Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Thursday - August 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (5/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $14.20 $6.20 78%
PEN-4   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $15.80 $9.80 163%
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-2 $39.40 $27.40 228%
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-2-6 $22.80 $16.80 280%
    DD (10/1/3/8/7)-(2/5/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00  10-5 $68.80 $38.80 129%
PEN-8   EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-2 $15.60 $3.60 30%
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-5 $19.60 $1.60 9%
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(5/6/1)-(4/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50  1-6-5 $15.70 $2.20 16%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARM ALARM 1 3 3½ 32   21 1 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 15% 5.60 6.10 W
OUR UPTOWN GIRL 6 4 2½ 1nk   11 2 (coletti edward)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 0.90  
TOURING MARYANNE 7 1 4 4   3 3 (moore mic)VARGAS A 120 8.00 6.80  
JEZEBEL JADE 4 5 7 7   6 4 (padilla-pre)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 24% 3.20 7.30  
ARUMA 3 6 52 5   5 512½ (padilla-pre)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 15.00 10.60  
ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE 5 7 64 6   7 613½ (lake scott )INIRIO J 120 4.50 20% 3.90 9.80  
BOWTOTHEQUEEN 2 2 1½ 2nk   4 732½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 11% 8.30 7.60  
SCR  DARLING DONNA               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
 
PEN-2   08/03/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:221 :451       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORTY MAC 6 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (rogers ronal)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 8.10  
IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN 4 5 6 66   5¾ 2hd (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 27% 2.70 3.70 P
AVATAL HERO 9 2 3 3   2nk 3nk (preciado gu)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 3.50 31% 2.20 3.90 S
MY MASTERPIECE 2 3 43 53   61 4 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
BETTER CALL MAMA 7 7 5 4   3.2 5 (maldonado j)CARRASCO CARLOS 120 3.00 11% 8.40 2.80  
TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK 8 9 9 8   82 6 (barr h)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 14.60  
SKERRETT 5 8 7 78   72 74 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 6.90  
PROSPECTIVE CANDY 1 6 8 910   9 8 (bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00 45.50  
MYTHREEBUTTERFLIES 3 4 2nk 2nk   4¼ 9 (linder lo)VARGAS A 120 6.00 5% 18.30 8.50  
 
PEN-3   08/03/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:221 :442       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LIVE FIRE 10 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 1½ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 23% 3.40 2.80 W
CHEERS FOR KITTEN 1 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 2½ (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 21% 3.80 3.50 P
STARLITE WALKER 5 7 86 65   5 3¾ (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 113 12.00 9.50  
GONE INZANE 8 6 5 5   73 4 (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 13% 6.80 8.30  
SPIKES SHIRL 9 2 32 32   4 53 (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 9.20  
NAUTICAL NATURE 2 4 42 43   32 6 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 120 50.00 62.20 DH
WHERE YOU WAS 3 5 64 7   6 6 (rogers w)CORA D 120 8.00 17% 5.00 6.30 DH
BEACH WARRIOR 7 10 7 87   8 6 (farro patri)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 4.00 5% 19.00 7.40 DH
COLBALOAF 6 8 98 99   96 9 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 6.40  
JUST A THOUGHT 4 9 1012 1017   1016 1019¼ (pattershall m)PEREZ M 118 20.00 43.90  
 
PEN-4   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:232 :462 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 4 1 11 1   12 1 (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 118 4.50 17% 4.70 6.90 W
NAIL POLISH 2 2 21 2   22 2 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 40% 1.50 1.60 P
ME DARLIN KATHLEEN 5 4 3 3   43 3 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 2.50 11% 7.90 0.90 S
HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY 3 5 55 5   5 49 (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 9.50  
KEYSTONE WARRIOR 1 3 42 4   33 59 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 5.00 7.90  
SCR  WE'LL SEE               (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 111 6.00    
 
PEN-5   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :451 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KILMALEY 7 1 11 14   13 1 (pino michae)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00 4.60  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ISLAND SCHOOL by A.P. INDY)
CHAPA 6 5 31 24   23 2 (houghton )VARGAS L 122 12.00 13.20  
  (by MEDALLIST out of LAKOTA by JUMP START)
STASSI 2 3 4 35   34 3 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00 30% 2.40 1.40 S
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of DARN QUIET by REAL QUIET)
PHILLIES DIAMOND 4 4 21 4   4 45 (velazquez d)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00 8.10  
  (by DIVINING ROD out of FIREY DIAMOND by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
OLIVIA DEE 5 6 6 5   5 5 (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.10  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of J K'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  CITY OF LONDON 9 7 7 7   66 610¾ (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 20% 4.00 13.30  
  (by COLLECTED out of LEISURE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
LUCKY FLUSH 3 2 5 68   7 712 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 32.80  
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of GRAND CANYON GOLD by TALE OF THE CAT)
OBJET D'ART 8 8 8 810   8 813½ (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00 36.60  
  (by MUNNINGS out of ITEM by ORIENTATE)
ANGEL OF HARLEM 1 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 28% 2.60 2.50  
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of ANGEL LANE by CONGRATS)
SCR  EXPECTATIONS MET               (duarte jorge )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MS. CORNSTALK by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
PEN-6   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:232 :471 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVE AID 1 1 11 1nk   1½ 1 (pattershall m)PEREZ M 122 1.80 49% 1.00 1.10 W
MISS ALEX 2 2 33 33   31 2 (chacon gustavo)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00 7.30  
FIVE DAYS IN MAY 5 3 21 2nk   2½ 3 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 15% 5.60 1.00 S
GLOSSY MADRINA 3 5 512½ 517   49 4100 (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 122 20.00 10.90  
GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL 4 4 4 45   5100 5100 (johnson car)INIRIO J 122 20.00 14% 6.10 28.10  
SCR  ANGINETTI               (lee r)ROLDAN FELISHA 115 2.50    
 
PEN-7   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGHTY GIN GIN 6 1 1 12   12 12 (carrascoj)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 8% 11.30 1.70 W
MISSING A SOCK 3 2 3 32   33 22 (miller a)CORA D 124 3.50 7.70  
TRUE PHENOMENON 4 4 2 22   22 3 (coletti e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 3.60  
SUNDOG 2 5 5 54   4 44 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 4.50 8.00  
SWEETEST MOMENT 1 6 6 612   610½ 518½ (thompson m)HENRY JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 39.70  
I'M GETTIN LUCKY 5 3 4 4   5 631¼ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 64% 0.60 1.60  
 
PEN-8   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
See original race card.
:222 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG JOHN 5 4 33 3   3½ 1½ (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 21% 3.80 1.40 W
ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS 2 2 22 2½   1nk 2½ (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 15% 5.80 2.60 P
TRIPLE TITOS 3 6 6 6   6 3 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00 12.90  
THREEPETE 1 5 44 43   41 4 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 10.00 10.40  
GIUSEPPE 6 1 12 1½   2nk 5 (rubley ke)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 7.70  
PUTTHEPASTBEHIND 4 3 5 5   5 6 (alvarado di)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 120 2.50 43% 1.30 3.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.