Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7)-(5/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(3/2/6)-(6/4/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(6/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(6/4/3/5)-(6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5)-(6/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/3/5)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4/3/5)-(6/4)-(5/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(5/7/2)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2)-(7/2/5/3)-(8/3/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/5/3)-(8/3/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-7   WIN (8/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/1)-(8/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/1)-(8/3/7/1)-(8/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/28/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TRUTH Jul12 Jun14       (dimitriou ha)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.50    
2  ON THE CHILL Oct07         (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 3.50    
SCR  MASADIRO Jun21         (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00    
4  GOOD FORTUNE Jul12 Nov13 Sep27     (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00    
5  HARBOR OF GOLD Jul12         (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
6  HE'S SO FUNNY         (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 6.00 7% 12.90    
7  SIR STEELE Jul19 Jun28 May26 May05 Mar16 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  E T'S DEMON FIRE         (chacon gust)ANGULO J 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   07/28/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAYDAY MAYHEM         (houghton th)INIRIO J 118 5.00    
  (by WELL SPELLED out of MAYDAY MAGIC by EL PADRINO)
2  QUEEN OF HEARTS         (rathman eli)CARRASCO CARLOS 118 8.00 18% 4.60    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of R VICARIOUS GIRL by VICAR)
3  TIME OF OUR LIVES         (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 5.00 23% 3.40    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of JOY TO RUN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  WILD CREATION Jul18 May23       (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 118 3.50    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of WILD ORATION by ORATORY)
5  NORMANDY LIFE Jul17         (albright r)AGUILAR M 118 4.50    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of HYGH LIFE by LITE THE FUSE)
6  MEXICAN SUGAR         (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 6.00 18% 4.60    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of IRISH CONNECTION by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  BAYNHAM         (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 118 3.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MUST BE FATE by EUROSILVER)
 
PEN-3   07/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 YIELDING Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROPER GRAMMAR May12 Nov19 Oct07 Aug21 Jul30 (pregman jr)CORA D 122 8.00    
2  BRING THE MAGIC Jul08 Jun17 May24 May04 Feb10 (woolley tim)AGUILAR M 122 3.00    
3  WILL OR WON'T Jul03 Jun13 May31 May12 Apr14 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 6.00 8% 11.90    
4  HUSHEMUP Jul12 Jun20 Feb23 Feb08 Jan25 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  BABKA Jul13 Jun15 May24 Apr20 Apr06 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BO RUNKLE Jun30 May24 May05 Apr26 Mar15 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 46% 1.20    
7  KAZ MUSIC Jul06 Jun16 May25     (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
8  BOHEMIA BABE Jul12 Jun24 Jun07 May31 Feb08 (mercedes pedro)RUIZ ELISEO 115 5.00    
 
PEN-4   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOOTH AS GLASS Jun20 May23 May05 Apr12 Apr04 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 115 6.00    
SCR  TIMELY TRADITION Jul01 May19 Mar24 Mar02 Jan13 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50    
3  UNO TIGRESS Jul05 Jun16 Jul08 Jun02 May13 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 124 4.50    
4  ISABELLA SMILE Jun18 May29 Mar28 Mar07 Jan30 (martinez alex)OCASIO M 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  AWESOMENEWYEAR Jun12 May13 Nov07 Sep21 Sep14 (collazo lui)NUNEZ Y 122 8.00    
6  MELODIOUS SINGER Mar09 Feb09 Jan25 Dec28 Dec03 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
 
PEN-5   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REFUND RIGLER Jul11 Jun30 Jun13 May31 Apr26 (guerrero m)HENRY JR 122 30.00    
2  MYSTIC POINT Jun20 May18 Apr26 Mar24 Feb23 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 6% 15.80    
3  LAST MINUTE MARIO Jun09 May10 Apr19 Jan12 Dec18 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50    
4  KING'S HOUSE Jul03 Jun09 May16 May01 Apr19 (gonzalez-mi)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119 3.00    
5  CALCULATED THINKIN Jul12 Jun20 May31 Apr28 Mar16 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 57% 0.70    
SCR  TRUE GOLD Jul19 Jun28 Jun09 May17 Apr19 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 4.00    
7  AGAINST THE ODDS Jun28 Jun20 May17 Apr19 Mar23 (zalalas michae)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 12% 7.20    
 
PEN-6   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURNPIKE BOB Jul20 Apr19 Mar31 Mar10 Jan11 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50    
2  R GOODTIME CHARLIE Jul10 Jun12 May24 May16 May01 (diaz jorge)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
3  SHOWER THE PEOPLE Nov08 Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jul01 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  WOLFINBARGER Jun28 May26 Apr28 Mar23 Jan19 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50    
5  LAVERY Jun20 Jun02 May20 May13 Apr19 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 124 12.00 16% 5.10    
6  JETTIN OUT Mar16 Dec02 Nov11 Oct26 Oct07 (maroun dougla)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
7  BEE BY THE SEA Jun10 Mar12 Feb10 Jan13 Nov27 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 117 3.00 35% 1.80    
 
PEN-7   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESI'S REWARD Jul07 Jun20 Jun01 May06 Apr20 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  NANA'S BOOPA Jun26 Jun12 May16 May06 Apr25 (wyner harold)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00    
3  SONG SAVER Jul07 Feb01 Dec30 Nov19 Oct14 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
4  NEWSDLEY Jun20 Jun02 May06 Mar10 Feb23 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00    
5  HOP TO A DECISION Jul12 Jun20 Jun02 May19 Apr27 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00    
6  TRUE QUEEN Jun29 Jun20 May19 Mar17 Feb18 (rose orland)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00    
7  ARROGANTE Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 May24 May06 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 5.00 6% 15.90    
8  MORGANS COVE Jul07 Jun22 Mar10 Feb23 Jan20 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 51% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.