The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $8.20 -4.00
    Exacta (1/6)-(1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5-6 2 0 $16.00 -4.00
PEN-2   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $6.80 -4.00
    Exacta (2/6)-(2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7-6 2 0 $20.00 -4.00
    Daily Double (1/6)-(2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5-7 2 0 $43.40 -8.00
PEN-3   Win (3/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.00 -6.00
    Exacta (3/7/8)-(3/7/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-7 2 0 $20.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/7/8)-(3/7/8)-(3/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-7-4 3 0 $21.40 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/6)-(3/7/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-5 2 0 $42.60 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/6)-(2/6)-(3/7/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 5-7-5 3 0 $56.40 -6.00
PEN-4   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-4 2 1 $9.00 $9.00 -3.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-4-2 3 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20
    Daily Double (3/7/8)-(1/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 5-1 2 0 $42.00 -18.00
    Pick Three (2/6)-(3/7/8)-(1/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 7-5-1 3 0 $35.85 -9.00
PEN-5   Win (2/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $6.60 -8.00
    Exacta (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 8-7 2 0 $17.20 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 8-7-5 3 0 $21.50 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4)-(2/4/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-8 2 0 $25.40 -24.00
    Pick Three (3/7/8)-(1/2/4)-(2/4/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 5-1-8 3 0 $28.10 -18.00
PEN-6   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-1 2 0 $24.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-1-6 3 0 $28.90 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/7)-(2/3/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 8-3 2 0 $15.20 -24.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4)-(2/4/5/7)-(2/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1-8-3 3 0 $10.60 -18.00
PEN-7   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
    Exacta (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-1 2 1 $25.80 $25.80 13.80
    Trifecta (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-1-2 3 0 $56.40 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/3/4)-(1/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 3-6 2 1 $13.40 $13.40 -4.60
    Pick Three (2/4/5/7)-(2/3/4)-(1/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 8-3-6 3 0 $11.65 -18.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/27/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:242 :481 1:131 1:40   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIDESWIPED 2 3 3 34 22 2nk 1¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 118 10.00 3.10  
CUENCA 3 2 1½ 11 12 1nk 2¼ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 32% 2.10 0.60 P
BECKON 4 1 2½ 21 3 315 324½ (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 4.90  
TREASURE TAILS 1 4 4 411 411½ 422 429½ (holtzinger cara)ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00 20% 3.90 4.20  
SCR  PAGEANT PRINCESS               (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  STRONG GEM               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
SCR  SURPRISINGLY SWEET               (bennett juanita)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
SCR  SWEET MESA               (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 4.50    
 
PEN-2   07/27/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
:224 :463       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE RED BUTTON 4 1 1nk 1½   14 1(gomez pomp)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 2.40  
BOSS CARA 3 3 3½ 32   35 2(rodriguez migu)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 8.00 29% 2.40 2.80 P
CINQUE AMORE 2 2 2nk 2½   24 3(crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 33% 2.00 1.50 S
STARSHIP BLANCA 1 4 4 44   448 (mosco rober)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 2.60  
SCR  LUCKY DAY DIVA               (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  MY MASTERPIECE               (flores-coba felix)RUIZ ELISEO 113 3.00    
SCR  TRIXIE'S TIME               (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
SCR  ZIPPY JO               (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
 
PEN-3   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
:24 :472 1:112 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYNAMITE KARMA 3 1 42 2 11 12 1¾ (fields kevi)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 4.00  
JAYJAYDEE 4 2 3 43 42 22 2¾ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 38% 1.60 0.80 P
ONCE A GIANT 2 4 54 33 21 33(davis jr)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5.80  
DAMIR 1 3 21 5 57 549 (machado antonio)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 12% 7.10 10.90  
P H FACTOR 5 5 11 1 3 44 5(mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 29% 2.50 3.00  
SCR  BAVARIA               (rozell ron)LLOYD W 118 12.00    
SCR  BURNING MAN               (ciamei m)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
SCR  COLBALOAF               (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
SCR  UNCONQUERED SPIRIT               (bennett juan)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 2.50    
 
PEN-4   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:242 :481 1:122 1:244   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRITICAL THINKING 1 1 2½ 21 21 1nk 1hd (shea lydee)CORA D 120 2.50 17% 5.00 2.10 W
MR JACK 3 3 1½ 11 11 2nk 2hd (barboza j)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 62% 0.60 0.50 P
SKIMBLE SHANKS 2 2 3 33 32 3½ 3(beattie san)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 5% 19.00 13.50 S
HEXAGON 4 4 44 5 514 515½ 419¼ (barboza vic)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00 6.80  
SYNONYM 5 5 57 4 44 411½ 520¼ (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 18.80  
SCR  EGOT A POKER FACE               (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00    
 
PEN-5   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
:223 :453 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLIEANNE 7 3 4 2nk   2nk 1(kreiser c)CORA D 122 6.00 2.30  
LANFRANKOPHILE 6 1 31 3.2   31 2(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 50% 1.00 1.70 P
QUEEN ROSEMARY 5 4 2½ 1nk   1nk 3(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 15% 5.50 2.50 S
KATY THE CAT 3 5 53 5   43 4(kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 9.70  
TERPEYE 2 7 7 7   75(moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 38.20  
SNAPPY RIDE 4 2 6 6   65 6(wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.00 11% 8.10 6.90  
PSYCHE 1 6 1½ 4¾   5711¾ (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 50.10  
SCR  SHATTER ME               (beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50    
 
PEN-6   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
:223 :451 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS THEM DEADLY 3 3 1 12   13 12 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 2.00 19% 4.20 0.90 W
GET DOWN BROWN 1 4 3 22   23 22 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 6.00 9.40  
UPSTATE AND BACK 6 2 65 55   45 3(agnew naois)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.50 3.50  
TUDOX OPPORTUNITY 4 5 2 3   34(rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 15% 5.50 4.40  
MACHO HONCHO 5 1 43 44   56 5(salvaggio jr)CORA D 118 8.00 27.10  
SPINNING MUSICIAN 2 6 54 6   67 6(beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 118 2.50 37% 1.70 5.20  
 
PEN-7   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
:22 :45 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YES IT'S ROO 5 5 56 54   2nk 1(albright amy)CORA D 120 6.00 15% 5.50 2.20 W
WAGON BOSS 1 6 3 3   1nk 2(lake scott )RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 12% 7.50 2.30 P
SON OF A BEAST 2 2 11 1½   3.2 3(graci a)AGUILAR M 124 5.00 7.40  
MY BLUE EYES 3 1 21 2½   444 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 6.00 16.70  
JUMPMASTER 4 4 66 65   555 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 48% 1.10 1.70  
ARISTOCAT 6 3 44 43   66(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 12.60  
SCR  PUDDING               (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.