The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $3.80 -6.00
    Exacta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-5 2 0 $15.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-5-2 3 0 $46.00 -12.00
PID-2   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-1 2 1 $8.40 $8.40 -3.60
    Trifecta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-1-2 3 0 $30.80 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/5)-(1/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 3-3 2 0 $8.00 -18.00
PID-3   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $3.80 -4.00
    Exacta (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3-1 2 0 $9.00 -4.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 3-1-4 3 0 $12.60 0.00
    Daily Double (1/3/5)-(1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-3 2 0 $5.40 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/2/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/2) 18 $2.00 $36.00 3-3-3/5 3 0 $20.00 -36.00
PID-4   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-6 2 1 $16.40 $16.40 4.40
    Trifecta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-6-4 3 0 $88.80 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2)-(1/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-3 2 0 $9.60 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/3/5)-(1/2)-(1/3/6) 18 $2.00 $36.00 3-3/5-2/3 3 0 $17.20 -36.00
PID-5   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $24.20 $24.20 18.20
    Exacta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-3 2 1 $74.80 $74.80 62.80
    Trifecta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-3-2 3 1 $103.60 $103.60 91.60
    Daily Double (1/3/6)-(2/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 3-4 2 1 $36.80 $36.80 18.80
    Pick Three (1/2)-(1/3/6)-(2/3/4) 18 $2.00 $36.00 3/5-2/3-4 3 0 $249.00 -36.00
PID-6   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -1.80
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-4 2 1 $10.20 $10.20 -1.80
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-4-5 3 0 $23.80 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/3/4)-(1/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 4-1 2 1 $68.60 $68.60 50.60
    Pick Three (1/3/6)-(2/3/4)-(1/2/4) 27 $2.00 $54.00 2/3-4-1/3 3 1 $146.00 $146.00 92.00
PID-7   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-4 2 0 $46.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-4-6 3 0 $91.80 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4)-(2/3/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 1-2 2 1 $34.20 $34.20 16.20
    Pick Three (2/3/4)-(1/2/4)-(2/3/6) 27 $2.00 $54.00 4-1/3-2 3 1 $196.60 $196.60 142.60
PID-8   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-5 2 1 $10.80 $10.80 -1.20
    Trifecta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-5-2 3 0 $35.80 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/3/6)-(1/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 2-1 2 1 $39.20 $39.20 21.20
    Pick Three (1/2/4)-(2/3/6)-(1/4/5) 27 $2.00 $54.00 1/3-2-1 3 1 $49.60 $49.60 -4.40

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:224 :461 :582     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUACO 3 5 43 4   1nk 14 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 1.60 0.90  
CHAMPION BY DESIGN 5 3 54 5   4¾ 24 (brooks e)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 7% 13.90 3.60 P
SOUTH SEA 2 4 21 1nk   2nk 35 (rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.00 27% 2.70 6.80 S
SAMURAI LEGACY 1 1 11 2nk   3.2 4(markgraf david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.00 38% 1.70 3.40  
JUST WATCH ME NOW 4 2 3 31   5510 (pappada michael)WALKER M 122 5.00 6.90  
 
PID-2   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
:224 :461 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFE MISSION 3 3 1½ 1½   113 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 55% 0.80 0.60 W
CAPTAIN MAD JACK 1 4 45 33   34 23 (pappada c)STANLEY O 122 6.00 7% 12.50 3.20 P
WHISTLE ME HOME 2 5 5 6   435 (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 10.70  
EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR 5 1 2½ 2½   245 (pappada michael)WALKER M 122 2.50 16% 5.10 4.40  
PURE SPRING 6 2 33 4   55(boyer jr)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50 22.40  
EAGLES PALACE 4 6 6 5   6616¾ (dodge albert)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 15.20  
 
PID-3   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
:23 :461 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOTTS GOT IT 3 2 11 1   11(potts g)WALKER M 120 2.50 0.90  
NINJA STAR 1 3 32 2   22(rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.00 35% 1.80 1.60 P
RAMMING SPEED 4 1 21 3   38 322 (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 120 4.50 5.20  
YEAH TAKE THAT 2 4 42 4   412½ 433¼ (brooks ger)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 34% 1.90 5.40  
SCR  HECTOR               (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 3.50    
 
PID-4   08/16/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
:244 :492 1:141 1:39   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R ADMIRAL 2 1 1 1 11 11(fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 1.80 51% 0.90 0.90 W
LEFT ON BOYLSTON 5 5 5 57 4 44 2(fennessy john)SPIETH S 124 4.00 5% 19.00 6.90 P
REACTIVE 3 2 32 3 33 23(harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 114 3.50 5.10  
I STRONG 1 3 2 2 21 34 4(rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 2.50 24% 3.10 1.90  
DIAMONDHARD STONE 4 4 43 4 5 58 522¾ (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 119 8.00 14.30  
SCR  THREE O ONE               (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 10.00    
 
PID-5   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
:224 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE 4 1 3 3   2nk 13 (brooks e)ROJAS MARTINA 115 5.00 7% 12.40 11.10 W
CHEROKEE CHATTER 3 5 13 1   1nk 23 (carr-rozan)MARTINEZ A 122 2.00 30% 2.40 2.90 P
CHARLOTTE THE BRIT 2 2 23 2   33(barron rory)MORALES PABLO 124 1.20 41% 1.40 0.40 S
TIZ PROMISING RVF 1 4 45 43   43 4(valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 11.40  
CHARGINA 5 3 56 5   55 58 (herrington cally )STANLEY O 122 4.50 11.20  
 
PID-6   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:223 :453 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIACOMETTI 1 3 1 12   13 18 (girten tim)ROJAS MARTINA 110 1.80 30% 2.40 1.10 W
GOLDEN SODA 3 2 33 33   23 28 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 4.00 21% 3.90 3.00 P
LARZ 4 4 2 22   33 3(amaya joan)MARTINEZ W 117 2.50 2.50  
MISS GETTY UP 2 5 44 44   4412¾ (girten tim)GALLARDO A 117 3.50 19% 4.20 10.50  
SLIPPERY WHEN WET 5 1 55 56   5516¼ (hayes leland)ALLEN D 117 10.00 6.40  
SCR  LIGHTNING CHARLIE               (russell ra)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
 
PID-7   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
:224 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD DELIGHT 2 3 11 1nk   1nk 1hd (rogers michae)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00 24% 3.10 2.60 W
KRISPY RICE 4 5 5 52   52hd (walsh d)ALLEN D 122 5.00 9.20  
BREEZY CONNECTION 6 2 3 2nk   2nk 3¼ (brooks ger)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 38% 1.70 1.00 S
SOUTH HOUSE 1 4 4 41   44(stites w)SPIETH S 122 5.00 16.00  
QUARTERFLASH 3 6 68 6   65(girten tim)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 11% 7.90 7.70  
A NITE IN CAIRO 5 1 21 3½   36(hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 117 3.00 4.60  
 
PID-8   08/16/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
:242 :484 1:141 1:391   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINANT STRANGER 1 2 1 1 1 1½ 1¾ (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 3.50 18% 4.70 1.70 W
PATH TO VICTORY 5 6 6 6 3 2½ 2¾ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 2.00 35% 1.80 1.40 P
ZORA 2 3 43 54 6 43 3(carr-rozantz c)AYALA J 117 8.00 10.20  
UPPITY UP 6 5 5 43 4 54(potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 4.00 7.10  
SAINT FOXY 3 1 2 3 5 33 5(brooks e)ROJAS MARTINA 110 10.00 16.10  
HI HEELED WARRIOR 4 4 3 2 2 68 623 (kulp l)MORALES PABLO 117 2.50 21% 3.70 5.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.