8  LIL H Jul13 Jun01 May04 Mar22 Dec16 (cifarelli f)INIRIO J 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.