The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Thursday - August 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $14.20 $14.20 6.20
    Exacta (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-7 2 0 $29.80 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 1-7-8 3 0 $48.30 -24.00
PEN-2   Win (2/3/4/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $18.20 -10.00
    Exacta (2/3/4/7/9)-(2/3/4/7/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 6-4 2 0 $81.20 -40.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4/7/9)-(2/3/4/7/9)-(2/3/4/7/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 6-4-9 3 0 $249.60 -60.00
    Daily Double (1/2/5/6)-(2/3/4/7/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 1-6 2 0 $226.80 -40.00
PEN-3   Win (1/3/7/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 -2.40
    Exacta (1/3/7/8/10)-(1/3/7/8/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 10-1 2 1 $36.20 $36.20 -3.80
    Trifecta (1/3/7/8/10)-(1/3/7/8/10)-(1/3/7/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 10-1-5 3 0 $151.00 -60.00
    Daily Double (2/3/4/7/9)-(1/3/7/8/10) 25 $2.00 $50.00 6-10 2 0 $88.40 -50.00
    Pick Three (1/2/5/6)-(2/3/4/7/9)-(1/3/7/8/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 1-6-10 3 0 $139.90 -50.00
PEN-4   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $15.80 $15.80 9.80
    Exacta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-2 2 1 $39.40 $39.40 27.40
    Trifecta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-2-6 3 1 $22.80 $22.80 16.80
    Daily Double (1/3/7/8/10)-(2/5/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 10-5 2 1 $68.80 $68.80 38.80
    Pick Three (2/3/4/7/9)-(1/3/7/8/10)-(2/5/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 6-10-5 3 0 $169.80 -37.50
PEN-5   Win (1/2/3/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $11.20 -10.00
    Exacta (1/2/3/6/10)-(1/2/3/6/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 8-7 2 0 $104.00 -40.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/6/10)-(1/2/3/6/10)-(1/2/3/6/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 8-7-2 3 0 $146.90 -60.00
    Daily Double (2/5/6)-(1/2/3/6/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 5-8 2 0 $169.40 -30.00
    Pick Three (1/3/7/8/10)-(2/5/6)-(1/2/3/6/10) 75 $0.50 $37.50 10-5-8 3 0 $81.50 -37.50
PEN-6   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
    Exacta (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-3 2 0 $20.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-3-6 3 0 $12.90 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/6/10)-(1/5/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 8-1 2 0 $28.00 -30.00
    Pick Three (2/5/6)-(1/2/3/6/10)-(1/5/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 5-8-1 3 0 $52.70 -22.50
PEN-7   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
    Exacta (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-3 2 0 $31.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-3-4 3 0 $72.40 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 1-6 2 1 $12.40 $12.40 -5.60
    Pick Three (1/2/3/6/10)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 8-1-6 3 0 $32.45 -22.50
PEN-8   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20
    Exacta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-2 2 1 $15.60 $15.60 3.60
    Trifecta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-2-3 3 0 $30.60 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/5/6)-(2/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 6-5 2 1 $19.60 $19.60 1.60
    Pick Three (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(2/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 1-6-5 3 1 $15.70 $15.70 2.20

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:222 :452 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARM ALARM 1 3 3½ 32   21 1(zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 15% 5.60 6.10 W
OUR UPTOWN GIRL 6 4 2½ 1nk   11 2(coletti j)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 0.90  
TOURING MARYANNE 7 1 4 4   33(moore micha)VARGAS A 120 8.00 6.80  
JEZEBEL JADE 4 5 7 7   64(padilla-preci)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 24% 3.20 7.30  
ARUMA 3 6 52 5   5512½ (padilla-preci)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 15.00 10.60  
ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE 5 7 64 6   7613½ (lake a)INIRIO J 120 4.50 20% 3.90 9.80  
BOWTOTHEQUEEN 2 2 1½ 2nk   4732½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 11% 8.30 7.60  
SCR  DARLING DONNA               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
 
PEN-2   08/03/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
:221 :451       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHORTY MAC 6 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (rogers ronald )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 8.10  
IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN 4 5 6 66   5¾ 2hd (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 27% 2.70 3.70 P
AVATAL HERO 9 2 3 3   2nk 3nk (preciado guad)WOLFSONT ANDREW 118 3.50 31% 2.20 3.90 S
MY MASTERPIECE 2 3 43 53   61 4(flores-coba felix)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90  
BETTER CALL MAMA 7 7 5 4   3.2 5(maldonado jon)CARRASCO CARLOS 120 3.00 11% 8.40 2.80  
TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK 8 9 9 8   82 6(barr h)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 14.60  
SKERRETT 5 8 7 78   72 74 (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 6.90  
PROSPECTIVE CANDY 1 6 8 910   98(bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00 45.50  
MYTHREEBUTTERFLIES 3 4 2nk 2nk   4¼ 9(linder loui)VARGAS A 120 6.00 5% 18.30 8.50  
 
PEN-3   08/03/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
:221 :442       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LIVE FIRE 10 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 1½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 23% 3.40 2.80 W
CHEERS FOR KITTEN 1 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 2½ (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 21% 3.80 3.50 P
STARLITE WALKER 5 7 86 65   53¾ (flores-coba felix)RUIZ ELISEO 113 12.00 9.50  
GONE INZANE 8 6 5 5   73 4(zalalas micha)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 13% 6.80 8.30  
SPIKES SHIRL 9 2 32 32   453 (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 9.20  
NAUTICAL NATURE 2 4 42 43   32 6(ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 120 50.00 62.20 DH
WHERE YOU WAS 3 5 64 7   66(rogers w)CORA D 120 8.00 17% 5.00 6.30 DH
BEACH WARRIOR 7 10 7 87   86(farro patrici)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 4.00 5% 19.00 7.40 DH
COLBALOAF 6 8 98 99   96 9(salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 6.40  
JUST A THOUGHT 4 9 1012 1017   1016 1019¼ (pattershall mar)PEREZ M 118 20.00 43.90  
 
PEN-4   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
:232 :462 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 4 1 11 1   12 1(beattie m)CHIAPPE R 118 4.50 17% 4.70 6.90 W
NAIL POLISH 2 2 21 2   22 2(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 40% 1.50 1.60 P
ME DARLIN KATHLEEN 5 4 3 3   43 3(kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 2.50 11% 7.90 0.90 S
HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY 3 5 55 5   549 (meister wil)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 9.50  
KEYSTONE WARRIOR 1 3 42 4   33 59 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 118 5.00 7.90  
SCR  WE'LL SEE               (beattie m)ROJAS MARTINA 111 6.00    
 
PEN-5   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
:222 :451 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KILMALEY 7 1 11 14   13 1(pino michael )VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 6.00 4.60  
CHAPA 6 5 31 24   23 2(houghton th)VARGAS L 122 12.00 13.20  
STASSI 2 3 4 35   34 3(houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00 30% 2.40 1.40 S
PHILLIES DIAMOND 4 4 21 4   445 (velazquez dan)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00 8.10  
OLIVIA DEE 5 6 6 5   55(martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 15.00 5% 19.00 24.10  
10  CITY OF LONDON 9 7 7 7   66 610¾ (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 20% 4.00 13.30  
LUCKY FLUSH 3 2 5 68   7712 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 32.80  
OBJET D'ART 8 8 8 810   8813½ (mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00 36.60  
ANGEL OF HARLEM 1 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 28% 2.60 2.50  
SCR  EXPECTATIONS MET               (duarte jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00    
 
PEN-6   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
:232 :471 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIVE AID 1 1 11 1nk   1½ 1(pattershall mar)PEREZ M 122 1.80 49% 1.00 1.10 W
MISS ALEX 2 2 33 33   31 2(chacon gustavo)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00 7.30  
FIVE DAYS IN MAY 5 3 21 2nk   2½ 3(beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 15% 5.60 1.00 S
GLOSSY MADRINA 3 5 512½ 517   49 4100 (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 122 20.00 10.90  
GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL 4 4 4 45   5100 5100 (johnson carlo)INIRIO J 122 20.00 14% 6.10 28.10  
SCR  ANGINETTI               (lee r)ROLDAN FELISHA 115 2.50    
 
PEN-7   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
:222 :454 :583     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIGHTY GIN GIN 6 1 1 12   12 12 (carrascojr )HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 8% 11.30 1.70 W
MISSING A SOCK 3 2 3 32   33 22 (miller a)CORA D 124 3.50 7.70  
TRUE PHENOMENON 4 4 2 22   22 3(coletti edw)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 3.60  
SUNDOG 2 5 5 54   444 (deiter l)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 4.50 8.00  
SWEETEST MOMENT 1 6 6 612   610½ 518½ (thompson mar)HENRY JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 39.70  
I'M GETTIN LUCKY 5 3 4 4   5631¼ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 64% 0.60 1.60  
 
PEN-8   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
:222 :453 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG JOHN 5 4 33 3   3½ 1½ (barboza j)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 21% 3.80 1.40 W
ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS 2 2 22 2½   1nk 2½ (salvaggio m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 15% 5.80 2.60 P
TRIPLE TITOS 3 6 6 6   63(bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00 12.90  
THREEPETE 1 5 44 43   41 4(bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 10.00 10.40  
GIUSEPPE 6 1 12 1½   2nk 5(rubley kell)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 7.70  
PUTTHEPASTBEHIND 4 3 5 5   56(alvarado dian)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 120 2.50 43% 1.30 3.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.