The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
    Exacta (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-1 2 0 $18.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-1-2 3 0 $21.00 -6.00
PEN-2   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.20 -6.00
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-6 2 0 $33.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-6-3 3 0 $49.50 -6.00
    Daily Double (5/6/7)-(2/3/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 5-5 2 0 $16.00 -18.00
PEN-3   Win (3/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $37.20 $37.20 29.20
    Exacta (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-4 2 1 $272.20 $272.20 248.20
    Trifecta (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-4-7 3 0 $627.80 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/3/6)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-5 2 0 $114.60 -24.00
    Pick Three (5/6/7)-(2/3/6)-(3/4/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 5-5-5 3 0 $91.60 -18.00
PEN-4   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -0.20
    Exacta (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6-4 2 1 $8.20 $8.20 4.20
    Daily Double (3/4/5/6)-(4/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 5-6 2 1 $124.00 $124.00 108.00
    Pick Three (2/3/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 5-5-5/6 3 0 $54.15 -12.00
PEN-5   Win (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
    Exacta (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 7-1 2 0 $185.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-1-3 3 0 $383.50 -6.00
    Daily Double (4/6)-(2/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-7 2 1 $15.60 $15.60 3.60
    Pick Three (3/4/5/6)-(4/6)-(2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 5-6-7 3 1 $90.30 $90.30 78.30
PEN-6   Win (2/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $8.20 -8.00
    Exacta (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-7 2 0 $22.40 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 1-7-6 3 0 $60.20 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-1 2 0 $46.60 -24.00
    Pick Three (4/6)-(2/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2/6-7-1 3 0 $15.40 -12.00
PEN-7   Win (1/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -3.60
    Exacta (1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 8-4 2 0 $20.20 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 8-4-7 3 0 $24.20 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/3/5/7)-(1/3/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 1-8 2 0 $21.40 -32.00
    Pick Three (2/5/7)-(2/3/5/7)-(1/3/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 7-1-8 3 0 $30.10 -24.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/28/2023 3300ft TURF YIELDING Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:223 :46       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARBOR OF GOLD 4 1 3 32   1nk 1(crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 64% 0.60 1.30 W
ONE TRUTH 1 4 1 1½   2nk 2(dimitriou harr)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50 3.80  
ON THE CHILL 2 3 2 2½   32 3(crook-demasi )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 3.50 2.50  
SIR STEELE 6 2 5 4   45 4(carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
GOOD FORTUNE 3 5 4 5   59 512¾ (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 15.40  
HE'S SO FUNNY 5 6 612½ 617½   621 628¾ (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 6.00 7% 12.90 10.50  
SCR  E T'S DEMON FIRE               (chacon gustav)ANGULO J 120 6.00    
SCR  MASADIRO               (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00    
 
PEN-2   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:29
:23 :471       :54   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORMANDY LIFE 4 2 1½     12 1(albright r)AGUILAR M 118 4.50 1.60  
MEXICAN SUGAR 5 3 2½     22 2(agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 6.00 18% 4.60 8.50 P
TIME OF OUR LIVES 2 5 45     411 312¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 5.00 23% 3.40 1.40 S
WILD CREATION 3 1 31     39 415¾ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 118 3.50 4.90  
QUEEN OF HEARTS 1 4 57     517 525¼ (rathman elish)CARRASCO CARLOS 118 8.00 18% 4.60 6.00  
SCR  BAYNHAM               (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 3.00    
SCR  MAYDAY MAYHEM               (houghton thom)INIRIO J 118 5.00    
 
PEN-3   07/28/2023 5610ft TURF YIELDING Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
:231 :471 1:114 1:38   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABKA 5 4 1 12 12 11½ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 17.60 W
HUSHEMUP 4 2 6 79 7 56 2½ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 22% 3.60 4.90 P
KAZ MUSIC 7 7 3 34 3 332 (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 8.00  
WILL OR WON'T 3 6 5 5 66 64(stites flint )INIRIO J 122 6.00 8% 11.90 3.70  
BRING THE MAGIC 2 5 7 69 45 454 (woolley tim)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 1.30  
BOHEMIA BABE 8 3 2 22 22 26(mercedes pedro)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00 9.30  
PROPER GRAMMAR 1 1 4 47 55 77(pregman jr)CORA D 122 8.00 9.20  
BO RUNKLE 6 8 815½ 817 810½ 815½ 818 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 46% 1.20 27.90  
 
PEN-4   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
:224 :463 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MELODIOUS SINGER 4 1 21 1nk   15 1(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 31% 2.20 0.90 W
ISABELLA SMILE 3 4 4 46   35 2(martinez alex)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 122 4.00 24% 3.10 3.30 P
SMOOTH AS GLASS 1 3 3 32   25 3(flores-coba felix)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00 5.10  
UNO TIGRESS 2 2 11 2nk   47 421 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 4.50 2.40  
SCR  AWESOMENEWYEAR               (collazo luis )NUNEZ Y 122 8.00    
SCR  TIMELY TRADITION               (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50    
 
PEN-5   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:224 :463 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGAINST THE ODDS 6 4 43 42   3.2 1(zalalas michael)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 12% 7.20 2.90 W
REFUND RIGLER 1 1 11 1nk   1nk 2(guerrero mele)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 30.00 36.60  
LAST MINUTE MARIO 3 2 21 2nk   2nk 32 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 3.30  
MYSTIC POINT 2 3 3 31   4¾ 4(stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 6% 15.80 5.80  
CALCULATED THINKIN 5 6 68 54   655 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 57% 0.70 2.60  
KING'S HOUSE 4 5 55 65   56(gonzalez-mili)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119 3.00 2.60  
SCR  TRUE GOLD               (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 4.00    
 
PEN-6   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
:222 :46 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNPIKE BOB 1 2 1nk 1½   11hd (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 3.10  
BEE BY THE SEA 7 1 45 46   53 2hd (flores-coba felix)RUIZ ELISEO 117 3.00 35% 1.80 1.50 P
JETTIN OUT 6 5 59 59   43 3¼ (maroun douglas)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 16.50  
R GOODTIME CHARLIE 2 3 2nk 2½   242 (diaz jorge)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 3.50 18% 4.50 2.50  
WOLFINBARGER 4 4 32 31   32 5(rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 8.40  
SHOWER THE PEOPLE 3 6 713½ 619   611 6(salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
LAVERY 5 7 613 719½   711¼ 7(graci kimberl)INIRIO J 124 12.00 16% 5.10 10.80  
 
PEN-7   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
:22 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORGANS COVE 8 2 6 5   32 1½ (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 51% 1.00 1.20 W
NEWSDLEY 4 3 1 1   12½ (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 4.50  
ARROGANTE 7 1 3 32   23(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 118 5.00 6% 15.90 4.70 S
SONG SAVER 3 7 710½ 44   42 4(crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 23% 3.40 4.40  
DESI'S REWARD 1 5 4 79   65(bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 8.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
NANA'S BOOPA 2 6 5 66   58 612¾ (wyner harold)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 22.10  
HOP TO A DECISION 5 8 817½ 816   812½ 720 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 27.60  
TRUE QUEEN 6 4 2 2   711½ 822½ (rose orlando)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 9.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.