The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Wednesday - August 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $12.80 -6.00
    Exacta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-4 2 0 $48.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-4-1 3 0 $50.20 -6.00
PEN-2   Win (4/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -4.00
    Exacta (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-3 2 0 $138.80 -24.00
    Trifecta (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 7-3-1 3 0 $155.70 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/3/4)-(4/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-7 2 0 $28.40 -24.00
PEN-3   Win (1/5/6/7/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 2.20
    Exacta (1/5/6/7/11)-(1/5/6/7/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00 11-3 2 0 $73.20 -40.00
    Trifecta (1/5/6/7/11)-(1/5/6/7/11)-(1/5/6/7/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 11-3-10 3 0 $1167.00 -60.00
    Daily Double (4/6/7/8)-(1/5/6/7/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00 7-11 2 1 $37.80 $37.80 -2.20
    Pick Three (2/3/4)-(4/6/7/8)-(1/5/6/7/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 6-7-11 3 0 $37.90 -30.00
PEN-4   Win (1/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -4.20
    Exacta (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-7 2 0 $26.80 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6)-(1/2/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 1-7-2 3 0 $51.20 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/5/6/7/11)-(1/2/3/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00 11-1 2 1 $38.80 $38.80 -1.20
    Pick Three (4/6/7/8)-(1/5/6/7/11)-(1/2/3/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 7-11-1 3 1 $13.25 $13.25 -26.75
PEN-5   Win (1/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $14.40 $14.40 6.40
    Exacta (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-7 2 0 $95.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 2-7-1 3 0 $178.10 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/4/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 1-2 2 1 $24.40 $24.40 -7.60
    Pick Three (1/5/6/7/11)-(1/2/3/6)-(1/2/4/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 11-1-2 3 1 $63.30 $63.30 23.30
PEN-6   Win (2/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -4.00
    Exacta (2/3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-3 2 1 $11.60 $11.60 -12.40
    Trifecta (2/3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 2-3-6 3 0 $46.10 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4/6)-(2/3/5/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 2-2 2 1 $38.60 $38.60 6.60
    Pick Three (1/2/3/6)-(1/2/4/6)-(2/3/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 1-2-2 3 1 $14.60 $14.60 -17.40
PEN-7   Win (3/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -4.40
    Exacta (3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-7 2 0 $15.60 -24.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 4-7-2 3 0 $31.60 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/3/5/8)-(3/4/5/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 2-4 2 1 $10.40 $10.40 -21.60
    Pick Three (1/2/4/6)-(2/3/5/8)-(3/4/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 2-2-4 3 1 $14.70 $14.70 -17.30
PEN-8   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
    Exacta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-7 2 0 $34.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-7-6 3 0 $33.40 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5/8)-(2/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-2 2 1 $7.20 $7.20 -16.80
    Pick Three (2/3/5/8)-(3/4/5/8)-(2/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 2/7-4-2 3 1 $4.55 $4.55 -19.45

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:221 :45 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE MORE SCOOP 5 5 5 5   2nk 12 (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 12.00 5.40  
MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT 4 1 11 1   1nk 22 (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 42% 1.40 1.30 P
DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN 1 3 31 32   31 3(kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 2.70  
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 2 2 21 2   4411 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 17% 4.90 8.20  
PICTOR 3 4 4 42   52 512¼ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 18% 4.50 3.00  
SCR  DR. STEVE               (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00    
SCR  MEET ME AT MUNDIS               (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   08/02/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
:223 :45       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP EM 6 3 3.2 1nk   1½ 1(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 39% 1.60 1.00 W
WHERESTHEPASSION 2 6 4 4   42(mercedes pedr)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 12.00 43.10  
ON OUR WAY BOYZ 1 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 35 (kirby john )HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 3.60  
MOCEPHUS 3 2 2nk 3.2   31 4(trombetta michae)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 9% 10.40 3.00  
WISPERING SPRINGS 4 7 7 7   52 57 (coletti edwar)INIRIO J 120 6.00 14.60  
BOX OF JOE 7 5 62 6   73 6(cooper stacey)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.50 6% 15.80 15.00  
KEEPING IT COUNTRY 5 4 5 5   6711 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 23% 3.40 8.10  
SCR  MIZZEN MONEY               (shea lydee)CORA D 120 5.00    
 
PEN-3   08/02/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
:23 :461 1:101 1:35   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SOVEREIGN WARRIOR 10 3 21 22 21 12 1(guerrero gu)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.10 W
JO JO KATZ 3 10 88 811 8 52(graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 5.60  
10  MINE TO HOLD 9 4 33 3 32 22 3(synnefias panagi)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 38.40  
CRAZY KATER 2 1 4 4 42 342 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 2.80  
MR. EINSTEIN 4 2 66 6 5 65(linder loui)VARGAS A 120 5.00 3.00  
SAMARONTI 7 8 5 58 7 76(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 30% 2.40 9.50  
DEVOTED KITTEN 5 6 9 914 9 97(moreno-barban )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 27% 2.80 17.30  
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 1 5 11 12 11 43 8(santaella-caldero)BOWMAN ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00 32.80  
PANADERO 8 9 7 79 63 8910¾ (santaella-cal)OCASIO JONATHAN 118 30.00 84.20  
MY FRIEND FRANK 6 7 1012½ 1020 1016¾ 1017¾ 1037¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 20% 3.90 5.00  
SCR  CHRIS AND DAVE               (graci kimberl)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50    
SCR  RESIDENT LIBERAL               (walters j)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
 
PEN-4   08/02/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 7:28
:222 :464       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLIN MY NAME 1 1 11     1½ 1(crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 118 1.50 41% 1.50 0.90 W
LORD ON HYGH 7 5 21     2½ 2(albright george)TUNON JORDANO 118 8.00 8.60  
SISYPHUS 2 6 36     33(rose j)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70 S
OUR ANDREW B 3 2 5     43 4(houghton thom)INIRIO J 118 3.00 25% 2.90 4.60  
MUSIC BOX DANCER 4 4 46     53 59 (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 3.50 4.30  
REBEL WARRIOR 6 7 7     66(rathman elish)CARRASCO CARLOS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
FREEDOM LIVES 5 3 6     7720¼ (albright r)FLORES E 118 10.00 37.50  
 
PEN-5   08/02/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:232 :472 1:122 1:384   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE'S WALDO 2 2 2 21 2 2nk 13 (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 10% 8.60 6.20 W
REBEL RULER 6 1 1 11 1 1nk 23 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 15.00 5.00  
MUSICAL HEART 1 3 3 31 4 4¾ 34 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 34% 2.00 1.50 S
FORECLOSURE 7 8 5 65 3 3½ 4(moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 18.90  
CELTIC TREASURE 5 4 4 4 5 5¾ 5(guerrero melec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 5.00 20% 4.10 7.50  
KHOZY MY BOY 8 5 6 5 65 66(alvarado diane)BLANCO ANDRY 120 8.00 3.20  
UNCLE YUDI 4 7 8 8 78 7710½ (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 19.90  
HASHTAG WINNING 3 6 7 77 8 8813½ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 15.00 7% 12.90 17.50  
SCR  COOL COMEDIAN               (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
 
PEN-6   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
:224 :461 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ SPEEDY 2 5 4 2   2½ 1(crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.00 45% 1.20 1.00 W
WARRIOR'S PAYOFF 3 2 1½ 1   1½ 2(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 17% 5.00 1.60 P
CERTAIN JUSTICE 6 6 6 6   32 38 (albright r)BAKER J 122 8.00 21.80  
BOOK RUNNER 7 1 5 5   42 48 (salinas jose)CORA D 122 8.00 5% 18.80 13.80  
NORTHERN VIRGINIA 4 4 2½ 3   5511¼ (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 10.00 28.20  
BEJUCO 5 3 31 4   6613¼ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.50 9% 9.80 7.40  
FOUR DAYS EARLY 1 7 718½ 719¼   722¼ 742¾ (aristone phil)OCASIO JONATHAN 115 10.00 10.90  
SCR  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT               (girten tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   08/02/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
:224 :463 :591     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY TAPPY TIM 3 4 5 4   2nk 1(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 62% 0.60 0.80 W
SURCHARGE 6 7 6 6   42 2(catalano m )HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 3.30  
BOUND BY TRUTH 1 6 1nk 11   1nk 38 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 4.50 7.20  
PRAIRIE TALES 4 3 4 31   31 410¾ (lake a)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
HOWMUCHAREYOUWORTH 7 8 710¼ 712¾   75 512¾ (wyner harold)RUIZ ELISEO 111 3.50 5% 19.00 8.30  
JUSTICE OR APPEAL 8 1 2nk 21   5613¼ (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 6.00 13.00  
SELENA SING 2 5 3 5   6714¾ (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
BLEZNIATKA 5 2 814¼ 818¾   813 825¾ (lovato patricia)CORA D 120 20.00 69.10  
SCR  HIGHWAY QUEEN               (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 113 20.00    
 
PEN-8   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
:222 :451 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DURANTE 2 5 5 42   1½ 16 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 33% 2.10 0.80 W
LANSDOWNE 6 1 3½ 1   2½ 26 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 9.00  
CRYO 5 2 4 3   3½ 3(russell )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00 2.00  
MAGIC SPIN 4 4 1nk 2   41 4(albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 18% 4.40 17.30  
NOBLE JON 3 3 2nk 54   55 519¼ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 24% 3.20 12.00  
DATHOSS 1 6 6 65   6620¼ (arce josue)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 10.40  
SCR  PALM ISLAND               (crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.