Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - August 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(3/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(3/5/1)-(1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(1/2)-(3/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(3/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(3/1/6)-(2/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(2/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(2/3/4)-(1/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-5   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(1/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(1/4/2)-(6/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-6   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(6/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(6/2/3)-(5/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-7   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(5/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
PID-8   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMURAI LEGACY Aug08 Jul12 Jun27 Jun20 Jun07 (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
2  SOUTH SEA Jul24 Jun14 May18 Mar24 Mar03 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.00 27% 2.70    
3  GUACO Jul26 Jul10 Jun20 Jan07 Dec09 (weaver cassondra)MARTINEZ W 122 1.60    
4  JUST WATCH ME NOW Jul26 Jul11 Jun20 Jun05 May22 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 5.00    
5  CHAMPION BY DESIGN Aug08 Jul24 Jul11 Jun20 May23 (brooks gerald)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 7% 13.90    
 
PID-2   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAIN MAD JACK Jul19 Jul04 May31 May24 Mar30 (pappada michael)STANLEY O 122 6.00 7% 12.50    
2  WHISTLE ME HOME Aug01 Oct20 Sep20 Jul07 Jun14 (guciardo john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00    
3  LIFE MISSION Jul05 Jun20 May29 Oct26 Sep29 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 55% 0.80    
4  EAGLES PALACE Dec13 Nov14 Oct25 Sep12 Aug15 (dodge albert)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
5  EXPLOSIVE HUMOUR Jul10 Jun14 May31 Dec01 Nov14 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 2.50 16% 5.10    
6  PURE SPRING Jul24 Jun07 May17 Oct20 Sep27 (boyer j)ROJAS MARTINA 115 3.50    
 
PID-3   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($32K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NINJA STAR Aug07         (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 2.00 35% 1.80    
2  YEAH TAKE THAT Jul19 Jul03       (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
3  GOTTS GOT IT Jun14 May26       (potts g)WALKER M 120 2.50    
4  RAMMING SPEED Jul30 Jul15 Jul03 Jun14   (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 120 4.50    
SCR  HECTOR Aug09 Jul18       (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 3.50    
 
PID-4   08/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I STRONG Aug01 Jul12 Jun27 Jun06 May17 (rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  THREE O ONE Aug07 May13 Mar25 Nov05 Oct22 (rice kevin)AYALA J 124 10.00    
  (by LEA out of DYNAVERSE by DYNAFORMER)
3  R ADMIRAL Jul31 Jul11 Jun26 Dec21 Nov26 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 1.80 51% 0.90    
  (by ASTERN out of WALKINFORKISSES by KISSIN KRIS)
4  REACTIVE Jul25         (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 114 3.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of CHARGED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  DIAMONDHARD STONE Jul24 Jul11 Jun06 Oct17   (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 119 8.00    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of WHITE DIAMOND GIRL by PIONEERING)
6  LEFT ON BOYLSTON Oct08 Aug13 Jul10 Jun18 Apr15 (fennessy john)SPIETH S 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of SRIKINGLYBEAUTIFUL by SMART STRIKE)
 
PID-5   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($6.25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ PROMISING RVF Jul31 Jul19 Jun27 Jun07 May31 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
2  CHARLOTTE THE BRIT Aug02 Jul17 Jun27 Jun06 May17 (barron rory)MORALES PABLO 124 1.20 41% 1.40    
3  CHEROKEE CHATTER Aug02 Jul26 Jul04 Jun13 May22 (carr-roz)MARTINEZ A 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
4  ABBEY'S SNOW WHITE Aug02 Jul19 Jun26 Jun19 May31 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 115 5.00 7% 12.40    
5  CHARGINA Aug07 Jul21 Jul02 Jun11 May28 (herrington call)STANLEY O 122 4.50    
 
PID-6   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIACOMETTI Aug10 Jul18 Jul05 Jun19 May29 (girten tim)ROJAS MARTINA 110 1.80 30% 2.40    
2  MISS GETTY UP Feb16 Jan26 Dec15 Aug21 Jun28 (girten t)GALLARDO A 117 3.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  LIGHTNING CHARLIE Jul04 Jun14 Jun05 Sep07 Aug24 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
4  GOLDEN SODA Aug01 Jul12 Jun05 Apr07 Feb18 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 4.00 21% 3.90    
5  LARZ Aug09 Jul25 Jul12 Jun19 Jun06 (amaya joan)MARTINEZ W 117 2.50    
6  SLIPPERY WHEN WET Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 Jun07 May30 (hayes leland)ALLEN D 117 10.00    
 
PID-7   08/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTH HOUSE Aug07 Jul25 Jul04 May22 May04 (stites w)SPIETH S 122 5.00    
2  WILD DELIGHT Jul24 Jun21 Jul20 May02 Mar21 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  QUARTERFLASH Jul24 Jul05 Jun13 May22 Apr20 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 11% 7.90    
4  KRISPY RICE Jul05 Jun13 May22 Feb18 Jan25 (walsh d)ALLEN D 122 5.00    
5  A NITE IN CAIRO Jul26 Jan18 Dec17 Oct03 Aug20 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 117 3.00    
6  BREEZY CONNECTION Aug07 Jul25 Jul04 Jun12 May22 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
 
PID-8   08/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINANT STRANGER Aug07 Jul17 Jul10 Jun13 Aug24 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 3.50 18% 4.70    
2  ZORA Aug08 Jul17 Jun19 Jun06 May22 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 117 8.00    
3  SAINT FOXY Aug08 Jul26 Jul04 Jun19 Jun06 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 110 10.00    
4  HI HEELED WARRIOR Jul20 Jul12 Jun02 May10 Apr27 (kulp brandon )MORALES PABLO 117 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  PATH TO VICTORY Aug07 Jul17 Jul11 Jun21 Mar04 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 2.00 35% 1.80    
6  UPPITY UP Jul31 Jul11 Jun21 May30   (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 119 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.