Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-4   TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4-2 $8.20 $2.20 37%
PEN-7   EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-1 $25.80 $13.80 115%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   07/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:131 1:40   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SIDESWIPED 2 3 32½ 34 22 2nk 1¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 118 10.00 3.10  
6  CUENCA 3 2 1½ 11 12 1nk 2¼ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 32% 2.10 0.60 P
7  BECKON 4 1 2½ 21 33½ 315 324½ (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 4.90  
1  TREASURE TAILS 1 4 46½ 411 411½ 422 429½ (holtzinger ca)ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00 20% 3.90 4.20  
SCR  PAGEANT PRINCESS               (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  STRONG GEM               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
SCR  SURPRISINGLY SWEET               (bennett juanit)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
SCR  SWEET MESA               (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 4.50    
 
PEN-2   07/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:224 :463       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LITTLE RED BUTTON 4 1 1nk 1½   14 13¼ (gomez po)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 2.40  
6  BOSS CARA 3 3 3½ 32   35 23¼ (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 8.00 29% 2.40 2.80 P
2  CINQUE AMORE 2 2 2nk 2½   24 37¼ (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 33% 2.00 1.50 S
1  STARSHIP BLANCA 1 4 44½ 44   45½ 48 (mosco rob)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 2.60  
SCR  LUCKY DAY DIVA               (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  MY MASTERPIECE               (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 113 3.00    
SCR  TRIXIE'S TIME               (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
SCR  ZIPPY JO               (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
 
PEN-3   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:112 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DYNAMITE KARMA 3 1 42 21½ 11 12 1¾ (fields ke)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 4.00  
7  JAYJAYDEE 4 2 31½ 43 42 22 2¾ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 38% 1.60 0.80 P
4  ONCE A GIANT 2 4 54 33 21 32½ 36½ (davis jr)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5.80  
3  DAMIR 1 3 21 53¼ 57 55½ 49 (machado antonio)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 12% 7.10 10.90  
8  P H FACTOR 5 5 11 11½ 31½ 44 59½ (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 29% 2.50 3.00  
SCR  BAVARIA               (rozell ron)LLOYD W 118 12.00    
SCR  BURNING MAN               (ciamei)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
SCR  COLBALOAF               (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
SCR  UNCONQUERED SPIRIT               (bennett ju)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 2.50    
 
PEN-4   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:122 1:244   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRITICAL THINKING 1 1 2½ 21 21 1nk 1hd (shea lydee)CORA D 120 2.50 17% 5.00 2.10 W
4  MR JACK 3 3 1½ 11 11 2nk 2hd (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 62% 0.60 0.50 P
2  SKIMBLE SHANKS 2 2 32½ 33 32 3½ 31¼ (beattie s)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 5% 19.00 13.50 S
5  HEXAGON (IRE) 4 4 44 58½ 514 515½ 419¼ (barboza v)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00 6.80  
6  SYNONYM 5 5 57 43½ 44 411½ 520¼ (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 18.80  
SCR  EGOT A POKER FACE               (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00    
 
PEN-5   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BILLIEANNE 7 3 41½ 2nk   2nk 11¼ (kreiser c)CORA D 122 6.00 2.30  
7  LANFRANKOPHILE 6 1 31 3.2   31 21¼ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 50% 1.00 1.70 P
5  QUEEN ROSEMARY 5 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 31½ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 15% 5.50 2.50 S
3  KATY THE CAT 3 5 53 51¼   43 46¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 9.70  
2  TERPEYE 2 7 74½ 77¼   75½ 57¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 38.20  
4  SNAPPY RIDE 4 2 63½ 62¼   65 67¾ (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.00 11% 8.10 6.90  
1  PSYCHE 1 6 1½ 4¾   53½ 711¾ (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 50.10  
SCR  SHATTER ME               (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50    
 
PEN-6   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :451 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KISS THEM DEADLY 3 3 11½ 12   13 12 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 2.00 19% 4.20 0.90 W
1  GET DOWN BROWN 1 4 31½ 22   23 22 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 6.00 9.40  
6  UPSTATE AND BACK 6 2 65 55   45 34¼ (agnew nao)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.50 3.50  
4  TUDOX OPPORTUNITY 4 5 21½ 32½   34½ 44¾ (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 15% 5.50 4.40  
5  MACHO HONCHO 5 1 43 44   56 57½ (salvaggio jr)CORA D 118 8.00 27.10  
2  SPINNING MUSICIAN 2 6 54 65½   67 69¼ (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 118 2.50 37% 1.70 5.20  
 
PEN-7   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:22 :45 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  YES IT'S ROO 5 5 56 54   2nk 11¼ (albright amy)CORA D 120 6.00 15% 5.50 2.20 W
1  WAGON BOSS 1 6 33½ 31½   1nk 21¼ (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 12% 7.50 2.30 P
2  SON OF A BEAST 2 2 11 1½   3.2 33¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 7.40  
3  MY BLUE EYES 3 1 21 2½   41¾ 44 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 6.00 16.70  
5  JUMPMASTER 4 4 66 65   52¾ 55 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 48% 1.10 1.70  
7  ARISTOCAT 6 3 44 43   63¾ 65½ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 12.60  
SCR  PUDDING               (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.