Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-3   WIN (6/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $37.20 $29.20 365%
    EXA (6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-4 $272.20 $248.20 1034%
PEN-4   EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6-4 $8.20 $4.20 105%
    DD (6/4/3/5)-(6/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00  5-6 $124.00 $108.00 675%
PEN-5   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    DD (6/4)-(5/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-7 $15.60 $3.60 30%
    PK3 (6/4/3/5)-(6/4)-(5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-6-7 $90.30 $78.30 653%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/28/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :46       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARBOR OF GOLD 4 1 3 32   1nk 1 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 64% 0.60 1.30 W
ONE TRUTH 1 4 1 1½   2nk 2 (dimitriou ha)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 3.80  
ON THE CHILL 2 3 2 2½   32 3 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 3.50 2.50  
SIR STEELE 6 2 5 4   45 4 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
GOOD FORTUNE 3 5 4 5   59 512¾ (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 15.40  
HE'S SO FUNNY 5 6 612½ 617½   621 628¾ (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 6.00 7% 12.90 10.50  
SCR  E T'S DEMON FIRE               (chacon gust)ANGULO J 120 6.00    
SCR  MASADIRO               (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00    
 
PEN-2   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:23 :471       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORMANDY LIFE 4 2 1½     12 1 (albright r)AGUILAR M 118 4.50 1.60  
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of HYGH LIFE by LITE THE FUSE)
MEXICAN SUGAR 5 3 2½     22 2 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 6.00 18% 4.60 8.50 P
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of IRISH CONNECTION by MR. GREELEY)
TIME OF OUR LIVES 2 5 45     411 312¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 5.00 23% 3.40 1.40 S
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of JOY TO RUN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
WILD CREATION 3 1 31     39 415¾ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 118 3.50 4.90  
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of WILD ORATION by ORATORY)
QUEEN OF HEARTS 1 4 57     517 525¼ (rathman eli)CARRASCO CARLOS 118 8.00 18% 4.60 6.00  
  (by HEART TO HEART out of R VICARIOUS GIRL by VICAR)
SCR  BAYNHAM               (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 3.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MUST BE FATE by EUROSILVER)
SCR  MAYDAY MAYHEM               (houghton th)INIRIO J 118 5.00    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of MAYDAY MAGIC by EL PADRINO)
 
PEN-3   07/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 YIELDING Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:114 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABKA 5 4 1 12 12 1 1½ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 17.60 W
HUSHEMUP 4 2 6 79 7 56 2½ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 22% 3.60 4.90 P
KAZ MUSIC 7 7 3 34 3 3 32 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 8.00  
WILL OR WON'T 3 6 5 5 66 6 4 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 6.00 8% 11.90 3.70  
BRING THE MAGIC 2 5 7 69 45 4 54 (woolley tim)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 1.30  
BOHEMIA BABE 8 3 2 22 22 2 6 (mercedes pedro)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00 9.30  
PROPER GRAMMAR 1 1 4 47 55 7 7 (pregman jr)CORA D 122 8.00 9.20  
BO RUNKLE 6 8 815½ 817 810½ 815½ 818 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 46% 1.20 27.90  
 
PEN-4   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELODIOUS SINGER 4 1 21 1nk   15 1 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 31% 2.20 0.90 W
ISABELLA SMILE 3 4 4 46   35 2 (martinez al)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 122 4.00 24% 3.10 3.30 P
SMOOTH AS GLASS 1 3 3 32   25 3 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 5.10  
UNO TIGRESS 2 2 11 2nk   47 421 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 4.50 2.40  
SCR  AWESOMENEWYEAR               (collazo lui)NUNEZ Y 122 8.00    
SCR  TIMELY TRADITION               (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50    
 
PEN-5   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGAINST THE ODDS 6 4 43 42   3.2 1 (zalalas michae)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 12% 7.20 2.90 W
REFUND RIGLER 1 1 11 1nk   1nk 2 (guerrero me)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 30.00 36.60  
LAST MINUTE MARIO 3 2 21 2nk   2nk 32 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 3.30  
MYSTIC POINT 2 3 3 31   4¾ 4 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 6% 15.80 5.80  
CALCULATED THINKIN 5 6 68 54   6 55 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 57% 0.70 2.60  
KING'S HOUSE 4 5 55 65   5 6 (gonzalez-mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119 3.00 2.60  
SCR  TRUE GOLD               (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 4.00    
 
PEN-6   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNPIKE BOB 1 2 1nk 1½   1 1hd (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 3.10  
BEE BY THE SEA 7 1 45 46   53 2hd (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 117 3.00 35% 1.80 1.50 P
JETTIN OUT 6 5 59 59   43 3¼ (maroun dougla)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 16.50  
R GOODTIME CHARLIE 2 3 2nk 2½   2 42 (diaz jorge)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 3.50 18% 4.50 2.50  
WOLFINBARGER 4 4 32 31   32 5 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 8.40  
SHOWER THE PEOPLE 3 6 713½ 619   611 6 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
LAVERY 5 7 613 719½   711¼ 7 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 124 12.00 16% 5.10 10.80  
 
PEN-7   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:22 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORGANS COVE 8 2 6 5   32 1½ (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 51% 1.00 1.20 W
NEWSDLEY 4 3 1 1   1 2½ (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 4.50  
ARROGANTE 7 1 3 32   2 3 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 5.00 6% 15.90 4.70 S
SONG SAVER 3 7 710½ 44   42 4 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 23% 3.40 4.40  
DESI'S REWARD 1 5 4 79   6 5 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 118 8.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
NANA'S BOOPA 2 6 5 66   58 612¾ (wyner harold)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 22.10  
HOP TO A DECISION 5 8 817½ 816   812½ 720 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 27.60  
TRUE QUEEN 6 4 2 2   711½ 822½ (rose orland)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 9.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.