Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - August 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2)-(5/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/1/2)-(9/4/7/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/2)-(9/4/7/3/2)-(10/1/3/8/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
PEN-2   WIN (9/4/7/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/3/2)-(9/4/7/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/3/2)-(9/4/7/3/2)-(9/4/7/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/7/3/2)-(10/1/3/8/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (9/4/7/3/2)-(10/1/3/8/7)-(2/5/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
PEN-3   WIN (10/1/3/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/1/3/8/7)-(10/1/3/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/1/3/8/7)-(10/1/3/8/7)-(10/1/3/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/1/3/8/7)-(2/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/1/3/8/7)-(2/5/6)-(2/1/10/3/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
PEN-4   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(2/1/10/3/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(2/1/10/3/6)-(1/6/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PEN-5   WIN (2/1/10/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/1/10/3/6)-(2/1/10/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/1/10/3/6)-(2/1/10/3/6)-(2/1/10/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/1/10/3/6)-(1/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/10/3/6)-(1/6/5)-(5/6/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
PEN-6   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(5/6/1)-(4/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-7   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-8   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARM ALARM Jul13 Jun15 Jun01 May11   (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
2  BOWTOTHEQUEEN Nov29 Nov02 Oct12 Sep27   (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 11% 8.30    
3  ARUMA Apr10 Mar21 Feb15 Nov28 Oct25 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00    
SCR  DARLING DONNA Jul13 Jun04 May15 Apr10 Mar06 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
5  JEZEBEL JADE Jul10 Jun07 Apr26 Apr10 Mar21 (padilla-pre)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
6  ROLLS ROYCE JOYCE Jun12 Mar21 Mar06 Feb01 Jan16 (lake scott )INIRIO J 120 4.50 20% 3.90    
7  OUR UPTOWN GIRL Jul10 Jun12 May15 Apr10 Mar06 (coletti edward)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00    
8  TOURING MARYANNE Jul03 Jun06 Apr03 Mar21 Feb20 (moore mic)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   08/03/2023 3300ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROSPECTIVE CANDY Jun20 May31 May19 Mar15 Feb20 (bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00    
2  MY MASTERPIECE Jul13 Jun19 May31 May23 Oct22 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 113 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MYTHREEBUTTERFLIES Jun26 May31 May02 Apr04 Feb20 (lin)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5% 18.30    
4  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Jul14 Jun20 Jun04 May18 Nov22 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
5  SKERRETT Jul19 May15 Apr17 Mar21 Jul12 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
6  SHORTY MAC Jun16 Aug17       (rogers ronal)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00    
7  BETTER CALL MAMA Jul13 Jun25 Jun04 May24 Nov20 (maldonado jonath)CRUZ ANGEL 120 3.00 11% 8.40    
8  TWELVEO'CLOCKROCK Jul23 Jul13 May18 Jan15 Nov21 (barr h)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
9  AVATAL HERO Jul11 Jun05 May05 Apr06 Feb15 (preciado guada)PENNINGTON F 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
 
PEN-3   08/03/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHEERS FOR KITTEN Jun28 May28 May18 May06 Apr21 (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
2  NAUTICAL NATURE Jul05 Jun21 Mar23 Mar02 Dec21 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 120 50.00    
3  WHERE YOU WAS Jul05 Jun20 May23 Oct26 Oct12 (rogers w)CORA D 120 8.00 17% 5.00    
4  JUST A THOUGHT Jul11 Jun20 Jun10 May20 Apr26 (pattershall m)PEREZ M 118 20.00    
5  STARLITE WALKER Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 Dec01 Sep03 (flores-coba fel)RUIZ ELISEO 113 12.00    
6  COLBALOAF Jun18 May18 Oct25 Oct10 Sep14 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
7  BEACH WARRIOR Jul20 Jun09 May10 Oct26 Sep24 (farro )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
8  GONE INZANE Jul05 Jun21 Nov12 Sep23 Sep06 (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 13% 6.80    
9  SPIKES SHIRL Jul05 Jun21 May17 Apr26 Mar23 (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
10  LIVE FIRE Jul03 May25 Nov30 Oct04 Sep14 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
PEN-4   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEYSTONE WARRIOR Dec28 Dec02 Sep20 Aug31 Aug10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 118 5.00    
2  NAIL POLISH Jul07 May24 Apr21 Mar22 Mar01 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  WE'LL SEE Jun09 Apr10 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 111 6.00    
4  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Jun20 May12 Apr20 Mar23 Feb16 (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
5  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Jul07 Jun20 May24 Apr20 Mar30 (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 118 4.50 17% 4.70    
6  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Jul20 Jun30 Jun22 May11 Apr20 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 2.50 11% 7.90    
 
PEN-5   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANGEL OF HARLEM Jul05 May31       (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of ANGEL LANE by CONGRATS)
2  STASSI Jul05 May31 May11     (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 5.00 30% 2.40    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of DARN QUIET by REAL QUIET)
3  LUCKY FLUSH         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of GRAND CANYON GOLD by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  PHILLIES DIAMOND Dec06 Nov23 Nov07     (velazquez d)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of FIREY DIAMOND by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
SCR  EXPECTATIONS MET Jul09 Jun04 May06 Dec14 Nov19 (duarte jorge )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of MS. CORNSTALK by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  OLIVIA DEE         (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of J K'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
7  CHAPA         (houghton )VARGAS L 122 12.00    
  (by MEDALLIST out of LAKOTA by JUMP START)
8  KILMALEY Jul08 May31       (pino michael )SILVERA RUBEN 122 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ISLAND SCHOOL by A.P. INDY)
9  OBJET D'ART Jul19         (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ITEM by ORIENTATE)
10  CITY OF LONDON May25         (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of LEISURE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
PEN-6   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVE AID Jul03 Jun06 May08 Apr19 Mar07 (pattershall m)PEREZ M 122 1.80 49% 1.00    
SCR  ANGINETTI Jul03 Jun20 Jun05 May29 May08 (lee r)ROLDAN FELISHA 115 2.50    
3  MISS ALEX Jul17 Jun26 Jun09 May23 May16 (chacon gustavo)CHIAPPE R 122 5.00    
4  GLOSSY MADRINA Jul05 Jun16 May19 Apr27 Mar24 (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 122 20.00    
5  GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL Jul26 Jul21 Jul14 May31 Apr27 (johnson car)INIRIO J 122 20.00 14% 6.10    
6  FIVE DAYS IN MAY Jul05 Jun14 May17 May04 Feb23 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 15% 5.60    
 
PEN-7   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEETEST MOMENT Jul12 Jun14       (thompson m)HENRY JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUNDOG Jul07 Jun22 May24 Oct05 Jul14 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 4.50    
3  MISSING A SOCK Jul06 Sep14 Aug24 Jul27 Jul01 (miller a)CORA D 124 3.50    
4  TRUE PHENOMENON Mar21 Feb08 Jan23 Dec20   (coletti e)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
5  I'M GETTIN LUCKY         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 3.00 64% 0.60    
6  MIGHTY GIN GIN Apr23 Mar16       (carrascoj)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 8% 11.30    
 
PEN-8   08/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREEPETE Jun27 Jun10 May20 Apr19 Mar27 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 10.00    
2  ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS Jul21 Jun30       (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 15% 5.80    
3  TRIPLE TITOS Jul14 Jun30 May24 May04 Feb26 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 8.00    
4  PUTTHEPASTBEHIND Jul21 May15 May07 Apr07 Mar16 (alvarado diane)BLANCO ANDRY 120 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  BIG JOHN Jun11 Apr28 Mar15 Feb26 Jan22 (barboza victor)CONNER TYLER 120 2.00 21% 3.80    
6  GIUSEPPE Jun16 May19 Mar31 Feb24   (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.