Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-2   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-3   Win (7/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-4   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (7/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-6   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   07/27/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREASURE TAILS Jul07 Jun11 May25 Aug06 Jul09 (holtzinger cara)ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  SURPRISINGLY SWEET Jul05 Jun07 May19 Dec28 Dec14 (bennett juanita)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
SCR  STRONG GEM Jul05 Jun16 Sep21 Aug31 Aug19 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
SCR  PAGEANT PRINCESS Oct12 Sep21 Aug26 Jul09 May31 (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
SIDESWIPED Jul05 Jun10 May14 Mar25 Feb23 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 118 10.00    
CUENCA Jul05 Jun14 Jun02 Apr28 Mar23 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
BECKON Jun22 Jun03 May11 Oct30 Sep16 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
SCR  SWEET MESA Jul12 Jun30 Apr20 Mar10 Apr29 (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 4.50    
 
PEN-2   07/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP BLANCA Jul12 Jun18 May15 May02 Apr10 (mosco rober)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
CINQUE AMORE Jun28 May26 Sep24 Sep14 Jul15 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  ZIPPY JO Jul13 Oct19 Oct07 Sep23 Sep01 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
SCR  TRIXIE'S TIME Sep23 Sep17 Sep08 Jul27   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
SCR  LUCKY DAY DIVA Jun28 May19 Oct24 Sep23 Sep16 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
BOSS CARA Jul05 Jun12 May22 May02 Apr24 (rodriguez mi)HENRY JR 120 8.00 29% 2.40    
LITTLE RED BUTTON Jun28 Jun09 May20 Apr28 Apr06 (gomez pomp)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00    
SCR  MY MASTERPIECE Jul13 Jun19 May31 May23 Oct22 (flores-coba felix)RUIZ ELISEO 113 3.00    
 
PEN-3   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCONQUERED SPIRIT Nov14 Sep16 Aug19 Aug04 Jul13 (bennett juan)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 2.50    
SCR  BURNING MAN Jul07 Jun24 Jun04 Apr30 Mar05 (ciamei m)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00    
DAMIR Jun14 Apr08 Mar18 Feb04 Dec28 (machado antonio)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 12% 7.10    
ONCE A GIANT Jun29 May19 Apr27 Mar15 Feb17 (davis jr)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
DYNAMITE KARMA Jun15 May11 Apr19 Mar23 Mar16 (fields kevi)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  COLBALOAF Jun18 May18 Oct25 Oct10 Sep14 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50    
JAYJAYDEE Jul06 May20 May05 Apr08 Mar22 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00 38% 1.60    
P H FACTOR Jul12 Jul02 May14 Apr21 Mar31 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  BAVARIA Jun22 Mar29 Mar17 Feb24 Feb15 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 118 12.00    
 
PEN-4   07/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRITICAL THINKING Jul05 Jun01 May04 Dec28 Nov25 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 2.50 17% 5.00    
SKIMBLE SHANKS Jul20 Jul13 Jun20 Jun02 May10 (beattie san)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EGOT A POKER FACE Jun09 May19 Apr26 Mar31 Mar10 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00    
MR JACK Jul12 Jun02 Mar03 Dec10 Nov06 (barboza j)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 62% 0.60    
HEXAGON (IRE) May14 Mar05 Nov20     (barboza vic)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00    
SYNONYM Jul13 Jun21 Jun02 Apr28 Apr21 (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
 
PEN-5   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PSYCHE Jul05 Jun16 Mar23 Feb24 Feb10 (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
TERPEYE Jul05 Jun28 May25 Apr28 Mar31 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
KATY THE CAT Jun24 May25 Apr28 Mar31 Mar03 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
SNAPPY RIDE Jun10 May29 Apr24 Mar07 Feb17 (wyner harold)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.00 11% 8.10    
QUEEN ROSEMARY Jun22 Jan19 Dec20 Nov25 Nov08 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  SHATTER ME Jul14 May17 Apr21 Mar31 Mar09 (beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50    
LANFRANKOPHILE Jul12 May18 May06 Apr03 Mar01 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 50% 1.00    
BILLIEANNE Jun30 May31 May05 Apr24 Apr10 (kreiser c)CORA D 122 6.00    
 
PEN-6   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET DOWN BROWN Jun16 May26 May10 Apr28 May11 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 6.00    
SPINNING MUSICIAN Jun21 May24 May06 Mar31 Mar02 (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 118 2.50 37% 1.70    
KISS THEM DEADLY Jul12 Jun16 Jul22 Jul01   (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 2.00 19% 4.20    
TUDOX OPPORTUNITY Jun30         (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
MACHO HONCHO Jul07 Mar17 Feb24 Feb01 Dec21 (salvaggio jr)CORA D 118 8.00    
UPSTATE AND BACK Jul07 Jun02 May06 Mar29 Mar06 (agnew naois)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.50    
 
PEN-7   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAGON BOSS Jul03 Jun21 Jun10 May20 May10 (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 12% 7.50    
SON OF A BEAST Jul06 Jun09 May18 May04 Apr21 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 5.00    
MY BLUE EYES Jul13 Jun25 May18 May04 Mar29 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 6.00    
SCR  PUDDING Jul08 Jun06 Oct02 Sep09 Aug13 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 2.50    
JUMPMASTER Jul06 Jun15 May17 Apr27 Mar23 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 48% 1.10    
YES IT'S ROO Jul12 May17 Apr19 Mar22 Feb13 (albright amy)CORA D 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
ARISTOCAT Jun23 Jun02 May12 Apr13 Mar04 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.