Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - August 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(7/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(7/6/4/8)-(7/5/6/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/8)-(7/6/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/8)-(7/6/4/8)-(7/6/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/4/8)-(7/5/6/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/4/8)-(7/5/6/11/1)-(1/3/2/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/5/6/11/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/11/1)-(7/5/6/11/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/11/1)-(7/5/6/11/1)-(7/5/6/11/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/5/6/11/1)-(1/3/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/11/1)-(1/3/2/6)-(1/6/2/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6)-(1/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/6)-(1/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/6)-(1/6/2/4)-(2/3/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4)-(1/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/2/4)-(2/3/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/2/4)-(2/3/5/8)-(4/8/5/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8)-(2/3/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/8)-(4/8/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/8)-(4/8/5/3)-(2/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/8/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/3)-(4/8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/3)-(4/8/5/3)-(4/8/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/5/3)-(2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-8   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWNTOWNCHALYBROWN Jul06 Jun15 May18 Apr27 Mar18 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50    
2  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY Jul07 Jun15 May18 Apr28 May19 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 17% 4.90    
3  PICTOR Jul06 Jun15 May18 Mar10 Feb16 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
4  MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT Jun10 May31 May06 Mar28 Feb27 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  MEET ME AT MUNDIS Jul01 May18 Mar10 Dec27 May19 (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
6  ONE MORE SCOOP Jun06 May10 Mar28 Mar01 Feb06 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 12.00    
SCR  DR. STEVE Jun28 Jun01 Apr20 Mar22 Feb17 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00    
 
PEN-2   08/02/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON OUR WAY BOYZ Jul07 Jun18 May26 Oct20 Sep30 (kirby joh)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00    
SCR  MIZZEN MONEY Jun09 May18 Apr28 Mar30 Feb16 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 5.00    
3  WHERESTHEPASSION Jun19 May30 May10 Apr25 Apr11 (mercedes pe)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 12.00    
4  MOCEPHUS Jun24 May14 Jul03 Jun11 May20 (trombetta mich)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 9% 10.40    
5  WISPERING SPRINGS Jul17 May30 May10 May03 Mar15 (coletti edw)INIRIO J 120 6.00    
6  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 May10 Apr26 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
7  TAP EM Jun28 Jun14 Feb01 Jan11 Nov30 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
8  BOX OF JOE Jul06 Jun14 May24 Apr26 Mar24 (cooper stac)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.50 6% 15.80    
 
PEN-3   08/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Jul19 Jul07 Jun20 May30 May17 (santaella-calde)BOWMAN ADAM 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CRAZY KATER Jul12 Jun15 Jun05 Nov07 Oct13 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
3  JO JO KATZ Jul12 Jun20 May24 Oct21 Sep17 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
4  MR. EINSTEIN Jul10 Jun20 May13 Jan02 Dec13 (linder louis )SILVERA RUBEN 120 5.00    
5  DEVOTED KITTEN Jul07 Jun22 Jun14 May12 Mar29 (moreno-barba)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 27% 2.80    
6  MY FRIEND FRANK Jul12 Jun22 Sep27 Sep01 Aug10 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 20% 3.90    
7  SAMARONTI Jul07 Jun22 May26 May04 Mar17 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  CHRIS AND DAVE Jul12 Jun22 Jun01 May11 Apr21 (graci kimbe)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50    
9  PANADERO Jul12 Jul03 Jun20 Jun06 May23 (santae)GONZALEZ JR 118 30.00    
10  MINE TO HOLD Jul07 Jun20 Jun02 May05 Apr07 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
11  SOVEREIGN WARRIOR Jun20 May22 Oct01 Sep16 Sep03 (guerrero j )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RESIDENT LIBERAL Jul27 Jun09 Dec11 Nov18 Nov07 (walters john )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 15.00    
 
PEN-4   08/02/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALLIN MY NAME Jun10 Apr07       (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 118 1.50 41% 1.50    
  (by GORMLEY out of FAYREEN by ELITE SQUADRON)
2  SISYPHUS         (rose j)CULLUM W 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of BACK ROAD BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
3  OUR ANDREW B         (houghton th)INIRIO J 118 3.00 25% 2.90    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of BELLA CAMPARI by STUDENT COUNCIL)
4  MUSIC BOX DANCER         (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 3.50    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of SILHOUTTE ISLAND by PATTON)
5  FREEDOM LIVES May23         (albright r)FLORES E 118 10.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of PUNCH MARYLAND by TWO PUNCH)
6  REBEL WARRIOR         (rathman eli)CARRASCO CARLOS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of HARBOUR NEWS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
7  LORD ON HYGH Jul18         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 118 8.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of HYGH JACQUE by WHEATON)
 
PEN-5   08/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSICAL HEART Jul19 Jun16 Jun03 May18 Apr28 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
2  HERE'S WALDO Jul20 Jun14 Apr20 Mar22 Jan26 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  COOL COMEDIAN Jul12 Jun20 Jun01 Apr20 Mar15 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
4  HASHTAG WINNING Jul05 Jun20 May31 May06 Apr21 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 15.00 7% 12.90    
5  UNCLE YUDI Jun14 May19 May10 Apr26 Mar03 (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00    
6  CELTIC TREASURE Jul18 Jul03 Jun26 May22 May06 (guerrero mel)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 5.00 20% 4.10    
7  REBEL RULER Jun15 May12 Apr29 Mar16 Feb25 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 15.00    
8  FORECLOSURE Jul12 May17 Apr26 Mar30 Mar15 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00    
9  KHOZY MY BOY Jun28 May15 Jan15 Nov25 Oct16 (alvarado diane)BLANCO ANDRY 120 8.00    
 
PEN-6   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOUR DAYS EARLY         (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 115 10.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of MONETTE by COCKNEY REBEL)
2  TIZ SPEEDY Jul03 May29 Sep24 Aug22 Jul26 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by TIZNOW out of SPANKER by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
3  WARRIOR'S PAYOFF Jul11 Jun14       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of VALENTINE'S PEARL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  NORTHERN VIRGINIA Jun14         (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 10.00    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of RUN PATTY RUN by AISLE)
5  BEJUCO Jul21 Feb24 Feb10 Jan12 Nov29 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.50 9% 9.80    
  (by RED VINE out of ROMAN RENEGADE by ROMAN RULER)
6  CERTAIN JUSTICE         (albright r)BAKER J 122 8.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of UNPLUGGED by UNTUTTABLE)
SCR  WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Jul13 Jun22       (girten ti)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of EASY WAY OUT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  BOOK RUNNER Jul21 Jun29 May26 Mar31 Feb24 (salinas jose)CORA D 122 8.00 5% 18.80    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHE'S HOT STUFF by NOT FOR LOVE)
 
PEN-7   08/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGHWAY QUEEN Jul13 Jun28 Jun16 Jun01 May12 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 113 20.00    
2  BOUND BY TRUTH Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 Apr26 Mar23 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 4.50    
3  SELENA SING Jun28 Dec03 Nov23 Nov01 Oct10 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  HAPPY TAPPY TIM Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May07 Mar23 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
5  PRAIRIE TALES Jul01 Nov23 Oct26 Sep20 Aug15 (lake a)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BLEZNIATKA May18 Mar31 Mar01 Sep16 Sep02 (lovato patricia)CORA D 120 20.00    
7  SURCHARGE Jul18 Jan29 Dec17 Oct29 Oct03 (catalano )HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00    
8  HOWMUCHAREYOUWORTH Jun28 May18 May09 Apr19 Mar29 (wyner harold)RUIZ ELISEO 111 3.50 5% 19.00    
9  JUSTICE OR APPEAL Jul13 Jun20 May16 Mar31 Mar08 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 6.00    
 
PEN-8   08/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DATHOSS Jul03 Jun19 May31 May15 Apr18 (arce josue)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
2  DURANTE Jun23 Jun10 May20 Dec17 Nov27 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  PALM ISLAND Jul12 May23 Apr19 Jun19 Feb05 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00    
4  NOBLE JON Jul12 Jun18 Jun01 Apr01 Feb17 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
5  MAGIC SPIN Jul12 Jun21 Jun09 Mar15 Feb16 (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 18% 4.40    
6  CRYO Jun11 May14 Mar19 Nov09 Oct25 (russel)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00    
7  LANSDOWNE (GB) Jul27 Jun04 Apr21 Apr16 Mar19 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.